NuVista Energy Ltd. Announces 48% Increase to Year End 2013
Reserves and Provides Operational Update
CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwired - Feb 6, 2014) - NuVista Energy
Ltd. (TSX:NVA) ("NuVista" or the "Company") is pleased to announce
a significant increase in our reserves as a result of the 2013 year
end independent reserves evaluation by GLJ Petroleum Consultants
Ltd ("GLJ") (the "GLJ Report"). We are also very pleased to provide
an operational update with several new 30-day production results on
wells recently drilled into our Wapiti Montney condensate-rich
play. This play continues to meet and exceed expectations as our
flagship play with line-of-sight to exceptional organic production,
reserves, and value growth for shareholders of the Company.
Reserves
Highlights
- Increased proved plus probable reserves ("2P") by 48% to 139
MMBoe and total proved reserves ("1P") by 36% to 80 MMBoe, despite
divestitures of non-core assets through the year. Excluding the
effect of these divestitures, the 2P and 1P reserve increases were
64% and 53% respectively;
- Increased condensate reserves by 2.7 times on a 2P basis to
24.8 MMBoe. Condensate volumes now represent 18% of total 2P
reserves, up from 10% in 2012;
- Achieved Company finding and development ("F&D") costs of
$12.31/Boe on a 2P basis, including changes in future development
costs ("FDC");
- Increased Montney 2P operating recycle ratio to 2.3x with full
year Montney operating netbacks of $27.88/Boe and Montney 2P
F&D of $12.05/Boe;
- Increased the before tax net present value discounted at 10% of
2P reserves by 70% to $1.3 billion including the effect of
divestitures;
- Organic 2P reserve additions replaced 950% of production in the
year (almost 10 times 2013 annual production), while proved
developed producing reserve additions alone replaced 147% of annual
production; and
- Increased our reserve life index(1) ("RLI") for 2P reserves
from 14.6 years to 22.2 years and the 1P RLI from 9.2 years to 12.8
years.
(1) Production for the RLI was calculated using the mid-point of
2013 Q4 guidance (annualized) and 2012 actuals.
Operations
Highlights
- Achieved four new well 30-day initial production rates
("IP30"). These results continue to build momentum in the play,
including a new record IP30 from NuVista's latest Elmworth (North)
Block Development well at 2,115 Boe/d.
New Well IP30
Results(1)
Well |
Raw Gas |
Condensate |
Total Sales |
CGR C5+/Raw |
Notes |
|
(MMcf/d) |
(Bbls/d) |
(Boe/d) |
(Bbls/MMcf) |
|
South Block Typecurve |
5.8 |
435 |
1,361 |
75 |
|
|
Well 13 (South Block) |
5.1 |
545 |
1,413 |
107 |
Post-intervention IP30 |
|
Well 14 (South Block) |
5.2 |
532 |
1,400 |
103 |
Post-intervention IP30 |
|
Well 15 (South Block) |
4.2 |
595 |
1,241 |
142 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
North Block Typecurve |
5.8 |
261 |
1,222 |
45 |
|
|
Well 16 (North Block) |
10.4 |
395 |
2,115 |
38 |
|
(1) Well numbering refers to the numbered wells in our corporate
presentation available on our website. They are effectively in
chronological order since our inception in the play. All numbers
are based on field estimate data.
Well 13 has been included in the table despite having a
previously reported IP30. NuVista subsequently performed an
intervention on the well to clear an obstruction, which increased
the number of producing stages. The post-intervention IP30 shown is
greatly improved by 30%. Well 14 is new and had not been previously
reported. It also had a similar intervention performed and the
post-intervention IP30 is presented in the table. NuVista has
engineered changes to our completions design to alleviate these
production issues. Wells being tested and brought onto production
now have the benefit of these design changes. We now have even
stronger confidence in our typecurve, and the possibility of
proving a sustained increase to it sometime in 2014, through
continued fracture and completion optimization.
Strategic,
Infrastructure, and Operational Update
We are very pleased to announce that NuVista has exercised its
right to nominate an incremental 15 MMcf/d of raw Montney sour gas
and associated raw liquids for firm transportation and processing
service under its existing agreement with Keyera. This brings the
total firm contracted amount up from 65 MMcf/d to 80 MMcf/d of raw
gas and the associated raw condensate liquids up to 8,000 Bbl/d.
These incremental nominations were part of the planning process for
the Keyera Wapiti Gathering System and Keyera Simonette Gas Plant
expansions previously announced. The contract terms are essentially
the same as those announced by NuVista in April 2013. This contract
volume increase commences in the third quarter of 2015 and matches
the augmented sizing of the new NuVista South Block Compressor
Station which is currently under construction. The compressor
station being built by NuVista, and the raw gas and liquid
pipelines to the Simonette gas plant which are being built by
Keyera are currently in project execution and they remain on plan
for cost and for the expected startup date in the late second
quarter of 2014.
Drilling, completions, and tie-ins are proceeding such that
behind-pipe gas is accumulating as planned in preparation for the
capacity increase upon startup of these new facilities. With each
new well drilled and each passing quarter, our confidence in the
play continues to build. We have recently drilled our first 2-well
pad, with another 2-well and our first 3-well pad commencing before
spring breakup. We expect that the additional tranche of capacity
announced today is only one of several more which will continue to
be put in place several years ahead of our drilling results to
provide for certainty of future capacity which is commensurate with
our growing Field Development Plan. We have forecast to average
between 2-3 rigs drilling the Montney through 2014, although we are
currently drilling with 4 rigs temporarily ahead of spring
breakup.
2013 and 2014
Guidance
We are off to a strong start in 2014 with a busy program prior
to spring breakup and major facilities being constructed to pave
the way for our significant production volume build in the second
half of the year, particularly in the fourth quarter. We will
continue our focus and demonstrated results in reducing cost and we
will continue to pursue expansion of our typecurve through longer
horizontal wells, more fracture stages, and the many other
improvements which are strongly driven by ingenuity, engineering,
and empirical learning in a repeatable resource play. Our guidance
for 2014 remains as previously announced and as our results for
2013 are becoming finalized, we expect to be in the upper portion
of our previously announced 2013 fourth quarter production guidance
range of 17,000 Boe/d to 18,000 Boe/d. Our production entering
January 2014, after the effect of the divestiture announced in
December of 2013, is approximately 16,500 Boe/d. 2014 average
production guidance is still in the range of 17,500 Boe/d to 18,500
Boe/d, while the 2014 fourth quarter production guidance range
remains at 20,000 Boe/d to 21,000 Boe/d.
We look forward to an exciting 2014 while adding excellent value
for NuVista's shareholders, and we expect to be able to provide
another operational update along with our full 2013 year end
results in a press release in early March 2014. We would like to
take this opportunity to thank our shareholders and our staff for
their continuing support and dedication as we continue to build an
ever more valuable future for NuVista.
Summary of Corporate
Reserves Data
The following table outlines NuVista's corporate finding and
development costs in more detail:
|
3 Year-Average (1) |
2013 (1) |
2012 (1) |
|
|
Proved plus |
|
Proved plus |
|
Proved plus |
|
Proved |
probable |
Proved |
probable |
Proved |
probable |
After reserve revisions and including changes in future
development capital |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Finding and development costs ($/Boe) |
$17.48 |
$14.43 |
$14.51 |
$12.31 |
$19.17 |
$15.53 |
(1) The aggregate of the exploration and development costs
incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during
the year in estimated future development costs generally will not
reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve
additions for the year.
The following table provides summary reserve information based
upon the GLJ Report using the published GLJ January 1, 2014 price
forecast set forth later in this document:
|
Natural Gas |
Condensate |
Other Liquids(2) |
Oil |
Total |
Reserves category(1) |
Working |
Working |
Working |
Working |
Working |
Interest |
Interest |
Interest |
Interest |
Interest |
(MMcf) |
(MBbls) |
(MBbls) |
(MBbls) |
(MBoe) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed producing |
115,174 |
3,590 |
3,425 |
1,429 |
27,640 |
|
Developed non-producing |
42,210 |
896 |
1,439 |
250 |
9,620 |
|
Undeveloped |
173,124 |
9,253 |
4,153 |
937 |
43,197 |
Total proved |
330,507 |
13,739 |
9,017 |
2,615 |
80,456 |
Probable |
236,152 |
11,070 |
6,102 |
2,244 |
58,775 |
Total proved plus probable |
566,659 |
24,809 |
15,119 |
4,860 |
139,231 |
(1) Numbers may not add due to rounding. (2) Propane, Butane,
Ethane.
The following table is a summary reconciliation of the 2013 year
end working interest reserves with the working interest reserves
reported in the 2012 year end reserves report:
|
Natural Gas(1) (Bcf) |
Liquids(1) (MBbls) |
Oil(1) (MBbls) |
Total Oil Equivalent(1) (MBoe) |
Total proved |
|
|
|
|
Balance, December 31, 2012 |
254.2 |
11,320 |
5,471 |
59,155 |
Exploration and development(2) |
116.6 |
11,139 |
59 |
30,631 |
Technical revisions |
8.0 |
1,749 |
2 |
3,088 |
Economic revisions |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Acquisitions |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Dispositions |
(22.2) |
(31) |
(2,382) |
(6,108) |
Production |
(26.1) |
(1,421) |
(534) |
(6,310) |
Balance, December 31, 2013 |
330.5 |
22,756 |
2,616 |
80,456 |
Total proved plus probable |
|
|
|
|
Balance, December 31, 2012 |
401.4 |
18,159 |
9,020 |
94,072 |
Exploration and development(2) |
227.0 |
20,980 |
55 |
58,872 |
Technical revisions |
(3.5) |
2,270 |
(239) |
1,448 |
Economic revisions |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Acquisitions |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Dispositions |
(32.1) |
(61) |
(3,442) |
(8,850) |
Production |
(26.1) |
(1,421) |
(534) |
(6,310) |
Balance, December 31, 2013 |
566.7 |
39,928 |
4,860 |
139,231 |
(1) Numbers may not add due to rounding. (2) Reserve additions
for Drilling Extensions, Infill Drilling and Improved Recovery.
The following table summarizes the future development capital
included in the GLJ Report:
($ thousands, undiscounted) |
Proved |
Proved plus probable |
Balance, December 31, 2012 |
338,974 |
534,190 |
Dispositions |
(19,044) |
(26,809) |
Exploration and development, improved recoveries and other |
267,139 |
520,380 |
Balance, December 31, 2013 |
587,069 |
1,027,761 |
Summary Wapiti Montney
Play Reserves Data
The following table provides summary Wapiti Montney play reserve
information based upon the GLJ Report using the published GLJ
January 1, 2014 price forecast set forth below (with comparatives
at January 1, 2013 price forecast):
|
December 31, 2013 |
December 31, 2012 |
Reserves category |
Working Interest (MBoe) |
Working Interest (MBoe) |
Proved Producing |
9,716 |
2,569 |
Total Proved |
46,068 |
15,654 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
86,174 |
29,167 |
The following table summarizes the Wapiti Montney play FDC
included in the GLJ Report:
($ thousands, undiscounted) |
Proved |
Proved plus probable |
Balance, December 31, 2012 |
174,463 |
285,984 |
Exploration and development changes in the year |
274,553 |
515,125 |
Balance, December 31, 2013 |
449,016 |
801,109 |
The estimates of reserves for the Wapiti Montney play may not
reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves of all
NuVista's properties due to the effect of aggregation.
Summary of Corporate
Net Present Value Data
The estimated net present values of future net revenue before
income taxes associated with NuVista's reserves effective December
31, 2013 and based on published GLJ future price forecast as at
January 1, 2014 as set forth below are summarized in the following
table:
The estimated future net revenue contained in the following
table does not necessarily represent the fair market value of the
reserves. There is no assurance that the forecast price and cost
assumptions contained in the GLJ 2013 Report will be attained and
variations could be material. The recovery and reserve estimates
described herein are estimates only. Actual reserves may be greater
or less than those calculated.
|
Discount factor (%/year) |
Reserves category (1)(2) ($ millions) |
0% |
8% |
10% |
12% |
Proved: |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed producing |
583 |
411 |
384 |
362 |
|
Developed non-producing |
203 |
123 |
112 |
103 |
|
Undeveloped |
822 |
394 |
336 |
289 |
Total proved |
1,608 |
928 |
833 |
754 |
Probable |
1,413 |
581 |
490 |
418 |
Total proved plus probable |
3,021 |
1,509 |
1,323 |
1,172 |
(1) Numbers may not add due to rounding. (2) Estimate future net
reserves do not represent the fair market value of reserves.
The following table is a summary of pricing and inflation rate
assumptions based on published GLJ forecast prices and costs as at
January 1, 2014:
|
Natural Gas |
Liquids |
Oil |
|
Year |
AECO Gas Price ($Cdn/ Mmbtu) |
Edmonton Condensate ($Cdn/Bbl) |
Edmonton Propane ($Cdn/Bbl) |
Edmonton Butane ($Cdn/Bbl) |
WTI Cushing Oklahoma ($US/Bbl) |
Edmonton Par Price 40 API ($Cdn/Bbl) |
Inflation Rates %/ Year(1) |
Exchange Rate(2) ($US/$Cdn) |
Forecast |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2014 |
4.03 |
105.20 |
57.83 |
73.22 |
97.50 |
92.76 |
2 |
0.95 |
2015 |
4.26 |
107.11 |
58.42 |
75.95 |
97.50 |
97.37 |
2 |
0.95 |
2016 |
4.50 |
107.00 |
60.00 |
78.00 |
97.50 |
100.00 |
2 |
0.95 |
2017 |
4.74 |
107.00 |
60.00 |
78.00 |
97.50 |
100.00 |
2 |
0.95 |
2018 |
4.97 |
107.00 |
60.00 |
78.00 |
97.50 |
100.00 |
2 |
0.95 |
2019 |
5.21 |
107.00 |
60.00 |
78.00 |
97.50 |
100.00 |
2 |
0.95 |
2020 |
5.33 |
107.82 |
60.46 |
78.60 |
98.54 |
100.77 |
2 |
0.95 |
2021 |
5.44 |
109.97 |
61.67 |
80.17 |
100.51 |
102.78 |
2 |
0.95 |
2022 |
5.55 |
112.17 |
62.90 |
81.77 |
102.52 |
104.83 |
2 |
0.95 |
2023 |
5.66 |
114.41 |
64.16 |
83.40 |
104.57 |
106.93 |
2 |
0.95 |
2024 |
+2%/yr |
+2%/yr |
+2%/yr |
+2%/yr |
+2%/yr |
+2%/yr |
2 |
0.95 |
(1) Inflation rate for costs. (2) Exchange rate used to generate
the benchmark reference prices in this table.
ADVISORY REGARDING OIL AND GAS INFORMATION
This news release contains the terms barrels of oil
equivalent ("Boe"). Natural gas is converted to a Boe using six
thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil. Boes may be
misleading, particularly if used in isolation. The foregoing
conversion ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion
method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not
represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. As well, given that
the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil to natural
gas is significantly different from the 6:1 energy equivalency
ratio, using a conversion ratio on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as
an indication of value.
Any references in this news release to initial production
rates are useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons,
however, such rates are not determinative of the rates at which
such wells will continue production and decline thereafter. While
encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such
rates in calculating the aggregate production for NuVista.
ADVISORY REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND
STATEMENTS
This press release contains forward-looking statements and
forward-looking information (collectively, "forward-looking
statements") within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The
use of any of the words "will", "expects", "believe", "plans",
"potential" and similar expressions are intended to identify
forward-looking statements. More particularly and without
limitation, this press release contains forward looking statements,
including management's assessment of: NuVista's future strategy,
plans, opportunities and operations; forecast production;
production mix; drilling, development, completion and tie-in plans
and timing and results thereof; expectations of timing of
construction of facilities and the benefits thereof; expectations
of improvements in recycle ratio; NuVista's assessment of
field conditions; typecurves; condensate and natural gas liquid
yields; the timing, allocation and efficiency of NuVista's capital
program and the results therefrom; the anticipated potential of
NuVista's asset base; reserves life indexes; timing for
press release announcing full 2013 results; and industry
conditions. By their nature, forward-looking statements are based
upon certain assumptions and are subject to numerous risks and
uncertainties, some of which are beyond NuVista's control,
including the impact of general economic conditions, industry
conditions, current and future commodity prices, currency and
interest rates, anticipated production rates, borrowing, operating
and other costs and funds from operations, the timing, allocation
and amount of capital expenditures and the results therefrom,
anticipated reserves and the imprecision of reserve estimates, the
performance of existing wells, the success obtained in drilling new
wells, the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying
out planned activities, competition from other industry
participants, availability of qualified personnel or services and
drilling and related equipment, stock market volatility, effects of
regulation by governmental agencies including changes in
environmental regulations, tax laws and royalties; the ability to
access sufficient capital from internal sources and bank and equity
markets; and including, without limitation, those risks considered
under "Risk Factors" in our Annual Information Form. Readers are
cautioned that the assumptions used in the preparation of such
information, although considered reasonable at the time of
preparation, may prove to be imprecise and, as such, undue reliance
should not be placed on forward-looking statements. NuVista's
actual results, performance or achievement could differ materially
from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking
statements, or if any of them do so, what benefits NuVista will
derive therefrom. NuVista disclaims any intention or obligation to
update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as
required by law.
NuVista Energy Ltd.Jonathan A. WrightPresident and CEO(403)
538-8501NuVista Energy Ltd.Robert F. FroeseVP, Finance and CFO(403)
538-8530
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