Dogecoin At Make-Or-Break Point After Multi-Year Trendline Test
18 Março 2025 - 9:00PM
NEWSBTC
Dogecoin (DOGE) closed last week on a bullish note after testing
critical technical levels that could define its next directional
move. The weekly chart on Binance (DOGE/USDT) reveals that DOGE is
currently trading just above the significant 0.786 Fibonacci
retracement level at $0.167. This retracement is drawn from the
all-time low at $0.0805 to the peak of $0.4844. Dogecoin Reversal
Confirmed? A notable technical development is the interaction with
a long-standing descending trendline, extending from the May 2021
all-time high. DOGE recently retested this trendline as support
after breaking above it in November 2024. Last week’s candle
printed a Hammer-like formation, characterized by a small real body
near the top of the range and a significantly longer lower shadow.
While the candle also displays a modest upper wick, the dominance
of the lower shadow signals that buyers absorbed aggressive sell
pressure below the trendline and pushed the price back above the
0.786 Fibonacci level – a strong bullish signal. Related Reading:
Analyst Predicts Dogecoin And Altcoins’ Next Surge – Here’s The
Timeline However, this week could be as important as last week. A
weekly close above $0.167 seems essential to confirm the momentum.
Otherwise, another test of the multi-year trendline could become a
make-or-break moment for the Dogecoin price. Notably, momentum
indicators remain neutral to bearish. The weekly Relative Strength
Index (RSI) closed around 39, reflecting subdued buying strength
and highlighting that DOGE is still operating below the neutral 50
mark. The Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are providing layered
resistance above the current price. The 100-week EMA lies at
$0.17284, positioned just above DOGE’s current range, while the
50-week EMA is located at $0.21427. The 20-week EMA, the more
immediate resistance during previous rallies, now sits at $0.24805.
Support is reinforced at the 200-week EMA around $0.13621, a level
that would likely serve as a last line of defense should DOGE crash
below the multi-year trendline. Related Reading: Dogecoin Breakout
Alert! This Pattern Could Trigger A ‘Parabolic’ Surge Price action
in recent weeks also shows DOGE breaking down from a bearish flag
or channel formation, with the breakdown accelerating toward the
confluence of the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the descending
trendline retest. Despite this, the market responded with strong
buying interest in the highlighted red support zone. On-chain data
further contextualizes the recent price action. Analytics firm
Santiment reported via X today that Dogecoin, like most meme coins,
has been heavily impacted during the ongoing two-month market-wide
retracement. However, Santiment pointed out a bullish divergence on
the network side. The firm states: “Dogecoin, like most meme coins,
have been hammered during the 2-month crypto-wide retrace. However,
we recommend keeping an eye on the rising level of wallets holding
at least 1M $DOGE, which has recovered during the price dump.
Active addresses are also at 4-month highs.” Adding to this
sentiment, crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades commented via X: “DOGE
similar to PEPE but has already retaken the Election level after
sweeping it. I think these are key levels to keep watching on a lot
of these alts. A sweep & retake signals some short term relief
and these levels can offer a clean invalidation level afterwards.”
This aligns with the technical observation that DOGE’s recent price
action may represent a sweep of liquidity below a key level,
followed by a recovery above support — a typical short-term bullish
reversal pattern in crypto markets. Featured image created with
DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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