Binance & Deribit Traders Aggressively Short Bitcoin, Squeeze Incoming?
21 Setembro 2023 - 01:00PM
NEWSBTC
Data shows Bitcoin shorts have been piling up on cryptocurrency
exchanges Binance and Deribit during the past few days. Bitcoin
Funding Rates On Binance & Deribit Are Deep Red Right Now
According to data from the analytics firm Santiment, traders on the
derivative market have continued to bet against the cryptocurrency
recently. The relevant indicator here is the “funding rate,” which
keeps track of the periodic fee that derivative contract holders on
an exchange are paying each other right now. When this metric has a
positive value, it means that the long traders are paying a premium
to the short traders in order to hold onto their positions. Such a
trend suggests that the majority sentiment on the given exchange is
bullish currently. On the other hand, the metric being under the
zero mark implies the traders on the platform hold a bearish
mentality at the moment, as the shorts are the dominant force.
Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Bull Run Coming Soon? What Network
Fundamentals Say Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the
Bitcoin funding rates for Binance and Deribit over the past month:
Looks like the value of the metric has been quite red in recent
days | Source: Santiment on X As displayed in the above graph, the
Bitcoin funding rate for both of these exchanges had been mostly
positive during the last third of August and the starting third of
this month, implying that the majority of the traders had been
longs. The bets of these holders had failed, however, as the price
had seen an overall downtrend in this period. Since the rebound
earlier this month, though, the sentiment has flipped in the market
as shorts have piled up on both of these platforms. These short
traders haven’t been successful so far, either, as the value of the
cryptocurrency has seen net growth since they have appeared.
Historically, the market has actually been more likely to go
against the expectation of the majority, so this pattern may be in
line with that. The reason why the asset would move against the
bets of these contract holders is that mass liquidation events,
called squeezes, become more likely to happen the more lopsided the
sector is. A large amount of long liquidations can amplify crashes,
while short liquidations can provide the fuel for upward surges.
Since Bitcoin is still seeing aggressive shorting, it may be a
positive sign for the cryptocurrency’s current price rise, as a
potential short squeeze could help it extend further. Related
Reading: Bitcoin May Not See Lasting Bullish Momentum Until This
Happens Interestingly, while Bitcoin is being bet against right
now, Ethereum’s funding rates are positive, as pointed out by
analyst James V. Straten in a post on X. The two metrics have
diverged recently | Source: @jimmyvs24 on X From the graph, it’s
visible that the funding rates of the top two assets in the sector
have gone opposite ways recently. This means that while BTC may be
able to build an uptrend off the shorts, ETH could face the
opposite effect if the longs end up being liquidated. BTC Price
Bitcoin has seen a drawdown of about 1.5% today as the asset’s
price has now dropped towards the $26,700 level. BTC is still
overall up in the past week | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Yiğit Ali Atasoy on Unsplash.com, charts from
TradingView.com, Glassnode.com
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