Bitcoin MPI Forms Death Cross, End of The Rally?
02 Outubro 2023 - 03:00PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Miners’ Position Index (MPI) has
formed a death cross recently, a sign that the asset’s rally may
end. Bitcoin MPI Has Formed A Bearish Crossover Recently As pointed
out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the 365-day
moving average (MA) of the BTC MPI has crossed above the 90-day
recently. The “MPI” here refers to an indicator that measures the
ratio between the miner outflows and the yearly MA. The “miner
outflows” are the amounts these chain validators transfer out of
their combined wallets. Generally, the miners take out their coins
for selling purposes, so the miners outflows can measure how much
dumping they are currently partaking in. Miner outflows are usually
not that unusual, though, as this cohort has to constantly sell
what they mine to pay off their running costs like electricity
bills. What can be notable, however, is whether their selling
deviates from the norm. Related Reading: Ethereum ETF: Valkyrie
Halts Purchase Of ETH Futures Contracts The MPI provides us with
information about precisely this since it compares the outflows
against their 365-day MA. When the metric is greater than 0, the
miners are selling more than the average for the past year, while
negative values imply the opposite. Now, here is a chart that shows
the trend in the 90-day and 365-day MAs of the Bitcoin MPI over the
last few years: The two MAs of the metric appear to have crossed
the path of each other in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant The
above graph shows that the 90-day MA Bitcoin MPI (colored in
orange) has declined during the last few weeks. Recently, the
metric crossed below the 365-day MA, consolidating sideways.
Historically, the crosses of the two MAs of the BTC MPI have
appeared to be significant for the cryptocurrency’s price. In the
chart, the quant has highlighted the major crossovers that occurred
during the last few years. Whenever the indicator’s 90-day MA has
observed a cross above the 365-day MA, BTC has gone off to witness
some bullish momentum. Such a cross preceded the April 2019 rally,
the 2021 bull run, and the rally that started this January. On the
other hand, the opposite type of cross has proven to be bearish for
the asset’s value, as steep declines have followed it. Since this
death cross has once again formed for Bitcoin recently, it may
signal that this year’s rally has reached its conclusion. Related
Reading: Chainlink Signal That Preceded Crashes Of 34% Is Back
However, the crossover is still in the process of forming, meaning
that the coming weeks may be important. If the 90-day MA can turn
itself around quickly, then the death cross may not form, but if
the metrics continue in their current trajectory, the bearish
signal would be solidified. BTC Price Regardless of the death
cross, Bitcoin has observed some sharp bullish momentum during the
past 24 hours, as the asset has surged to the $28,300 level. BTC
has registered a sharp jump in the past day | Source: BTCUSD on
TradingView Featured image from Shutterstock.com, charts from
TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
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