Dogecoin On The Edge: Major Breakout Or Breakdown Imminent?
19 Maio 2025 - 10:30AM
NEWSBTC
The Dogecoin price could be at a critical juncture for a breakout
but momentum needs to persist. On the four-hour chart shared by
analyst Josh Olszewicz, price has been sliding inside a clearly
defined falling-wedge formation since printing a local high at
$0.25941 on 13 May. The upper and lower boundaries of that wedge
continue to drift lower, trapping successive swing highs and lows;
the lower rail is presently guiding support at while the upper rail
caps the market near $0.219. Within that compression, Olszewicz
overlays an Ichimoku system set to short-cycle parameters
(20/60/120/30). The most recent completed candle — stamped 17 May
08:00 UTC — settled at $0.21532 after trading between $0.21187 and
$0.21676. That close left price lodged squarely inside the cloud, a
location that typically denotes equilibrium. Internally, the
Tenkan-sen rests at $0.21427, the Kijun-sen at $0.22524, Senkou
Span A at $0.22102 and Senkou Span B at $0.21184, creating an
unusually tight band of short-term reference levels. Related
Reading: Dogecoin Price Tops Tend To Follow Surges In Retail
Futures Activity, Analysis Shows The zone between the wedge floor
and Span B around $0.212–0.214 forms a high-confluence support zone
that has already produced two intraday rebounds. Conversely, the
Kijun-sen and descending wedge resistance intersect near $0.225,
erecting an equally visible ceiling overhead. As long as price
remains trapped between those two lines, momentum traders are
likely to see a low-volatility coil; the first decisive breach —
particularly a four-hour close through the upper rail — would
satisfy every textbook criterion for a bullish falling-wedge
resolution and mechanically projects a return toward the 13 May
high. Dogecoin Looks Still Strong Cantonese Cat’s weekly
perspective speaks to a larger cycle. In his chart, Dogecoin has
just finished its first weekly close above the Bull Market Support
Band — essentially the 20-week simple moving average enveloped by a
two-sigma envelope — since early February. That band currently
spans $0.21617 at the lower edge to $0.22378 at the upper edge;
last week’s candle settled at $0.22387, a whisker above the cap,
converting what had been resistance throughout the spring into
provisional support. The break occurs while the Bollinger upper
band is still descending from the February crest near $0.35, an
indication that volatility on the weekly time-frame has only just
begun to contract after a multi-month bear unwind. The midline of
the Bollinger structure, identical to the 20-week SMA and the top
of the Bull Market Support Band, is therefore the single most
important pivot for the week ahead. Related Reading: Dogecoin
Pullback May Be Short-Lived—Here’s The Next Price Target A second
consecutive weekly settlement above $0.22378 would confirm the
first as more than a one-off spike and could embolden
trend-followers to price in a medium-term push toward the
mid-$0.30s where the upper band presently curves. Taken together,
the two time-frames sketch a clear roadmap. Short-term traders will
be looking for a resolution of the descending wedge; a bullish
breakout through $0.219 would immediately shift focus to prior
supply at $0.24-0.26, whereas a failure to hold $0.205 risks an
acceleration toward the April pivot at $0.185. At press time, DOGE
traded at $0.217. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from
TradingView.com
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