22nd Annual PNC Christmas Price Index Up 3 Percent; Dancers, Drummers and Pipers Earn More in Tight Labor Market
27 Novembro 2006 - 10:16AM
PR Newswire (US)
- Cost of '12 Days of Christmas' Reflect Consumer Pricing Trends -
PITTSBURGH, Nov. 27 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Historically low
unemployment is making it more expensive to give the gift of live
entertainment this year, according to the PNC Christmas Price
Index. The tongue-in-cheek economic analysis by PNC Wealth
Management is based on the cost of gifts in the holiday classic,
"The Twelve Days of Christmas." According to the 22nd annual
survey, the cost of "The Twelve Days of Christmas" is $18,920 in
2006, a 3.1 percent increase over last year. Gift prices mirrored
the U.S. government's Consumer Price Index -- a widely used measure
of inflation calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. "The
Christmas Price Index reflects trends in the broader economy," said
Jeff Kleintop, chief investment strategist for PNC Wealth
Management. "After years of stagnation, wages for skilled workers,
including the song's dancers and musicians, have increased as the
labor market has tightened. Also, a decline in the housing market
has dampened demand for luxury goods, such as gold rings." Drumming
Up Raises or Milking the Minimum Wage? The largest dollar increase
this year resulted from rising labor costs -- exceeding the rate of
inflation for the first time in years. According to Philadanco, the
Philadelphia Dance Company, nine Ladies Dancing earned $4,759, 4
percent more than in 2006, compared to a raise of 3 percent for
Lords-a- Leaping. The musicians, Drummers Drumming and Pipers
Piping, earned 3.4 percent more compared with 2005.
Maids-a-Milking, who are paid the minimum wage, were the only
service providers not to see an increase this year. The federal
minimum wage has been set at $5.15 per hour since 1997. Inflation
since 1996 has steadily eroded the purchasing power of the hourly
minimum, which would be worth $4.04 in 1996 dollars. Pear Tree
Prices Skyrocket; Bird Prices Fly Lower The Partridge's home saw
the greatest increase of all the items in the index, as Pear Tree
prices increased 44 percent from last year. "Robust commercial
construction is sparking landscapers' demand for ornamental trees,
such as the species of pear used in the survey," said Kleintop.
True Loves will find no increase in the cost of Partridges and most
other birds this year as the cost of fuel to ship them leveled off,
according to The Cincinnati Zoo and Botanical Gardens. The
exceptions were birds purchased at retail stores. Calling Birds,
which are purchased at a national pet store chain, increased 20
percent. Like many of the birds, the price for Gold Rings was flat
compared to last year, even though the price of the raw
material-gold-rose significantly. "A slowing residential real
estate market is making people feel less wealthy this year and is
dulling demand for luxury items, like Gold Rings," said Kleintop.
"Investors have been buying gold as an inflation hedge and prices
per ounce remain much higher than last year. This may put pressure
on profit margins at retail jewelers, who have not been able to
pass along the increased cost to consumers." Christmas More
Expensive than Ever For Internet-savvy True Loves, PNC Wealth
Management calculates the cost of The Twelve Days gifts purchased
on the Web. This year, the trends identified in the traditional
index are repeated in the Internet version, with overall growth of
3.4 percent, compared to 3.1 in the traditional index. Wages are
up, with the Drummers earning almost 100 percent more when
purchased on the Internet in 2006 compared with an Internet
purchase in 2005. And, as with the traditional Christmas Price
Index, bird prices are even or, in some cases, down a bit from 2005
levels. In general, Internet prices are higher than their
non-Internet counterparts because of shipping costs. As part of its
annual tradition, PNC Wealth Management also tabulates the "True
Cost of Christmas," which is the total cost of items gifted by a
True Love who repeats all of the song's verses. This holiday
season, very generous True Loves will pay more than ever before --
$75,122 -- for all 364 items, up from $72,608 in 2005. This 3.5
percent increase is substantially less than last year's 9.5 percent
increase. Kleintop observed that Christmas Price Index inflation
may reflect trends that led the Federal Reserve to pause interest
rate hikes this year. Special Present: Updated Web Site Since 1984,
PNC has been calculating the cost of Christmas. Each year, the PNC
Christmas Price Index provides an interesting perspective on the
events and news that helped shape the economy during the year. For
a historical look at PNC's Index, please visit our updated Web site
at http://www.pncchristmaspriceindex.com/. Each year, educators
across the country use the Christmas Price Index to teach economic
trends to students of all ages. With that in mind, this year's site
has been updated to include more interactive activities, annual
results and trends, a Flash presentation, MP3 download, and much
more. Educators who visit the site will also find sample lesson
plans on related topics from The Stock Market GameTM (SMG) program,
America's premier educational stock-market simulation. Available in
all 50 states for grades 4-12, the SMG program teaches children
core academic and investment skills. Individually, or in teams,
students invest a hypothetical $100,000 portfolio, choosing
equities and mutual funds over a 10-15 week period. For free video
content about the PNC Christmas Price Index, please log on to
http://www.thenewsmarket.com/pnc to preview and request video. You
can receive broadcast-standard video digitally or by tape from this
site. Registration and video is free to the media. The PNC
Financial Services Group, Inc. (http://www.pnc.com/) is one of the
nation's largest diversified financial services organizations
providing retail and business banking; specialized services for
corporations and government entities, including corporate banking,
real estate finance and asset-based lending; wealth management;
asset management and global fund services. A table with amounts for
each item in the song follows. PNC Christmas Price Index - 2006
TRADITIONAL INTERNET % change % change 2005 2006 2006/05 2005 2006
2006/05 One Partridge in a Pear Tree $104.99 $144.99 38.1% $176.66
$211.66 19.8% Partridge $15.00 $15.00 0.0% $76.67 $76.67 0.0% Pear
Tree $89.99 $129.99 44.4% $99.99 $134.99 35.0% Two Turtle Doves
$40.00 $40.00 0.0% $130.00 $130.00 0.0% Three French Hens $45.00
$45.00 0.0% $210.00 $195.00 -7.1% Four Calling Birds $399.96
$479.96 20.0% $440.00 $432.00 -1.8% Five Gold Rings $325.00 $325.00
0.0% $265.00 $274.75 3.7% Six Geese-a-Laying $300.00 $300.00 0.0%
$660.00 $660.00 0.0% Seven Swans- a-Swimming $4,200.00 $4,200.00
0.0% $7,035.00 $7,035.00 0.0% Eight Maids- a-Milking $41.20 $41.20
0.0% $296.64 $310.08 4.5% Nine Ladies Dancing $4,576.14 $4,759.19
4.0% $6,700.00 $6,885.00 2.8% 10 Lords- a-Leaping $4,039.08
$4,160.25 3.0% $10,947.00 $10,947.00 0.0% 11 Pipers Piping
$2,053.20 $2,124.00 3.4% $1,700.00 $1,750.00 2.9% 12 Drummers
Drumming $2,224.30 $2,301.00 3.4% $762.50 $1,500.00 96.7% Total
Christmas Price Index $18,348.87 $18,920.59 3.1% $29,322.80
$30,330.49 3.4% True Cost of Christmas in song $72,608.02
$75,122.03 3.5% $123,846.62 $125,767.32 1.6% "Core" index,
excluding swans $14,148.87 $14,720.59 4.0% $22,287.80 $23,295.49
4.5% DATASOURCE: PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. CONTACT: Fred
Solomon, +1-412-762-7544, , or Michelle Meredith, +1-412-768-5770,
, both for PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. Web site:
http://www.pnc.com/ http://www.thenewsmarket.com/pnc Company News
On-Call: http://www.prnewswire.com/comp/701257.html
Copyright