AMSTERDAM—Heineken NV, long content as the world's third-largest
brewer, is now a very distant No. 2, facing off with suddenly much
larger Anheuser-Busch InBev NV around the world as many of the
Dutch beer maker's mature-market strongholds slow and some
fast-growing emerging ones become more volatile.
Who best to navigate the new landscape? Heineken said Wednesday
it would seek a rare fourth, four-year term for Chief Executive
Jean-Franç ois van Boxmeer, who has led Heineken since 2005.
The Belgian national has been credited with expanding Heineken's
presence in fast-growing markets in Latin America and Asia in
recent years, while further strengthening the brewer's activities
in Africa. Mr. van Boxmeer, 55 years old, now faces the daunting
task of competing head-to-head with his deep-pocketed countrymen at
Belgium-based AB InBev.
Earlier this month, AB InBev completed its $100 billion-plus
megamerger with the former SABMiller PLC, combining what, for
years, had been the world's No. 1 and No. 2 publicly listed brewers
by revenue into the undisputed King of Beers.
The new AB InBev now controls 27% of the global beer market,
compared with 9% for Heineken and 6% for the industry's new No. 3,
Carlsberg A/S of Denmark.
With six times as much free cash flow as Heineken, AB InBev has
the financial firepower to promote its brands across most of the
markets it already dominates, analysts say, and it is expected to
revive sales of its more profitable premium-category brands, one of
Heineken's traditional strengths.
AB InBev, by specifically targeting Africa in its tie-up with
SABMiller, also will be competing head-on with Heineken in some of
the Dutch brewer's oldest and fastest-growing emerging markets.
On Wednesday, Heineken reported third-quarter consolidated beer
volume grew 2% to 54 million hectoliters on an organic basis,
beating analyst expectations. Its premium-category namesake lager,
which accounts for roughly 15% of group volume, recorded 3.5%
growth.
Those strong numbers underscore the advantages Mr. van Boxmeer
has coming into his David vs. Goliath fight with AB InBev:
geographic diversification and a portfolio of more expensive
premium brands like Heineken and Sol that are increasingly popular
around the world.
In an interview earlier this year, Mr. van Boxmeer said he
didn't feel intimidated by the new AB InBev, but he acknowledged
that his rival would have "mind-boggling" firepower. "I rarely have
seen such a concentration on a global scale," he said.
Mr. van Boxmeer, who joined Heineken in 1984, has helped
transform the company into "a real global brewer," NIBC Markets
analyst Gerard Rijk said in a research note. "Although a
reappointment for a fourth term does not fit into modern governance
practices, for the Heineken structure this decision is not
[illogical]," he said.
Only the late Freddy Heineken, whose grandfather founded the
company more than 150 years ago, had a longer tenure at the helm
than Mr. van Boxmeer. While unusual for most publicly traded
companies in the Netherlands, Mr. van Boxmeer's longevity reflects
the continuity that Heineken and the controlling family prefer,
analysts said.
Heineken has bought three major brewers since 2008, including
Mexico's Femsa Cerveza and Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd., and did a
series of smaller deals including an investment in California's
Lagunitas Brewing, a craft brewer.
With increased competition from AB InBev, the Dutch company
might look for more acquisitions in the near future, including in
Africa and Asia, analysts said.
But with the Heineken family eager to retain control, pursuing
large deals could be difficult. In 2014, Heineken rebuffed an
overture by SABMiller because the family wanted to keep the company
independent.
Heineken's foray into emerging markets has been successful,
although it is currently facing problems in the Africa, Middle East
and Eastern Europe region. It said volumes fell 3.6% in the third
quarter amid weakness in Russia, Egypt and the Democratic Republic
of Congo.
It also warned of negative currency effects in Nigeria, one of
its biggest markets, underscoring the new headwinds in these sorts
of developing markets—which have provided brewers with their
biggest growth opportunities in recent years.
Growth was strongest in the Asia Pacific region, where Heineken
posted a 15% rise in volume thanks to strong sales in Vietnam and
Cambodia. In the Americas, beer volume grew 3% as strong sales in
Mexico helped to offset declines in Brazil and the U.S. In Europe,
where beer consumption has been falling, warm summer weather led to
a surprise 0.6% growth rate.
Write to Maarten van Tartwijk at maarten.vantartwijk@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 26, 2016 08:15 ET (12:15 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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