U.S. Stocks May Move Back To The Upside In Early Trading
01 Julho 2024 - 11:04AM
IH Market News
The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a higher
open on Monday, with stocks likely to move back to the upside
following the downturn seen over the course of the previous
session.
Optimism about the outlook for interest rates may lead to
renewed buying interest on Wall Street following last Friday’s
closely watched inflation data.
The report showed a slowdown in the annual rate of consumer
price growth, leading to increased speculation the Federal Reserve
is likely to lower interest rates at least once this year.
Overall trading activity may be somewhat subdued, however, as
traders look ahead to the release of the Labor Department’s closely
watched monthly jobs report on Friday.
The report, which is expected to show a slowdown in the pace of
job growth in the month of June, could impact the outlook for
interest rates.
Traders may also stick to the sidelines ahead of remarks by Fed
Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday as well as the Independence Day
holiday on Thursday.
Stocks moved mostly higher in early trading on Friday but showed
a significant downturn over the course of the session. The major
averages pulled back well off their early highs and into negative
territory.
After reaching record intraday highs, the Nasdaq slid 126.08
points or 0.7 percent to 17,732.60 and the S&P 500 fell 22.39
points or 0.4 percent to 5,460.48. The narrower Dow posted a more
modest loss, edging down 45.20 points or 0.1 percent to
39,118.86.
For the week, the Nasdaq rose by 0.2 percent but the Dow and the
S&P 500 both edged down by 0.1 percent. However, the Nasdaq and
the S&P 500 posted substantial gains for the first half of the
year.
The early strength on Wall Street came following the release of
a Commerce Department report showing readings on consumer price
inflation in the month of May came in line with economist
estimates.
The report said the personal consumption expenditures (PCE)
price index came in unchanged in May after rising by 0.3 percent in
April, while the annual rate of growth slowed to 2.6 percent from
2.7 percent.
The core PCE price index, which excludes food and energy prices,
inched up by 0.1 percent in May after climbing by an upwardly
revised 0.3 percent in April.
The annual rate of growth by core prices also slowed to 2.6
percent in May from 2.8 percent in April, in line with economist
estimates.
While the data initially generated renewed optimism about the
outlook for interest rates, buying interest waned over the course
of the session.
The subsequent pullback by the markets may have reflected a
negative reaction to a turnaround by treasury yields, which
initially moved lower following the release of the data but
subsequently rebounded firmly into positive territory.
Treasury yields advanced as some analysts pointed out that pace
of consumer price growth remains well above the Federal Reserve’s
2.0 percent target and suggested the latest data is not likely to
convince the central bank to accelerate its plans to lower
rates.
“While an improvement from trends earlier this year, the
elevated inflation readings in yesterday’s revised GDP data
indicate persistent pricing pressures,” said John Lynch, Chief
Investment Officer for Comerica Wealth Management.
“The expected number of rate cuts for this year have steadily
declined, but traders continue to ignore the Fed’s higher for
longer stance,” he added. “Since the fed funds rate remains higher
than nominal GDP growth, we believe the Fed will need to cut 1-2
times over the next six months. Any hope for further accommodation,
absent recession, is likely misguided.”
Despite the pullback by the broader markets, networking stocks
continued to see substantial strength on the day, with the NYSE
Arca Networking Index surging by 2.4 percent to a four-month
closing high.
Infinera (NASDAQ:INFN) led the sector higher, spiking by 15.8
percent after the telecom equipment maker agreed to be acquired by
Noka (NYSE:NOK) for $2.3 billion.
Considerable strength also remained visible among banking
stocks, as reflected by the 2.3 percent jump by the KBW Bank
Index.
Steel, transportation and semiconductor stocks also saw notable
strength, while utilities and computer hardware stocks moved to the
downside.
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