Commodity Currencies Slide Amid Rising Geopolitical Risks, Yen Rises
12 Junho 2025 - 12:41AM
RTTF2
The commodity currencies such as Australia, the New Zealand and
the Canadian dollars weakened against other major currencies in the
Asian session on Thursday, as rising geopolitical tensions in the
Middle East weighed on market sentiment.
The United States said on Wednesday that it will partially
evacuate its Iraqi embassy and enable military dependents to leave
several locations in the Middle East, citing regional security
concerns.
Furthermore, White House envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to meet
with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Muscat on Sunday to
discuss the Iranian response to the current U.S. proposal,
according to Axios.
Iran's defense minister has threatened that Tehran would target
U.S. bases regionally if attacked.
Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump said he and Chinese
President Xi Jinping "are going to work closely together to open up
China to American Trade."
Trump said a trade framework with China has been completed, with
Beijing supplying full magnets and "any necessary rare earths" up
front and the U.S. allowing Chinese students into its colleges and
universities while keeping tariffs unchanged.
U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick indicated that both sides
agreed to lift export controls on key goods and technologies.
In the Asian trading today, the Australian dollar fell to nearly
a 1-1/2-month low of 1.7766 against the euro and an 8-day low of
0.8863 against the Canadian dollar, from yesterday's closing quotes
of 1.7684 and 0.8894, respectively. If the aussie extends its
downtrend, it is likely to find support around 1.80 against the
euro and 0.86 against the loonie.
Against the U.S. dollar and the yen, the aussie slid to 6-day
lows of 0.6485 and 93.31 from Wednesday's closing quotes of 0.6509
and 93.85, respectively. The aussie may test support around 0.63
against the greenback and 91.00 against the yen.
The aussie edged down to 1.0764 against the NZ dollar, from
yesterday's closing value of 1.0784. On the upside, 1.05 is seen as
the next support level for the aussie.
The NZ dollar fell to nearly a 3-week low of 1.9148 against the
euro, from yesterday's closing value of 1.9070. The next possible
downside target for the kiwi is seen around the 1.92 region.
Against the U.S. dollar and the yen, the kiwi slid to a 3-day
low of 0.6016 and a 5-day low of 86.57 from Wednesday's closing
quotes of 0.6036 and 87.03, respectively. If the kiwi extends its
downtrend, it is likely to find support around 0.59 against the
greenback and 85.00 against the yen.
The Canadian dollar fell to more than a 3-week low of 1.5750
against the euro and a 6-day low of 105.21 against the yen, from
yesterday's closing quotes of 1.5728 and 105.52, respectively. If
the loonie extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support
around 1.58 against the euro and 103.00 against the yen.
Against the U.S. dollar, the loonie edged down to 1.3674 from
Wednesday's closing value of 1.3666. On the downside, 1.39 is seen
as the next support level for the loonie.
Meanwhile, the safe-haven yen strengthened against its major
rivals in the Asian trading today amid signs of growing
geopolitical uncertainties.
In economic news, data from the Ministry of Finance showed that
sentiment among Japanese large companies declined sharply in the
second quarter. The business survey index for all industries slid
to -1.9 from +2.0 in the first quarter.
The BSI for large manufacturers deteriorated to -4.8 in the
second quarter from -2.4 in the preceding quarter. At the same
time, the indicator for large non-manufacturers registered -0.5,
down from 4.1 in the prior period.
The yen rose to a 6-day high of 143.64 against the U.S. dollar,
from yesterday's closing value of 144.18. The next possible upside
target for the yen is seen around the 142.00 region.
Against the pound and the Swiss franc, the yen advanced to 2-day
highs of 194.81 and 176.16 from Wednesday's closing quotes of
195.62 and 176.16, respectively. If the yen extends its uptrend, it
is likely to find resistance around 192.00 against the pound and
174.00 against the franc.
The yen edged up to 165.52 against the euro, from Wednesday's
closing value of 165.96. On the upside, 163.00 is seen as the next
resistance level for the yen.
Looking ahead, U.K. NIESR Monthly GDP tracker data for May is
slated for release at 7:00 am ET.
In the New York session, U.S. PPI for May, U.S. weekly jobless
claims data and U.S. WASDE report are set to be published.
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