Bitcoin Chicken Game: Why Losing This Level Could Send BTC Back To $20,000
22 Agosto 2023 - 10:00PM
NEWSBTC
The price of Bitcoin has stalled again around its current levels as
an explosion in downside volatility broke critical support. The
cryptocurrency is trapped between major players waiting and
positioning for the next move; which side will prevail in this
battle? Related Reading: Bitcoin On-Chain Data Suggests Price Is
Top Heavy, What It Means As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at
$26,000 with sideways movement in the last 24 hours. In the
previous seven days, the cryptocurrency recorded a 12% correction
which has severely impacted other assets in the sector, notably XRP
and Binance Coin (BNB), which recorded losses north of 15% in the
same period. Retail Traders Likely To Push Bitcoin Price Lower? In
a report from Bitfinex Alpha, an analyst points out the influence
of the derivatives sector on the spot Bitcoin price. Last week,
BTC’s volatility was compressed, declining into historical lows,
but a negative delta (high selling pressure) persisted, moving the
price lower. At the time, Bitcoin dropped enough to trigger a
liquidation cascade, which was potentially worsened by a prominent
trader being forced out of their position on a crypto exchange, the
report speculated. The chart below shows that Open Interest in the
derivatives sector followed BTC’s price action. This market
dynamics left Bitcoin in its current state. Analysts from Material
Indicators called it a “game of chicken” between prominent players
waiting to see if enough liquidity will be added to support the
current levels or if the selling pressure will return. The analysts
indicated that the BTC price orderbook is the thinnest in 6 months
while adding the following: (…) we are seeing small amounts of bid
liquidity ladder up from $20k closer to the active trading zone,
but no liquidity of any size (new or moved) has been stacked into
the range defending price from a Lower Low. Needless to say,
printing a LL in this TF has macro implications. Printing 2 LLs
would push #BTC down to sub $20k levels. Material Indicators showed
that when the price of Bitcoin broke below critical support, most
of the selling was done by relatively small traders. However,
whales likely used small selling orders to reduce slippage and push
prices down to current levels. Related Reading: 3rd Biggest Bitcoin
Stash Now Belongs To Unknown Wallet, Amassed In Over 3 Months A
similar scenario seems likely if the BTC price slowly bleeds into
critical support triggering another liquidation cascade. In the
meantime, the number one cryptocurrency seems bound to carry on its
game of Chicken between large players. Cover image from Unsplash,
chart from Tradingview
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