Touchstone Exploration Inc. (“Touchstone” or the “Company”)
(TSX:TXP) (LSE:TXP) announces the results of its independent
year-end 2017 reserves evaluation. Reserve numbers provided herein
were derived from an independent reserves report (the “Reserves
Report”) prepared by GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. (“GLJ”)
effective December 31, 2017.
All currency amounts are in Canadian dollars
unless otherwise stated. The financial information contained herein
is based on the Company’s unaudited expected results for the year
ended December 31, 2017 and is subject to change.
The Company expects to release an operational
update next week and 2017 year-end results on March 27, 2018.
2017 Year-end Reserve Report
Highlights
- The Company increased proved reserves (“1P”) by 20% or 1,756
Mbbl after production and increased proved plus probable reserves
(“2P”) by 18% or 2,837 Mbbl after production.
- The increase in reserves replaced production by 450% on a 1P
basis and 665% on a 2P basis.
- The Company’s December 31, 2017 net present value of future net
revenues before tax (discounted at 10 percent) was $407.9 million
($210.5 million on a 1P basis).
- December 31, 2017 net present value of future net revenues
after tax (discounted at 10 percent) was $156.7 million ($83.5
million on a 1P basis).
- Future development costs (“FDC”) associated with a portion of
the Company’s internally identified drilling location inventory and
portfolio of low risk recompletion projects totaled $57.8 million
for 1P and $85.3 million for both 2P.
- Finding and development costs (including changes in FDC) were
$7.66 for 1P and $6.33 for 2P. Using the Company’s estimated 2017
operating netback of $24.23 per barrel, the 1P recycle ratio was
3.2 times, and the 2P recycle ratio was 3.8 times.
- The Company’s asset base remains conservatively booked, with 1P
assigned 62 drilling locations (30% of the Company’s identified
drilling inventory) and 2P assigned 90 drilling locations (43% of
the Company’s identified drilling inventory).
2017 Year-end Reserves
Summary
Touchstone’s year-end crude reserves in Trinidad
were evaluated by independent reserves evaluator GLJ in accordance
with definitions, standards and procedures contained in the
Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook and National Instrument
51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI
51-101”). Additional reserves information as required under NI
51-101 will be included in the Company’s Annual Information Form,
which will be filed on SEDAR on or before March 31, 2018. The
reserves estimates set forth below are based upon GLJ’s Reserve
Report dated March 7, 2018. All values in this press release are
based on GLJ’s forecast prices and estimates of future operating
and capital costs as at December 31, 2017.
In certain tables set forth below, the columns
may not add due to rounding. Possible reserves are those additional
reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable
reserves. There is a 10 percent probability that the quantities
actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus
probable plus possible reserves.
Summary of Gross Oil Reserves as of
December 31, 2017 by Product Type(1),(2)
Reserves Category |
|
|
Light and Medium Oil(Mbbl) |
Heavy Oil(Mbbl) |
Total
OilEquivalent(Mbbl) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
|
|
4,017 |
571 |
4,588 |
Developed Non-Producing |
|
|
781 |
213 |
994 |
Undeveloped |
|
|
4,594 |
558 |
5,152 |
Total Proved |
|
|
9,391 |
1,342 |
10,733 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Probable |
|
|
7,058 |
744 |
7,802 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
|
|
16,450 |
2,086 |
18,535 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Possible |
|
|
5,297 |
624 |
5,921 |
Total Proved plus Probable plus
Possible |
|
21,747 |
2,710 |
24,456 |
Notes: |
|
(1) |
Gross
Reserves are the Company's working interest share of the remaining
reserves before deduction of any royalties. |
(2) |
See
“Advisories: Oil and Natural Gas Reserves”. |
Summary of Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue as
of December 31, 2017(1),(2)
Reserves Category |
Net Present Values of Future Net Revenues
Before Income Taxes Discounted at (% per year)
($000’s) |
0% |
5% |
10% |
15% |
20% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
114,771 |
79,682 |
62,994 |
53,032 |
46,294 |
Developed Non-Producing |
53,820 |
44,682 |
37,912 |
32,742 |
28,692 |
Undeveloped |
195,543 |
140,798 |
109,612 |
88,523 |
73,281 |
Total Proved |
364,134 |
265,163 |
210,518 |
174,297 |
148,268 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Probable |
393,087 |
265,708 |
197,411 |
154,840 |
125,856 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
757,221 |
530,871 |
407,929 |
329,136 |
274,124 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Possible |
323,132 |
188,257 |
132,408 |
102,272 |
83,287 |
Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
1,080,353 |
719,128 |
540,337 |
431,408 |
357,411 |
Reserves Category |
Net Present Values of Future Net Revenues
After Income Taxes(3) Discounted at (% per year)
($000’s) |
0% |
5% |
10% |
15% |
20% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
48,259 |
37,339 |
31,670 |
28,047 |
25,452 |
Developed Non-Producing |
19,282 |
16,114 |
13,779 |
12,002 |
10,614 |
Undeveloped |
69,483 |
49,554 |
38,035 |
30,218 |
24,574 |
Total Proved |
137,024 |
103,007 |
83,484 |
70,267 |
60,640 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Probable |
141,383 |
97,435 |
73,214 |
57,881 |
47,356 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
278,406 |
200,442 |
156,698 |
128,148 |
107,996 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Possible |
113,175 |
69,477 |
50,329 |
39,691 |
32,888 |
Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
391,581 |
269,919 |
207,027 |
167,839 |
140,884 |
Notes: |
|
(1) |
Based on GLJ’s December
31, 2017 escalated price forecast. See “Summary of Pricing,
Inflation and Foreign Exchange Assumptions”. |
(2) |
See “Advisories: Oil
and Natural Gas Reserves”. |
(3) |
Income taxes include
all resource income, appropriate income tax calculations per
current Republic of Trinidad and Tobago tax regulations and
estimated December 31, 2017 consolidated tax pools and non-capital
losses. |
Summary of Pricing, Inflation and
Foreign Exchange Assumptions
The following table sets forth the benchmark
reference prices, inflation and foreign exchange rates reflected in
the Reserves Report.
Forecast Year |
NYMEX WTI at Cushing, Oklahoma
(US$/bbl)(1) |
Brent Blend FOB North Sea
(US$/bbl)(1) |
Inflation Rate (%/year)(2) |
US$/C$ Exchange Rate(3) |
|
|
|
|
|
2018 |
59.00 |
65.50 |
2.0 |
0.79 |
2019 |
59.00 |
63.50 |
2.0 |
0.79 |
2020 |
60.00 |
63.00 |
2.0 |
0.80 |
2021 |
63.00 |
66.00 |
2.0 |
0.81 |
2022 |
66.00 |
69.00 |
2.0 |
0.82 |
2023 |
69.00 |
72.00 |
2.0 |
0.83 |
2024 |
72.00 |
75.00 |
2.0 |
0.83 |
2025 |
75.00 |
78.00 |
2.0 |
0.83 |
2026 |
77.33 |
80.33 |
2.0 |
0.83 |
2027 |
78.88 |
81.88 |
2.0 |
0.83 |
Thereafter % change per
year |
2.0% |
2.0% |
Nil |
Nil |
|
|
|
|
|
Notes: |
|
(1) |
This summary table
identifies benchmark reference pricing schedules that might apply
to a reporting issuer. Product sales prices will reflect these
reference prices with further adjustments for quality differentials
and transportation to point of sale. |
(2) |
Inflation rates for
forecasting pricing and costs. |
(3) |
Exchange rates used to
generate the benchmark reference prices in this table. |
Reconciliation of Changes in Gross
Reserves(1),(2)
Factors |
|
Total Proved Reserves (Mbbl) |
Total Proved plus Probable Reserves
(Mbbl) |
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2016 |
|
8,977 |
15,698 |
Extensions and improved recovery |
|
1,880 |
3,256 |
Technical revisions |
|
386 |
110 |
Economic factors |
|
(8) |
(26) |
Production |
|
(502) |
(502) |
December 31, 2017 |
|
10,733 |
18,535 |
Reserves replacement ratio (%)(3) |
|
450 |
665 |
Notes: |
|
(1) |
Gross Reserves are the
Company's working interest share of the remaining reserves before
deduction of any royalties. |
(2) |
See “Advisories: Oil
and Natural Gas Reserves”. |
(3) |
Reserves replacement
ratio is calculated as net increase to reserves divided by 2017
average production of 502 Mbbl. See “Advisories: Oil and Gas
Metrics”. |
Future Development Costs
The following table provides information
regarding the development costs deducted in the estimation of the
Company’s future net revenue using forecast prices and costs as
included in the Reserves Report.
Year |
|
Total Proved Reserves ($000’s) |
Total Proved plus Probable Reserves ($000’s) |
|
|
|
|
2018 |
|
10,400 |
13,170 |
2019 |
|
18,039 |
23,633 |
2020 |
|
18,020 |
25,703 |
2021 |
|
11,384 |
22,780 |
Thereafter |
|
- |
- |
Total
undiscounted |
|
57,842 |
85,287 |
Total discounted at 10% per year |
|
47,906 |
69,615 |
Reserve Life Index by Reserves
Category(1),(2)
The Company reduced its December 31, 2017 2P
reserve life index by 19% from year-end 2016 from 24.0 years to
20.2 years. The following table provides the reserve life index by
reserves category as included in the Reserves Report.
Reserves Category |
|
|
Gross Reserves Volume (Mbbl) |
Reserve Life(years) |
Reserve Life Index (years) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
Proved |
|
|
10,733 |
50.0 |
14.2 |
Total Probable |
|
|
7,802 |
50.0 |
48.7 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
|
|
18,535 |
50.0 |
20.2 |
Notes: |
|
(1) |
Gross
Reserves are the Company's working interest share of the remaining
reserves before deduction of any royalties. |
(2) |
See
“Advisories: Oil and Gas Metrics”. |
Estimated Company Gross Reserve Metrics(1)
|
Total Proved Reserves |
Total Proved plus Probable
Reserves |
|
|
|
Exploration capital
expenditures ($000’s)(2),(3) |
1,183 |
1,183 |
Development capital
expenditures ($000’s)(2),(3) |
6,960 |
6,960 |
Change in
future development costs ($000’s) |
9,142 |
12,986 |
Estimated finding and development costs(4) |
17,285 |
21,129 |
Net reserve additions (Mbbl)(4) |
2,258 |
3,339 |
Estimated finding and development costs per barrel
($/bbl)(4) |
7.66 |
6.33 |
Estimated 2017 operating netback
($/bbl)(2),(5) |
24.23 |
24.23 |
Estimated recycle ratio(4) |
3.2x |
3.8x |
Notes: |
|
(1) |
Gross
Reserves are the Company's working interest share of the remaining
reserves before deduction of any royalties. |
(2) |
Financial
information is based on the Company’s preliminary 2017 unaudited
financial statements and is therefore subject to audit.
Accordingly, unaudited capital expenditure amounts and operating
netbacks used in the calculation of finding and development costs
and recycle ratios are Management’s estimate and are subject to
change. |
(3) |
Exploration
and development capital excludes capitalized general and
administration costs and corporate asset expenditures. See
“Advisories: Oil and Gas Metrics”. |
(4) |
See
“Advisories: Oil and Natural Gas Reserves” and “Advisories: Oil and
Gas Metrics”. |
(5) |
See
“Non-GAAP Measures”. |
Advisories
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain information provided in this press
release may constitute forward-looking statements within the
meaning of applicable securities laws. Forward-looking information
in this press release may include, but is not limited to,
statements relating to estimated crude oil reserves, current field
estimated production, the potential undertaking, timing, locations
and costs of future well drilling, the quality and quantity of
prospective hydrocarbon accumulations as indicated by wireline
logs, drilling location inventory, future development costs
associated with crude oil reserves, and sufficiency of resources to
fund operations. Although the Company believes that the
expectations and assumptions on which the forward-looking
statements are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be
placed on the forward-looking statements because the Company can
give no assurance that they will prove to be correct. Because
forward-looking statements address future events and conditions, by
their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties.
Actual results could differ materially from those currently
anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. Certain of these
risks are set out in more detail in the Company’s Annual
Information Form dated March 21, 2017 which has been filed on SEDAR
and can be accessed at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking
statements contained in this press release are made as of the date
hereof; and except as may be required by applicable securities
laws, the Company assumes no obligation to update publicly or
revise any forward-looking statements made herein or otherwise,
whether as a result of new information, future events or
otherwise.
Statements relating to reserves are by their
nature forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied
assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the
reserves and resources described exist in the quantities predicted
or estimated, and can be profitably produced in the future. The
recovery and reserve estimates of Touchstone’s reserves provided
herein are estimates only, and there is no guarantee that the
estimated reserves will be recovered. Consequently, actual results
may differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking
statements.
Oil and Natural Gas
Reserves
The disclosure in this press release summarizes
certain information contained in the Reserves Report but represents
only a portion of the disclosure required under NI 51-101. Full
disclosure with respect to the Company’s reserves as at December
31, 2017 will be contained in the Company’s Annual Information Form
for the year ended December 31, 2017 which will be filed on SEDAR
on or before March 31, 2018. All evaluations and reviews of future
net revenues are stated prior to any provision for finance expenses
or general and administrative costs and after the deduction of
estimated future capital expenditures and estimated future well
abandonment costs. It should not be assumed that the present worth
of estimated future net revenues presented in the tables above
represent the fair market value of the reserves. There is no
assurance that the forecast prices and costs assumptions will be
attained, and variances could be material. The recovery and
reserves estimates of crude oil provided herein are estimates only,
and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be
recovered. Actual crude oil reserves may be greater than or less
than the estimates provided herein.
GLJ has forecast reserve volumes and future cash
flows based upon current and historical well performance through to
the economic production limit of individual wells. Notwithstanding
established precedence and contractual options for the continuation
and renewal of the Company’s existing operating agreements, in many
cases the forecast economic limit of individual wells is beyond the
current term of the relevant operating agreements.
Oil and Gas Metrics
This press release contains certain oil and gas
metrics that are commonly used in the oil and gas industry such as
reserves additions, reserves replacement ratio, reserve life index,
finding and development costs, and recycle ratio. These metrics do
not have standardized meanings or standardized methods of
calculation and therefore such measures may not be comparable to
similar measures presented by other companies. Such metrics have
been included herein to provide readers with additional metrics to
evaluate the Company’s performance; however, such measures are not
reliable indicators of the future performance of the Company, and
future performance may not compare to the performance in prior
periods and therefore such metrics should not be unduly relied
upon. The Company uses these oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures
to compare the Company’s operations over time. Readers are
cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or that
can be derived from the metrics presented in this press release,
should not be relied upon for investment purposes.
Net reserve additions are calculated as the
change in reserves from the beginning to the end of the applicable
period excluding period production. Reserves replacement ratio is
calculated as period net reserve additions divided by period
production. Reserve life index is calculated as total Company gross
reserves divided by annual production.
Finding and development costs are the sum of
capital expenditures excluding capitalized general and
administrative costs and corporate capital expenditures incurred in
the period and the change in future development costs required to
develop those reserves. The Company’s annual audit of its December
31, 2017 consolidated financial statements is not complete.
Accordingly, unaudited capital expenditure amounts used in the
calculation of finding and development costs are Management’s
estimate and are subject to change. Finding and development costs
per barrel is determined by dividing current period net reserve
additions to the corresponding period’s finding and development
cost. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs
incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during
that year in estimated future development costs generally will not
reflect total finding and development costs related to reserves
additions for that year.
Recycle ratios are calculated by dividing the
current period finding and development costs per barrel to
operating netbacks prior to realized gains or losses on commodity
derivative contracts in the corresponding period (see “Non-GAAP
Measures”). The Company’s annual audit of its December 31, 2017
consolidated financial statements is not complete. Accordingly,
unaudited operating netbacks used in the calculation of recycle
ratio are Management’s estimate and are subject to change. The
recycle ratio compares netbacks from existing reserves to the cost
of finding new reserves and may not accurately indicate the
investment success unless the replacement of reserves are of
equivalent quality as the produced reserves.
Drilling Locations
This press release discloses drilling locations
in three categories: (i)1P locations; (ii) 2P locations; and (iii)
unbooked locations.1P locations and 2P locations are derived from
the Reserves Report and account for locations that have associated
proved and/or probable reserves, as applicable. Unbooked locations
are internal estimates based on the prospective acreage associated
with the Company’s assets and an assumption as to the number of
wells that can be drilled based on industry practice and internal
review. Unbooked locations do not have attributed reserves. Of the
approximately 208 (net) drilling locations identified herein, 62
(net) are 1P locations; 28 (net) are 2P locations; and the
remaining are unbooked locations. Unbooked locations have been
identified by Management as an estimation of the Company’s
multi-year drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable
geologic, seismic, engineering, production and reserves
information. There is no certainty that the Company will drill all
unbooked locations, and if drilled there is no certainty that such
locations will result in additional oil and gas reserves or
production. The locations on which the Company will actually drill
wells will ultimately depend upon the availability of capital,
regulatory approvals, crude oil prices, costs, actual drilling
results, additional reservoir information that can be obtained and
other factors. While certain of the unbooked drilling locations
have been de-risked by drilling existing wells in relative close
proximity to such unbooked drilling locations, other unbooked
drilling locations are farther away from existing wells where
Management has less information about the characteristics of the
reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells
will be drilled in such locations, and if drilled there is more
uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas
reserves or production.
Non-GAAP Measures
The Company uses operating netback as a key
performance indicator of field results. Operating netback does not
have a standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be
comparable with the calculation of similar measures by other
companies. Operating netback is presented on a per barrel basis and
is calculated by deducting royalties and operating expenses from
petroleum revenue. Operating netback is presented herein prior to
realized gains or losses on commodity derivative contracts. The
Company’s annual audit of its December 31, 2017 consolidated
financial statements is not complete. Accordingly, unaudited
figures used in the calculation of operating netback and recycle
ratios are Management’s estimate and are subject to change. The
Company considers operating netbacks to be a key measure as they
demonstrate Touchstone’s profitability relative to current
commodity prices. This measurement assists Management and investors
in evaluating operating results on a per barrel basis to analyze
performance on a historical basis.
Crude Oil Abbreviations
bbl(s) |
|
barrel(s) |
bbls/d |
|
barrels per day |
Mbbl |
|
one thousand
barrels |
About Touchstone
Touchstone Exploration Inc. is a Calgary based
company engaged in the business of acquiring interests in petroleum
and natural gas rights, and the exploration, development,
production and sale of petroleum and natural gas. Touchstone is
currently active in onshore properties located in the Republic of
Trinidad and Tobago. The Company's common shares are traded on the
Toronto Stock Exchange and the AIM market of the London Stock
Exchange under the symbol “TXP”.
Contact
Mr. Paul Baay, President and Chief Executive
Officer; orMr. James Shipka, Chief Operating OfficerTelephone:
403.750.4487www.touchstoneexploration.com
Touchstone Exploration (TSX:TXP)
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