Yen Rises Amid Risk-off Mood, BoJ Rate Hike Bets
16 Maio 2025 - 1:40AM
RTTF2
The Japanese yen strengthened against other major currencies in
the Asian session on Friday amid risk-off mood, as traders digested
the latest settlements on the trade tariff front and remained
caution as they awaited more clarity on the developments in trade
negotiations with other trade partners.
Growing anticipation of another interest rate hike by the Bank
of Japan (BoJ) in 2025, recent government remarks and the
possibility of a US-Japan trade agreement, also led to the upturn
of the safe-haven currency JPY.
In economic news, data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and
Industry showed that Japan industrial production expanded for the
second straight month in March, revised from a decline estimated
initially. Industrial production rose 0.2 percent month-on-month in
March, slower than February's 2.3 percent increase. In the initial
estimate, the rate of decrease was 1.1 percent.
On a yearly basis, industrial production advanced 1.0 percent
versus a 0.1 percent gain in the prior month.
Further, data showed that capacity utilization dropped 2.4
percent, extending February's 1.1 percent decrease.
Also, data from the Cabinet Office showed that the Japanese
economy contracted a seasonally adjusted 0.2 percent on quarter in
the first quarter of 2025, missing expectations for a decline of
0.1 percent following the 0.6 percent gain in the three months
prior. On an annualized basis, GDP was down 0.7 percent - again
missing forecasts for a drop of 0.2 percent following the upwardly
revised 2.4 percent increase in the previous quarter.
Capital expenditure was up 1.4 percent on quarter, exceeding
expectations for an increase of 0.8 percent, which would have been
unchanged from the preceding three months. External demand was down
0.8 percent on quarter, while private consumption was flat.
In the Asian trading today, the yen rose to a 9-day high of
162.46 against the euro and an 8-day high of 103.91 against the
Canadian dollar, from yesterday's closing quotes of 162.93 and
104.31, respectively. If the yen extends its uptrend, it is likely
to find resistance around 161.00 against the euro and 102.00
against the loonie.
Against the pound and the U.S. dollar, the yen advanced to
1-week highs of 193.04 and 144.94 from Thursday's closing quotes of
193.66 and 145.57, respectively. On the upside, 190.00 against the
pound and 141.00 against the greenback are seen as the next
resistance levels for the yen.
The yen edged up to 174.08 against the Swiss franc, from
yesterday's closing value of 174.37. The next resistance level for
the yen is seen around the 171.00 region.
Looking ahead, U.S. building permits, housing starts, import and
export prices, all for April, U.S. University of Michigan's
consumer sentiment index for May and U.S. Baker Hughes oil rig
count data are slated for release in the New York session.
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