IVR Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc

ATLANTA, May 9, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (NYSE: IVR) (the "Company") today announced financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2023.

• Net income per common share of $0.39 compared to $0.84 in Q4 2022
• Earnings available for distribution per common share⁽¹⁾ of $1.50 compared to $1.46 in Q4 2022
• Common stock dividend of $0.40 per common share compared to $0.65 in Q4 2022
• Book value per common share⁽²⁾ of $12.61 compared to $12.79 at Q4 2022
• Economic return⁽³⁾ of 1.7% compared to 5.0% in Q4 2022

Update from John Anzalone, Chief Executive Officer

"The volatile environment for Agency residential mortgage-backed securities ("Agency RMBS") continued during the first quarter of 2023. Strong performance in January was more than offset by sharp underperformance in February and March amidst the slowing disinflationary trend in economic data and turmoil in the regional banking sector. Against this backdrop, our book value per common share ended the quarter at $12.61, representing a modest decline of 1.4% from year end, and when combined with our $0.40 common dividend produced an economic return of 1.7% for the quarter.

"Earnings available for distribution ("EAD") for the first quarter remained strong at $1.50 per common share. EAD is well supported and is expected to continue to benefit from our hedging strategy, as borrowing costs are hedged by low-cost, pay-fixed swaps with a weighted average maturity of over seven years.

"As noted in our March 27^th press release, we reduced our first quarter dividend to $0.40 per share. The reduced dividend remains attractive and allows the Company to retain capital and enhance book value by continuing to invest in Agency RMBS. We believe Agency RMBS are at historically attractive valuations and reduced demand from the Federal Reserve and commercial banks will provide compelling opportunities for new investments. In addition, we expect that the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle will result in a reduction in interest rate volatility, providing a tailwind for our target assets.

"Given our improved outlook for Agency RMBS, we increased our debt-to-equity ratio to 5.8x as of March 31, 2023 from 5.3x at year end. As of the end of the quarter, substantially all of our $5.4 billion investment portfolio was invested in Agency RMBS, and we maintained a sizeable balance of unrestricted cash and unencumbered investments totaling $463.9 million."

Key performance indicators for the quarters ended March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022 are summarized in the table below.

Financial Summary

Net income attributable to common stockholders for the first quarter of 2023 was $15.6 million compared to $30.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2022. The decrease in net income attributable to common stockholders was primarily driven by a $44.9 million net loss on derivatives in the first quarter compared to a $4.9 million net gain on derivatives in the fourth quarter and $19.6 million of net interest income in the first quarter compared to $25.9 million in the fourth quarter, which was partially offset by a $52.0 million net gain on investments in the first quarter compared to $10.8 million in the fourth quarter.

Earnings available for distribution increased to $59.3 million for the first quarter of 2023 compared to $53.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2022 primarily due to a $6.6 million increase in effective net interest income. The increase in effective net interest income was primarily driven by a $12.6 million increase in contractual net interest income on interest rate swaps that was partially offset by a $6.3 million decrease in net interest income.

Book value per common share decreased 1.4% during the first quarter of 2023 to $12.61 given underperformance in higher coupon Agency RMBS as the slowing of the recent disinflationary trend led to an increase in interest rate volatility. Book value is estimated to be between $12.00 and $12.48 per common share as of April 30, 2023.⁽¹⁾

Total average earning assets increased to $5.2 billion in the first quarter of 2023 compared to $4.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 2022. Total average borrowings increased to $4.7 billion in the first quarter compared to $3.8 billion in the fourth quarter. The Company's higher average earning assets and average borrowings reflect the investment of capital raised in its at-the-market program and an increase in leverage given attractive valuations on higher coupon Agency RMBS.

Average net interest rate margin decreased 90 basis points to 1.08% in the first quarter of 2023 compared to the fourth quarter of 2022. Average earning asset yields decreased 6 basis points to 5.28% in the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter primarily due to the deployment of capital at modestly lower yields. Average cost of funds increased 84 basis points to 4.20% in the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter reflecting increases in the Federal Funds target interest rate. Effective interest rate margin, which includes the impact of contractual net interest income on the Company's interest rate swaps and excludes the impact of amortization of net deferred gains on de-designated interest rate swaps, decreased by 55 basis points to 5.30% in the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter.

The Company's debt-to-equity ratio and economic debt-to-equity ratio were 5.8x as of March 31, 2023 compared to 5.3x as of December 31, 2022. The Company increased leverage modestly to capitalize on attractive Agency RMBS valuations.

Total expenses for the first quarter of 2023, consisting of management fees and general and administrative expenses, were approximately $5.1 million compared to $5.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2022. The ratio of annualized total expenses to average stockholders' equity⁽²⁾ decreased to 2.39% in the first quarter from 2.41% in the fourth quarter primarily due to a higher average stockholders' equity base. The Company sold 2.9 million shares of common stock for net proceeds of $35.8 million during the first quarter through its at-the-market program.

As previously announced on March 27, 2023, the Company declared a common stock dividend of $0.40 per share paid on April 27, 2023 to its stockholders of record as of April 10, 2023. The Company declared the following dividends on May 8, 2023: a Series B Preferred Stock dividend of $0.4844 per share and a Series C Preferred Stock dividend of $0.46875 per share payable on June 27, 2023 to its stockholders of record on June 5, 2023.

About Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a real estate investment trust that primarily focuses on investing in, financing and managing mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets. Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is externally managed and advised by Invesco Advisers, Inc., a registered investment adviser and an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Invesco Ltd., a leading independent global investment management firm.

Earnings Call

Members of the investment community and the general public are invited to listen to the Company's earnings conference call on Wednesday, May 10, 2023, at 9:00 a.m. ET, by calling one of the following numbers:

An audio replay will be available until 5:00 pm ET on May 24, 2023 by calling:

800-867-1927 (North America) or 1-203-369-3370 (International)

The presentation slides that will be reviewed during the call will be available on the Company's website at www.invescomortgagecapital.com.

Cautionary Notice Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release, the related presentation and comments made in the associated conference call, may include statements and information that constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. securities laws as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and such statements are intended to be covered by the safe harbor provided by the same. Forward-looking statements include our views on the risk positioning of our portfolio, domestic and global market conditions (including the residential and commercial real estate market), the market for our target assets, our financial performance, including our earnings available for distribution, economic return, comprehensive income and changes in our book value, our intention and ability to pay dividends, our ability to continue performance trends, the stability of portfolio yields, interest rates, credit spreads, prepayment trends, financing sources, cost of funds, our leverage and equity allocation. In addition, words such as "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "plans," "estimates," "projects," "forecasts," and future or conditional verbs such as "will," "may," "could," "should," and "would" as well as any other statement that necessarily depends on future events, are intended to identify forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements are not guarantees, and they involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from our expectations. We caution investors not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements and urge you to carefully consider the risks identified under the captions "Risk Factors," "Forward-Looking Statements" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in our annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, which are available on the Securities and Exchange Commission's website at www.sec.gov.

All written or oral forward-looking statements that we make, or that are attributable to us, are expressly qualified by this cautionary notice. We expressly disclaim any obligation to update the information in any public disclosure if any forward-looking statement later turns out to be inaccurate.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The table below shows the non-GAAP financial measures the Company uses to analyze its operating results and the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures. The Company believes these non-GAAP measures are useful to investors in assessing its performance as discussed further below.

The non-GAAP financial measures used by the Company's management should be analyzed in conjunction with U.S. GAAP financial measures and should not be considered substitutes for U.S. GAAP financial measures. In addition, the non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures of its peer companies.

Earnings Available for Distribution

The Company's business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its stockholders, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. The Company uses earnings available for distribution as a measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders and to evaluate its progress toward meeting this objective. The Company calculates earnings available for distribution as U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders adjusted for (gain) loss on investments, net; realized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; unrealized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; TBA dollar roll income; foreign currency gains (losses), net and amortization of net deferred (gain) loss on de-designated interest rate swaps.

By excluding the gains and losses discussed above, the Company believes the presentation of earnings available for distribution provides a consistent measure of operating performance that investors can use to evaluate its results over multiple reporting periods and, to a certain extent, compare to its peer companies. However, because not all of the Company's peer companies use identical operating performance measures, the Company's presentation of earnings available for distribution may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures used by its peer companies. The Company excludes the impact of gains and losses when calculating earnings available for distribution because (i) when analyzed in conjunction with its U.S. GAAP results, earnings available for distribution provides additional detail of its investment portfolio's earnings capacity and (ii) gains and losses are not accounted for consistently under U.S. GAAP. Under U.S. GAAP, certain gains and losses are reflected in net income whereas other gains and losses are reflected in other comprehensive income. For example, a portion of the Company's mortgage-backed securities are classified as available-for-sale securities, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other comprehensive income on its condensed consolidated balance sheets. The Company elected the fair value option for its mortgage-backed securities purchased on or after September 1, 2016, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other income (loss) in the condensed consolidated statements of operations. In addition, certain gains and losses represent one-time events. The Company may add and has added additional reconciling items to its earnings available for distribution calculation as appropriate.

To maintain qualification as a REIT, U.S. federal income tax law generally requires that the Company distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income annually, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding net capital gains. The Company has historically distributed at least 100% of its REIT taxable income. Because the Company views earnings available for distribution as a consistent measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders, earnings available for distribution is one metric, but not the exclusive metric, that the Company's board of directors uses to determine the amount, if any, and the payment date of dividends on common stock. However, earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an indication of the Company's taxable income, a guaranty of its ability to pay dividends or as a proxy for the amount of dividends it may pay, as earnings available for distribution excludes certain items that impact its cash needs.

Earnings available for distribution is an incomplete measure of the Company's financial performance and there are other factors that impact the achievement of the Company's business objective. The Company cautions that earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an alternative to net income (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP) or as an indication of the Company's cash flow from operating activities (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP), a measure of the Company's liquidity or as an indication of amounts available to fund its cash needs.

The table below provides a reconciliation of U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders to earnings available for distribution for the following periods:

Effective Interest Expense/Effective Cost of Funds/Effective Net Interest Income/Effective Interest Rate Margin

The Company calculates effective interest expense (and by calculation, effective cost of funds) as U.S. GAAP total interest expense adjusted for contractual net interest income (expense) on its interest rate swaps that is recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net and the amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps that is recorded as repurchase agreements interest expense. The Company views its interest rate swaps as an economic hedge against increases in future market interest rates on its borrowings. The Company adds back the net payments or receipts on its interest rate swap agreements to its total U.S. GAAP interest expense because the Company uses interest rate swaps to add stability to interest expense. The Company excludes the amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps from its calculation of effective interest expense because the Company does not consider the amortization a current component of its borrowing costs.

The Company calculates effective net interest income (and by calculation, effective interest rate margin) as U.S. GAAP net interest income adjusted for contractual net interest income (expense) on its interest rate swaps that is recorded as gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net and amortization of net deferred gains (losses) on de-designated interest rate swaps that is recorded as repurchase agreements interest expense.

The Company believes the presentation of effective interest expense, effective cost of funds, effective net interest income and effective interest rate margin measures, when considered together with U.S. GAAP financial measures, provides information that is useful to investors in understanding the Company's borrowing costs and operating performance.

The following table reconciles total interest expense to effective interest expense and cost of funds to effective cost of funds for the following periods:

The following table reconciles net interest income to effective net interest income and net interest rate margin to effective interest rate margin for the following periods:

Economic Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The following tables show the allocation of the Company's stockholders' equity to its target assets, the Company's debt-to-equity ratio, and the Company's economic debt-to-equity ratio as of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022. The Company's debt-to-equity ratio is calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP and is the ratio of total debt to total stockholders' equity.

The Company presents an economic debt-to-equity ratio, a non-GAAP financial measure of leverage that considers the impact of the off-balance sheet financing of its investments in TBAs that are accounted for as derivative instruments under U.S. GAAP. The Company includes its TBAs at implied cost basis in its measure of leverage because a forward contract to acquire Agency RMBS in the TBA market carries similar risks to Agency RMBS purchased in the cash market and funded with on-balance sheet liabilities. Similarly, a contract for the forward sale of Agency RMBS has substantially the same effect as selling the underlying Agency RMBS and reducing the Company's on-balance sheet funding commitments. The Company believes that presenting its economic debt-to-equity ratio, when considered together with its U.S. GAAP financial measure of debt-to-equity ratio, provides information that is useful to investors in understanding how management evaluates at-risk leverage and gives investors a comparable statistic to those of other mortgage REITs who also invest in TBAs and present a similar non-GAAP measure of leverage.

Average Balances

The table below presents information related to the Company's average earning assets, average earning asset yields, average borrowings and average cost of funds for the following periods:

Greg Seals,
Investor Relations
404-439-3323

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SOURCE Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.