Yen Slides Amid Expectations Of Monetary Policy Divergence
28 Maio 2015 - 2:37AM
RTTF2
The Japanese yen continued to be weaker against the other major
currencies in the Asian session on Thursday, as comments by Bank of
Japan officials supported expectations that the extremely
accommodative policy of the central bank is here to say even as
fears that its U.S. peer will begin to hike rates as early as this
year are abounding.
Speaking to business leaders in Sapporo on Wednesday, Bank of
Japan Deputy Governor Kikuo Iwata said that the inflation target of
2 percent is expected to be achieved around the first half of
fiscal 2016.
"This timing is somewhat delayed from the previous projection,"
he told. He also noted that the underlying trend in inflation
itself has been rising steadily with the mechanism of quantitative
and qualitative easing as envisaged.
BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda reiterated this week that the
monetary policy will be adjusted to meet the inflation target of 2
percent, if needed.
At a press conference last Friday, Kuroda said, "it is too early
to discuss when the monetary easing should end,".
Meanwhile, Asian stock markets are mostly higher, tracking the
positive lead from Wall Street overnight and on optimism that
Greece may be on the verge of a rescue deal with its international
creditors.
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tspiras said in a statement his
country was close to an agreement with its international creditors.
He also added that the agreement would be beneficial to Greece with
no impingement on pensions, salaries, banks or deposits in the
proposed deal.
The weaker yen is propping up export-related stocks. The
benchmark Nikkei 225 index is currently up 0.64 percent or 130.94
points at 20,603.
The growing speculation that Federal Reserve would raise U.S.
interest rates this year also weighed on the currency. The
speculation gained ground on comments made by Fed Chair Janet
Yellen about the possibility of an interest rate hike, if the
economy meets her forecasts.
In other economic news, data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade
and Industry showed that retail sales in Japan advanced 5.0 percent
on year in April, coming in at 11.562 trillion yen. That was shy of
forecasts for an increase of 5.5 percent following a 9.7 percent
contraction in March.
On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, retail sales added 0.4
percent - well shy of forecasts for 1.1 percent after shedding 1.8
percent a month earlier.
Wednesday, the yen fell 0.37 percent against the euro, 0.35
percent against the pound, 0.60 percent against the U.S. dollar and
0.41 percent against the Swiss franc.
In the Asian trading today, the yen fell to 124.24 against the
U.S. dollar for the first time since December 2002, from
yesterday's closing value of 123.60. On the downside, 126.00 is
seen as the next support level for the yen.
Against the pound, the yen dropped to 190.69 for the first time
since September 2008 from yesterday's closing value of 189.76. The
yen may now seek support near the 192.50 region.
The yen slipped to near 2-week lows of 130.90 against the Swiss
franc and 99.65 against the Canadian dollar, from yesterday's
closing quotes of 130.17 and 99.26, respectively. If the yen
extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 135.00
against the franc and 100.50 against the loonie.
Against the euro, the yen declined to a 9-day low of 135.39 from
yesterday's closing value of 134.77. The yen is likely to find
support around the 138.00 area.
Looking ahead, Swiss trade balance and German import price index
- both for April, are due to be released at 2:00 am ET.
At 2:20 am ET, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President
John Williams is expected to speak about banking supervision at the
Monetary Authority of Singapore Banking Supervision and Regulation
Joint Conference in Singapore.
Swiss industrial production for the first quarter, the second
estimate of first quarter U.K. GDP, U.K. index of services for
March and Eurozone business climate index for May are also set to
be published in the European session.
In the New York session, Canada industrial product and raw
material price indices for April, U.S. weekly jobless claims for
the week ended Mar 23 and U.S. pending home sales data for April
are slated for release.
At 7:00 am ET, ECB board member Yves Mersch is expected to speak
at the Bulgarian Authorities 2015 IMF/World Bank Constituency
Meetings in Sofia, Bulgaria.
At 2:45 pm ET, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President
Narayana Kocherlakota will deliver a speech on monetary policy
before a Community Leader Lunch hosted by the Helena Branch of the
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis in Helena, Montana.
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