ADP Matches EPS, Beats Revenue Ests - Analyst Blog
01 Novembro 2012 - 10:44AM
Zacks
Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) reported
first quarter 2013 earnings from continuing operations of 62 cents
per share, which came in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
Earnings increased 1.6% year over year due to lesser number of
outstanding shares.
Quarter Details
Revenues increased 5.0% year over year to $2.64 billion, which
slivered past the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.63 billion.
Organic growth was 3% in the quarter. The better-than-expected
revenue was driven by strong new business sales expansion in the
Employer Services and PEO Services segments.
Employer Services revenue increased 6% year over year (5%
organically) to $1.82 billion. The number of employees on clients'
payrolls in the United States grew 3.3% in the quarter on a
same-store-sales basis.
PEO Services revenue expanded 13% year over year to $451.9
million in the reported quarter. Dealer Services revenue increased
9% year over year to $439.8 million.
Interest on funds held for clients declined 12.4% year over year
to $106.8 million. The decline was primarily due to a 60 basis
points (bps) drop in the average interest yield to 2.7%, which was
partially offset by a 6% increase in average client funds balances
to $16.1 billion.
Total expenses in the reported quarter increased 5.3% year over
year to $2.20 billion, attributable to higher operating expenses
(up 6% year over year), selling, general & administrative
expense (up 4.2% year over year) and systems development &
programming costs (up 5.7% year over year).
The company reported pre-tax earnings of $465.6 million, up 2.2%
from the year-ago quarter. However, pre-tax margin decreased 50 bps
year over year to 17.7%, due to a 60 bps fall in margins from
Employer Services, which offset the 110 bps increase in PEO
Services margin and 150 bps increase in Dealer Services margin.
Net income from continuing operations increased 0.7% year over
year to $302.5 million. Net margin decreased by 40 bps to 11.5% in
the quarter.
ADP exited the quarter with cash and cash equivalents (including
short-term marketable securities) of $1.7 billion, compared with
$1.58 billion in the previous quarter. Long-term debt decreased to
$16.3 million in the quarter from $16.8 million in the prior
quarter. ADP purchased 3.7 million shares for $215 million during
the reported quarter.
Guidance
For fiscal 2013, ADP expects total revenue to increase in the
range of 5.0%-7.0% year over year. Earnings are expected to
increase 5.0%-7.0% over the year-ago level of $2.72 per share,
excluding gains from the sale of assets.
Employer Services revenue is expected to grow approximately
6%-7% with a pre-tax margin expansion of approximately 50 bps. PEO
Services revenue is forecasted to improve 13.0%-14.0%. Pre-tax
margin is expected to grow slightly on a year-over-year basis. ADP
expects Dealer Services revenue to increase in the 7.0%-9.0% range
with a pre-tax margin expansion of at least 100 bps.
The company expects interest on funds held for clients to
decline $70 million-$75 million or 14%-15% from prior year to $420
to $425 million.
Our Recommendation
We believe that ADP will continue to outperform the broader
market based on strong new business sales, diversified product
portfolio, improving customer retention, accretive acquisitions,
strong balance sheet and shareholder-friendly programs (aggressive
share buybacks, dividend) over the long term. However, increasing
competition from Paychex Inc. (PAYX) and a gloomy
macroeconomic condition are the major headwinds in the near
term.
We have a Neutral recommendation on ADP over the long term.
Currently, ADP has a Zacks #3 Rank, which implies a Hold rating on
a short-term basis.
AUTOMATIC DATA (ADP): Free Stock Analysis Report
PAYCHEX INC (PAYX): Free Stock Analysis Report
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