- Global passenger traffic was down an estimated 67% this
year versus 2019 and was reduced to 1999 levels
- Travel restrictions to curb COVID-19 forced airlines to cut
flights by 49%, from 33.2 million in 2019 to 16.8 million during
2020
- Only 3.8 million flights flown internationally in 2020; 77% of
all flights were domestic
- 30% of global commercial fleet remains in storage
Global aviation data firm Cirium today released its new Airline
Insights Review 2020 which reveals the shocking impact on aviation
of worldwide travel restrictions to curb COVID-19.
This press release features multimedia. View
the full release here:
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20201228005254/en/
Cirium has today revealed a new 2020
review of aviation and air travel. The review includes key data
insights from the past year and expert commentary from Cirium CEO,
Jeremy Bowen, Henry Harteveldt, Dr. Mario Hardy and more. (Graphic:
Business Wire)
The report shows that the pandemic and its consequences wiped
out 21 years of global passenger traffic growth in a matter of
months, reducing traffic this year to levels last seen in 1999. In
comparison to last year, passenger traffic is estimated to be down
67% in 2020.
At the peak of the disruption in April, scheduled passenger
flights dropped significantly to just 13,600 globally on April 25,
compared to the year’s busiest day on January 3 when Cirium tracked
over 95,000 scheduled passenger flights globally. This marks an
extraordinary 86% reduction in flights.
From January to December airlines operated 49% fewer flights in
2020 compared to 2019 – down from 33.2 million flights to just 16.8
million (to December 20).
Domestic travel was down 40% this year, from 21.5 million
flights in 2019, while international flights suffered an even more
precipitous drop as they were 68% below the 11.7 million flights
tracked the year before.
Jeremy Bowen, CEO of Cirium, said: “This severe setback shows
the true extent of the challenge faced by the struggling aviation
sector as it has sought to reset itself in the new post COVID-19
era.”
“Whereas this time last year we were celebrating the on-time
performance of global carriers, this year is dramatically
different. Most global airlines were largely on time in 2020; it’s
just a shame that the traveling public, airlines and aviation firms
worldwide didn’t benefit.
“The factors which usually cause delay, such as congested
airspace, taxiways and late connecting passengers simply did not
exist in 2020.”
The Cirium Airline Insights Review 2020 replaces Cirium’s annual
On-Time Performance Review which for more than a decade has
identified the world’s best performing airlines and airports for
on-time flight operations.
NEW AIRLINE INSIGHTS REVIEW: FLIGHTS FLOWN DRAMATICALLY
DOWN
Global passenger traffic figures reveal a plunge of over two
thirds (67%) versus the previous year, with Asia-Pacific continuing
to handle over a third of world passenger traffic.
The majority of the scheduled passenger flights flown this year
have been domestic – totaling 13 million (77%) with a mere 3.8
million (23%) flying internationally, due to closed borders and
limited business travel.
Cirium data analysis recorded Southwest Airlines operating the
most flights globally (and in North America), with 854,800 flights
in total. Meanwhile, China Southern Airlines (487,700 flights)
topped the tables in the Asia-Pacific, Ryanair in Europe (205,000
flights), Azul in Latin America (134,000 flights) and Qatar Airways
(82,400 flights) in the Middle East and Africa.
On the ground, Atlanta was the world’s busiest airport, handling
over 245,000 arriving flights during 2020, while the world’s
busiest air route in both directions was within South Korea,
between Seoul and the island of Jeju with 70,700 flights
operated.
Forward planning for airlines has dramatically contracted from
six- to 12-months for flight scheduling to just six- to eight-weeks
– forcing carriers to be nimbler and adapt with greater speed to
the rapidly changing rules and travel restrictions around the
world.
FLEETS IN STORAGE (BUT NOT THE A320)
As airlines have been forced to drastically reduce the number of
aircraft still in service, those still flying are operating
significantly fewer hours.
For example, narrowbody aircraft operated just six to seven
hours a day in Q3 2020 compared to nine to 10 hours a day in the
same period last year.
While up to 30% of the global passenger fleet remains in storage
there are signs of recovery on the horizon, with only 10% of
short-haul Airbus A320neo aircraft currently in storage showing
narrowbody aircraft leading the recovery and domestic and
short-haul travel returning first.
With domestic and short-haul services ruling the day, the
world’s most used aircraft type was the Airbus A320 with Cirium
tracking 5.49 million flights throughout 2020.
SEVEN TRENDS IDENTIFIED BY CIRIUM
“Airlines will have a way before returning to 2019 levels
particularly as international travel is significantly down and
showing only slow signs of recovery, mainly China and Southeast
Asia,” Jeremy Bowen added.
“But Cirium is confident aviation will weather this difficult
and terrible year and emerge in better shape – with younger more
fuel-efficient aircraft and right-sized fleets – to gradually
navigate their way to recovery in the years ahead.”
The seven key trends outlined by The Cirium Airline Insights
Review 2020 for next year include:
- The consolidation of airlines, particularly in
Asia-Pacific where more domestic competitors will merge or be
acquired.
- New-generation aircraft like the A320neo and the return
of the 737 Max, will provide reduced operating costs.
- Surplus aircraft will be retired and the Boeing 747 and
the Airbus A380 are projected to support the rising demand in the
denser leisure markets.
- In Q4 we saw a 78% plunge in bookings compared to the same
period last year – this will naturally change the way the
industry forecasts demand, we are seeing on-line search and
sentiment becoming the primary indicators to calculate demand.
- Airlines will need to deploy more dynamic
scheduling with the increased volatility of flight scheduling,
as the booking window has fallen from six- to 12-months to just
six- to eight-weeks.
- The implementation of AI technology will accelerate to
automate the traveler experience and real-time proactive
information will become more critical.
- Aircraft leasing will push past 50% becoming the major
manner in which aircraft are financed.
To read the full Cirium Airline Insights Review 2020 – click
here.
Bowen thanked the OTP board members comprised of Henry
Harteveldt at Atmosphere Research group and Dr. Mario Hardy at
Pacific Asia Travel Association (PATA) for their insights and
contributions to the Airline Insight Review 2020.
For further information please visit
www.cirium.com and follow Cirium updates via LinkedIn and
Twitter.
About Cirium Cirium brings together powerful data and
analytics to keep the world moving. Delivering insight, built from
decades of experience in the sector, enabling travel companies,
aircraft manufacturers, airports, airlines and financial
institutions, among others, to make logical and informed decisions
which shape the future of travel, growing revenues and enhancing
customer experiences. Cirium is part of RELX, a global provider of
information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and
business customers.
View source
version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20201228005254/en/
For media enquiries please contact, In the UK: Paul
Charles / Michael Johnson / Balint Brunner at The PC Agency via
cirium@pc.agency or +44 207 768 0001 In the Americas: Mike
Arnot, at Juliett Alpha via cirium@juliettalpha.com In
Asia-Pacific: Tracy Cheung, at Cirium via
tracy.cheung@cirium.com
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