Antipodean Currencies Decline
20 Março 2023 - 11:48PM
RTTF2
Australia and New Zealand currencies weakened against their
major currencies in the Asian session on Tuesday, as traders' focus
shifted towards the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy
announcement on Wednesday despite the latest efforts initiated to
address the turmoil in the global banking sector.
Traders are focusing their attention on the Fed's monetary
policy announcement on Wednesday, with CME Group's FedWatch Tool
currently indicating a 26.9 percent chance interest rates will
remain unchanged and a 73.1 percent chance of a 25-basis point rate
hike.
Ihe Australian dollar also fell after the release of minutes
from the Reserve Bank of Australia's Monetary Policy Board's March
7 meeting that reconfirmed a rate pause will be considered at the
April meeting. The board acknowledged that inflation is expected to
remain above the bank's target range for at least the next two
years.
At the meeting, the RBA hiked its key interest rate by a
quarter-point to 3.60 percent, as widely expected. The interest
rate on Exchange Settlement balances was also raised by 25 basis
points to 3.50 percent. The RBA has tightened its monetary policy
by altogether 350 basis points since May 2022.
In economic news, data from Statistics New Zealand showed that
the nation posted a merchandise trade deficit of NZ$714 million in
February. That beat forecasts for a shortfall of NZ$1,450 million
following the downwardly revised NZ$2,113 million deficit in
January.
Exports were worth NZ$5.23 billion, easing from the downwardly
revised NZ$5.30 billion in the previous month. Imports came in at
NA$5,95 billion, down from NZ$7.42 billion a month earlier.
In the Asian session today, the Australian dollar fell to a
6-day low of 1.6018 against the euro and a 4-day low of 0.9152
against the Canadian dollar from yesterday's closing values of
1.5949 and 0.9175, respectively. If the aussie extends its
downtrend, it is likely to find support around 1.62 against the
euro and 0.89 against the loonie.
The aussie dropped to 87.81 against the yen, from yesterday's
closing value of 88.18. On the downside, the aussie may find its
support around the 86.00 level.
Against the U.S. dollar, the aussie edged down to 0.6690 from
yesterday's closing value of 0.6715. The AUD/USD pair is likely to
find its next support around the 0.64 area.
The NZ dollar fell to 5-day lows of 1.7236 against the euro and
1.0772 against the Australian dollar, from yesterday's closing
quotes of 1.7153 and 1.0746, respectively. If the kiwi extends its
downtrend, it is likely to find support around 1.775 against the
euro and 1.09 against the aussie.
Against the U.S. dollar, the kiwi dropped to a 4-day low of
0.6219 from yesterday's closing value of 0.6245. The kiwi may find
its support around the 0.60 area.
The kiwi edged down to 81.58 against the yen, from yesterday's
closing value of 82.01. The NZD/JPY pair may find its support
around the 80.00 level.
Looking ahead, Swiss trade data for February and U.K. public
sector finance data for February are slated for release at 3:00 am
ET.
German ZEW economic sentiment index for March and Eurozone
construction output for January are set to be released at 6:00 am
ET.
In the New York session, Canada CPI data for February and U.S.
existing home sales data for February are due to be released.
Japanese stock market is closed for Vernal Equinox holiday.
NZD vs Yen (FX:NZDJPY)
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NZD vs Yen (FX:NZDJPY)
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