Glencore Shares Rise Again on Reassuring Debt Message -- Update
30 Setembro 2015 - 8:22AM
Dow Jones News
By Alex MacDonald
LONDON--Shares in Glencore PLC rose for a second consecutive day
Wednesday, after the commodities giant's latest reassuring of
investors that it is tackling its debt issues.
Shares in the Swiss company rose 11% to 89.1 pence following
Tuesday's 17% rise, making it the second largest gainer on the
U.K's blue chip FTSE 100 index. Meanwhile the FTSE 350 mining index
was up 3.1% and the FTSE 100 index was up 2.1%.
Glencore republished a statement first issued Tuesday in which
it said: "Our business remains operationally and financially
robust--we have positive cash flow, good liquidity and absolutely
no solvency issues."
"We are getting on and delivering a suite of measures to reduce
our debt levels by up to $10.2 billion," the company added.
Glencore announced about three weeks ago $10 billion worth of
measures to cut its net debt by a third to around $20 billion by
the end of 2016.
Some investors agree that the market's worries are overdone.
Charl Malan, senior metals and mining analyst and portfolio
manager at Van Eck Global, a top 20 Glencore shareholder, said the
recent share-price rout was an overreaction. Fears about the
company's exposure to weak commodity prices from its huge trading
operation were also overblown since Glencore hedges much of its
risk through counterparty transactions on all trades.
"I don't see why there is a credit or refinancing risk built
into this company," he said. "It just feels that [investors] have
pushed it a little further than it should have gone," he said.
"There doesn't appear to be any real fundamental change over the
last few weeks that warrant the large destruction of market value,"
said David Herro, deputy chairman and international chief
investment officer at U.S.-based asset management firm Harris
Associates LP in response to Monday's share price slump. Harris
Associates is Glencore's third largest shareholder after CEO Ivan
Glasenberg and sovereign-wealth fund Qatar Holding LLC, with just
over a 5% stake. Mr. Herro noted Glencore's management has been
"quite proactive" in addressing investor concerns.
Glencore's shares have taken a hit from investor concerns that
the miner may struggle to safeguard its credit rating from a
potential downgrade given its heavy debt burden--among the highest
in the industry--and expectations that commodity prices may fall
further or remain low for longer.
If the company were to lose its investment-grade credit rating,
its access to cash could dry up and its trading arm would have to
curtail its activities significantly.
Glencore's shares fell 29% on Monday and are off 70% so far this
year, making it the worst performer on the FTSE 100 index. Its
shares have fallen more than 80% since its London share listing in
2011.
Some analysts, however, have said the measures may not be enough
if commodity prices continue to fall further amid continuing
concern about growth in China, the world's largest consumer of
industrial commodities like coal, copper and nickel.
Macquarie Group mining analyst Alon Olsha said in a note
Wednesday that Glencore needs to announce an additional $4 billion
in net debt reduction initiatives to safeguard its investment grade
credit rating from downgrade given the continued price rout over
the past three weeks.
He noted that there is "scope to make up this shortfall," but if
spot prices fall another 5% from current levels, the company would
need to cut net debt by another $5 billion, bringing the grand
total of net debt reduction initiatives to $19 billion.
The company's corporate broker, Citigroup Inc. on Tuesday
recommended that Glencore's management, which owns about 30% of the
company's stock, take the company private if investors fail to
appropriately value the company's equity.
The bank also highlighted that Glencore could dispose of more
assets to raise more cash if need, including selling all of its
agricultural trading business, which the bank valued at $10.5
billion.
Glencore previously said it was considering selling a minority
stake its agricultural business and had hired Citigroup and Credit
Suisse Group AG for that purpose, a person familiar with the matter
said.
The cost of insuring $10 million of Glencore's debt against
default over a five-year period ballooned nearly 60% to $876,000
annually from Friday to Monday. Since then, it has fallen nearly a
quarter to $669,000 annually, according to Markit data, still very
high historically, but a sign that investor fears may be starting
to ease.
Write to Alex MacDonald at alex.macdonald@wsj.com
Subscribe to WSJ: http://online.wsj.com?mod=djnwires
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 30, 2015 07:07 ET (11:07 GMT)
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