Japan ETF (EWJ) Signaling Continued Bull Trend? - ETF News And Commentary
13 Fevereiro 2013 - 10:31AM
Zacks
Amid shakiness in the developed world, Japan seems to be
potentially back on track after a long time. The new Prime
Minister, Shinzo Abe, has promised to resurrect the economy and to
prevent uncontrolled rise of the currency.
He has asked the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to take on unlimited
monetary easing in order to weaken the Japanese currency with an
aim to revitalize exports.
Last month, the BOJ committed to double the inflation target to
2% to fight deflation but decided to start “open-ended” asset
purchases next year. Abe mentioned that if the Bank fails to
improve growth, he would take further strong measures, and possibly
even curtail the bank’s independence (read: The Key to
International ETF Investing).
In such a backdrop, the Japanese ETF – the iShares MSCI
Japan ETF (EWJ) – has gained strong momentum and is
showing a nice run-up in its prices, surging over 4% year-to-date.
This is the oldest and most popular ETF tracking the Japanese
market and seeks to match the price and yield of the MSCI Japan
Index, before fees and expenses.
Assets have been flowing into the nation at a robust rate,
helping to bid up securities across the nation. In fact, EWJ saw
inflows of close to $364 million so far this year, suggesting high
levels of demand for these securities (read: Play a Resurgent Japan
with These Three ETFs).
The product provides extreme liquidity, trading in average
volume of more than 22 million shares per day. This ensures that
the bid/ask spread is very tight and does not involve any extra
cost beyond the expense ratio of 0.51%.
The fund has $5.6 billion assets under management which it
invests in a large basket of 312 Japanese securities. It offers
higher diversification benefits to investors with a low
concentration (24.64%) in the top 10 holdings. Toyota Motor (TM)
takes the top spot with 6.4% share, while Mitsubishi UFJ (MTU) and
Honda Motor (HMC) round up to the next two positions, with 3.2% and
2.7% of EWJ respectively.
Other securities do not hold more than 2% of the assets in the
basket. It thereby rules out individual company risks to a large
extent.
From a sector perspective, the product is heavily skewed toward
consumer discretionary and financials that make up for more than
20% share each in the basket. This is closely followed by
industrial with a 20% share. Other sectors make a nice mix of the
portfolio (read: Financial ETFs Set to Rally in Earnings
Season).
Further, the fund focuses more on large cap securities, which
are ready to boom after a decade when all the aforementioned
measures for the nation will come into effect. Based on the
impressive portfolio, diversification benefits, and the nation’s
efforts to improve growth, EWJ will likely trend higher in the near
future. This is further supported by the positive trends indicated
in the chart below:
After a long time, the ETF is actually trading
above its 9, 50, and 200 EMA, signaling a bullish trend for this
popular product. The fund even crossed its resistance level of
$10.00 and managed to stay over it for 4 consecutive days. It has
also witnessed a bullish breakout accompanied by very high volumes
of late (see more ETFs in the Zacks ETF Center).
Further, the product is often considered a high momentum (the
change in the fund’s price over the past three months) ETF with
value closer to 113, suggesting that it will continue to move
higher relative to its counterparts. All these trends suggest that
EWJ is now in a clear uptrend and poised to reach new highs as we
push further into the year.
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ISHARS-JAPAN (EWJ): ETF Research Reports
HONDA MOTOR (HMC): Free Stock Analysis Report
MITSUBISHI-UFJ (MTU): Free Stock Analysis Report
TOYOTA MOTOR CP (TM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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