Market-Linked Notes due February 29, 2028
Based on the Value of the Morgan Stanley MAP Trend Index
Fully and Unconditionally Guaranteed by Morgan Stanley
The notes are unsecured obligations of Morgan Stanley Finance LLC (“MSFL”) and are fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Morgan Stanley. The notes will pay no interest and will have the terms described in the accompanying product supplement and prospectus, as supplemented and modified by this document. At maturity, we will pay per note the stated principal amount of $1,000 plus a supplemental redemption amount, if any, based on the value of the underlying index on the determination date.
The Morgan Stanley MAP Trend Index (the “underlying index”) was established by Morgan Stanley on March 7, 2017 and employs a rules-based quantitative strategy (the “Index Methodology”) that combines a risk-weighted approach to portfolio construction with a momentum-based, or trend-following, asset allocation methodology to construct a notional portfolio. In addition, the strategy imposes an overall volatility-targeting feature upon the resulting portfolio. The goal of the underlying index is to seek positive return opportunities in different market environments based upon recent trends in the underlying assets. The investment assumption underlying the allocation strategy is two-fold: that historical volatility of the underlying assets can be used to risk-weight a portfolio, and that past trends are likely to continue to be a good indicator of the future performance of that portfolio.
The components of the underlying index consist of (i) 20 U.S.-listed exchange traded funds (“ETFs”), representing U.S. and non-U.S. equities, fixed income securities, commodities and real estate, and (ii) the Morgan Stanley Two Year Treasury Index (collectively, the “Index Components”). The notional portfolio constructed by the Index Methodology of Index Components is referred to as the “Asset Portfolio.” The Asset Portfolio will consist of long-only positions in each Index Component, and each Index Component except for the Morgan Stanley Two Year Treasury Index is subject to a maximum exposure cap. The targeted volatility for the underlying index is 5% (the “Volatility Target”).
The underlying index is rebalanced each Strategy Business Day (the “Daily Rebalancing”). Upon each Daily Rebalancing for the underlying index, the Index Methodology uses the pre-assigned Risk Budget assigned to each ETF (as set forth under “Annex A – Morgan Stanley MAP Trend Index – Index Components”) and the volatility for each ETF to make initial base allocations. The Index Methodology then calculates a signal based on the upward or downward trend of each ETF (the “Trend Signal”). The index calculates each Trend Signal by observing two moving averages, one short-term and one long-term, over different look-back periods for each respective ETF. A Trend Signal that converges toward one indicates an upward trend and a Trend Signal that converges toward zero indicates a downward trend. Once the Trend Signal is calculated for each ETF, the previously determined base allocations are scaled by the Trend Signal by allocating more upward-trending securities to the Asset Portfolio. The magnitude of each position taken by the underlying index following the Trend Signal adjustment is then scaled to the Volatility Target based on a pro-rata volatility-scaling that seeks to achieve a balanced level of volatility in the underlying index’s exposure to each of the ETFs.
The underlying index is calculated on an excess return basis, and therefore the level reflects the weighted return of the Asset Portfolio reduced by the return on an equivalent cash investment receiving the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (“SOFR”) plus 0.26%. The underlying index performance is further reduced by a servicing cost of 0.85% per annum calculated on a daily basis. For more information, see “Annex A—Morgan Stanley MAP Trend Index” beginning on page 24 and the “Risk Factors—There are risks associated with the underlying index” beginning on page 8.
These long-dated notes are for investors who are concerned about principal risk but seek exposure to a multiple asset-linked index, and who are willing to forgo current income in exchange for the repayment of principal at maturity plus the potential to receive a supplemental redemption amount, if any. The notes are notes issued as part of MSFL’s Series A Global Medium-Term Notes program.
All payments are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations, you could lose some or all of your investment. These notes are not secured obligations and you will not have any security interest in, or otherwise have any access to, any underlying reference asset or assets.
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SUMMARY TERMS
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Issuer:
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Morgan Stanley Finance LLC
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Guarantor:
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Morgan Stanley
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Issue price:
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$1,000 per note (see “Commissions and issue price” below)
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Stated principal amount:
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$1,000 per note
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Aggregate principal amount:
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$
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Pricing date:
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February 24, 2023
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Original issue date:
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March 1, 2023 (3 business days after the pricing date)
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Maturity date:
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February 29, 2028
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Interest:
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None
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Underlying index:
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Morgan Stanley MAP Trend Index
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Payment at maturity:
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The payment due at maturity per $1,000 stated principal amount will equal:
$1,000 + supplemental redemption amount, if any.
The payment due at maturity will not be less than $1,000 per note regardless of the performance of the underlying index.
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Supplemental redemption amount:
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(i) $1,000 multiplied by (ii) the index percent change multiplied by (iii) the participation rate, provided that the supplemental redemption amount will not be less than $0.
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Participation rate:
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At least 480%. The actual participation rate will be determined on the pricing date.
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Maximum payment at maturity:
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None
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Index percent change:
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(final index value – initial index value) / initial index value
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Initial index value:
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, which is the index closing value on the pricing date
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Final index value:
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The index closing value on the determination date
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Determination date:
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February 24, 2028, subject to postponement for non-index business days and certain market disruption events
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CUSIP:
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61774TZL9
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ISIN:
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US61774TZL96
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Listing:
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The notes will not be listed on any securities exchange.
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Agent:
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Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC (“MS & Co.”), an affiliate of MSFL and a wholly owned subsidiary of Morgan Stanley. See “Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest.”
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Estimated value on the pricing date:
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Approximately $967.30 per note, or within $55.00 of that estimate. See “Investment Summary” beginning on page 2.
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Commissions and issue price:
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Price to public(1)
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Agent’s commissions and fees(2)
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Proceeds to us(3)
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Per note
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$1,000
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$
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$
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Total
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$
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$
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$
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(1)The notes will be sold only to investors purchasing the notes in fee-based advisory accounts.
(2)MS & Co. expects to sell all of the notes that it purchases from us to an unaffiliated dealer at a price of $ per note, for further sale to certain fee-based advisory accounts at the price to public of $1,000 per note. MS & Co. will not receive a sales commission with respect to the notes. For additional information, see “Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” in the accompanying product supplement.
(3)See “Use of proceeds and hedging” on page 22.
The notes involve risks not associated with an investment in ordinary debt securities. See “Risk Factors” beginning on page 6.
The Securities and Exchange Commission and state securities regulators have not approved or disapproved these notes, or determined if this document or the accompanying product supplement and prospectus is truthful or complete. Any representation to the contrary is a criminal offense.
The notes are not deposits or savings accounts and are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other governmental agency or instrumentality, nor are they obligations of, or guaranteed by, a bank.
You should read this document together with the related product supplement and prospectus, each of which can be accessed via the hyperlinks below. Please also see “Additional Terms of the Notes” and “Additional Information About the Notes” at the end of this document.
As used in this document, “we,” “us” and “our” refer to Morgan Stanley or MSFL, or Morgan Stanley and MSFL collectively, as the context requires.
Product Supplement for Equity-Linked Notes dated November 16, 2020 Prospectus dated November 16, 2020