By Nicholas Bariyo 
   Special to DOW JONES NEWSWIRES 
 

Zambia's copper mining sector faces a future of diminishing returns as higher taxes and costlier energy bills conspire to threaten growth, the head of the country's mining industry body said Friday.

Fredrick Bantubonse said in an interview with Dow Jones Newswires that the government's recent decisions to double mine royalties and reduce capital allowances, coupled with increasing energy costs, threaten to reverse the gains of the past few years. The move highlights the dangers of resource-rich African nations attempting to seek greater control of their minerals and win a bigger share of mining profits.

"We shall never be able to tell how much investments we have discouraged as a result of these new tax measures" Mr. Bantubonse said. "Abrupt fiscal changes are very dangerous to the sector, over taxation discourages investments."

Last year, the government doubled mine royalties to 6% from 3% and introduced a new tax measure, reducing a capital allowance in the mining sector to 25% from 100%. The latter measure means that mining companies start paying taxes before recovering their investment capital.

As the result, the country's mine revenue collections increased 33% to hit 4.4 billion kwacha ($840 million) last year. Although higher mine revenues will enable Michael Sata, Zambia's populist President, to increase social spending, investments in new projects may be curtailed, Mr. Bantubonse said. Mr. Sata was voted into office in 2011 after pledging to ensure that the state reaps more from its minerals sector.

Mining companies, including Glencore International AG (GLEN.LN), China Nonferrous Metals Co. (8306.HK), First Quantum Minerals Ltd. (FM.T) and Vedanta Resources PLC (VED.LN), have been implementing expansion projects over the past four years worth more than $4 billion.

According to government officials, only two mining companies declared profits last year and these were the main contributors to the higher revenue collections. The majority of the other companies are still at a capital-investment phase but will now pay taxes earlier than they would have had the new measures not been introduced.

At the height of the global copper price rally in 2006, mining companies committed billions of dollars in expansion projects, which enabled Zambia to surpass the 700,000 metric tons historic production in 2010. The southern African nation had last registered that level of production in the 1970s.

However, in the past two years, no new big investments have been committed to new copper projects as investors remain wary of the stability of the country's fiscal and taxation policies.

Zambia copper miners also have to pay higher electricity tariffs amid a looming power crisis due to ailing power facilities. In 2011, tariffs for miners were increased by 30%, the state power utility, Zambia Electricity Supply Corp. applied to the state regulator to increase tariffs by a further 26% to revamp its ailing infrastructure.

Mr. Bantubonse said this is a further strain, mainly to underground mines, which require higher voltage to conduct operations. Last year, Zesco rejected a request from Vedanta's unit, Konkola Copper Mines, for lower tariffs at its deep mine project, where it says 50% of the costs are spent on electricity used to pump out underground water.

Write to Nicholas Bariyo at Nicholas.Bariyo@dowjones.com

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