BASE METALS: LME Metals Up; Weak Dollar, US Outlook Lend Support
27 Janeiro 2011 - 4:26PM
Dow Jones News
Base metals closed mostly higher on the London Metal Exchange
Thursday, following a day of healthy rallies across almost the
entire complex.
Copper recovered most of the ground lost in its most recent dip,
trading at $9,440 a metric ton, up 1.2% on the day, at the PM kerb
close.
A weaker U.S. dollar on the back of talk of further bond buying
by the U.S. Federal Reserve provided a tailwind for the
dollar-denominated complex.
"Although the weaker dollar has had a spotty record of boosting
metals prices of late, we suspect it should start having more of an
impact in the week ahead, particularly as we close in on the $1.40
level against the euro," said Edward Meir of MF Global.
At 1743 GMT, EUR/USD was up 0.1% at $1.3703.
Comments by the Federal Reserve suggesting the U.S. economic
recovery is on track also boosted hopes for stronger demand for
base metals, which are used widely in construction.
Tin continued its recent rally, hitting fresh highs as it pushed
hard against the $30,000/ton mark.
While tin closed at $29,075/ton, up 1.6% on the day, it peaked
at $29,300/ton earlier in the day.
However, some market participants remain skeptical of tin's
near-term potential.
Barclays Capital warned that rising LME inventories, recent
Chinese destocking that has "yet to be reversed" and reports of
normalized output from Indonesia's primary tin producing area after
a period of adverse weather may stymie tin's progress.
"There are several persuasive reasons for believing that current
fundamental conditions offer enough headwinds to justify some price
consolidation before a sustained attempt on the $30,000/ton level,"
the bank said in a daily report.
Stockpiles of tin in LME warehouse currently stand at 17,720
tons, up 2.6% on the week.
Aluminum, which has slid more or less steadily since just after
the New Year, also made solid gains Thursday, closing at
$2,427/ton, up 1.7% on the day.
The potential downside risk for aluminum this year is "limited,"
as demand for the metal looks set to stay strong, said BNP Paribas
analyst Stephen Briggs in a report.
"Aluminum should continue to outperform strongly, not least
because it will be a prime beneficiary of substitution away from
other metals, especially copper," said Briggs, forecasting demand
growth of 18% between 2010 and 2012.
Prices in dollar a metric ton.
3 Months Metal Bid-Ask Change from
Wednesday PM kerb
Copper 9440.0-9442.0 Up 115
Lead 2419.0-2420.0 Up 44
Zinc 2260.0-2265.0 Dn 18
Aluminum 2427.0-2428.0 Up 40
Nickel 26495.0-26500.0 Up 20
Tin 29075.0-29125.0 Up 475
Aluminum Alloy 2235.0-2245.0 Up 25
Aluminum Alloy-NASAAC 2430.0-2435.0 Up 90
-By Francesca Freeman, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 (0)20 7842 9412;
francesca.freeman@dowjones.com