IVR Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc

ATLANTA, Feb. 17, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (NYSE: IVR) (the "Company") today announced financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2021.

• Net loss per common share of $0.23 compared to net income per common share of $0.17 in Q3 2021
• Earnings available for distribution per common share⁽¹⁾ of $0.10, unchanged from Q3 2021
• Common stock dividend of $0.09 per common share, unchanged from Q3 2021
• Book value per common share⁽²⁾ of $2.91 compared to $3.25 at Q3 2021
• Economic return⁽³⁾ of (7.7)% compared to 4.0% in Q3 2021

Update from John Anzalone, Chief Executive Officer

"We are pleased to announce earnings available for distribution of $0.10 per common share for the fourth quarter of 2021. Earnings available for distribution continued to be supported by a strong dollar roll market for our Agency to-be-announced securities forward contracts ("TBAs"), slow prepayment speeds on our specified pool collateral and attractive yields on new investments. At quarter-end, substantially all of our $7.8 billion investment portfolio was invested in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities ("Agency RMBS"), and we continue to maintain a sizeable balance of unrestricted cash and unencumbered investments totaling $871.2 million.

"Agency RMBS performed poorly in the fourth quarter, completing a difficult year in which returns for the asset class ranked among the worst in the last ten years. The Federal Reserve's pivot in November towards a faster removal of monetary policy accommodation signaled a more rapid reduction of asset purchases by the central bank, worsening an already challenging picture for supply and demand in 2022. Heightened interest rate volatility, spurred by increased expectations of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and lower premiums on specified pool collateral also contributed to underperformance.

"While the recent widening of spreads, moderating prepayment speeds and the continued attractiveness in the dollar roll market support earnings available for distribution, we remain cautious on the outlook for Agency RMBS valuations. Increased expectations for accelerated interest rate hikes and balance sheet reduction by the Federal Reserve during 2022 further challenged Agency RMBS valuations at the start of the year. We continue to evaluate additional investment opportunities to complement our Agency RMBS strategy by expanding our target assets and portfolio diversification."

Key performance indicators for the quarters ended December 31, 2021 and September 30, 2021 are summarized in the table below.

Financial Summary

Net loss attributable to common stockholders for the fourth quarter of 2021 was $73.0 million compared to net income attributable to common stockholders of $49.3 million for the third quarter of 2021. The change in net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders was primarily driven by a $90.4 million net loss on investments in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to a $16.8 million net loss on investments in the third quarter of 2021 and a $13.3 million net loss on derivatives in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to a $35.3 million net gain on derivatives in the third quarter of 2021. The Company earned $46.0 million of net interest income in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to $46.5 million in the third quarter of 2021.

Earnings available for distribution increased to $33.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to $30.4 million for the third quarter of 2021 primarily due to a $1.2 million increase in TBA dollar roll income and a $1.2 million increase in effective net interest income.

Book value per common share for the fourth quarter of 2021 decreased 10.5% to $2.91 compared to $3.25 in the third quarter of 2021 primarily due to a decline in valuations on the Company's Agency RMBS assets. Valuations on lower coupon 30 year Agency RMBS holdings declined due to the reduction in monthly net asset purchases by the Federal Reserve during the fourth quarter of 2021 and the decision at its December 2021 meeting to accelerate the pace of tapering. The benchmark 10 year U.S. Treasury rate increased 2 basis points to 1.51% during the quarter, while the difference between the 30 year and 2 year U.S. Treasury rates decreased 60 basis points to 1.17% given expectations of short term interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. As of December 31, 2021, the Company's interest rate swaps had a weighted average maturity of 6.0 years. Losses on longer maturity swaps exceeded gains on shorter maturity swaps during the quarter due to the flatter yield curve.

The Company reduced the size of its investment portfolio and borrowings in the fourth quarter of 2021 given an expectation that the Federal Reserve's December 2021 announcement to accelerate the pace of tapering could result in an increase in market volatility and lower valuations on the Company's holdings. Total average earning assets decreased to $8.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2021 from $8.7 billion in the third quarter of 2021, and total average borrowings decreased to $7.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2021 from $7.8 billion in the third quarter of 2021.

Average net interest rate margin increased 7 basis points to 2.22% in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to the third quarter of 2021 due to higher average earning asset yields. Average earning asset yields increased 7 basis points to 2.05% in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to the third quarter of 2021 primarily due to the Company's rotation into higher yielding Agency RMBS. The Company's Agency RMBS portfolio consisted primarily of 2.0% to 3.5% coupon 30 year fixed-rate securities as of December 31, 2021. Average cost of funds was (0.17)% for the fourth quarter of 2021, unchanged from the third quarter of 2021.

The Company's debt-to-equity ratio was 5.0x as of December 31, 2021 compared to 5.4x as of September 30, 2021, and its economic debt-to-equity ratio was 6.2x as of December 31, 2021 compared to 6.5x as of September 30, 2021. The Company reduced leverage in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to the third quarter of 2021 given the announcement by the Federal Reserve to accelerate the pace of tapering.

Total expenses for the fourth quarter of 2021 were approximately $7.2 million compared to $7.6 million in the third quarter of 2021. The ratio of annualized total expenses to average stockholders' equity⁽¹⁾ decreased to 2.20% in the fourth quarter of 2021 from 2.32% in the third quarter of 2021 due to lower expenses and a higher average stockholders' equity base. The Company sold 18.1 million shares of common stock for net proceeds of $55.1 million during the fourth quarter of 2021 through its at-the-market program.

As previously announced on December 27, 2021, the Company declared a common stock dividend of $0.09 per share paid on January 27, 2022 to its stockholders of record as of January 11, 2022. The Company declared the following dividends on February 16, 2022: a Series B Preferred Stock dividend of $0.4844 per share and a Series C Preferred Stock dividend of $0.46875 per share payable on March 28, 2022 to its stockholders of record on March 5, 2022.

About Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a real estate investment trust that primarily focuses on investing in, financing and managing mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets. Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is externally managed and advised by Invesco Advisers, Inc., a registered investment adviser and an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Invesco Ltd., a leading independent global investment management firm.

Earnings Call

Members of the investment community and the general public are invited to listen to the Company's earnings conference call on Friday, February 18, 2022, at 9:00 a.m. ET, by calling one of the following numbers:

An audio replay will be available until 5:00 pm ET on March 4, 2022 by calling:

866-360-3306 (North America) or 1-203-369-0161 (International)

The presentation slides that will be reviewed during the call will be available on the Company's website at www.invescomortgagecapital.com.

Cautionary Notice Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release, the related presentation and comments made in the associated conference call, may include statements and information that constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. securities laws as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and such statements are intended to be covered by the safe harbor provided by the same. Forward-looking statements include our views on the risk positioning of our portfolio, domestic and global market conditions (including the residential and commercial real estate market), the ongoing spread and the economic and operational impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the market for our target assets, our financial performance, including our earnings available for distribution, economic return, comprehensive income and changes in our book value, our intention and ability to pay dividends, our ability to continue performance trends, the stability of portfolio yields, interest rates, credit spreads, prepayment trends, financing sources, cost of funds, our leverage and equity allocation. In addition, words such as "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "plans," "estimates," "projects," "forecasts," and future or conditional verbs such as "will," "may," "could," "should," and "would" as well as any other statement that necessarily depends on future events, are intended to identify forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements are not guarantees, and they involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from our expectations. We caution investors not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements and urge you to carefully consider the risks identified under the captions "Risk Factors," "Forward-Looking Statements" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in our annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, which are available on the Securities and Exchange Commission's website at www.sec.gov.

All written or oral forward-looking statements that we make, or that are attributable to us, are expressly qualified by this cautionary notice. We expressly disclaim any obligation to update the information in any public disclosure if any forward-looking statement later turns out to be inaccurate.

Investor Relations Contact: Jack Bateman, 404-439-3323

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The table below shows the non-GAAP financial measures the Company uses to analyze its operating results and the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures. The Company believes these non-GAAP measures are useful to investors in assessing its performance as discussed further below.

The Company is not presenting earnings available for distribution for the year ended December 31, 2020 because earnings available for distribution excluded the material adverse impact of the market disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic on the Company's financial condition. In addition, earnings available for distribution for the year ended December 31, 2020 was not indicative of the reduced earnings potential of the Company's current investment portfolio.

The non-GAAP financial measures used by the Company's management should be analyzed in conjunction with U.S. GAAP financial measures and should not be considered substitutes for U.S. GAAP financial measures. In addition, the non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures of its peer companies.

Earnings Available for Distribution

The Company's business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its stockholders, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. The Company uses earnings available for distribution as a measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders and to evaluate its progress toward meeting this objective. The Company calculates earnings available for distribution as U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders adjusted for (gain) loss on investments, net; realized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; unrealized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; TBA dollar roll income; (gain) loss on foreign currency transactions, net; amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated interest rate swaps; and net (gain) loss on extinguishment of debt.

By excluding the gains and losses discussed above, the Company believes the presentation of earnings available for distribution provides a consistent measure of operating performance that investors can use to evaluate its results over multiple reporting periods and, to a certain extent, compare to its peer companies. However, because not all of the Company's peer companies use identical operating performance measures, the Company's presentation of earnings available for distribution may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures used by its peer companies. The Company excludes the impact of gains and losses when calculating earnings available for distribution because (i) when analyzed in conjunction with its U.S. GAAP results, earnings available for distribution provides additional detail of its investment portfolio's earnings capacity and (ii) gains and losses are not accounted for consistently under U.S. GAAP. Under U.S. GAAP, certain gains and losses are reflected in net income whereas other gains and losses are reflected in other comprehensive income. For example, a portion of the Company's mortgage-backed securities are classified as available-for-sale securities, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other comprehensive income on its consolidated balance sheets. The Company elected the fair value option for its mortgage-backed securities purchased on or after September 1, 2016, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other income (loss) in consolidated statements of operations. In addition, certain gains and losses represent one-time events. The Company may add and has added additional reconciling items to its earnings available for distribution calculation as appropriate. 

To maintain qualification as a REIT, U.S. federal income tax law generally requires that the Company distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income annually, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding net capital gains. The Company has historically distributed at least 100% of its REIT taxable income. Because the Company views earnings available for distribution as a consistent measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders, earnings available for distribution is one metric, but not the exclusive metric, that the Company's board of directors uses to determine the amount, if any, and the payment date of dividends on common stock. However, earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an indication of the Company's taxable income, a guaranty of its ability to pay dividends or as a proxy for the amount of dividends it may pay, as earnings available for distribution excludes certain items that impact its cash needs.

Earnings available for distribution is an incomplete measure of the Company's financial performance and there are other factors that impact the achievement of the Company's business objective. The Company cautions that earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an alternative to net income (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP), or as an indication of the Company's cash flow from operating activities (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP), a measure of the Company's liquidity, or as an indication of amounts available to fund its cash needs.

The table below provides a reconciliation of U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders to earnings available for distribution for the following periods:

Effective Interest Income/Effective Yield/Effective Interest Expense/Effective Cost of Funds/Effective Net Interest Income/Effective Interest Rate Margin

Prior to 2021, the Company calculated effective interest income (and by calculation, effective yield) as U.S. GAAP total interest income adjusted for GSE CRT embedded derivative coupon interest that was recorded as realized and unrealized credit derivative income (loss), net. The Company included its GSE CRT embedded derivative coupon interest in effective interest income because GSE CRT coupon interest was not accounted for consistently under U.S. GAAP. The Company accounted for GSE CRTs purchased prior to August 24, 2015 as hybrid financial instruments, but elected the fair value option for GSE CRTs purchased on or after August 24, 2015. Under U.S. GAAP, coupon interest on GSE CRTs accounted for using the fair value option was recorded as interest income, whereas coupon interest on GSE CRTs accounted for as hybrid financial instruments was recorded as realized and unrealized credit derivative income (loss). The Company added back GSE CRT embedded derivative coupon interest to its total interest income because the Company considered GSE CRT embedded derivative coupon interest a current component of its total interest income irrespective of whether the Company elected the fair value option for the GSE CRT or accounted for the GSE CRT as a hybrid financial instrument. Effective interest income and effective yield were equal to total interest income and yield, respectively, for all periods presented in 2021 and for the three months ended December 31, 2020 because the Company sold all of its GSE CRTs that were accounted for as hybrid financial instruments prior to the fourth quarter of 2020.

The Company calculates effective interest expense (and by calculation, effective cost of funds) as U.S. GAAP total interest expense adjusted for contractual net interest income (expense) on its interest rate swaps that is recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net and the amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps that is recorded as repurchase agreements interest expense. The Company views its interest rate swaps as an economic hedge against increases in future market interest rates on its floating rate borrowings. The Company adds back the net payments it makes on its interest rate swap agreements to its total U.S. GAAP interest expense because the Company uses interest rate swaps to add stability to interest expense. The Company excludes the amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps from its calculation of effective interest expense because the Company does not consider the amortization a current component of its borrowing costs.

The Company calculates effective net interest income (and by calculation, effective interest rate margin) as U.S. GAAP net interest income adjusted for contractual net interest income (expense) on its interest rate swaps that is recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net; amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps that is recorded as repurchase agreements interest expense and GSE CRT embedded derivative coupon interest that was recorded as realized and unrealized credit derivative income (loss), net.

The Company believes the presentation of effective interest income, effective yield, effective interest expense, effective cost of funds, effective net interest income and effective interest rate margin measures, when considered together with U.S. GAAP financial measures, provides information that is useful to investors in understanding the Company's borrowing costs and operating performance.

The following table reconciles total interest income to effective interest income and yield to effective yield for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020. The Company is not presenting reconciliations for the three months ended December 31, 2021, September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020 because effective interest income and effective yield were equal to total interest income and yield for these periods.

The following tables reconcile total interest expense to effective interest expense and cost of funds to effective cost of funds for the following periods:

The following tables reconcile net interest income to effective net interest income and net interest rate margin to effective interest rate margin for the following periods:

Economic Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The following tables show the allocation of the Company's stockholders' equity to its target assets, the Company's debt-to-equity ratio, and the Company's economic debt-to-equity ratio as of December 31, 2021 and September 30, 2021. The Company's debt-to-equity ratio is calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP and is the ratio of total debt to total stockholders' equity.

The Company presents an economic debt-to-equity ratio, a non-GAAP financial measure of leverage that considers the impact of the off-balance sheet financing of its investments in TBAs that are accounted for as derivative instruments under U.S. GAAP. The Company includes its TBAs at implied cost basis in its measure of leverage because a forward contract to acquire Agency RMBS in the TBA market carries similar risks to Agency RMBS purchased in the cash market and funded with on-balance sheet liabilities. Similarly, a contract for the forward sale of Agency RMBS has substantially the same effect as selling the underlying Agency RMBS and reducing the Company's on-balance sheet funding commitments. The Company believes that presenting its economic debt-to-equity ratio, when considered together with its U.S. GAAP financial measure of debt-to-equity ratio, provides information that is useful to investors in understanding how management evaluates at-risk leverage and gives investors a comparable statistic to those other mortgage REITs who also invest in TBAs and present a similar non-GAAP measure of leverage.

December 31, 2021

September 30, 2021

Average Balances

The table below presents information related to the Company's average earning assets, average earning assets yields, average borrowings and average cost of funds for the following periods:

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SOURCE Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.