Analyst Says Bitcoin Fun Will Begin When This Flip Happens
15 Janeiro 2025 - 2:30AM
NEWSBTC
An analyst has explained how a crossover between these two Bitcoin
metrics would have to happen before the ‘fun’ can begin for the
asset. Bitcoin Realized Price Is Yet To Flip 200-Week MA In a new
post on X, analyst James Van Straten has discussed about the
Realized Price and 200-week moving average (MA) for Bitcoin. The
“Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain indicator that, in
short, keeps track of the cost basis or acquisition price of the
average investor on the BTC network. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slips
Under $91,000 As Crypto Inflows See 56% Decline When the spot price
of the cryptocurrency is greater than this metric, it means the
holders as a whole are in a state of net unrealized profit. On the
other hand, it being under the indicator suggests the overall
market is holding loss. The 200-week MA, the other metric of
interest here, is an indicator from technical analysis. An MA is a
tool that calculates the average value of a given quantity over a
specified time period and as its name implies, moves with time. MAs
are useful for studying long-term trends, as they remove all the
short-term kinks out of an asset’s price chart. Certain MAs are
considered to carry more significance than the other, with one such
period being 200 weeks. Below is the chart shared by the analyst
that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price and 200-week MA
over the past several years. As is visible in the graph, the
Bitcoin Realized Price fell under the 200-week MA back during the
2022 bear market. Since then, the metric has remained under the
line, but recently, it has been fast approaching a retest. From the
chart, it’s apparent that previous crosses for the indicator above
the MA led to full-blown bull runs for the cryptocurrency. “When
the realized price flips the 200WMA the fun begins,” notes Van
Straten. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Now
Capitulating: Bottom Here? Thus, it’s possible that such a
crossover could end up being bullish for Bitcoin in the current
cycle as well. It only remains to be seen, though, whether the
Realized Price would actually end up surpassing the level in the
near future or if a rejection is waiting. On another note, the
Realized Price has historically served as the boundary line for the
bear market lows in the asset’s price. As mentioned earlier, the
majority of the market enters into a state of loss when BTC falls
under the metric. There aren’t many sellers left looking to take
profits in such a market, which is why the asset tends to reach a
bottom during it. BTC Price Bitcoin has shown a sharp jump over the
past day as its price has recovered to the $96,600 mark after
having dropped as low as under $90,000 yesterday. Featured image
from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
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