TIDMIHG

RNS Number : 7356Q

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC

20 October 2023

20 October 2023

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC

2023 Third Quarter Trading Update

Highlights

 
--  Q3 group RevPAR +10.5% vs 2022, with Americas +4.1%, EMEAA +15.9% 
     and Greater China +43.2% 
--  Q3 group RevPAR +12.8% vs 2019, with Americas +13.8%, EMEAA +17.5% 
     and Greater China +9.3% 
--  Average daily rate +4.1% vs 2022, +14.8% vs 2019; occupancy +4.1%pts 
     vs 2022, (1.3)%pts vs 2019 
--  Gross system size growth +6.2% YOY, +3.1% YTD; opened 7.7k rooms (50 
     hotels) in Q3, similar to 2022 
--  Net system size growth +4.7% YOY, +2.0% YTD; excluding Iberostar, 
     +2.9% YOY, +1.6% YTD 
--  Global system of 930k rooms (6,261 hotels); 67% across midscale segments, 
     33% across upscale and luxury 
--  Signed 16.8k rooms (123 hotels) in Q3, +27% vs 2022; global pipeline 
     of 292k rooms (1,978 hotels), +5.1% YOY 
--  On track to have returned $1.0bn to shareholders in 2023 through share 
     buybacks and dividend payments 
 

Elie Maalouf, Chief Executive Officer, IHG Hotels & Resorts, said:

"Travel demand remained very healthy during the quarter, and I would like to thank all our teams for supporting another strong trading period. Q3 RevPAR increased 10% versus 2022 and 13% versus 2019, representing the fifth quarter of sequential improvement exceeding pre-pandemic highs. Greater China continued its excellent rebound with RevPAR now above 2019, which the Americas achieved in the second quarter of last year and EMEAA in the fourth quarter. Group-wide occupancy was 72%, just one percentage point behind 2019 which further confirms the near-complete return to pre--Covid levels of demand. Pricing remained very robust. As well as year--on--year RevPAR growth in each of our three regions, it was also pleasing to see rooms revenue growth for each of leisure, business and group travel.

We opened nearly eight thousand rooms across 50 hotels in the quarter, and added 17 thousand rooms to our pipeline across 123 properties. Year to date, signings are up by 16%. Reflecting the breadth and attractiveness of our portfolio, 'quicker to market' conversions have increased this year to be over one-third of openings and signings. This will soon be further boosted by our new midscale conversion brand, Garner, which became franchise--ready in September. There was good development progress across all our categories, and our six Luxury & Lifestyle brands continue to represent a growing proportion of IHG with over 800 open and pipeline hotels in that category.

As IHG powers forward to provide industry-leading advantages for our guests and hotels owners across our brand portfolio, loyalty programme and entire enterprise platform, we expect to close-out 2023 with very strong financial performance. Looking further ahead, whilst there are macro-economic uncertainties and some short-term financing challenges holding back new hotel development, I am excited about the future for IHG and the attractive, long-term demand drivers for our markets. As such, we're confident in the strengths of IHG's business model, scale and in our strategic priorities to capture sustainable, profitable growth."

Regional performance

Americas

Q3 RevPAR was up +4.1% vs 2022 (up +13.8% vs 2019), with US RevPAR up +3.1% (up +11.8% vs 2019). Occupancy was 72%, up +0.7%pts on last year (down (0.6)%pts vs 2019), whilst rate was up +3.1% (up +14.8% vs 2019). Leisure rooms revenue in Q3 for the total estate was +3% higher than last year, and up +22% on 2019 levels, driven by another strong summer vacation period.

Gross system size growth was +3.9% YOY, with 2.0k rooms (18 hotels) opened in the quarter. Net system size growth was +2.9% YOY. A further 5.1k rooms (55 hotels) were added to the pipeline. Signings included eight avid hotels, 16 hotels across the Holiday Inn Brand Family, and a further 26 across our extended stay brands.

EMEAA

Q3 RevPAR was up +15.9% vs 2022 (up +17.5% vs 2019). Occupancy was 73%, up +4.7%pts on last year (and down (4.0)%pts vs 2019), whilst rate was up +8.6% (up +23.9% vs 2019). By major geographic markets within the region, Q3 RevPAR vs 2019 ranged from up +31% in Continental Europe, +18% in the UK, and +16% in Australia, to down just (1)% in the Middle East and (4)% in Japan.

Gross system size growth was +10.0% YOY, with 2.0k rooms (11 hotels) opened in the quarter. Net system size growth was +8.4% YOY (+5.2% excluding Iberostar). There were 4.8k rooms (31 hotels) added to the pipeline, with conversions representing around 40% of these. Luxury & Lifestyle brands performed strongly, also representing 40% of all signings.

Greater China

Q3 RevPAR was up +43.2% vs 2022 (up +9.3% vs 2019). Occupancy was 67%, up +14.1%pts (and up +2.3%pts vs 2019), whilst rate was up +13.0% (up +5.6% vs 2019). Tier 1 cities saw RevPAR vs 2019 down (3)%, reflecting the more gradual return of international travel; the performance was stronger across Tier 2-4 cities which were up +13%.

Gross system size growth was +8.1% YOY, with 3.6k rooms (21 hotels) opened in the quarter. Net system size growth was +5.5% YOY. A further 6.9k rooms (37 hotels) were added to the pipeline. As development activity continues to improve following the extended period last year of Covid-related restrictions in the region, this was the highest quarterly signings performance since 2021.

Share buyback and capital allocation update

As announced in February 2023, a $750m share buyback programme is returning surplus capital to shareholders. This follows the $500m programme announced in 2022 which already reduced the total number of voting rights in the Company by 5.0%. The current 2023 programme is 94% complete with $704.7m (GBP561.2m) having been cumulatively spent to date, repurchasing 10.1 million shares at an average price of GBP55.76 per share. The 2023 programme to date has therefore reduced the total number of voting rights in the Company by a further 5.7% to 165.3 million as at market close on Thursday 19 October 2023.

IHG's 2023 share buyback programme, together with ordinary dividend payments, will have returned $1.0bn to shareholders during the year. This is equivalent to 10% of IHG's $10.0bn (GBP8.3bn) market capitalisation at the start of 2023, and more than 8% of IHG's most recent $12.4bn (GBP10.2bn) market capitalisation.

IHG's perspectives on the uses of cash generated by the business remain unchanged: ensuring the business is investing to optimise growth that will drive long-term shareholder value creation, funding a sustainably growing dividend, and then returning surplus capital to shareholders, whilst targeting our leverage ratio within a range of 2.5-3.0x net debt:adjusted EBITDA to maintain an investment grade credit rating. Having already returned $500m of surplus capital via the 2022 programme and $750m which is being returned over the course of 2023, the highly cash generative nature of our business model means we expect to have significant ongoing capacity to return further surplus capital to shareholders, both in the ordinary course and as we look to move leverage into our target range over time. The Board's next assessment in relation to the amounts, mechanisms and timings of future capital returns will be carried out in early 2024, taking into account macro-economic conditions and the trading outlook at that time. Our next capital allocation update will therefore be communicated as part of the 2023 Full Year Results to be announced on Tuesday 20 February 2024.

For further information, please contact:

Investor Relations: Stuart Ford (+44 (0)7823 828 739); Aleksandar Milenkovic (+44 (0)7469 905 720);

Joe Simpson (+44 (0)7976 862 072)

   Media Relations:           Neil Maidment (+44 (0)7970 668 250); Mike Ward (+44 (0)7795 257 407) 

Conference call for analysts and institutional shareholders:

Elie Maalouf, Chief Executive Officer, and Michael Glover, Chief Financial Officer, will host a call commencing at 9:00am (London time) on 20 October. The live listen-only audio webcast can be accessed directly at https://www.investis-live.com/ihg/65083b4e6dedf60c006bf2d6/xowlw or via www.ihgplc.com/en/investors/results-and-presentations .

Analysts and institutional shareholders wishing to ask questions should use the following dial-in details for a Q&A facility:

 
UK local:             0207 107 0613 
US local:              631 570 5613 
Other international      Click here 
 numbers: 
Passcode:               42 73 27 07 
 

An audio replay will also be available for 7 days using the following details:

 
UK local:             0203 608 8021 
US local:              412 317 0088 
Other locations:   +44 203 608 8021 
Passcode:              20 23 03 54# 
 

Website:

The full release and supplementary data will be available on our website from 7:00am (London time) on 20 October. The web address is www.ihgplc.com/en/investors/results-and-presentations .

About IHG Hotels & Resorts:

IHG Hotels & Resorts [LON:IHG, NYSE:IHG (ADRs)] is a global hospitality company, with a purpose to provide True Hospitality for Good.

With a family of 19 hotel brands and IHG One Rewards , one of the world's largest hotel loyalty programmes, IHG has over 6,200 open hotels in more than 100 countries, and nearly 2,000 in the development pipeline.

- Luxury & Lifestyle: Six Senses Hotels Resorts Spas , Regent Hotels & Resorts , InterContinental Hotels & Resorts , Vignette Collection , Kimpton Hotels & Restaurants , Hotel Indigo

   -     Premium: voco hotels , HUALUXE Hotels & Resorts , Crowne Plaza Hotels & Resorts , EVEN Hotels 
   -     Essentials: Holiday Inn Hotels & Resorts , Holiday Inn Express , Garner hotels , avid hotels 
   -     Suites: Atwell Suites , Staybridge Suites , Holiday Inn Club Vacations , Candlewood Suites 
   -     Exclusive Partners: Iberostar Beachfront Resorts 

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC is the Group's holding company and is incorporated and registered in England and Wales. Approximately 345,000 people work across IHG's hotels and corporate offices globally.

Visit us online for more about our hotels and reservations and IHG One Rewards . To download the IHG One Rewards app, visit the Apple App or Google Play stores.

For our latest news, visit our Newsroom and follow us on LinkedIn .

Appendix 1: RevPAR(a) movement summary at constant exchange rates (CER)

 
               Q3 2023 vs 2022            Q3 2023 vs 2019 
           RevPAR   ADR   Occupancy  RevPAR   ADR   Occupancy 
Group      10.5%   4.1%    4.1%pts   12.8%   14.8%  (1.3)%pts 
Americas    4.1%   3.1%   0.7 %pts   13.8%   14.8%  (0.6) %pts 
EMEAA      15.9%   8.6%   4.7 %pts   17.5%   23.9%  (4.0) %pts 
Greater 
 China     43.2%   13.0%  14.1 %pts   9.3%   5.6%    2.3 %pts 
 
 
             Q3 YTD 2023 vs 2022        Q3 YTD 2023 vs 2019 
           RevPAR   ADR   Occupancy  RevPAR   ADR    Occupancy 
Group      18.9%   6.1%    7.4%pts   10.2%   12.2%   (1.3)%pts 
Americas    8.7%   5.0%   2.4 %pts   12.6%   12.7%    0.0 %pts 
EMEAA      31.0%   12.8%  9.7 %pts   14.1%   20.9%   (4.1) %pts 
Greater 
 China     71.3%   17.4%  19.4 %pts   0.8%   (0.5)%   0.8 %pts 
 

Appendix 2: RevPAR(a) movement at CER vs actual exchange rates (AER)

 
                Q3 2023 vs 2022             Q3 2023 vs 2019 
           CER (as   AER   Difference  CER (as   AER   Difference 
            above)                      above) 
Group       10.5%   11.0%   0.5%pts     12.8%   10.3%  (2.5)%pts 
Americas    4.1%    4.4%    0.3 %pts    13.8%   13.6%  (0.2) %pts 
EMEAA       15.9%   19.1%   3.2 %pts    17.5%   10.4%  (7.1) %pts 
Greater 
 China      43.2%   35.5%  (7.7) %pts   9.3%    6.1%   (3.2) %pts 
 
 
              Q3 YTD 2023 vs 2022          Q3 YTD 2023 vs 2019 
           CER (as   AER   Difference  CER (as   AER    Difference 
            above)                      above) 
Group       18.9%   18.3%  (0.6)%pts    10.2%    7.6%   (2.6)%pts 
Americas    8.7%    8.8%    0.1 %pts    12.6%   12.2%   (0.4) %pts 
EMEAA       31.0%   30.0%  (1.0) %pts   14.1%    6.9%   (7.2) %pts 
Greater 
 China      71.3%   61.9%  (9.4) %pts   0.8%    (1.4)%  (2.2) %pts 
 

Appendix 3: Monthly RevPAR(a) (CER)

 
2023 vs     Jan    Feb    Mar     Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep 
 2022 
Group      40.8%  33.5%  27.2%   21.7%  17.0%  13.3%  9.5%   10.4%  11.6% 
                                  5.9    6.9    4.7    2.8    3.9    5.7 
Americas   24.5%  18.3%  13.8%     %      %      %      %      %      % 
                                 36.7          22.7          16.1   15.7 
EMEAA      84.0%  71.9%  44.5%     %    24.2%    %    16.1%    %      % 
Greater                          171.4  106.9  68.4   40.5   38.5   54.2 
 China     53.3%  54.2%  125.2%    %      %      %      %      %      % 
 
 
2023 vs      Jan     Feb     Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep 
 2019 
Group       4.2%     6.7%    9.2%   9.5%  9.3%   10.9%  12.8%  11.1%  14.5% 
                                    11.5  11.8   13.0   12.5   10.9   18.2 
Americas    8.8%    11.0%   13.1%     %     %      %      %      %      % 
                                    12.6  15.6   16.7   19.0   17.0   16.6 
EMEAA       8.2%     7.7%   13.0%     %     %      %      %      %      % 
Greater                             5.0   (6.4)  (0.1)  14.0    9.3    3.3 
 China     (16.6)%  (3.8)%  (6.6)%    %     %      %      %      %      % 
 

Appendix 4: System and pipeline summary of Q3 2023 YTD and YOY growths, and closing positions (rooms)

 
                                System                            Pipeline 
           Openings  Removals   Net     Total   YTD%   YOY%   Signings   Total 
Group       28,688   (10,328)  18,360  929,987  +2.0%  +4.7%   50,940   292,467 
Americas    6,210    (4,744)   1,466   516,962  +0.3%  +2.9%   18,416   106,788 
EMEAA       14,372   (2,898)   11,474  241,138  +5.0%  +8.4%   14,766   79,256 
Greater 
 China      8,106    (2,686)   5,420   171,887  +3.3%  +5.5%   17,758   106,423 
 

(a.) RevPAR (revenue per available room), ADR (average daily rate) and occupancy are on a comparable basis, based on comparability as at 30 September 2023 and includes hotels that have traded in all months in both the current and the prior year. This same group of hotels is also used to compare RevPAR performance for 2023 vs 2019. The principal exclusions in deriving these measures are new openings, properties under major refurbishments and removals. See 'Use of key performance measures and non-GAAP measures' in IHG's full year and half year results announcements for further information on the definitions.

Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements:

This announcement contains certain forward-looking statements as defined under United States law (Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) and otherwise. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate only to historical or current facts. Forward-looking statements often use words such as 'anticipate', 'target', 'expect', 'estimate', 'intend', 'plan', 'goal', 'believe' or other words of similar meaning. These statements are based on assumptions and assessments made by InterContinental Hotels Group PLC's management in light of their experience and their perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors they believe to be appropriate. By their nature, forward-looking statements are inherently predictive, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by, such forward-looking statements. The main factors that could affect the business and the financial results are described in the 'Risk Factors' section in the current InterContinental Hotels Group PLC's Annual report and Form 20-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.

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