Macy's Conversions Create Risks for Federated, Opportunities for Competitors, Says Standard & Poor's Equity Research
31 Maio 2006 - 3:05PM
PR Newswire (US)
Chico's, Nordstrom and Kohl's Could See Biggest Benefits NEW YORK,
May 31 /PRNewswire/ -- Federated Department Stores' (NYSE: FD; $72)
aggressive timeline for converting its recently acquired May's
department stores into Macy's could create opportunities for
competitors to gain market share during this summer and
back-to-school season, according to Standard & Poor's Equity
Research Services. These and other findings are available in two
semi-annual reports on the retail industry, Apparel & Footwear
Industry Survey and Retailing: General Industry Survey, published
by Standard & Poor's, a leading provider of independent
investment research. With a September deadline to convert about 400
stores acquired as part of the May acquisition to Macy's, Federated
faces a number of operational, customer service and execution
risks, by S&P's analysis. Additionally, Federated's focus on
the conversions could negatively impact the company's merchandising
efforts and cause it to resort to discounting merchandise to entice
shoppers and meet sales targets. Standard & Poor's Equity
Research has a "Hold" (3-STARS out of 5) recommendation on the
stock partly because of these risks. "As business in former May
stores becomes disrupted during merchandise changes and renovations
this summer, we think Federated may lose some sales to competitors,
particularly if shoppers are disappointed by new assortments or
alienated via unfocused or under-trained staff," says Jason Asaeda,
General Merchandise Stores Analyst, Standard & Poor's Equity
Research Services. "Shoppers may choose stores that are more
familiar and attentive. If that occurs, Federated may have to use
discounts to lure customers back into its stores, which we view as
a worst-case scenario." Standard & Poor's Equity Research
Services believes that Nordstrom (NYSE: JWN; $36) could be one of
the primary beneficiaries of the issues facing Federated because of
its strong customer service reputation and its focus on the luxury
market and affluent shoppers. Standard & Poor's Equity Research
Services has a "Buy" (4-STARS) recommendation on Nordstrom.
Standard & Poor's Equity Research also has a "Buy" (4-STARS)
recommendation on Kohl's (NYSE: KSS; $54) because of its continuing
efforts to inject newness and higher quality into its assortments,
and in the process, broaden its customer base. Chico's (NYSE: CHS;
$30; 5-STARS) is a third company that could benefit from potential
issues at Federated, in Standard & Poor's view, because of its
reputation for strong customer service, its fashion sense and the
continued rollout of its Soma line of intimate apparel. "Federated
already faces competition on multiple fronts from specialty
retailers, mass market department stores and purveyors of luxury
goods. If Federated's customers experience service disruptions or
fail to be impressed by the summer and fall offerings, then other
retailers have the opportunity to improve their market share,"
opines Marie Driscoll, Group Head, Consumer Discretionary - Retail,
Standard & Poor's Equity Research. "Most retailers use the
back-to-school season as a precursor for the holiday season, so a
bad back to school could domino into a poor holiday showing.
Retailers, like Nordstrom and Chico's, with strong reputations for
customer service could benefit the most from the changes at
Federated." To view a video clip of Standard & Poor's equity
analyst Jason Asaeda discussing the sector, please click here:
mms://wmd31sea.activate.net/sandp/windows/sptv-survey-30.wmv
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