XRP Breakout Still Likely This April, Analyst Says $12+ In Play
18 Abril 2025 - 9:30AM
NEWSBTC
The price of XRP continues to coil just above the mid‑$2 region,
but veteran market technician CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) believes the
consolidation is the calm before a violent impulse higher. In a
four‑hour chart published on X on 17 April, the analyst traces an
Elliott Wave count showing the token finishing a textbook Wave 2
correction that began after December’s cycle high near the 0.118
Fibonacci band at $3.40. XRP Breakout In April Still Possible From
the peak labelled (1), XRP has followed a sharp, three‑legged A–B–C
pullback (drawn in gold). Leg A bottomed in February at $1.77. Leg
B retraced to the 0.236 level at $2.99 before the current slide in
Leg C, which has thus far defended the 0.618 retracement at $1.54.
Below lies a thick liquidity pocket between the 0.618 and 0.65
retracements—$1.55 to $1.45—highlighted by a green box on the
chart. CasiTrades describes that zone as “the most likely target”
for any final sweep lower, but stresses that price “has shown solid
support at the 0.5 retrace ($1.90). On the macro timeframe, not
much has changed.” Related Reading: XRP Is The ‘Strongest Chart In
Crypto,’ Says Analyst The chart also flags the 0.382 retracement at
$2.24 with a red line—the final ceiling that must be reclaimed to
confirm bullish reversal. “To break major resistance at $2.24 (the
0.382), we’ll likely need one final push off either $1.90 or $1.55.
If XRP clears and holds $2.24, these lower levels become far less
likely,” the analyst writes. The market has already printed a
series of higher lows on the four‑hour Relative Strength Index
while price carved lower lows, producing a clear bullish divergence
that reinforces the idea that selling pressure is exhausting.
CasiTrades argues that the macro structure remains intact: the
decline of the past four months is Wave 2 inside a much larger
five‑wave advance. “We are very close to ending this correction,
whether the low is already in or we need one more support test, I
still believe we’re about to enter macro Wave 3,” she notes. Under
classical Elliott guidelines, one wave of every impulse must
extend, and the analyst expects that role to fall to Wave 3. Using
Fibonacci expansion from the Wave 1 impulse—the vertical purple
projection—she derives upside objectives at the 1.618, 2.618 and
3.618 extensions: $6.50, $9.50 and “$12+” respectively. “One wave
must extend in every impulse and most likely this will happen on
Wave 3. This isn’t hype, this is textbook Fibonacci + Elliott Wave
logic. Correction bottom is either here or very near. Once Wave 3
begins, it only takes weeks, not months,” she explains. Related
Reading: Why XRP Could Beat Dogecoin, Solana In ETF Race And
Trigger A Price Surge Sceptics questioned whether algorithmic
manipulation might have invalidated traditional tools, but the
analyst remains unmoved. “This price action has been frustrating,
but I believe the market is largely driven by algos that to
complete specific patterns, these patterns make money for their
creator. Strong demand may be delaying the final push lower, but I
still believe the market likely needs to test those support levels
to grab liquidity before a breakout. We’re at a critical test right
now. If buyers can push the price above $2.24, it could shift the
algos instead of hunting lower, they may flip direction and chase
momentum.” Time, she insists, is running out for bears. “We’re
mid‑April now. If XRP tags that final support, even by the end of
this week, and volume steps in, a breakout to new highs could very
realistically kick off in late April and still satisfy the April
breakout outlook.” As of press time XRP is trading near $2.16 on
Binance, only a few percentage points below the critical $2.24
trigger. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from
TradingView.com
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