Bitcoin Surge Above $27,000 May Not Last, Here’s Why
29 Setembro 2023 - 11:00AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin has broken back above the $27,000 level during the past
day, but if on-chain data is to go by, this surge may not last for
long. Bitcoin Investors Are Taking Profits At Highest Rate In 3
Months According to data from the on-chain analytics firm
Santiment, there is a chance that a short-term correction could
happen for the cryptocurrency. The relevant metric here is the
“ratio of daily on-chain transaction volume in profit to loss,”
which, as its name suggests, tells us about how the profit-taking
volume compares against the loss-taking volume on the Bitcoin
network right now. This indicator works by going through the
transaction history of each coin being sold/transferred on the
blockchain to see what price it was moved at before. If this
previous selling price for any coin was less than the current spot
price, then that coin is being sold at a profit right now. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Bearish Signal: Long-Term Holders Deposit To
Exchanges The sale of all such tokens would contribute toward the
Bitcoin profit-taking volume, while coins of the opposite type
would add towards the loss-taking volume. Now, here is a chart that
shows the trend in this BTC metric over the past few months: The
value of the metric seems to have been quite high in recent days |
Source: Santiment on X As displayed in the above graph, this
Bitcoin indicator has observed a large spike as the
cryptocurrency’s price itself has seen a surge beyond the $27,000
mark and has reached a value of 2.51. When the metric has a value
greater than zero, it means that the profit-taking volume is more
than the loss-taking volume. On the other hand, values under this
threshold suggest the dominance of loss-taking. At the current
value of 2.51, the profit-taking volume outweighs the loss-taking
one by 3.51 to 1. This disparity between these two volumes is the
highest it has been since around three months ago. Historically,
intense profit-taking has usually resulted in at least a short-term
top for Bitcoin, so it’s possible that the current values of the
metric would also result in a correction for the price. In the
chart, Santiment has also attached the data for the “Market Value
to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio,” which keeps track of the
difference between the Bitcoin market cap and realized cap. The
latter of these is basically a measure of the total amount of
capital that the investors as a whole have put into the
cryptocurrency, so this metric tells us how the value that the
holders are carrying currently compares with their total
investment. Related Reading: Research Firm Reveals Its “Altcoin
Trading Playbook” From the graph, it’s visible that the 7-day
Bitcoin MVRV ratio has turned notably positive with this rise,
which implies that the investors are carrying profits at the
moment. The analytics firm notes that this metric going back below
zero would be ideal for the next leg up, as the holders being in
loss would lead to an exhaustion of the profit-sellers. BTC Price
So far, despite the aggressive profit-taking happening in the
market, Bitcoin has managed to hold above the $27,000 mark. BTC has
observed a strong surge in the past day | Source: BTCUSD on
TradingView Featured image from Shutterstock.com, charts from
TradingView.com, Santiment.net
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