Although gold prices are still down from a one year look, the
yellow metal has been surging back in recent months. Over the past
three months the precious metal has risen by about 7% and is now
beating out—just barely—broad market returns over the YTD time
period, suggesting that gold investing could once again be in
focus.
Unsurprisingly, this trend has also carried over in the mining
segments of the precious metal world as well with the top gold
mining ETFs like GDX and GGGG seeing strong gains in the trailing
three month period.
Both are easily beating out the S&P 500 in the time frame,
helping to eat into the significant level of underperformance that
both had seen against the key benchmark since the start of the year
(read The Comprehensive Guide to Gold ETF Investing)
Yet beyond these large cap focused mining ETFs, investors have a
few more volatile gold mining ETF options that could also be
interesting picks in this environment. That is because both of
these choices invest in small cap firms or those that are exploring
for—but are not producing—gold and are much more hit-or-miss
depending on broad economic conditions.
Generally speaking, these two act even more as leveraged plays
on the underlying metal as their large cap focused cousins so they
can see extreme levels of volatility in a short period of time.
When gold is slumping this can translate into huge losses, but when
gold is surging we can see huge gains in these types of gold mining
ETFs.
Potentially this could be the situation now in the gold market,
particularly since the metal is now on par with stock investments
in the YTD period, and worries remain over the fiscal cliff and
European plans to deal with their issues.
For these reasons, gold bulls in the short-term may want to
consider looking to small caps for exposure if they are seeking a
continued bullish trend in the precious metals market as we are
closing out the year (read is WITE the Perfect Gold ETF
Complement?).
Below, we have highlighted in greater detail two of the top
choices that investors have in this slice of the market. While they
are somewhat similar, it is important to note that they are by no
means going to move in lockstep—nor have we seen them do that over
the past year—so one should definitely pay attention to the key
differences in the group before choosing one for investment.
Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF
(GDXJ)
This popular ETF looks to focus on the small and mid cap firms
in the gold and silver mining industry. This is done by tracking as
closely as possible the price and yield performance of the Market
Vectors Junior Gold Miners Index.
This results in a fund that charges investors 54 basis points a
year, but one that has incredible volume of over 3.5 million shares
a day. In total, the ETF has just over 80 companies with 33% going
to mid caps and the rest to small, giving the fund a weighted
average market cap of just $850 million.
In terms of holdings, Canada dominates at 60% of total assets
followed by a hefty Australia weight of just under 28%. It should
also be noted that the fund does a great job of spreading out
assets with no one firm accounting for more than 4% of assets (read
Shine and Protect Your Portfolio with Gold ETFs).
Performance in the past three months has been strong at 15.5%,
although it is down nearly 11% YTD, so there could still be plenty
of room to run for this small cap focused ETF.
Global X Gold Explorers ETF (GLDX)
For an even riskier play on the gold market, investors could
consider this ETF that focuses in on gold explorers. These
companies aren’t necessarily producing the precious metal but are
actively looking for new deposits and hoping to get scooped up by
large cap firms in the process.
Obviously, this is a pretty high risk strategy so an ETF
approach could help to spread some of the volatility around a bunch
of names. This can be done with GLDX as the fund follows the
Solactive Global Gold Explorers Index which invests in 20
securities in total (read Bet on a Gold Comeback with the Gold
Explorers ETF).
In this ETF, micro caps account for nearly half the portfolio
while small caps make up 34% and mid caps the relatively small
remainder. This fund is also a little more expensive and illiquid
than its Market Vectors counterpart, at 0.65% a year in volume
below 100,000 shares a day, so total costs will be higher.
From a company look, about 20 stocks make up the portfolio
although no one firm accounts for more than 7% of assets.
Canadian securities also dominate this ETF at nearly 90% of
the total, while the U.S., Australia, and the UK roughly equally
split the remainder.
In the past three months, this risky fund is up over 5%,
somewhat underperforming the broad gold space. Additionally, it has
been hammered in the YTD look, losing more than 24%, among the
worst in the sector (read Gold ETFs: Why Bid Ask Spreads
Matter).
While this shows just how volatile the fund can be, it also
suggests that if the gold market continues to improve, GLDX could
be due for a bounce back more than most in the space. This is
especially true if M&A activity heats up and developed market
issues continue to put fear into investors around the world and
make gold a popular investment once more.
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MKT VEC-GOLD MI (GDX): ETF Research Reports
MKT VEC-JR GOLD (GDXJ): ETF Research Reports
GLBL-X PGM (GGGG): ETF Research Reports
GLBL-X GOLD EXP (GLDX): ETF Research Reports
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