Commodity Currencies Depreciate Amid Risk Aversion
25 Abril 2023 - 10:47PM
RTTF2
Commodity currencies such as the Australia, the New Zealand and
the Canadian dollars came under pressure in the Asian session on
Wednesday, as Asian shares traded lower amid renewed concerns about
turmoil in the banking sector after First Republic reported a loss
of more than $100 billion in deposits in the first quarter.
Disappointing results from several other U.S. companies also hurt
sentiment.
Traders also cautiously awaited a slew of upcoming central bank
meetings, most notably the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European
Central Bank, due over the next two weeks.
The three central banks are widely expected to raise interest
rates in order to fight inflation, and it is feared that policy
tightening by the banks could significantly slow down economic
growth.
The Australian dollar is also pressured by a sharp decline in
copper and iron ore prices.
Crude oil prices fell sharply on Tuesday amid concerns over the
outlook for energy demand due to fears of a global economic
slowdown, while the dollar's rise weighed as well. West Texas
Intermediate Crude oil futures for June ended lower by $1.69 or 2.2
percent to $77.07 per barrel.
In economic news, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics
(ABS) showed that the nation's consumer price index rose to 7
percent annually, slightly more than expected for a rise of 6.9
percent in the first quarter of the year. In the previous quarter,
the consumer prices gained to 7.8 percent.
The consumer prices rose to 1.4 percent in the first quarter,
above the economists expectation for a gain of 1.3 percent. In the
previous quarter, the consumer inflation showed a gain of 1.9
percent.
Data from Statistics New Zealand showed that New Zealand posted
a merchandise trade deficit of NZ$1.273 billion in March. That
missed expectations for a shortfall of NZ$920 million following the
downwardly revised NZ$796 million deficit in February.
Exports were up 0.6% on year to NZ$6.51 billion, beating
forecasts for a gains of NZ$6.10 billion and up from the downwardly
revised NZ$5.06 billion in the previous month. Also, imports jumped
an annual 10 percent to NZ$7.78 billion versus expectations for
NZ$6.80 billion following the downwardly revised NZ$5.86 billion a
month earlier.
In the Asian trading today, the Australian dollar fell to 1.6613
against the euro for the first time since November 2020. The
EUR/AUD pair closed yesterday's trade at 1.6550. The aussie may
test support around the 1.68 area.
The aussie slid to more than 2-week low of 88.15 against the
yen, from yesterday's closing value of 88.61. The AUD/JPY pair may
find its support level around the 86.00 mark.
Against the U.S., the Canada and the New Zealand dollars, the
aussie dropped to a 6-week low of 0.6606, a 1-week low of 0.9008
and nearly a 2-week low of 1.0766 from yesterday's closing quotes
of 0.6625, 0.9028 and 1.0791, respectively. If the aussie extends
its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 0.64 against the
greenback, 0.89 against the loonie and 1.06 against the kiwi.
The NZ dollar fell to nearly a 4-week low of 81.83 against the
yen, from yesterday's closing value of 82.07. The kiwi is likely to
find its support level around the 80.00 area.
The kiwi dropped to a 2-day low of 0.6129 against the U.S.
dollar, from an early high of 0.6149. On the downside, 0.60 is seen
as the next support level for the kiwi.
Moving away from an early 5-day high of 1.7849 against the euro,
the kiwi edged down to 1.7905. If the kiwi extends its downtrend,
it is likely to find support around the 1.80 level.
The Canadian dollar fell to 1.4972 against the euro, from
yesterday's closing value of 1.4947. The loonie may find its
support around the 1.51 area.
Against the U.S. dollar and the yen, the loonie edged down to
1.3642 and 97.86 from yesterday's closing quotes of 1.3626 and
98.14, respectively. If the loonie extends its downtrend, it is
likely to find support around 1.38 against the greenback and 93.00
against the yen.
Looking ahead, German Gfk consumer confidence for May is due to
be released at 2:00 am ET.
Two hours later, Switzerland economic sentiment index for April
is slated for release.
In the New York session, Canada preliminary manufacturing sales
data for March, U.S. durable goods order for March and U.S. EIA
weekly crude oil report are set to be released.
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