2nd UPDATE: Commercial Paper Gains Suggest Economic Strength
06 Janeiro 2011 - 6:59PM
Dow Jones News
Short-term corporate lending in the commercial paper market grew
substantially last week, the fifth consecutive week of growth,
according to data released by the Federal Reserve on Thursday. The
rise suggests the U.S. economy is on firmer footing.
Companies tap the commercial paper market for short-term debt --
270 days or less -- to fund rent and payroll, so growth shows
business is picking up.
"When things go better than planned, there's financing to be
done," said Deborah Cunningham, chief investment officer at
Federated Investors in Pittsburgh. "We expect this trend of growth
to continue for the rest of this year. We certainly don't expect
any double-dip at this point."
In the week ended Wednesday, the commercial paper market grew by
$32.2 billion on an unadjusted basis, according to the Fed. The
market shrank by $3.3 billion on a seasonally-adjusted basis, but
industry participants prefer to use the unadjusted numbers.
"Issuers are seeing strong demand for their CP and are
comfortable with market conditions, so they are continuing to
issue," said Chris Conetta, head of global commercial paper trading
at Barclays Capital in New York. "Meanwhile, investors have plenty
of cash to spend so they are buying substantial amounts of this
CP."
That said, the volume of commercial paper issued usually
increases in January as companies tap the market to build a cushion
for the new fiscal year.
"The uptick in commercial paper at the beginning of the year is
fairly typical, but we are pleasantly surprised by the magnitude,"
said Conetta.
Outstanding asset-backed commercial paper added $5.1 billion on
an unadjusted basis though it fell by $600 million last week on a
seasonally adjusted basis.
Aside from a strengthening economy boosting the commercial paper
market, other factors like the creation of some new commercial
paper conduits could have led to the increase this week, one market
participant said.
Also, technical factors like advantageous exchange rates have
led to an increase.
"There is a favorable dynamic in the foreign exchange market
right now that makes it attractive for issuers who need to raise
euros to issue in dollars and swap the proceeds back into euros,"
Conetta said.
The total outstanding stands at $966 billion on an adjusted
basis and $1.083 trillion on an unadjusted basis. This is about
half what the market was at its peak in July of 2007.
-By Anusha Shrivastava, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2227;
anusha.shrivastava@dowjones.com