TIDMCHU

RNS Number : 8811G

Chaucer Holdings PLC

19 May 2011

19 May 2011

CHAUCER HOLDINGS PLC

Interim Management Statement for the 3 months ended 31 March 2011

Highlights

- Total gross written premium income was GBP274.1m (2010 Q1 GBP250.1m)

- Forecast premium rates for underwriting portfolio to increase by 6% for 2011, against previous forecast of 2.2%, following high catastrophe losses

- UK motor market conditions continue to harden and we achieved average rate increases of 19% across our portfolio in the quarter

- Previously announced Queensland flood and New Zealand and Japanese earthquake loss estimates remain unchanged

- Net investment return of GBP6.0m for the quarter, 0.5% return on average fund (2010 Q1 GBP11.3m, 0.9% return on average funds)

Post period end

- On 20 April 2011, the Board announced that it had unanimously recommended an all cash offer for Chaucer Holdings PLC by The Hanover Insurance Group for a total consideration of 56p per share. This includes the 2010 final dividend of 2.7p per share

Bob Stuchbery, Chief Executive Officer, commented:

"Following the Japanese earthquake, underwriting opportunities are increasing and we are actively seeking an improvement in terms and conditions across the majority of our business classes, with a marked rise sought for catastrophe-exposed property and marine risks. Away from international markets, we also continue to benefit from the improving UK motor market, where we forecast rates to increase by 16.5% in 2011.

On 20 April 2011, the Board announced a recommended cash offer for Chaucer by The Hanover Insurance Group. This transaction will enable us to benefit from the scale, diversity and financial strength of being part of an enlarged group while we focus on the successful execution of our Foundation Flex Flagship strategy.

Looking forward, I remain confident of our continued progress toward achieving our vision of being the leading Lloyd's specialist insurer of choice."

Financial performance and position

Current trading and outlook

Gross written premium income was GBP274.1m (2010 Q1 GBP250.1m) for the first quarter of 2011 as the business continued to take advantage of good underwriting conditions in selected markets, notably for UK motor and energy, in accordance with our Foundation Flex Flagship strategy. Our new International Liability Division is also benefitting from exceptional support from brokers despite challenging market conditions.

The following table provides an analysis of income for the period.

 
                                                    Gross written premiums (1) 
                                                         1 January to 31 March 
                                                            2011          2010 
                                                            GBPm          GBPm 
 Energy                                                     49.4          44.1 
 Property                                                   82.3          77.3 
 Marine                                                     56.2          49.1 
 International Liability 
  (2)                                                        8.6             - 
 Specialist Lines                                           19.9          24.4 
 Aviation                                                    9.8          11.8 
 UK                                                         43.8          36.1 
 Nuclear                                                     4.0           5.1 
 
 Total divisional income                                   274.0         247.9 
 
 Syndicate participations 
  (3)                                                        0.1           2.3 
 Run off (4)                                                   -         (0.1) 
 
 Total income                                              274.1         250.1 
    (1) Excludes the impact of our increased ownership of Syndicates 
     1084 and 1176 arising from the reinsurance to close of third party 
     participations in the year of account in which the closure occurs 
     (2) International Liability Division launched for the 2011 year 
     of account 
     (3) Our underwriting interests on Syndicate 4242 (2009 and 2010 
     years of account) and Syndicate 4000 (2008 year of account) 
     (4) Represents the Reinsurance to Close of Syndicates 1204, 1224, 
     1229 and 1245 into Syndicate 1084 
 

Private car rates continue to increase in excess of inflation levels and we currently forecast an annual increase of approximately 25%, taking into account an expected second half slowdown in rate rises. We are ahead of our planned business volumes for the first quarter and expect our reported combined ratio to be less than 100% for 2011.

Initiatives to develop our UK motor direct business are also on track, with ChaucerDirect generating significant volume growth from the four major aggregator sites and obtaining renewal retention rates above those for our broker business.

The fleet market is beginning to secure rate rises in line with inflation, although further increases are required for this market to return to profit.

Our Flagship Energy Division continues to press for rate rises, especially in light of three major market losses in the first quarter of 2011;storm damage at the Maersk Oil Gryphon installation in the North Sea, an explosion at the Canadian Natural Resources oil sands processing facility in Northern Alberta and the Petrobras buoyancy can loss in the Gulf of Mexico. With total insured losses of over US$1.5bn, the impact of these events is comparable to Deepwater Horizon and demand a strong energy market response with significant rate rises. In line with our strategic objective of building a Global Energy Practice, we have completed the recruitment of a seven strong development team to provide expert technical underwriting and risk management support to brokers and clients.

Our loss estimates remain as previously announced for the Queensland floods and earthquakes in New Zealand and Japan. Adequate reinsurance protection remains in place for 2011.

 
 Catastrophe                   Date         Assumed market       Loss estimate 
                                             loss                 (1) 
 Queensland, Australia         January      Aus$4bn              GBP8m 
 floods                         2011 
 Christchurch, New Zealand     February     NZ$12bn              GBP19m 
  earthquake                    2011 
 North Eastern Japan           March 2011   US$20bn to US$30bn   GBP27.5m to 
 earthquake and tsunami                                           GBP35.0m 
      (1) Net of reinstatement premiums and reinsurance 
 

In response to these events, we are actively seeking an improvement in terms and conditions across the majority of our business classes, with a marked rise sought for catastrophe-exposed property and marine risks.

We currently forecast premium rates for our underwriting portfolio to increase by 6% this year, against our previously published forecast of 2.2%, and with Syndicate 1084 still to write two thirds of premium income for the 2011 year of account we expect to write this business at improved terms.

 
                            Full year forecast 
                                 31 March 2011   Full year forecast 
                                             %       1 January 2011 
                                                                  % 
 Energy                                  +11.9                 +9.7 
 Property                                 +1.3                 -7.9 
 Marine                                   +4.6                  0.0 
 Specialist Lines                         +0.6                 +1.2 
 International Liability                  +3.0                  0.0 
 Aviation                                 +3.3                 -2.0 
 
 Combined (excluding UK)                  +5.5                 +0.5 
 
 UK                                      +16.5                +14.2 
 
 Combined                                 +6.0                 +2.2 
 

During the quarter, we released further net loss reserves created in 2010 and prior years of GBP13.1m (2010 Q1 GBP10.8m), with the bulk provided by the Property and Marine Divisions, in addition to the GBP7.0m of releases announced on 18 March in relation to reduced claims arising from the 2010 New Zealand earthquake and Australian floods.

Investment portfolio performance

We achieved a net investment return of GBP6m (0.5% return on average funds) for the first quarter of 2011 (2010 Q1 GBP11.3m or 0.9%). The return for April 2011 was GBP4m or 0.3%.

At 31 March 2011, we held financial investments (excluding the GBP17.0m investment in Antares Holdings Limited), cash and deposits of GBP1,430.9m (31 December 2010 GBP1,455.0m), comprising bonds of GBP688.2m (48.1% of portfolio), cash and deposits of GBP734.5m (51.3% of portfolio) and equities and hedge funds of GBP8.2m (0.6% of portfolio).

The bond portfolio performed satisfactorily during the quarter, recording a return of 0.5%. The average duration of the portfolio at 31 March 2011 was 1.6 years (31 December 2010 1.4 years) and the weighted average yield to maturity was 2.0% (31 December 2010 1.9%).

Returns from cash and deposits remain more certain than for other asset classes but poor due to continued low interest rates. Where approved liquidity and credit limits permit, we have placed funds on longer-term deposit at favourable rates.

The Hanover Insurance Group

On 20 April 2011, the Board recommended the cash acquisition of Chaucer Holdings PLC for 56p per share by The Hanover Insurance Group. This includes the 2.7p final dividend for the year ended 31 December 2010 announced on 7 March 2011 and payable to shareholders on 27 May 2011. For further information on this transaction, please refer to the stock exchange announcement of 20 April 2011 and the circular issued to shareholders on 11 May 2011. Both of these documents are available on our website.

Calendar

We will hold our AGM at 12 noon today at our offices at Plantation Place, 30 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 3AD.

Cautionary statement

This statement includes known and unknown risks, assumptions, uncertainties and other factors that are forward looking in nature. As a result, the performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements may be materially different from the actual performance or achievements of Chaucer. Except as required by the Listing Rules, Disclosure and Transparency Rules and applicable law, we undertake no obligations to update, revise or change any forward looking statements to reflect events or developments occurring after the date of this statement.

Enquiries

Bob Stuchbery, Chief Executive Officer

Bruce Bartell, Chief Underwriting Officer

Ken Curtis, Chief Finance Officer

Chaucer Holdings PLC

T 020 7397 9700

Jessica Stephenson, Marketing and Communications Manager

Chaucer Holdings PLC

T 020 7105 8258

E Jessica.stephenson@chaucerplc.com

Justin Griffiths/Sarah Gestetner/Kate Lehane

Citigate Dewe Rogerson

T 020 7638 9571

E chaucerpr@citigatedr.co.uk

Website: www.chaucerplc.com

Notes to editors

Chaucer Holdings PLC is a diversified insurance group listed on the London Stock Exchange. Chaucer underwrites business at Lloyd's, the world's leading insurance and reinsurance market.

Chaucer deploys specialist underwriters in over 28 major insurance and reinsurance classes, balancing global marine, energy, non-marine and aviation with UK motor and nuclear.

Headquartered in London, Chaucer has international operations in Buenos Aires, Copenhagen, Houston and Singapore.

For more information on Chaucer, please visit www.chaucerplc.com

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

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