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US & World Daily Markets Financial Briefing
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US & World Daily Markets Financial Briefing – US & World Daily Markets Financial Briefing
A daily summary of financial news from the markets in the U.S. and Asia. Includes European outlook,Forex and Commodities data. Click here to receive or daily bulletins. News provided by AFX/Associated Press.

US & World Daily Markets Financial Briefing 27-05-2009

27/05/2009
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World Daily Markets Bulletin
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    Wednesday 27 May 2009 16:05:51  
 
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US Market

Indecision Likely as Recovery Hopes Titillate Traders

In recent trading, the Nasdaq has pulled back off its high for the session, although it is currently holding onto a moderate gain. While the Nasdaq is up 8.37 at 1,758.80, the Dow is down 39.90 at 8,433.59 and the S&P 500 is down 1.69 at 908.64.

The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a lower opening on Wednesday. Yesterday’s strong rally could face test in today’s session, as traders turn cautious in the wake of a warning from agricultural input company Monsanto, a much feared potential bank-ruptcy filing by General Motors (GM) and an insipid mortgage applications data. Traders may now shift their attention to the housing market report scheduled to be released shortly after the markets open.

Even in the wake of disappointing housing data, the downside could be limited, as the recovery theme seems to be sinking in firmly in the minds of traders. The results of a survey released by the National Association for Business Economics showed that professional forecasters expect a recovery in the second half of the year, although they see a slow and painful recovery.

U.S. stocks opened Tuesday’s session lower, but they kicked into top gear immediately following the release of the results of the Conference Board’s consumer confidence survey. After a sharp rebound in early trading, the slope of the rally flattened out as the buying momentum waned. Nevertheless, the major averages all ended the session notably higher.

The Dow Industrials ended up 196.17 points or 2.37% at 8,474 and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 58.42 points or 3.45% to 1,750, while the S&P 500 Index moved up 23.33 points or 2.63% to 910.33.

Twenty-eight of the thirty Dow components ended the session higher, with only Bank of America (BAC) and Coca Cola (KO) bucking the uptrend. Alcoa (AA) (up 4.63%), American Express (AXP) (up 5%), Home Depot (HD) (up 4.11%) and JP Morgan Chase (JPM) (up 6.19%) were among the notable gainers.

Among sector indexes, the Dow Jones Transportation Average rose 4.06%, while the Dow Jones Utility Average gained 2.73%. The KBW Bank Index moved up 4.01% compared to a 2.83% rise by the Amex Securities Broker/Dealer Index. The Amex Biotechnology Index ended up 2.33%. The S&P Retail Index and the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index advanced 3.99% and 4.1%, respectively. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ended up 3.5%.

In the technology space, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 3.58%, the Amex Disk Drive Index gained 3.77% and the Amex Computer Hardware Index surged up about 4%. While the Amex Software Index and the Amex Internet Index gained about 2.50%, the Amex Networking Index rallied 3.14%.

On the economic front, the S&P-Case/Shiller home price survey showed that house prices fell 18.70% year-over-year in March, which was slightly worse than the expected drop of 18.40%. On a month-over-month basis, house prices were down a more modest 2.17%. All 20 cities surveyed showed annual declines.

Meanwhile, the Conference Board’s survey showed that the consumer confidence index jumped 14 points in May to 54.9, while economists had expected a more modest improvement to 42.6. While the present conditions index rose to 28.9 in May from 25.5 in the previous month, the expectations index climbed 21.3 points to 72.3, marking the highest reading since December 2007.

The S&P Retail Index has rebounded strongly enough to support the theory of a consumer-led recovery, which many have been advocating following the recent uptick in consumer confidence readings. A bullish crossover occurred as recently as mid-May, with the 50-day moving average climbing above its 200-day moving average. Due to the modest pullback seen in the index since early May, the RSI has come into more of a neutral zone.

Tuesday’s sharp spike in response to the consumer confidence data has placed the index close to a long-term support around 324. Other key support levels are its 50-day moving average of 314.6, 200-day moving average of 303, 287 and 240.


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Canadian News

Bay Street Stocks Look To Add To Rally

Toronto's main index will look to continue an upward move in early trading Wednesday after finishing the previous session at its best level in more than seven months.

Energy stocks may to add to gains of nearly 2% yesterday. Crude oil is up 29 cents at $62.74 in electronic trading. Oil has been picking up strength in recent weeks on improved hopes for energy demand.

On the downside, copper is down 2.5 cents at $2.116 per pound and could drag mining stocks lower. Gold is little-changed at $952.50.

Financials will be in focus throughout the week with the big six banks announcing earnings. Bank of Montreal got things started before Tuesday's open, reporting second quarter earnings that were lower than last year but better than analysts expectations.

On Thursday, Toronto-Dominion, Scotiabank, CIBC and National Bank will announce results. Royal Bank will report on Friday.
 
In other corporate news Wednesday, Patheon Inc. announced that it has commenced a legal action in the Ontario Superior Court of Justice against JLL Patheon Holdings LLC and its nominees to Patheon's board, Ramsey Frank, Paul Levy and Thomas Taylor.

TransAlta Corp. priced an offering of $200 million of 6.45% senior notes due in 2014. The senior notes were priced at 99.823% for yield to maturity of 6.49%. The notes are rated stable by Standard & Poor's Rating Services.

Zarlink Semiconductor reported a net loss for the fourth quarter of US$50.3 million or US$0.41 per share, compared to a net loss of US$20.0 million or US$0.16 per share in the previous year quarter.

In economic news across the border, the Mortgage Bankers Association revealed that its market index of mortgage application volume fell 14.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week of May 22nd. The Market Composite Index was 786.0 compared to 915.9 in the previous week.

On Tuesday, the S&P/TSX Composite Index gained 216.40 points or 2.14% to move at 10,285.90. Toronto's main index posted its highest close since October 3.


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Asian Market

Most markets in the Asia-Pacific region closed higher on Wednesday, tracking the positive lead from Wall Street. Positive trade data from Japan and an announcement of an economic stimulus package in Hong Kong as well as higher commodity prices lifted sentiment across the markets. However, South Korea’s KOSPI Index ended in negative territory on increasing concerns over security in the region after North Korea declared that the armistice that ended the Korea War in 1953 is no longer valid.

The Nikkei 225 Average opened sharply higher at 9,427 compared to its previous close at 9,311, led by positive cues from Wall Street, and continued to surge ahead to a high of 9,491 in morning session. Positive economic data on the home front, which signaled that exports may see a modest recovery from the recent slump, and the weakening of the local currency against the greenback also lifted sentiment. Due to a lack of buying support at higher levels, the index gave back some of its gains and ended the session with a gain of 128 points, or 1.37%, at 9,439.

On the economic front, the Ministry of Finance revealed that the country registered a merchandise trade surplus of 69.0 billion yen in April, compared to expectations of a trade deficit of 69.5 billion yen, marking the third straight month of surpluses. Exports plummeted 39.1% year-over-year, while imports fell 35.8%. On a seasonally adjusted basis, exports were up 1.9% in April, the report revealed.

The minutes released by Bank of Japan for its recent meeting on April 30 revealed that board members felt that there was no need for additional policy steps to combat the economic slowdown. The number of downgrades among Japanese firms may continue to increase, the board said.

Nikon Corp advanced 3.48% after the company announced plans to trim its workforce by 1,000 employees in its effort to reduce costs. Seven & I Holdings lost 1.47% after the company revealed that it would shut down the Sapporo outlet of group company Seibu Department Stores Ltd. by the year-end and sell the property after its closure.

Among banking stocks, Mitsubishi UFJ advanced 2.13%. Mizuho Financial gained 1.31%, Resona Holdings edged up 0.07%, and Sumitomo Mitsui added 0.80%.

Notwithstanding a bounce in oil prices, oil stocks ended mixed. Inpex lost 1.67% and Nippon Oil shed 1.70%, but Showa Shell advanced 2.12%.

In Sydney, the All Ordinaries Index, which closed Tuesday's trading session at 3,782, opened higher at 3,791 and continued to surge ahead to 3,828 in early trading on positive cues from Wall Street and higher commodity prices. However, traders preferred to sell stocks in order to participate in the A$2.85 billion capital-raising program of ANZ Bank, dragging the index lower. Amid alternate bouts of selective buying and selling, the market ended with a gain of 13.70 points, or 0.36%, at 3,795. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index followed a similar trend and ended up at 3,801, representing a gain of 12.7 points or 0.3%.

Resource stocks advanced, led by higher commodity prices in the international market. Oil stocks also advanced after crude oil prices continued to move northward. Woodside Petroleum added 0.28%, Santos gained 1.54% and Oil Search advanced 2.08%.

Stocks across the sectors witnessed selling, as investors raised funds to participate in the capital-raising program of ANZ Banking. The bank is planning to raise $2.85 billion through a share placement. The bank intends to utilize the proceeds from the issue for funding its potential acquisition of the assets of Royal Bank of Scotland and for other corporate purposes. Financial stocks saw weakness, while gold and retail stocks also came under selling pressure.

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index surged up more than 5% after the government announced a fresh stimulus package equivalent to approximately US$2.2 billion, involving tax cuts, fee waivers and spending. All but one of the 42 components of the Hang Seng Index posted impressive gains. The Hang Seng index ended the day with a gain of 5.26% or 897 points at 17,885.

Property stocks advanced on expectations that the stimulus package would spur economic activity. Henderson Land soared 7.71% and SHK Property gained 5.13%. Except New World Development, which edged down 0.28%, all other stocks in the sector posted gains.

Li & Fung, which supplies clothes and toys to major retailers in the U.S. such as Wal-Mart and Target Corp., was the major gainer following the upbeat consumer confidence reading in the U.S. The stock soared 10.82%.

In South Korea, the benchmark KOSPI Index ended in negative terrain, as security concerns overshadowed the positive sentiment across the region. After showing some degree of volatility, the index finally ended in negative territory with a loss of 10.02 points, or 0.73% at 1,362.

Heavyweight Samsung Electronics edged down 0.53% on heavy selling pressure. Among technology stocks, Hynix Semiconductor declined more than 4% after a U.S. court gave an unfavorable verdict on its patent infringement case against a chipmaker based in the U.S.

Shipbuilders dragged the market down on bleak investor confidence. Daewoo Shipbuilding lost 5.75% and Samsung Heavy Industries slipped 2.08%. However, Hyundai Heavy Industries ended in positive territory, posting a gain of 1.16% after reporting a 15% rise in sales during April on an annual basis.

In India, the stock market ended higher, mirroring the positive sentiment across the Asian markets and the gains on Wall Street. The broader market witnessed across-the-board buying interest, with mid-cap and small-cap stocks leading the way. Hectic activity on the options front ahead of the close of May series tomorrow also lifted the indices. The BSE Sensex closed at 14,110, up 520.41 points, or 3.84%.

Among the other major markets in the region, China's Shanghai Composite Index gained 44.35 points or 1.71% to close at 2,633, Indonesia's Jakarta Composite Index added 1.90% or 35.26 points to close at 1,893, Singapore's Strait Times Index ended higher at 2,306, representing a gain of 67.29 points or 3.01% and Taiwan's Weighted Index rose 207.33 points or 3.10% to 6,890.


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European Markets and U.S. Economic Reports

The major European markets have turned mixed in Wednesday’s session following yesterday’s rally. The French CAC 40 Index and the German DAX Index are rising 0.40% and 0.11%, respectively, while the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index is receding 0.17%.

In corporate news, the U.K.’s Northern Foods said its full year pre-tax profits fell to 47.5 million pounds from 50.1 million pounds last year despite 4.6% revenue growth to 975.2 million pounds.

Royal Dutch Shell (RDS) confirmed today that it is implementing a major restructuring, while also undertaking a boardroom overhaul. The company also said it would merge two of its three upstream exploration subsidies. The actions are likely to result in unspecified number of job cuts.

On the economic front, the French National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies released the results of its consumer confidence and business confidence surveys, which showed slight improvement from month-ago levels. The summary consumer confidence indicator rose by 1 point in May to –40. The personal financial position outlook improved slightly, although it still remained negative. The outlook for living standards in France and the timeliness for major purchases rose. Meanwhile, the synthetic indicator of the industrial economic climate rose 1 point to 72.

U.S. Economic Reports

The National Association of Realtors is scheduled to release its report on existing home sales for April at 10 AM ET. Economists estimate existing home sales of 4.66 million for the month.

In March, existing home sales fell 3% month-over-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.57 million. Economists had expected a less severe decline to 4.70 million units. Annually, existing home sales were down 7.1%. The median sales price of an existing home declined 12.4% from a year-ago to $175,200, although it increased from the previous month. While total inventories of existing homes for sale fell during the month, the supply of existing homes at the current sales pace rose to 9.8 months in March from 9.7 in February due to a slower pace of sales.

Earnings

Staples (SPLS) reported first quarter adjusted earnings of 22 cents per share, down 27% year-over-year. Sales rose 19% to $5.8 billion. Analysts, on average, estimated earnings of 21 cents per share on revenues of $5.85 billion.

AutoZone’s (AZO) third quarter net income rose 25.9% to $3.13 per share from $2.49 per share last year. Net sales increased to $1.66 billion from $1.52 billion last year. The consensus estimates had called for earnings of $2.89 per share on revenues of $1.61 billion.

Chico’s FAS (CHS) reported that its first quarter earnings rose to 8 cents per share from 7 cents per share last year. On an adjusted basis, the company reported earnings of 11 cents per share, higher than 7 cents per share last year. Sales fell to $409.6 million from $410.6 million last year. Analysts estimated earnings of 8 cents per share on revenues of $408.02 million.


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Stocks in Focus

General Motors (GM) could be in focus after it said its exchange offers for $27.2 billion of its unsecured public notes expired today, with the tendered notes less than the amount required by the company to satisfy the debt reduction required under its loan agreements with the government. Therefore, the company noted that the exchange offers would not be consummated.

Allegheny Technologies (ATI) could come under pressure after it announced that it intends to offer concurrently $300 million aggregate principal amount of senior notes due 2019 and $350 million aggregate amount of convertible notes due 2014. The company said it would use the net proceeds from the senior notes offering to purchase any and all of its outstanding 8.375% notes due 2011. The net proceeds from the convertible notes offering will be used to manage its liabilities and other obligations.

Donaldson Company (DCI) may come under selling pressure after it lowered its full year earnings guidance to between $1.55 and $1.70 per share from its earlier estimate of $1.70-$1.90 per share. The company also said the estimate includes restructuring costs in the range of $21-$23 million. Sales are likely to decline by 15%-20% to $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion. Analysts estimate earnings of $1.72 per share on revenues of $1.93 billion. The company also reported that its third quarter earnings declined to 34 cents per share from 57 cents per share in the year-ago period, as revenues fell 30% year-over-year. The consensus estimates had called for earnings of 30 cents per share on revenues of $435 million.

Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) is also likely to move in reaction to its announcement that it reported a second quarter loss of 13 cents per share compared to a profit of $1.29 per share in the year-ago period. On an adjusted basis, the company reported a loss of 4 cents per share, narrower than the consensus estimate for a loss of 13 cents per share. Revenues declined to $229.7 million from $539.8 million last year, with the decline not as steep as what analysts had expected. The company expects fourth quarter earnings of $1.08-$1.28 per share compared to the 81 cents per share consensus estimate. Revenues are estimated at $420 million to $500 million, while analysts estimate revenues of $455.4 million. For the full year, the company estimates break-even results to earnings of 20 cents per share on revenues of $1.05 billion to $1.15 billion. Analysts estimate earnings of 12 cents per share on revenues of $1.17 billion.

Alliance Data Systems (ADS) could see weakness after it announced that it proposes to offer $300 million aggregate principal amount of convertible senior notes due 2014 to qualified institutional buyers. The company said it expects to use the net proceeds to repurchase $75 million worth of shares, to pay an estimated amount of $39.3 million for the cost of convertible note hedge transactions and for general corporate purposes.

Cree (CREE) may gain ground after it upwardly revised its fourth quarter revenue estimate to $143 million to $150 million from its earlier estimate of $137 million to $143 million, citing strong booking trends. The company also raised its adjusted earnings estimate to 15-17 cents per share from 13-15 cents per share.


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