CALGARY,
AB, Oct. 23, 2024 /CNW/ - Whitecap
Resources Inc. ("Whitecap" or the "Company") (TSX: WCP) is pleased
to report its operating and unaudited financial results for the
three and nine months ended September 30,
2024.
Selected financial and operating information is outlined below
and should be read with Whitecap's unaudited interim consolidated
financial statements and related management's discussion and
analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 which are available at
www.sedarplus.ca and on our website at www.wcap.ca.
Financial ($
millions except for share amounts)
|
Three Months ended Sep.
30
|
Nine Months ended Sep.
30
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Petroleum and natural
gas revenues
|
890.9
|
955.9
|
2,739.6
|
2,637.5
|
Net income
|
274.2
|
152.7
|
578.5
|
590.7
|
Basic
($/share)
|
0.46
|
0.25
|
0.97
|
0.98
|
Diluted
($/share)
|
0.46
|
0.25
|
0.96
|
0.97
|
Funds flow
1
|
409.0
|
466.0
|
1,219.4
|
1,329.1
|
Basic ($/share)
1
|
0.69
|
0.77
|
2.04
|
2.19
|
Diluted
($/share) 1
|
0.68
|
0.76
|
2.03
|
2.18
|
Dividends
declared
|
107.9
|
87.8
|
326.2
|
263.2
|
Per
share
|
0.18
|
0.15
|
0.55
|
0.43
|
Expenditures on
property, plant and equipment 2
|
272.7
|
281.9
|
869.7
|
753.3
|
Free funds flow
1
|
136.3
|
184.1
|
349.7
|
575.8
|
Net Debt
1
|
1,361.8
|
1,260.2
|
1,361.8
|
1,260.2
|
Operating
|
|
|
|
|
Average daily
production
|
|
|
|
|
Crude oil
(bbls/d)
|
92,335
|
85,238
|
91,604
|
84,717
|
NGLs
(bbls/d)
|
20,578
|
17,804
|
20,228
|
16,640
|
Natural gas
(Mcf/d)
|
362,332
|
323,903
|
369,551
|
310,531
|
Total (boe/d)
3
|
173,302
|
157,026
|
173,424
|
153,112
|
Average realized Price
1,4
|
|
|
|
|
Crude oil
($/bbl)
|
94.29
|
103.72
|
95.23
|
95.43
|
NGLs
($/bbl)
|
34.02
|
36.75
|
34.55
|
39.32
|
Natural gas
($/Mcf)
|
0.76
|
2.76
|
1.56
|
2.97
|
Petroleum and natural
gas revenues ($/boe) 1
|
55.88
|
66.17
|
57.65
|
63.10
|
Operating Netback
($/boe) 1
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum and
natural gas revenues1
|
55.88
|
66.17
|
57.65
|
63.10
|
Tariffs
1
|
(0.43)
|
(0.50)
|
(0.43)
|
(0.51)
|
Processing &
other income 1
|
0.67
|
0.79
|
0.72
|
0.90
|
Marketing
revenues 1
|
3.79
|
5.04
|
3.87
|
4.91
|
Petroleum and natural
gas sales 1
|
59.91
|
71.50
|
61.81
|
68.40
|
Realized gain on
commodity contracts 1
|
0.93
|
0.04
|
0.53
|
0.52
|
Royalties
1
|
(9.01)
|
(11.53)
|
(9.51)
|
(10.90)
|
Operating
expenses 1
|
(13.38)
|
(13.97)
|
(13.71)
|
(14.35)
|
Transportation
expenses 1
|
(2.10)
|
(2.22)
|
(2.09)
|
(2.19)
|
Marketing
expenses 1
|
(3.76)
|
(4.99)
|
(3.84)
|
(4.89)
|
Operating
netbacks
|
32.59
|
38.83
|
33.19
|
36.59
|
Share information
(millions)
|
|
|
|
|
Common shares
outstanding, end of period
|
588.0
|
606.2
|
588.0
|
606.2
|
Weighted average basic
shares outstanding
|
595.2
|
606.0
|
597.3
|
605.8
|
Weighted average
diluted shares outstanding
|
599.2
|
610.0
|
600.7
|
609.5
|
MESSAGE TO SHAREHOLDERS
Whitecap continued its strong operational momentum in the third
quarter with production exceeding expectations on both a total
basis and on liquids production. Production in the quarter averaged
173,302 boe/d (112,913 bbl/d of total liquids and 362,332 mcf/d of
natural gas) compared to our forecast of 167,500 boe/d (107,500
bbl/d of total liquids and 360,000 mcf/d of natural gas). As a
result of the year to date outperformance, we now forecast our full
year production to average 172,500 boe/d which is above the high
end of our previously increased production guidance of 167,000 –
172,000 boe/d. This is our third production guidance increase for
2024.
Higher than forecast liquids production from our oil weighted
and condensate rich assets contributed to funds flow of
$409 million ($0.68 per share). WTI averaged above $100/bbl Canadian in the third quarter, resulting
in a strong operating netback of $32.59/boe. After capital expenditures of
$273 million, free funds flow was
$136 million in the quarter and was
$350 million for the nine months
ended September 30, 2024.
We have a robust return of capital framework in place where for
the nine months ended September 30,
2024, we have repurchased $119
million of shares under our normal course issuer bid
("NCIB") and paid $326 million of
dividends to shareholders.
Net debt at the end of the third quarter was $1.4 billion (0.6 times Debt to
EBITDA5) on total credit capacity of $2.2 billion. On closing of the Pembina Gas
Infrastructure ("PGI") transaction (details press released on
July 2, 2024), net debt is expected
to be approximately $1 billion (0.5
times Debt to EBITDA) which provides us with low leverage and ample
liquidity. The closing of the PGI transaction is pending final
regulatory approval.
We also recently released our investment grade credit rating of
BBB (low), with a stable trend, by DBRS, Inc. Whitecap can now, and
intends to, access the investment grade bond market to diversify
our debt structure into a deeper market that provides for longer
tenors and a lower cost of funding.
We provide the following third quarter and year to date 2024
financial and operating highlights:
- Production Growth. Production momentum and
continued operational execution resulted in 12% production per
share growth6 compared to the third quarter of 2023.
Crude oil and condensate production from our unconventional
Montney and Duvernay and Southeast Saskatchewan Frobisher
assets contributed to our overall liquids production outperforming
expectations.
- Funds Flow. Third quarter funds flow of
$409 million ($0.68 per share) benefitted from strength in
crude oil and condensate prices along with continued focus on
reducing operating costs. Natural gas revenue was less than 3% of
petroleum and natural gas revenue in the third quarter as AECO
natural gas prices averaged $0.65/GJ.
- Capital Program. Third quarter capital expenditures of
$273 million included the drilling of
a total of 67 (63.8 net) wells including 2 (2.0 net) Montney, 5 (5.0 net) Duvernay and 60 (56.8 net) conventional wells.
We brought 4 (4.0 net) Montney
wells at Musreau on production during the third quarter.
- Return of Capital. For the nine months ended
September 30, 2024, we have returned
$445 million to shareholders
($0.74 per share) through
$326 million of base dividends and
$119 million of share repurchases
under our NCIB.
- Balance Sheet Strength. Quarter end net debt of
$1.4 billion equated to a Debt to
EBITDA ratio of 0.6 times, an EBITDA to interest expense
ratio5 of 25.3 times, and a debt to capitalization
ratio5 of 0.17 times, all well within our debt covenants
of not greater than 4.0 times, not less than 3.5 times and not
greater than 0.6 times, respectively. During the third quarter, we
entered into a new $2 billion
unsecured covenant-based credit facility which replaced our
previous secured credit and term loan facilities.
2025 BUDGET
Our Board of Directors has approved a 2025 capital budget of
$1.1 – $1.2 billion which is
forecast to achieve average production of 176,000 – 180,000
boe/d (63% liquids). This is expected to deliver organic production
per share growth of 4% – 6% and generate funds flow of
approximately $1.6 – $1.7 billion at US$70/bbl WTI and $2.50/GJ AECO.
Whitecap has an enviable portfolio of highly economic drilling
inventory in both our conventional light oil plays as well as the
unconventional liquids rich Montney and Duvernay plays providing decades of
sustainable production and funds flow growth.
Unconventional
Building off our operational success in 2024, we plan to
allocate approximately 50% of our capital budget ($550 – $600
million) to our Montney and
Duvernay assets which includes
drilling 30 (30.0 net) wells in 2025. With 34 (32.5 net) wells
coming on stream in 2025, including wells drilled in 2024, these
assets are expected to deliver production growth of 10% on an
annual basis and 20% exit to exit.
Duvernay
We drilled our first Duvernay
pad in mid-2023 and have now drilled and brought on production 10
(10.0 net) Duvernay wells at
Kaybob. Results to date have exceeded our initial expectations that
were set upon completion of an extensive technical analysis that we
undertook after acquiring the asset in the third quarter of
2022.
We plan to drill 20 (20.0 net) Duvernay wells in 2025 which will have our
15-07 gas processing facility operating at capacity in the second
half of 2025. Our recently drilled 11-14B five well pad (5.0 net) will be tied into
permanent facilities by the end of October this year. This is our
first pad that incorporated a benching trial as the thickness in
this area of the Duvernay lends
itself to vertical inter-well spacing to access greater portions of
the reservoir. Given the thickness of the Duvernay across our land base, results from
this pad will inform future well designs to optimize capital
efficiency as we develop our expansive drilling inventory.
Montney
At Musreau, our 05-09 battery has been operating at condensate
capacity with our most recent four well pad producing at restricted
rates due to continued strong condensate production from our
previous two pads. We have completed the drilling of our last four
well pad (4.0 net) in 2024 and this is expected to be on production
prior to year end. In 2025, we have one four well pad (4.0 net)
planned for the second half of the year to maintain production at
the battery.
In Kakwa, we are currently drilling our first triple bench pad,
testing the potential of each of the D2, D3 and Lower Middle
Montney zones. In 2025, we have one four well pad (4.0 net) at
southeast Kakwa planned which will be our third pad with wider
inter-well spacing, building on the success of our previous pads in
the Kakwa area.
At Lator, we are progressing our technical analysis as well as
development planning for the area to coincide with the completion
of our planned 04-13 battery in late 2026/early 2027. The two (2.0
net) wells drilled in 2024 will be on production prior to year end
and we will follow up with two (2.0 net) additional wells in 2025.
Results from this targeted development will inform development
plans as we progress from phase one to phase two over the next
several years. The focus for Lator in 2025 will be on technical due
diligence, development planning, completion of the detailed
engineering and design work for the 04-13 battery, and obtaining
the required regulatory approvals for the commencement of the
development program in 2026.
Conventional
We plan to invest $550 –
$600 million to drill 190 (171.8 net)
conventional wells in Alberta and
Saskatchewan in 2025 which will
deliver modest growth while generating 70% of Whitecap's free cash
flow.
The very active capital programs across our conventional assets
lead to stronger capital efficiencies and greater opportunities for
inventory enhancement by using the same rigs, crews and service
providers across our base programs. As a result, we are able to
quickly implement new well designs and/or development plans to
improve the already robust economics and further extend the
inventory duration of this asset base.
In Central Alberta, we plan to
drill 30 (23.7 net) wells in 2025 with a focus on the Glauconite in
southwestern Alberta and the
Cardium at West Pembina. Our operational momentum in the Glauconite
has continued with the successful drilling of three monobores,
resulting in 10% cost savings per well and we are currently
drilling our fourth monobore. We plan to utilize a monobore
drilling design for the majority of our Glauconite program in 2025.
With continued success, the 10% cost savings per well provide a
line of sight to over 90% of our inventory being identified as top
tier locations.
Western Saskatchewan will be
our most active area of development, with plans to drill 100 (98.8
net) wells of which 79 (79.0 net) will be targeting light oil in
the Viking. In our Elrose Viking area, we have transitioned the
drilling program to extended reach horizontal development to
improve on the historic results. At US$70/bbl WTI, our 2025 Viking program is
expected to have an average per well payout7 of only
eleven months.
In Eastern Saskatchewan, we
plan to drill 39 (35.3 net) wells in 2025 of which 31 (12.7 net)
will be targeting the Frobisher
formation. The economics of our light oil Frobisher assets are extremely robust and
recent wells are forecasted to achieve capital payout8
three times in the first three years of production. Early time
results from our State A (Frobisher) open hole multi-lateral pilot well
are encouraging and further success will extend the inventory
duration of this highly economic asset.
At Weyburn, we plan to drill 21
(14.2 net) wells in 2025, which will be a mix of new phase rollouts
and infill wells on existing phases. We have achieved strong
production results relative to our expectations on our rollout
programs over the past four years, further validating the success
of the CO2 flood and our forecasts for ultimate
recovery.
OUTLOOK
Our operational execution to date has been exceptional and we
expect this to continue for the rest of the year and into 2025. We
believe that crude oil prices will remain volatile but on balance
robust, especially considering the weak Canadian dollar, and are
expected to average US$65/bbl to
US$75/bbl (C$90/bbl to C$103/bbl) in 2025. AECO prices are anticipated
to remain weak, although incremental egress with LNG Canada 1 &
2, Cedar, Woodfibre and Ksi Lisims will be supportive of higher
natural gas prices longer term.
We have taken a prudent approach to our 2025 capital budget to
ensure it is defensible at lower commodity prices but also provides
us optionality should commodity prices be higher than we
anticipate. We expect to deliver organic production per share
growth of approximately 5% and similar to 2024, we will look for
opportunities to enhance our per share metrics in 2025.
Our balance sheet remains in excellent shape with low leverage
and ample liquidity and will be further strengthened with our free
funds flow in 2025.
We are excited about the opportunities within our vast portfolio
of over 6,400 drilling locations8 including the enhanced
oil recovery projects that underpin the sustainability of our
dividend and growth model, and we look forward to updating our
shareholders on our progress for the rest of the year, in 2025, and
beyond.
On behalf of our employees, management team and Board of
Directors, we would like to thank our shareholders for their
continued support.
NOTES
1
|
Funds flow, funds flow
basic ($/share), funds flow diluted ($/share) and net debt are
capital management measures. Average realized price and per boe
disclosure figures are supplementary financial measures. Operating
netback and free funds flow are non-GAAP financial measures.
Operating netbacks ($/boe) is a non-GAAP ratio. Refer to the
Specified Financial Measures section in this press release for
additional disclosure and assumptions.
|
2
|
Also referred to herein
as "capital expenditures" and "capital budget".
|
3
|
Disclosure of
production on a per boe basis in this press release consists of the
constituent product types and their respective quantities disclosed
herein. Refer to Barrel of Oil Equivalency and Production and
Product Type Information in this press release for additional
disclosure.
|
4
|
Prior to the impact of
risk management activities and tariffs.
|
5
|
Debt to EBITDA ratio,
EBITDA to interest expense ratio and debt to capitalization ratio
are specified financial measures that are calculated in accordance
with the financial covenants in our credit agreement.
|
6
|
Production per share is
the Company's total crude oil, NGL and natural gas production
volumes for the applicable period divided by the weighted average
number of diluted shares outstanding for the applicable period.
Production per share growth is determined in comparison to the
applicable comparative period.
|
7
|
Also referred to herein
as "capital payout". Refer to Oil and Gas Metrics in this press
release for additional disclosure.
|
8
|
Disclosure of drilling
locations in this press release consists of proved, probable, and
unbooked locations and their respective quantities on a gross and
net basis as disclosed herein. Refer to Drilling Locations in this
press release for additional disclosure.
|
CONFERENCE CALL AND WEBCAST
Whitecap has scheduled a conference call and webcast to begin
promptly at 9:00 am MT (11:00 am ET) on Wednesday,
October 23, 2024.
The conference call dial-in number is:
1-888-510-2154 or (403) 910-0389 or (437) 900-0527
A live webcast of the conference call will be accessible on
Whitecap's website at www.wcap.ca by selecting
"Investors", then "Presentations & Events".
Shortly after the live webcast, an archived version will be
available for approximately 14 days.
NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This press release contains forward-looking statements and
forward-looking information (collectively "forward-looking
information") within the meaning of applicable securities laws
relating to the Company's plans and other aspects of our
anticipated future operations, management focus, strategies,
financial, operating and production results and business
opportunities. Forward-looking information typically uses words
such as "anticipate", "believe", "continue", "trend", "sustain",
"project", "expect", "forecast", "budget", "goal", "guidance",
"plan", "objective", "strategy", "target", "intend", "estimate",
"potential", or similar words suggesting future outcomes,
statements that actions, events or conditions "may", "would",
"could" or "will" be taken or occur in the future, including
statements about our strategy, plans, focus, objectives, priorities
and position.
In particular, and without limiting the generality of the
foregoing, this press release contains forward-looking information
with respect to: our forecasts for average daily production
(including by product type and the proportional liquids production)
and capital expenditures for 2024 and 2025; our expectation for net
debt to be approximately $1 billion
on closing of the PGI transaction; our belief net debt of
$1 billion provides us with low
leverage and ample liquidity; our belief that with an investment
grade credit rating we can now access the investment grade bond
market to diversify our debt structure into a deeper market that
provides for longer tenors and a lower cost of funding; our
intention to access the investment grade bond market; our forecast
for organic production per share growth of 4% – 6%; our forecast
for 2025 funds flow of approximately $1.6 – $1.7 billion
at US$70/bbl WTI and $2.50/GJ AECO; our belief that we have an
enviable portfolio of highly economic drilling inventory in both
our conventional light oil plays as wells the unconventional
liquids rich Montney and
Duvernay plays providing decades
of sustainable production and funds flow growth; our forecasts for
the allocation of our 2025 budget to each of our unconventional and
conventional assets, including the expected wells drilled in total
and by region and the anticipated timing thereof; our forecasts for
the number of unconventional wells to come on stream in 2025 and
that these assets are expected to deliver production growth of 10%
on an annual basis and 20% exit to exit; our plans to drill 20
(20.0 net) Duvernay wells in 2025
which will have our 15-07 gas processing facility operating at
capacity in the second half of 2025; the expected timing of our
11-14B five well pad (5.0 net) being
tied into permanent facilities and our expectation that results
from this pad will inform future well designs to optimize capital
efficiency as we develop our expansive drilling inventory; the
expected timing that our last four well pad (4.0 net) in 2024 at
Musreau will be on production and our plans for one four well pad
(4.0 net) in the second half of 2025 to maintain production at the
battery; our 2025 plans for one four well pad (4.0 net) at
southeast Kakwa; our expectation that our technical analysis as
well as development planning for Lator will coincide with the
completion of our planned 04-13 battery in late 2026/early 2027;
the expected timing of our two (2.0 net) Lator wells drilled in
2024 to be on production; that we will follow-up with two (2.0 net)
additional wells in 2025 and our belief that such targeted
development will inform development plans as we progress from phase
one to phase two over the next several years; our anticipated focus
for Lator in 2025 being on technical due diligence, development
planning, completion of the detailed engineering and design work
for the 04-13 battery, and obtaining the required regulatory
approvals for the commencement of the development program in 2026;
our plan to invest $550 –
$600 million to drill 190 (171.8 net)
conventional wells in Alberta and
Saskatchewan in 2025 and that such
our conventional program will deliver modest growth while
generating 70% of Whitecap's free cash flow; our belief that the
very active capital programs across our conventional assets lead to
stronger capital efficiencies and greater opportunities for
inventory enhancement by using the same rigs, crews and service
providers across our base programs and our belief that as a result
we will be able to quickly implement new well designs and/or
development plans to improve the already robust economics and
further extend the inventory duration of our conventional asset
base; our plans for Central
Alberta, including our plan to drill 30 (23.7 net) wells in
2025 with a focus on the Glauconite in southwestern Alberta and the Cardium at West Pembina; our
plans to utilize a monobore drilling design for the majority of our
Glauconite program in 2025 and the anticipated benefits to be
derived therefrom; our expectation that Western Saskatchewan will be our most active
area of development in 2025 and that we will drill 100 (98.8 net)
wells in the area, of which 79 (79.0 net) will be targeting light
oil in the Viking; our belief that extended reach horizontal
development will improve on the historic results at Elrose; our expectation for our 2025 Viking
program to have an average payout per well of only eleven months;
our plans for Eastern
Saskatchewan, including our plan to drill 39 (35.3 net)
wells in 2025 of which 31 (12.7 net) will be targeting the
Frobisher formation; our forecast
for recent Frobisher wells to
achieve capital payout three times in the first three years on
production; our belief that further success with our State A
(Frobisher) open hole
multi-lateral project will extend the inventory duration of this
highly economic asset; our plans for Weyburn, including our plan to drill 21 (14.2
net) wells in 2025, which will be a mix of new phase rollouts and
infill wells on existing phases; our expectation that our
exceptional operational execution will continue for the rest of the
year and into 2025; our belief that crude oil prices will remain
volatile but on balance robust; our expectation that crude oil
prices will average US$65/bbl to
US$75/bbl (C$90/bbl to C$103/bbl) in 2025; our belief that AECO prices
will remain weak and that incremental egress with LNG Canada 1
& 2, Cedar, Woodfibre and Ksi Lisims will be supportive of
higher natural gas prices longer term; our expectation to deliver
organic production per share growth of approximately 5%; that we
will look for opportunities to enhance our per share metrics in
2025; and, our belief that our pro forma balance sheet is in
excellent shape with low leverage and ample liquidity and will be
further strengthened with our free funds flow in 2025.
The forward-looking information is based on certain key
expectations and assumptions made by our management, including:
that the disposition to PGI will occur on the terms and timing
anticipated by the Company; that we will continue to conduct our
operations in a manner consistent with past operations except as
specifically noted herein (and for greater certainty, except with
respect to the proposed disposition to PGI, the forward-looking
information contained herein excludes the potential impact of any
acquisitions or dispositions that we may complete in the future);
the general continuance or improvement in current industry
conditions; the continuance of existing (and in certain
circumstances, the implementation of proposed) tax, royalty and
regulatory regimes; expectations and assumptions concerning
prevailing and forecast commodity prices, exchange rates, interest
rates, inflation rates, applicable royalty rates and tax laws,
including the assumptions specifically set forth herein; the
ability of OPEC+ nations and other major producers of crude oil to
adjust crude oil production levels and thereby manage world crude
oil prices; the impact (and the duration thereof) of the ongoing
military actions in the Middle
East and between Russia and
Ukraine and related sanctions on
crude oil, NGLs and natural gas prices; the impact of current and
forecast inflation rates and interest rates on the North American
and world economies and the corresponding impact on our costs, our
profitability, and on crude oil, NGLs, and natural gas prices;
future production rates and estimates of operating costs and
development capital, including as specifically set forth herein;
performance of existing and future wells; reserve volumes and net
present values thereof; anticipated timing and results of capital
expenditures/development capital, including as specifically set
forth herein; the success obtained in drilling new wells; the
sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out
planned activities; the timing, location and extent of future
drilling operations; the timing and costs of pipeline, storage and
facility construction and expansion; the state of the economy and
the exploration and production business; results of operations;
business prospects and opportunities; the availability and cost of
financing, labour and services; future dividend levels and share
repurchase levels; the impact of increasing competition; ability to
efficiently integrate assets and employees acquired through
acquisitions or asset exchange transactions; ability to market oil
and natural gas successfully; our ability to access capital and the
cost and terms thereof; that we will not be forced to shut-in
production due to weather events such as wildfires, floods,
droughts or extreme hot or cold temperatures; the commodity pricing
and exchange rate forecasts specifically set forth herein; and that
we will be successful in defending against previously disclosed and
ongoing reassessments received from the Canada Revenue Agency and
assessments received from the Alberta Tax and Revenue
Administration.
Although we believe that the expectations and assumptions on
which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable,
undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking
information because Whitecap can give no assurance that they will
prove to be correct. Since forward-looking information addresses
future events and conditions, by its very nature it involves
inherent risks and uncertainties. These include, but are not
limited to: the risk that our disposition to PGI does not close on
the terms and/or on the timetable currently anticipated or at all;
the risk that the funds that we ultimately return to shareholders
through dividends and/or share repurchases is less than currently
anticipated and/or is delayed, whether due to the risks identified
herein or otherwise; the risk that any of our material assumptions
prove to be materially inaccurate, including our 2024 and 2025
forecasts (including for commodity prices and exchange rates); the
risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as
operational risks in development, exploration and production,
including the risk that weather events such as wildfires, flooding,
droughts or extreme hot or cold temperatures forces us to shut-in
production or otherwise adversely affects our operations; pandemics
and epidemics; delays or changes in plans with respect to
exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the
uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to reserves,
production, costs and expenses; risks associated with increasing
costs, whether due to high inflation rates, high interest rates,
supply chain disruptions or other factors; health, safety and
environmental risks; commodity price and exchange rate
fluctuations; interest rate fluctuations; inflation rate
fluctuations; marketing and transportation risks; loss of markets;
environmental risks; competition; incorrect assessment of the value
of acquisitions; failure to complete or realize the anticipated
benefits of acquisitions or dispositions; the risk that going
forward we may be unable to access sufficient capital from internal
and external sources on acceptable terms or at all; failure to
obtain required regulatory and other approvals; reliance on third
parties and pipeline systems; changes in legislation, including but
not limited to tax laws, production curtailment, royalties and
environmental (including emissions and "greenwashing") regulations;
the risk that we do not successfully defend against previously
disclosed and ongoing reassessments received from the Canada
Revenue Agency and assessments received from the Alberta Tax and
Revenue Administration and are required to pay additional taxes,
interest and penalties as a result; and the risk that the amount of
future cash dividends paid by us and/or shares repurchased for
cancellation by us, if any, will be subject to the discretion of
our Board of Directors and may vary depending on a variety of
factors and conditions existing from time to time, including, among
other things, fluctuations in commodity prices, production levels,
capital expenditure requirements, debt service requirements,
operating costs, royalty burdens, foreign exchange rates,
contractual restrictions contained in our debt agreements, and the
satisfaction of the liquidity and solvency tests imposed by
applicable corporate law for the declaration and payment of
dividends and/or the repurchase of shares – depending on these and
various other factors as disclosed herein or otherwise, many of
which will be beyond our control, our dividend policy and/or share
buyback policy and, as a result, future cash dividends and/or share
buybacks, could be reduced or suspended entirely. Our actual
results, performance or achievement could differ materially from
those expressed in, or implied by, the forward-looking information
and, accordingly, no assurance can be given that any of the events
anticipated by the forward-looking information will transpire or
occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits that we will derive
therefrom. Management has included the above summary of assumptions
and risks related to forward-looking information provided in this
press release in order to provide security holders with a more
complete perspective on our future operations and such information
may not be appropriate for other purposes.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists of factors are
not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors
that could affect our operations or financial results are included
in reports on file with applicable securities regulatory
authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR+ website
(www.sedarplus.ca).
These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this
press release and we disclaim any intent or obligation to update
publicly any forward-looking information, whether as a result of
new information, future events or results or otherwise, other than
as required by applicable securities laws.
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about our forecast 2025 capital expenditures, including the
allocation to our unconventional and conventional assets; the
portion of our free cash flow that will be generated by our
conventional wells in 2025; our forecast for net debt of
approximately $1 billion (0.5 times
Debt to EBITDA) upon close of the PGI transaction; our forecast for
$1.6 – $1.7
billion of funds flow in 2025 at US$70/bbl WTI and $2.50/GJ AECO; that at US$70/bbl WTI our 2025 Viking program is expected
to have an average per well payout of only eleven months; that
recent wells in the Frobisher
formation are forecasted to achieve capital payout three times in
the first three years of production; and our forecast for commodity
prices in 2025; all of which are subject to the same assumptions,
risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the
above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of Whitecap and
the resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts
set forth herein and such variation may be material. Whitecap and
its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared on a
reasonable basis, reflecting management's best estimates and
judgments. However, because this information is subjective and
subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by
applicable securities laws, Whitecap undertakes no obligation to
update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as
of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose
of providing further information about Whitecap's anticipated
future business operations. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI
contained in this press release should not be used for purposes
other than for which it is disclosed herein.
OIL AND GAS ADVISORIES
Barrel of Oil Equivalency
"Boe" means barrel of oil equivalent. All boe
conversions in this press release are derived by converting gas to
oil at the ratio of six thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") of natural gas
to one barrel ("Bbl") of oil. Boe may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation. A Boe conversion rate of 1 Bbl : 6 Mcf is
based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value
equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio of oil
compared to natural gas based on currently prevailing prices is
significantly different than the energy equivalency ratio of 1 Bbl
: 6 Mcf, utilizing a conversion ratio of 1 Bbl : 6 Mcf may be
misleading as an indication of value.
Drilling Locations
This press release discloses drilling inventory in two
categories: (i) booked locations (proved and probable); and (ii)
unbooked locations. Booked locations represent the summation of
proved and probable locations, which are derived from McDaniel
& Associates Consultants Ltd.'s reserves evaluation effective
December 31, 2023 and account for
drilling locations that have associated proved and/or probable
reserves, as applicable. Unbooked locations are internal estimates
based on our prospective acreage and an assumption as to the number
of wells that can be drilled per section based on industry practice
and internal review. Unbooked locations do not have attributed
reserves or resources.
- Of the 6,442 (5,619 net) drilling locations identified herein,
1,580 (1,374 net) are proved locations, 319 (271 net) are probable
locations, and 4,543 (3,974 net) are unbooked locations.
Unbooked locations consist of drilling locations that have been
identified by management as an estimation of our multi-year
drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable geologic,
seismic, engineering, production and reserves information. There is
no certainty that we will drill all of these drilling locations and
if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result in
additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The
drilling locations on which we drill wells will ultimately depend
upon the availability of capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal
restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling
results, additional reservoir information that is obtained and
other factors. While certain of the unbooked drilling locations
have been de-risked by drilling existing wells in relative close
proximity to such unbooked drilling locations, other unbooked
drilling locations are farther away from existing wells where
management has less information about the characteristics of the
reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells
will be drilled in such locations and if drilled there is more
uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas
reserves, resources or production.
Production & Product Type Information
References to petroleum, crude oil, natural gas liquids
("NGLs"), natural gas and average daily production in this press
release refer to the light and medium crude oil, tight crude oil,
conventional natural gas, shale gas and NGLs product types, as
applicable, as defined in National Instrument 51-101 ("NI 51-101"),
except as noted below.
NI 51-101 includes condensate within the NGLs product type. The
Company has disclosed condensate as combined with crude oil and
separately from other NGLs since the price of condensate as
compared to other NGLs is currently significantly higher and the
Company believes that this crude oil and condensate presentation
provides a more accurate description of its operations and results
therefrom. Crude oil therefore refers to light oil, medium oil,
tight oil and condensate. NGLs refers to ethane, propane, butane
and pentane combined. Natural gas refers to conventional natural
gas and shale gas combined.
The Company's average daily production for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2024 and
2023, and the forecast average daily production for Q3/2024, 2024
and 2025 (midpoint) disclosed in this press release consists of the
following product types, as defined in NI 51-101 (other than as
noted above with respect to condensate) and using a conversion
ratio of 1 Bbl : 6 Mcf where applicable:
Whitecap
Corporate
|
9M
2024
|
9M
2023
|
Q3
2024
|
Q3
2023
|
Light and medium oil
(bbls/d)
|
75,528
|
74,372
|
73,900
|
74,543
|
Tight oil
(bbls/d)
|
16,076
|
10,345
|
18,435
|
10,695
|
Crude oil
(bbls/d)
|
91,604
|
84,717
|
92,335
|
85,238
|
|
|
|
|
|
NGLs
(bbls/d)
|
20,228
|
16,640
|
20,578
|
17,804
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shale gas
(Mcf/d)
|
221,140
|
177,624
|
215,309
|
185,977
|
Conventional natural
gas (Mcf/d)
|
148,411
|
132,907
|
147,023
|
137,926
|
Natural gas
(Mcf/d)
|
369,551
|
310,531
|
362,332
|
323,903
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
173,424
|
153,112
|
173,302
|
157,026
|
Whitecap
Corporate
|
|
2024
Guidance
|
Q3
2024
Forecast
|
2025
Guidance
(Mid-Point)
|
Light and medium oil
(bbls/d)
|
|
75,000
|
72,000
|
73,000
|
Tight oil
(bbls/d)
|
|
16,000
|
16,000
|
19,000
|
Crude oil
(bbls/d)
|
|
91,000
|
88,000
|
92,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
NGLs
(bbls/d)
|
|
20,200
|
19,500
|
20,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shale gas
(Mcf/d)
|
|
220,800
|
215,000
|
241,000
|
Conventional natural
gas (Mcf/d)
|
|
147,000
|
145,000
|
155,000
|
Natural gas
(Mcf/d)
|
|
367,800
|
360,000
|
396,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
|
172,500
|
167,500
|
178,000
|
Oil and Gas Metrics
This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil and
natural gas industry which have been prepared by management, such
as "capital payout" or "payout per well", which
is the time period for the operating netback of a well to equate to
the individual cost of drilling, completing and equipping the well.
Management uses capital payout and payout per well as a measure of
capital efficiency of a well to make capital allocation
decisions. These terms do not have a standardized meaning and
may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other
companies, and therefore should not be used to make such
comparisons. Management uses these oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures
to compare our operations over time. Readers are cautioned that the
information provided by these metrics, or that can be derived from
the metrics presented in this press release, should not be relied
upon for investment or other purposes.
SPECIFIED FINANCIAL MEASURES
This press release includes various specified financial
measures, including non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios,
capital management measures and supplementary financial measures as
further described herein. These financial measures are not
standardized financial measures under International Financial
Reporting Standards ("IFRS Accounting Standards" or, alternatively,
"GAAP") and, therefore, may not be comparable with the calculation
of similar financial measures disclosed by other companies.
"Average realized prices" for crude oil, NGLs and natural
gas are supplementary financial measures calculated by dividing
each of these components of petroleum and natural gas revenues,
disclosed in Note 16 "Revenue" to the Company's unaudited interim
consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2024, by their
respective production volumes for the period.
"Free funds flow" is a non-GAAP financial
measure calculated as funds flow less expenditures on
property, plant and equipment ("PP&E"). Management believes
that free funds flow provides a useful measure of Whitecap's
ability to increase returns to shareholders and to grow the
Company's business. Free funds flow is not a standardized financial
measure under IFRS Accounting Standards and, therefore, may
not be comparable with the calculation of similar financial
measures disclosed by other entities. The most directly comparable
financial measure to free funds flow disclosed in the Company's
primary financial statements is cash flow from operating
activities. Refer to the "Cash Flow from Operating Activities,
Funds Flow and Free Funds Flow" section of our management's
discussion and analysis for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2024 which is
incorporated herein by reference, and available on SEDAR+ at
www.sedarplus.ca. In addition, see the following table which
reconciles cash flow from operating activities to funds flow and
free funds flow:
|
Three Months ended
Sep. 30,
|
Nine Months ended
Sep. 30,
|
($ millions, except
per share amounts)
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
556.2
|
382.8
|
1,413.7
|
1,266.3
|
Net change in non-cash
working capital items
|
(147.2)
|
83.2
|
(194.3)
|
62.8
|
Funds flow
|
409.0
|
466.0
|
1,219.4
|
1,329.1
|
Expenditures on
PP&E
|
272.7
|
281.9
|
869.7
|
753.3
|
Free funds
flow
|
136.3
|
184.1
|
349.7
|
575.8
|
Funds flow per share,
basic
|
0.69
|
0.77
|
2.04
|
2.19
|
Funds flow per share,
diluted
|
0.68
|
0.76
|
2.03
|
2.18
|
"Funds flow", "funds flow basic ($/share)" and "funds
flow diluted ($/share)" are capital management measures and are
key measures of operating performance as they demonstrate
Whitecap's ability to generate the cash necessary to pay dividends,
repay debt, make capital investments, and/or to repurchase common
shares under the Company's normal course issuer bid. Management
believes that by excluding the temporary impact of changes in
non-cash operating working capital, funds flow, funds flow basic
($/share) and funds flow diluted ($/share) provide useful measures
of Whitecap's ability to generate cash that are not subject to
short-term movements in non-cash operating working capital.
Whitecap reports funds flow in total and on a per share basis
(basic and diluted), which is calculated by dividing funds flow by
the weighted average number of basic shares and weighted average
number of diluted shares outstanding for the relevant period. See
Note 5(e)(ii) "Capital Management – Funds Flow" in the Company's
unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the three
and nine months ended September 30,
2024 for additional disclosures.
"Net Debt" is a capital management measure
that management considers to be key to assessing the Company's
liquidity. See Note 5(e)(i) "Capital Management – Net Debt and
Total Capitalization" in the Company's unaudited interim
consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2024 for
additional disclosures. The following table reconciles the
Company's long-term debt to net debt:
Net Debt ($
millions)
|
|
Sep. 30,
2024
|
Sep. 30,
2023
|
Dec. 31,
2023
|
Long-term
debt
|
|
1,095.6
|
1,177.1
|
1,356.1
|
Accounts
receivable
|
|
(355.4)
|
(452.3)
|
(400.2)
|
Deposits and prepaid
expenses
|
|
(32.9)
|
(44.9)
|
(32.9)
|
Non-current
deposits
|
|
(82.9)
|
(65.3)
|
(82.9)
|
Accounts payable and
accrued liabilities
|
|
701.6
|
616.4
|
509.0
|
Dividends
payable
|
|
35.8
|
29.2
|
36.4
|
Net Debt
|
|
1,361.8
|
1,260.2
|
1,385.5
|
"Operating netback" is a non-GAAP financial measure determined
by adding marketing revenues and processing & other income,
deducting realized losses on commodity risk management contracts or
adding realized gains on commodity risk management contracts and
deducting tariffs, royalties, operating expenses, transportation
expenses and marketing expenses from petroleum and natural gas
revenues. The most directly comparable financial measure to
operating netback disclosed in the Company's primary financial
statements is petroleum and natural gas sales. Operating netback is
a measure used in operational and capital allocation decisions.
Operating netback is not a standardized financial measure under
IFRS Accounting Standards and, therefore, may not be
comparable with the calculation of similar financial measures
disclosed by other entities. For further information, refer to the
"Operating Netbacks" section of our management's discussion and
analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, which is incorporated herein
by reference, and available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca. A
reconciliation of operating netbacks to petroleum and natural gas
revenues is set out below:
|
Three Months ended
Sep. 30,
|
Nine Months ended
Sep. 30,
|
Operating Netbacks
($ millions)
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Petroleum and natural
gas revenues
|
890.9
|
955.9
|
2,739.6
|
2,637.5
|
Tariffs
|
(6.8)
|
(7.2)
|
(20.4)
|
(21.5)
|
Processing & other
income
|
10.7
|
11.4
|
34.2
|
37.6
|
Marketing
revenues
|
60.4
|
72.8
|
184.0
|
205.3
|
Petroleum and natural
gas sales
|
955.2
|
1,032.9
|
2,937.4
|
2,858.9
|
Realized gain on
commodity contracts
|
14.9
|
0.6
|
25.0
|
21.6
|
Royalties
|
(143.6)
|
(166.6)
|
(452.0)
|
(455.5)
|
Operating
expenses
|
(213.4)
|
(201.8)
|
(651.4)
|
(599.9)
|
Transportation
expenses
|
(33.5)
|
(32.1)
|
(99.5)
|
(91.7)
|
Marketing
expenses
|
(59.9)
|
(72.1)
|
(182.3)
|
(204.3)
|
Operating
netbacks
|
519.7
|
560.9
|
1,577.2
|
1,529.1
|
"Operating netback ($/boe)" is a non-GAAP ratio calculated by
dividing operating netbacks by the total production for the period.
Operating netback is a non-GAAP financial measure component of
operating netback per boe. Operating netback per boe is not a
standardized financial measure under IFRS Accounting
Standards and, therefore may not be comparable with the
calculation of similar financial measures disclosed by other
entities. Presenting operating netback on a per boe basis allows
management to better analyze performance against prior periods on a
comparable basis.
"Per boe" or "($/boe)" disclosures for petroleum and
natural gas sales, royalties, operating expenses, transportation
expenses and marketing expenses are supplementary financial
measures that are calculated by dividing each of these respective
GAAP measures by the Company's total production volumes for the
period.
"Petroleum and natural gas revenues ($/boe)", "Tariffs
($/boe)", "Processing and other income ($/boe)" and "Marketing
revenues ($/boe)" are supplementary financial measures
calculated by dividing each of these components of petroleum and
natural gas sales, disclosed in Note 16 "Revenue" to the Company's
unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the three
and nine months ended September 30,
2024, by the Company's total production volumes for the
period.
"Realized gain on commodity contracts ($/boe)" is a
supplementary financial measure calculated by dividing realized
gain on commodity contracts, disclosed in Note 5(d) "Financial
Instruments and Risk Management – Market Risk" to the Company's
unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the three
and nine months ended September 30,
2024, by the Company's total production volumes for the
period.
Per Share Amounts
Per share amounts noted in this press release are based on fully
diluted shares outstanding unless noted otherwise.
SOURCE Whitecap Resources Inc.