The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a mixed
open on Friday, with the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures up by
0.5 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively, but the Dow futures down
by 0.2 percent.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq is likely to benefit from an advance by
shares of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), as the streaming giant is surging
by 6.6 percent in pre-market trading.
The jump by Netflix comes after the company reported third
quarter results that exceeded analyst estimates on both the top and
bottom lines.
On the other hand, a drop by shares of American Express
(NYSE:AXP) is likely to weigh on the Dow, with the credit card
giant slumping by 2.1 percent in pre-market trading.
American Express may come under pressure after reporting third
quarter earnings that beat expectations but weaker than expected
revenues.
Fellow Dow component Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) may also
moved to the downside after the household goods maker reported
fiscal first quarter revenues that missed estimates.
Stocks saw modest strength for much of the session on Thursday
before giving back ground late in the trading day to close roughly
flat. The Dow still managed to reach a new record closing high.
The Dow ended the day up 161.35 points or 0.4 percent at
43,239.05, while the Nasdaq crept up 6.53 points or less than a
tenth of a percent to 18,373.61 and the S&P 500 edged down 1.00
point or less than a tenth of a percent to 5,841.47.
Strength among semiconductor stocks supported the markets for
much of the session before a late-day pullback, although the
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index still ended the day up by 1.0
percent.
The strength in the sector came after Taiwan Semiconductor
Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSM) reported a sharp increase in third
quarter profits.
The strong results from TSMC offset concerns about the outlook
for semiconductor demand following a warning from Dutch chipmaker
ASML (NASDAQ:ASML) earlier in the week.
“The fate of the global stock market hinged on TSMC’s results
and fortunately everything is fine in AI land,” says Dan
Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.
Positive sentiment was also generated in reaction to a batch of
largely upbeat U.S. economic data, including a Commerce Department
report showing retail sales increased by slightly more than
expected in the month of September.
The Commerce Department said retail sales rose by 0.4 percent in
September after edging up by 0.1 percent in August. Economists had
expected retail sales to rise by 0.3 percent.
Excluding sales by motor vehicle and parts dealers, retail sales
climbed by 0.5 percent in September after rising by 0.2 percent in
August. Ex-auto sales were expected to inch up by 0.1 percent.
A separate report released by the Labor Department showed an
unexpected pullback by first-time claims for U.S. unemployment
benefits in the week ended October 12th.
The report said initial jobless claims fell to 241,000, a
decrease of 19,000 from the previous week’s revised level of
260,000.
Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 260,000
from the 258,000 originally reported for the previous week.
With the unexpected pullback, jobless claims gave back ground
after reaching their highest level since hitting 261,000 in the
week ended June 17, 2023.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve released a report showing
industrial production in the U.S. fell by slightly more than
expected in the month of September.
The Fed said industrial production decreased by 0.3 percent in
September after rising by a downwardly revised 0.3 percent in
August.
Economists had expected industrial production to dip by 0.2
percent compared to the 0.8 percent increase originally reported
for the previous month.
The slightly bigger than expected decline by industrial
production partly reflected a strike at Boeing (NYSE:BA) and the
effects of Hurricanes Helene and Milton.
U.S. Economic News
After reporting a sharp increase in new residential construction
in the U.S. in the previous month, the Commerce Department released
a report on Friday showing a modest pullback by housing starts in
the month of September.
The Commerce Department said housing starts fell by 0.5 percent
to an annual rate of 1.354 million in September after spiking by
7.8 percent to a revised rate of 1.361 million in August.
Economists had expected housing starts to dip by 0.4 percent to
an annual rate of 1.350 million from the 1.356 million originally
reported for the previous month.
The report also showed a sharp pullback by building permits,
which tumbled by 2.9 percent to an annual rate of 1.428 million in
September after surging by 4.6 percent to a revised rate of 1.470
million in August.
Building permits, an indicator of future housing demand, were
expected to slump by 1.0 percent to an annual rate of 1.460 million
from the 1.475 million originally reported for the previous
month.
At 9:30 am ET, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic
is scheduled to give a lecture before high school students as part
of a Mississippi Council on Economic Education event.
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari is due to
moderate a morning keynote policy panel before the “Macroeconomic
Policy Perspectives: Banking, Regulation, and Macroeconomic
Outcomes” conference at 10 am ET.
At 12:10 pm ET, Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher
Waller is scheduled to speak on “Decentralized Finance” before the
Nineteenth Annual Vienna Macroeconomics Workshop.
Bostic is due to speak on the economic outlook, importance of
financial literacy and economic education before a Mississippi
Council on Economic Education Forum on American Enterprise luncheon
at 12:30 pm ET.
Europe
European shares are turning in a mixed performance on Friday, a
day after the European Central Bank cut its deposit rate by 25
basis points to 3.25 percent, citing sluggish economic growth and
easing inflation.
According to its quarterly survey of professional forecasters,
the ECB sees inflation falling to 1.9 percent in 2025 from a
previous forecast of 2 percent. The projections for 2024 and 2026
were kept unchanged at 2.4 percent and 1.9 percent.
The French CAC 40 Index is up by 0.7 percent and the German DAX
Index is up by 0.4 percent, while the U.K.’s FTSE 100 is down 0.2
percent in the lead-up to Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s first budget
on October 30, where tax increases and spending cuts amounting to
£40 billion are expected.
In corporate news, Swedish truck maker Volvo has risen despite
posting a bigger-than-expected drop in quarterly adjusted earnings
and forecasting stagnant demand next year.
British luxury brand Burberry has also jumped in London after
official data showed U.K. retail sales logged unexpected growth in
September on higher sales of technology products.
Retail sales grew 0.3 percent on month in September, confounding
expectations for a 0.3 percent fall. This marked the third
consecutive increase.
Miners Anglo American, Antofagasta and Glencore has also surged
after China’s major commercial banks cut their deposit rates for a
second time this year and the country’s central bank officially
launched a swap facility aimed at boosting the equity market.
Meanwhile, British American Tobacco shares have tumbled after
the company said it aims to settle ongoing lawsuits in Canada
through a court-mediated plan.
Stratec SE shares have also slumped. The German maker of
analyzer and automation systems for In-Vitro-Diagnostic reported
that preliminary consolidated sales for the first nine months of
2024 declined to 176.3 million euros from 187.7 million euros last
year.
Asia
Asian stocks ended mixed on Friday as a slew of Chinese data
backed calls for more stimulus.
The yen was little changed after Japan’s key inflation gauge
slowed in September for the first time in five months but an index
excluding the effect of fuel held steady, keeping the Bank of Japan
on track to raise interest rates further.
Gold continued to trade with a positive bias, climbing above
$2,700 per ounce despite a surge by U.S. yields and dollar after
the release of upbeat retail sales data.
Oil edged up slightly but was on track for its biggest weekly
loss in over a month.
China’s Shanghai Composite Index rallied 2.9 percent to 3,261.56
as the country’s major commercial banks cut their deposit rates for
a second time this year and the central bank officially launched a
swap facility aimed at boosting the equity market.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index spiked 3.6 percent to 20,804.11,
getting a lift from technology shares after Taiwanese chipmaker and
Nvidia supplier TSMC posted forecast-beating earnings.
Chinese GDP grew 4.6 percent on a yearly basis in the third
quarter, official data showed earlier in the day. This was the
weakest growth since the first quarter of 2023.
Industrial production surged 5.4 percent in September and retail
sales growth improved to 3.2 percent from 2.1 percent in the
previous month, while property investment contracted 10.1 percent
from a year ago, separate data revealed.
Japanese markets ended slightly higher as the yen wakened beyond
150 per dollar. The Bank of Japan must focus on the economic impact
of unstable markets and risks from overseas, Governor Kazuo Ueda
said today, suggesting the central bank was in no rush to raise
interest rates further.
The Nikkei 225 Index rose 0.2 percent to 38,981.75, while the
broader Topix Index finished marginally higher at 2,688.98.
Seoul stocks fell for a third straight session due to continued
selling by foreign investors. The Kospi shed 0.6 percent to close
at 2,593.82. SK Hynix plunged 4.4 percent and Hanmi Semiconductor
plummeted 10.4 percent.
Australian markets ended notably lower after setting a new
record high the previous day. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index
dropped 0.9 percent to 8,283.20, dragged down by miners and
technology stocks. The broader All Ordinaries Index settled 0.9
percent lower at 8,551.20.
Across the Tasman Sea, New Zealand’s benchmark S&P/NZX 50
Index rose 0.4 percent to 12,823.89.
Commodities
Crude oil futures are slipping $0.15 to $70.52 a barrel after
rising $0.28 to $70.67 a barrel on Thursday. Meanwhile, after
climbing $16.20 to $2,707.50 an ounce in the previous session, gold
futures are jumping $23.40 to $2,730.90 an ounce.
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar is trading at 149.84 yen
versus the 150.21 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading
on Thursday. Against the euro, the dollar is valued at $1.0855
compared to yesterday’s $1.0831.
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