Glencore Not Worried About Credit-Downgrade Fears -- 5th Update
01 Outubro 2015 - 4:17PM
Dow Jones News
By Alex MacDonald
LONDON-- Glencore PLC told Barclays it isn't worried about the
credit-downgrade fears that have rocked its share price, saying
that it would pass any costs to its customers and that the move
wouldn't affect the company's competitiveness, the bank said
Thursday.
Glencore sent representatives to the bank's London offices as
part of a broad offensive to halt a collapse in its share price,
which dropped 29% on Monday and by nearly three-quarters on the
year. The shares seesawed wildly Thursday as investors digested
information the commodities giant was providing in such private
meetings, rising more than 8% to an intraday high of 99.17 pence a
share before falling into the red and closing down 0.58% at .9102
penny.
In a note Thursday, the bank said Glencore chiefs for corporate
finance and strategy and communications dismissed concerns about
the company's high debt levels. While it has almost $30 billion in
net debt and as much as $18 billion in short-term credit used for
trading. Glencore's credit lines have no debt covenants or
credit-rating triggers that would force it to renegotiate with its
group of more than 70 banks, the executives said, according to
Barclays.
Even in the event of a credit downgrade, the current
low-interest-rate environment means it would result in minimal
costs that wouldn't necessarily affect the company's trading
competitiveness.
Barclays called it an "encouraging meeting" that "helped to
clear up many misconceptions and confusion we believe is currently
in the market around commodity trading in general."
Not everyone believes things would still be sunny for Glencore
if it suffered a credit-rating downgrade. Carole Ferguson, mining
analyst at SP Angel said the company still faces risks in the event
of a credit downgrade because trading costs could rise unexpectedly
if markets turn.
"A lot of that depends on the stability of the market
environment" for interest rates and commodity prices, she notes.
"If it becomes unstable, people won't take [Glencore's] point of
view."
The Barclays note opened a window onto the actions Glencore is
taking to shore up investor confidence after Monday's collapse.
Company officials, including Chief Executive Ivan Glasenberg, have
been rushing to allay concerns about the company's debt-laden
balance sheet, assuring investors that the company was taking steps
to cut costs.
Chief among those measures is a $10 billion debt-reduction plan
that suspends future dividend payments, issued new equity and put
assets on the market to reduce net debt to around $20 billion by
the end of 2016.
In a sign of confidence about the company's future, two separate
U.K. regulatory filings showed Glencore Chairman Tony Hayward
purchasing 100,000 shares for about $138,000 and board member John
Mack, Morgan Stanley's former CEO, purchasing 550,000 shares for
about $673,000 this week.
Despite an initially favorable reaction from investors to the
debt-reduction plan, sentiment turned sour amid continued falls in
raw-materials prices to which Glencore is exposed as a major
producer of coal and base metals as well as one of the world's
biggest commodities traders. More broadly, investors are
increasingly worried about the scale of corporate debt world-wide
as the outlook for earnings growth darkens.
Concerns centered on Glencore's capacity to safeguard its
investment-grade credit rating unless it took greater measures to
cut debt, amid falling commodity prices or prices that remain low
for longer given the gloomy outlook for the economy in China, a
major consumer of coal, copper and nickel, among other commodities.
Macquarie Group mining analyst Alon Olsha said in a note this week
that Glencore needs to announce an additional $4 billion in net
debt reduction initiatives to safeguard its investment-grade credit
rating from downgrade given the continued price rout over the past
three weeks.
Losing investment-grade status would severely constrain
Glencore's borrowing and its trading arm would have to curtail its
activities significantly.
The stock-price plunge has highlighted problems investors see in
Glencore's business model, which combines a massive trading
division that buys and sells commodities with a mining arm that
produces those materials. The combination was supposed to make
Glencore less susceptible to commodity-price downturns, but the
amount of borrowing needed to run a trading house has alarmed
investors as the company's earnings and share price have
fallen.
Prices for the main commodities that drive Glencore's
revenue--copper, coal, zinc and nickel, among others--have all hit
multiyear lows in recent months.
On Thursday the company confirmed more job cuts in South Africa
amid floundering coal prices, the latest in a rash of mining job
losses to hit the country. Glencore spokesman Gugulethu Maqetuka
said 378 employees would be affected by the closure of its South
Witbank mine, with 138 redistributed at other coal operations and
the remaining 240 laid off. About 100 employees are expected to be
affected as the company talks with labor unions about closing its
Witcons coal-processing plant. Glencore also said it is still
considering closing its Eland platinum mine in South Africa due to
falling prices, putting more than 900 jobs at risk.
Meanwhile the cost of insuring $10 million of Glencore's debt
against default over a five-year period rose after falling for two
consecutive days. It is now about $716,250 annually compared to
$680,000 on Wednesday, but still down from Monday when the price
ballooned nearly 60% to $876,000, according to Markit data. The
latest insurance cost is still very high historically, but shows
that investor fears may be starting to ease.
Write to Alex MacDonald at alex.macdonald@wsj.com
Subscribe to WSJ: http://online.wsj.com?mod=djnwires
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 01, 2015 15:02 ET (19:02 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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