Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Foreshadows Hiring Slowdown
11 Março 2008 - 1:01AM
PR Newswire (US)
Employers Plan to Remain Vigilant in Quarter 2 2008 MILWAUKEE,
March 11 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- U.S. employers anticipate a
decline in hiring for Quarter 2 2008, according to the seasonally
adjusted results of the latest Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
conducted quarterly by Manpower Inc. (Logo:
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20060221/CGTU012LOGO) "A
slowing in hiring intentions reflects a widespread wait-and-see
approach among employers," said Jeffrey A. Joerres, Chairman &
CEO of Manpower Inc. "However, the survey data points to a gradual
and measured downshift, not a sudden and overwhelming change.
Interestingly, this data does not look like previous recessionary
periods where we experienced much more accelerated declines." Of
the 14,000 U.S. employers surveyed, 26% expect to increase their
workforces during Quarter 2 of 2008, while 9% expect to reduce
staff levels. Sixty percent expect no change in the hiring pace,
and 5% are undecided about their April - June hiring plans. The
seasonally adjusted survey results show the weakest employment
outlook since Quarter 1 2004, as hiring activity is expected to
remain stable or decrease in all industry sectors but one. For
Quarter 2 2008, employers in the Finance/Insurance/Real Estate,
Education and Services sectors anticipate stable staffing levels,
while employers in Mining, Durable and Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade, Public Administration and
Construction all report a decrease in hiring confidence.
Transportation/Public Utilities is the lone sector to indicate an
increase in hiring for the upcoming quarter, and that increase is
expected to be slight. "While the survey results indicate increased
employer hesitation toward adding staff, it's not all bad news,"
said Jonas Prising, President of Manpower North America. "Select
industries, including Services, Transportation/Public Utilities and
Mining, appear to be staged for some growth opportunities." Within
the four U.S. regions surveyed, employers in the Northeast and
South project hiring plans similar to the previous quarter, while
those in the Midwest and West anticipate weaker hiring conditions
during the next three months. In addition to the United States, the
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted in 31 other
countries and territories. The quarterly report from Manpower Inc.
is the most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the
world, gathering data from more than 55,000 employers across the
globe per quarter. All reports are based on seasonally adjusted
data, where available. The global Survey unveiled results for five
new countries this quarter -- Czech Republic, Greece, Guatemala,
Poland and Romania -- bringing the total number of countries and
territories in the survey program to 32. Of these new countries,
Polish and Romanian employers reported the most optimistic hiring
intentions for the second quarter of 2008. Employers in many of the
world's largest economies will be taking a step back in hiring in
the second quarter. Notably, employers in the United States, China,
Italy, Norway and Spain have indicated that they will be adding
fewer employees in the quarter ahead, marking a more negative tone
than in survey results throughout the past year. The most favorable
second quarter hiring plans globally were reported by employers in
Singapore, India, Peru, Romania, Costa Rica, Argentina, Poland,
Hong Kong, Australia, Greece and South Africa, with those in
Singapore, Hong Kong and Australia reporting their most optimistic
hiring plans since the survey began there. Conversely, employers in
Spain and Italy report the weakest job prospects in the next three
months. Of the 17 countries surveyed in the Europe, Middle East and
Africa (EMEA) region employers in Romania, Poland, Greece, S.
Africa and Norway are most optimistic about adding to their
workforces. In contrast, hiring optimism among Irish and Spanish
employers fell considerably from one year ago, with the Outlook in
Spain being the weakest in the region. In Asia Pacific, the survey
data reveals varying degrees of positive hiring expectations.
Employer optimism increased from the first quarter and one year ago
in four of eight countries and territories surveyed. The strongest
employer hiring plans were again reported in India and Singapore,
while employers in China reported the weakest hiring outlook in the
region for the third consecutive quarter. The forecasts for
Singapore, Hong Kong and Australia were the most optimistic
reported by employers since the survey began in these geographies
in 2003. Across the Americas, employers in Peru, Costa Rica and
Argentina are most optimistic about hiring in the next three
months, while those in Canada are the least optimistic. Meanwhile,
Mexican employers continue to report steady, upbeat hiring
expectations. The next Manpower Employment Outlook Survey will be
released on June 10, 2008 to report hiring expectations for Quarter
3 2008. About the Survey Employment services company Manpower Inc.
releases the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey quarterly to
measure employers' intentions to increase or decrease the number of
employees in their workforce during the next quarter. It is the
only forward-looking survey of its kind, unparalleled in size,
scope, longevity and area of focus. The survey has been
administered for more than 45 years and is one of the most trusted
surveys of employment activity in the world. A highly respected
economic indicator, the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey reports
on findings from 32 countries and territories around the world. The
U.S. results are based on interviews with more than 14,000 public
and private employers in 460 market areas across the country.
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20060221/CGTU012LOGO
http://photoarchive.ap.org/ DATASOURCE: Manpower Inc. CONTACT: Paul
Holley of Manpower Inc., +1-414-906-6453, Web site:
http://www.manpower.com/
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