NFT, Quantum ML, Generative AI, Homomorphic
Encryption and Composable Applications and Networks Among Key
Technologies to Watch
Engineering trust, accelerating growth and sculpting change are
the three overarching trends on the Gartner, Inc. Hype Cycle for
Emerging Technologies, 2021 that will drive organizations to
explore emerging technologies such as nonfungible tokens (NFT),
sovereign cloud, data fabric, generative AI and composable networks
to help secure competitive advantage.
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Figure 1. Hype Cycle for Emerging
Technologies, 2021. Source: Gartner (August 2021)
“Technology innovation is a key enabler of competitive
differentiation and is the catalyst for transforming many
industries. Breakthrough technologies are continually appearing,
challenging even the most innovative organizations to keep up,”
said Brian Burke, research vice president at Gartner. “Leading
organizations will lean on the emerging technologies in this year’s
Hype Cycle to build trust and new growth opportunities against a
background of continued strategic change and economic
uncertainty.”
The Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies is unique among most
Gartner Hype Cycles because it distils insights from more than
1,500 technologies into a succinct set of “must know” emerging
technologies and trends that show promise in delivering a high
degree of competitive advantage over the next five to 10 years (see
Figure 1).
“As organizations continue their focus on digital business
transformation, they must accelerate change and cut through the
hype surrounding emerging technologies,” said Melissa Davis,
research vice president at Gartner.
“This Hype Cycle provides a high-level view of important
emerging trends that organizations must track, as well as the
specific technologies that must be monitored through the themes of
Trust, Growth and Change,” said Philip Dawson, research vice
president at Gartner.
Three Themes of Emerging Technology Trends
Engineering Trust: Trust demands security and
reliability. However, it can also extend to building innovations as
a resilient core and foundation for IT to deliver business value.
This foundation must consist of engineered, repeatable, trusted,
proven and scalable working practices and innovations.
For example, the market for digital and cloud technology and
services is currently dominated by U.S. and Asian providers. As a
result, many European companies store their data in these regions,
creating political uneasiness as well as concerns about retaining
data control and complying with local regulations. Countries can
engage a sovereign cloud to achieve digital and data sovereignty,
which will in turn provide legal requirements to apply data
protection controls, residency requirements, protectionism and
intelligence gathering.
The technologies to watch to engineer trust are sovereign cloud,
NFT, machine-readable legislation, decentralized identity,
decentralized finance, homomorphic encryption, active metadata
management, data fabric, real-time incident center and employee
communications applications.
Accelerating Growth: After the trusted core business is
established, recovery and growth can happen. Organizations should
balance technology risk with the appetite for business risk to
ensure near-term objectives are attainable. Once the innovation-led
core is scaling, accelerated growth extends delivery and value.
For example, generative AI is an emerging technology that the
pharmaceutical industry is using to help reduce costs and time in
drug discovery. Gartner predicts that by 2025, more than 30% of new
drugs and materials will be systematically discovered using
generative AI techniques. Generative AI will not only augment and
accelerate design in many fields; it also has the potential to
“invent” novel designs that humans may have otherwise missed.
To accelerate growth, the following technologies should be
explored: multiexperience, industry cloud, AI-driven innovation,
quantum machine learning (ML), generative AI and digital
humans.
Sculpting Change: Change is traditionally disruptive and
often is tied to chaos, but organizations can use innovations to
sculpt change and bring order to chaos. The art is to anticipate
and auto-tune to the needs of change.
For example, composable business applications enable a better
match of application experiences to a changing, operational
business context. Composable business, founded on composable
application technology and built with composable thinking,
positions organizations to recognize and exploit business
opportunities, respond to unexpected disruptions, and meet
customers’ changing demands at their pace, retaining their
loyalty.
Organizations looking to sculpt change should consider
composable applications, composable networks, AI-augmented design,
AI-augmented software engineering, physics-informed AI, influence
engineering, digital platform conductor tools, named data
networking and self-integrating applications.
The Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2021 is just one of
over 90 Gartner Hype Cycles covering a wide range of innovations,
technologies, business trends and key vertical industries.
Additional information is also available in the free Gartner
webinar “The Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies,
2021.”
Additional analysis on emerging technology trends will be
presented during Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo 2021, the world's most
important conferences for CIOs and other IT executives. Follow news
and updates from the conferences on Twitter using #GartnerSYM.
Upcoming dates and locations for Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo
include: October 18-21 | Americas | Virtual October 25-27 | APAC |
Virtual November 8-11 | EMEA | Virtual November 16-18 | Japan |
Virtual November 30-December 2 | India | Virtual
About the Gartner Information Technology Practice
The Gartner IT practice provides CIOs and IT leaders with the
insights and tools to drive the organization through digital
transformation to lead business growth. Additional information is
available at www.gartner.com/en/information-technology. Follow news
and updates from the Gartner IT practice on Twitter and LinkedIn
using #GartnerIT.
About Gartner
Gartner, Inc. (NYSE: IT) is the world’s leading research and
advisory company and a member of the S&P 500. We equip business
leaders with indispensable insights, advice and tools to achieve
their mission-critical priorities and build the successful
organizations of tomorrow.
Our unmatched combination of expert-led, practitioner-sourced
and data-driven research steers clients toward the right decisions
on the issues that matter most. We are a trusted advisor and an
objective resource for more than 14,000 organizations in more than
100 countries — across all major functions, in every industry and
organization size.
To learn more about how we help decision makers fuel the future
of business, visit gartner.com.
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Katie Costello Gartner + 1 571 444 1091
katie.costello@gartner.com
Meghan Rimol Gartner +1 571 303 4009
meghan.rimol@gartner.com
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