Credit Acceptance Corporation (Nasdaq: CACC)
(referred to as the “Company”, “Credit Acceptance”, “we”, “our”, or
“us”) today announced consolidated net income of $78.8 million, or
$6.35 per diluted share, for the three months ended
September 30, 2024 compared to consolidated net income of
$70.8 million, or $5.43 per diluted share, for the same period in
2023. Adjusted net income, a non-GAAP financial measure, for the
three months ended September 30, 2024 was $109.1 million, or
$8.79 per diluted share, compared to $139.5 million, or $10.70 per
diluted share, for the same period in 2023. The following table
summarizes our financial results:
(In millions, except per share
data) |
|
For the Three Months Ended |
|
For the Nine Months Ended |
|
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
June 30, 2024 |
|
September 30, 2023 |
|
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
|
September 30, 2023 |
GAAP net income (loss) |
|
$ |
78.8 |
|
$ |
(47.1) |
|
|
$ |
70.8 |
|
$ |
96.0 |
|
$ |
192.5 |
GAAP net income (loss) per
diluted share |
|
$ |
6.35 |
|
$ |
(3.83) |
|
|
$ |
5.43 |
|
$ |
7.68 |
|
$ |
14.73 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted net income (1) |
|
$ |
109.1 |
|
$ |
126.4 |
|
|
$ |
139.5 |
|
$ |
352.9 |
|
$ |
406.5 |
Adjusted net income per
diluted share (1) |
|
$ |
8.79 |
|
$ |
10.29 |
|
|
$ |
10.70 |
|
$ |
28.25 |
|
$ |
31.10 |
(1) Represents a non-GAAP
financial measure.
Our results for the third quarter of 2024 in
comparison to the third quarter of 2023 included:
- A similar decline
in forecasted collection ratesA decline in
forecasted collection rates decreased forecasted net cash flows
from our loan portfolio by $62.8 million, or 0.6%, compared to a
decrease in forecasted collection rates during the third quarter of
2023 that decreased forecasted net cash flows from our loan
portfolio by $69.4 million, or 0.7%.
- A decrease in forecasted
profitability for Consumer Loans assigned in 2021 through
2024 Forecasted profitability was lower than our estimates
at September 30, 2023, due to both a decline in forecasted
collection rates and slower forecasted net cash flow timing since
the third quarter of 2023. The slower forecasted net cash flow
timing was primarily a result of a decrease in Consumer Loan
prepayments, which remain at below-average levels.
- Growth in Consumer Loan
assignment volume and the average balance of our loan
portfolio Unit and dollar volumes grew 17.7% and 12.2%,
respectively, as compared to the third quarter of 2023. The average
balance of our loan portfolio, which is our largest-ever, increased
14.9% and 18.6% on a GAAP and adjusted basis, respectively, as
compared to the third quarter of 2023.
- An increase in the initial
spread on Consumer Loan assignments The initial spread
increased to 21.9% compared to 21.4% on Consumer Loans assigned in
the third quarter of 2023.
- An increase in our average
cost of debt Our average cost of debt increased from 5.8%
to 7.3%, primarily a result of higher interest rates on recently
completed or extended secured financings and recently issued senior
notes and the repayment of older secured financings and senior
notes with lower interest rates.
- A decrease
in common shares outstanding due to stock
repurchasesSince the third quarter of 2023, we have
repurchased approximately 566,000 shares, or 4.5% of the shares
outstanding as of September 30, 2023. There were no stock
repurchases during the third quarter of 2024.
Our results for the third quarter of 2024 in
comparison to the second quarter of 2024 included:
- A smaller decline
in forecasted collection rates
A decline in forecasted collection rates decreased forecasted
net cash flows from our loan portfolio by $62.8 million, or 0.6%,
compared to a decrease in forecasted collection rates during the
second quarter of 2024 that decreased forecasted net cash flows
from our loan portfolio by $189.3 million, or 1.7%. The $189.3
million decrease in forecasted net cash flows for the second
quarter of 2024 was composed of an ordinary decrease in forecasted
net cash flows of $42.1 million, or 0.3%, and an adjustment applied
to our forecasting methodology, which upon implementation, reduced
forecasted net cash flows by $147.2 million, or 1.4%.
- A decrease in forecasted
profitability for Consumer Loans assigned in 2021 through
2024Forecasted profitability was lower than our
estimates at June 30, 2024, due to both the decline in forecasted
collection rates and the slower forecasted net cash flow timing
during the third quarter of 2024 discussed above.
- Growth in the average
balance of our loan portfolio The average balance of our
loan portfolio, which is our largest-ever, increased 2.6% and 4.3%
on a GAAP and adjusted basis, respectively, as compared to the
second quarter of 2024.
- Loss on sale of buildingWe recognized a $23.7
million loss during the second quarter of 2024 related to the sale
of one of our two office buildings, which we have excluded from our
adjusted results. The building was sold to reduce excess office
space and eliminate the associated annual operating costs of
approximately $2.1 million.
Consumer Loan Metrics
Dealers assign retail installment contracts
(referred to as “Consumer Loans”) to Credit Acceptance. At the
time a Consumer Loan is submitted to us for assignment, we forecast
future expected cash flows from the Consumer Loan. Based on
the amount and timing of these forecasts and expected expense
levels, an advance or one-time purchase payment is made to the
related dealer at a price designed to maximize economic profit, a
non-GAAP financial measure that considers our return on capital,
our cost of capital, and the amount of capital invested.
We use a statistical model to estimate the
expected collection rate for each Consumer Loan at the time of
assignment. We continue to evaluate the expected collection
rate for each Consumer Loan subsequent to assignment. Our
evaluation becomes more accurate as the Consumer Loans age, as we
use actual performance data in our forecast. By comparing our
current expected collection rate for each Consumer Loan with the
rate we projected at the time of assignment, we are able to assess
the accuracy of our initial forecast. The following table
compares our aggregated forecast of Consumer Loan collection rates
as of September 30, 2024, with the aggregated forecasts as of
June 30, 2024, as of December 31, 2023, and at the time of
assignment, segmented by year of assignment:
|
|
Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1) |
|
Current Forecast Variance from |
Consumer Loan Assignment Year |
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
June 30, 2024 |
|
December 31, 2023 |
|
InitialForecast |
|
June 30, 2024 |
|
December 31, 2023 |
|
InitialForecast |
2015 |
|
65.3 |
% |
|
65.3 |
% |
|
65.2 |
% |
|
67.7 |
% |
|
0.0 |
% |
|
0.1 |
% |
|
-2.4 |
% |
2016 |
|
63.9 |
% |
|
63.9 |
% |
|
63.8 |
% |
|
65.4 |
% |
|
0.0 |
% |
|
0.1 |
% |
|
-1.5 |
% |
2017 |
|
64.7 |
% |
|
64.7 |
% |
|
64.7 |
% |
|
64.0 |
% |
|
0.0 |
% |
|
0.0 |
% |
|
0.7 |
% |
2018 |
|
65.5 |
% |
|
65.5 |
% |
|
65.5 |
% |
|
63.6 |
% |
|
0.0 |
% |
|
0.0 |
% |
|
1.9 |
% |
2019 |
|
67.2 |
% |
|
67.1 |
% |
|
66.9 |
% |
|
64.0 |
% |
|
0.1 |
% |
|
0.3 |
% |
|
3.2 |
% |
2020 |
|
67.6 |
% |
|
67.7 |
% |
|
67.6 |
% |
|
63.4 |
% |
|
-0.1 |
% |
|
0.0 |
% |
|
4.2 |
% |
2021 |
|
63.8 |
% |
|
64.1 |
% |
|
64.5 |
% |
|
66.3 |
% |
|
-0.3 |
% |
|
-0.7 |
% |
|
-2.5 |
% |
2022 |
|
60.6 |
% |
|
61.1 |
% |
|
62.7 |
% |
|
67.5 |
% |
|
-0.5 |
% |
|
-2.1 |
% |
|
-6.9 |
% |
2023 |
|
64.3 |
% |
|
64.5 |
% |
|
67.4 |
% |
|
67.5 |
% |
|
-0.2 |
% |
|
-3.1 |
% |
|
-3.2 |
% |
2024 (2) |
|
66.6 |
% |
|
66.6 |
% |
|
— |
|
|
67.3 |
% |
|
0.0 |
% |
|
— |
|
|
-0.7 |
% |
(1) Represents the total
forecasted collections we expect to collect on the Consumer Loans
as a percentage of the repayments that we were contractually owed
on the Consumer Loans at the time of assignment. Contractual
repayments include both principal and interest. Forecasted
collection rates are negatively impacted by canceled Consumer Loans
as the contractual amount owed is not removed from the denominator
for purposes of computing forecasted collection
rates.(2) The forecasted collection rate for 2024
Consumer Loans as of September 30, 2024 includes both Consumer
Loans that were in our portfolio as of June 30, 2024 and Consumer
Loans assigned during the most recent quarter. The following table
provides forecasted collection rates for each of these
segments:
|
|
Forecasted Collection Percentage as of |
|
Current Forecast Variance from |
2024 Consumer Loan Assignment
Period |
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
June 30, 2024 |
|
Initial Forecast |
|
June 30, 2024 |
|
InitialForecast |
January 1, 2024 through June 30, 2024 |
|
66.4 |
% |
|
66.6 |
% |
|
67.2 |
% |
|
-0.2 |
% |
|
-0.8 |
% |
July 1, 2024 through September
30, 2024 |
|
67.0 |
% |
|
— |
|
|
67.3 |
% |
|
— |
|
|
-0.3 |
% |
Consumer Loans assigned in 2018 through 2020
have yielded forecasted collection results significantly better
than our initial estimates, while Consumer Loans assigned in 2015,
2016, and 2021 through 2023 have yielded forecasted collection
results significantly worse than our initial estimates. For all
other assignment years presented, actual results have been close to
our initial estimates. For the three months ended
September 30, 2024, forecasted collection rates declined for
Consumer Loans assigned in 2021 through 2024 and were generally
consistent with expectations at the start of the period for all
other assignment years presented. For the nine months ended
September 30, 2024, forecasted collection rates improved for
Consumer Loans assigned in 2019, declined for Consumer Loans
assigned in 2021 through 2024, and were generally consistent with
expectations at the start of the period for all other assignment
years presented.
The changes in forecasted collection rates for
the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023
impacted forecasted net cash flows (forecasted collections less
forecasted dealer holdback payments) as follows:
(Dollars in millions) |
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
Decrease in Forecasted Net Cash Flows |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
|
2023 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
|
|
2023 |
|
Dealer loans |
|
$ |
(43.6) |
|
|
$ |
(40.3) |
|
|
$ |
(173.0) |
|
|
$ |
(89.3) |
|
Purchased loans |
|
|
(19.2) |
|
|
|
(29.1) |
|
|
|
(109.9) |
|
|
|
(60.0) |
|
Total |
|
$ |
(62.8) |
|
|
$ |
(69.4) |
|
|
$ |
(282.9) |
|
|
$ |
(149.3) |
|
% change from forecast at
beginning of period |
|
|
-0.6 |
% |
|
|
-0.7 |
% |
|
|
-2.8 |
% |
|
|
-1.7 |
% |
During the second quarter of 2024, we applied an
adjustment to our methodology for forecasting the amount of future
net cash flows from our loan portfolio, which reduced the
forecasted collection rates for Consumer Loans assigned in 2022
through 2024. Consumer Loans assigned in 2022 had continued to
underperform our expectations for several quarters. More recently,
Consumer Loans assigned in 2023 had also begun exhibiting similar
trends of underperformance, although not as severe as Consumer
Loans assigned in 2022. During the second quarter of 2024, we
determined that we had sufficient Consumer Loan performance
experience to estimate the magnitude by which we expected Consumer
Loans assigned in 2022 through 2024 would likely underperform our
historical collection rates on Consumer Loans with similar
characteristics. Accordingly, we applied an adjustment to Consumer
Loans assigned in 2022 through 2024 to reduce forecasted collection
rates to what we believed the ultimate collection rates would be
based on these trends. Changes in the amount and timing of
forecasted net cash flows are recognized in the period of change as
a provision for credit losses. The implementation of this forecast
adjustment during the second quarter of 2024 reduced forecasted net
cash flows by $147.2 million, or 1.4%, and increased provision for
credit losses by $127.5 million.
During the second quarter of 2023, we adjusted
our methodology for forecasting the amount and timing of future net
cash flows from our loan portfolio through the utilization of more
recent Consumer Loan performance and Consumer Loan prepayment data.
We had experienced a decrease in Consumer Loan prepayments to
below-average levels and as a result, slowed our forecasted net
cash flow timing. Historically, Consumer Loan prepayments have been
lower in periods with less availability of consumer credit. Changes
in the amount and timing of forecasted net cash flows are
recognized in the period of change as a provision for credit
losses. The implementation of the adjustment to our forecasting
methodology during the second quarter of 2023 reduced forecasted
net cash flows by $44.5 million, or 0.5%, and increased provision
for credit losses by $71.3 million.
We have experienced increased levels of
uncertainty associated with our estimate of the amount and timing
of future net cash flows from our loan portfolio since the
beginning of 2020, with realized collections underperforming our
expectations during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic,
outperforming our expectations following the distribution of
federal stimulus payments and enhanced unemployment benefits, and
underperforming our expectations during the current economic
environment. For the period from January 1, 2020 through
September 30, 2024, the cumulative change to our forecast of
future net cash flows from our loan portfolio has been a decrease
of $269.1 million, or 3.0%, as shown in the following table:
(Dollars in millions) |
|
Increase (Decrease) in Forecasted Net Cash
Flows |
Three Months Ended |
|
Total Loans |
|
% Change from Forecast at Beginning of Period |
March 31, 2020 |
|
$ |
(206.5) |
|
|
-2.3 |
% |
June 30, 2020 |
|
|
24.4 |
|
|
0.3 |
% |
September 30, 2020 |
|
|
138.5 |
|
|
1.5 |
% |
December 31, 2020 |
|
|
(2.7) |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
March 31, 2021 |
|
|
107.4 |
|
|
1.1 |
% |
June 30, 2021 |
|
|
104.5 |
|
|
1.1 |
% |
September 30, 2021 |
|
|
82.3 |
|
|
0.9 |
% |
December 31, 2021 |
|
|
31.9 |
|
|
0.3 |
% |
March 31, 2022 |
|
|
110.2 |
|
|
1.2 |
% |
June 30, 2022 |
|
|
(43.4) |
|
|
-0.5 |
% |
September 30, 2022 |
|
|
(85.4) |
|
|
-0.9 |
% |
December 31, 2022 |
|
|
(41.1) |
|
|
-0.5 |
% |
March 31, 2023 |
|
|
9.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
% |
June 30, 2023 |
|
|
(89.3) |
|
|
-0.9 |
% |
September 30, 2023 |
|
|
(69.4) |
|
|
-0.7 |
% |
December 31, 2023 |
|
|
(57.0) |
|
|
-0.6 |
% |
March 31, 2024 |
|
|
(30.8) |
|
|
-0.3 |
% |
June 30, 2024 |
|
|
(189.3) |
|
|
-1.7 |
% |
September 30, 2024 |
|
|
(62.8) |
|
|
-0.6 |
% |
Total |
|
$ |
(269.1) |
|
|
-3.0 |
% |
The following table presents information on
Consumer Loan assignments for each of the last 10 years:
|
|
Average |
|
Total Assignment Volume |
Consumer Loan Assignment
Year |
|
Consumer Loan (1) |
|
Advance (2) |
|
Initial Loan Term (in months) |
|
Unit Volume |
|
Dollar Volume (2)(in
millions) |
2015 |
|
$ |
16,354 |
|
$ |
7,272 |
|
50 |
|
298,288 |
|
$ |
2,167.0 |
2016 |
|
|
18,218 |
|
|
7,976 |
|
53 |
|
330,710 |
|
|
2,635.5 |
2017 |
|
|
20,230 |
|
|
8,746 |
|
55 |
|
328,507 |
|
|
2,873.1 |
2018 |
|
|
22,158 |
|
|
9,635 |
|
57 |
|
373,329 |
|
|
3,595.8 |
2019 |
|
|
23,139 |
|
|
10,174 |
|
57 |
|
369,805 |
|
|
3,772.2 |
2020 |
|
|
24,262 |
|
|
10,656 |
|
59 |
|
341,967 |
|
|
3,641.2 |
2021 |
|
|
25,632 |
|
|
11,790 |
|
59 |
|
268,730 |
|
|
3,167.8 |
2022 |
|
|
27,242 |
|
|
12,924 |
|
60 |
|
280,467 |
|
|
3,625.3 |
2023 |
|
|
27,025 |
|
|
12,475 |
|
61 |
|
332,499 |
|
|
4,147.8 |
2024 (3)(4) |
|
|
26,564 |
|
|
12,018 |
|
61 |
|
307,215 |
|
|
3,692.1 |
(1) Represents the repayments
that we were contractually owed on Consumer Loans at the time of
assignment, which include both principal and
interest.(2) Represents advances paid to dealers
on Consumer Loans assigned under our portfolio program and one-time
payments made to dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under
our purchase program. Payments of dealer holdback and
accelerated dealer holdback are not
included.(3) Represents activity for the nine
months ended September 30, 2024. Information in this table for
each of the years prior to 2024 represents activity for all 12
months of that year.(4) The averages for 2024
Consumer Loans include both Consumer Loans that were in our
portfolio as of June 30, 2024 and Consumer Loans assigned during
the most recent quarter. The following table provides averages for
each of these segments:
|
|
Average |
2024 Consumer Loan Assignment
Period |
|
Consumer Loan |
|
Advance |
|
Initial Loan Term (in months) |
January 1, 2024 through June 30, 2024 |
|
$ |
26,554 |
|
$ |
12,033 |
|
61 |
July 1, 2024 through September
30, 2024 |
|
|
26,586 |
|
|
11,985 |
|
61 |
The profitability of our loans is primarily
driven by the amount and timing of the net cash flows we receive
from the spread between the forecasted collection rate and the
advance rate, less operating expenses and the cost of capital.
Forecasting collection rates accurately at loan inception is
difficult. With this in mind, we establish advance rates that
are intended to allow us to achieve acceptable levels of
profitability across our portfolio, even if collection rates are
less than we initially forecast.
The following table presents aggregate
forecasted Consumer Loan collection rates, advance rates, and
spreads (the forecasted collection rate less the advance rate), and
the percentage of the forecasted collections that had been realized
as of September 30, 2024, as well as forecasted collection
rates and spreads at the time of assignment. All amounts,
unless otherwise noted, are presented as a percentage of the
initial balance of the Consumer Loan (principal +
interest). The table includes both dealer loans and purchased
loans.
|
|
Forecasted Collection % as of |
|
|
|
Spread % as of |
|
|
Consumer Loan Assignment Year |
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
Initial Forecast |
|
Advance % (1) |
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
Initial Forecast |
|
% of ForecastRealized (2) |
2015 |
|
65.3 |
% |
|
67.7 |
% |
|
44.5 |
% |
|
20.8 |
% |
|
23.2 |
% |
|
99.7 |
% |
2016 |
|
63.9 |
% |
|
65.4 |
% |
|
43.8 |
% |
|
20.1 |
% |
|
21.6 |
% |
|
99.4 |
% |
2017 |
|
64.7 |
% |
|
64.0 |
% |
|
43.2 |
% |
|
21.5 |
% |
|
20.8 |
% |
|
99.1 |
% |
2018 |
|
65.5 |
% |
|
63.6 |
% |
|
43.5 |
% |
|
22.0 |
% |
|
20.1 |
% |
|
98.4 |
% |
2019 |
|
67.2 |
% |
|
64.0 |
% |
|
44.0 |
% |
|
23.2 |
% |
|
20.0 |
% |
|
96.1 |
% |
2020 |
|
67.6 |
% |
|
63.4 |
% |
|
43.9 |
% |
|
23.7 |
% |
|
19.5 |
% |
|
90.8 |
% |
2021 |
|
63.8 |
% |
|
66.3 |
% |
|
46.0 |
% |
|
17.8 |
% |
|
20.3 |
% |
|
80.8 |
% |
2022 |
|
60.6 |
% |
|
67.5 |
% |
|
47.4 |
% |
|
13.2 |
% |
|
20.1 |
% |
|
61.3 |
% |
2023 |
|
64.3 |
% |
|
67.5 |
% |
|
46.2 |
% |
|
18.1 |
% |
|
21.3 |
% |
|
36.8 |
% |
2024 (3) |
|
66.6 |
% |
|
67.3 |
% |
|
45.3 |
% |
|
21.3 |
% |
|
22.0 |
% |
|
10.7 |
% |
(1) Represents advances paid to
dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our portfolio program and
one-time payments made to dealers to purchase Consumer Loans
assigned under our purchase program as a percentage of the initial
balance of the Consumer Loans. Payments of dealer
holdback and accelerated dealer holdback are not
included.(2) Presented as a percentage of total
forecasted collections.(3) The forecasted
collection rate, advance rate and spread for 2024 Consumer Loans as
of September 30, 2024 include both Consumer Loans that were in our
portfolio as of June 30, 2024 and Consumer Loans assigned during
the most recent quarter. The following table provides forecasted
collection rates, advance rates, and spreads for each of these
segments:
|
|
Forecasted Collection % as of |
|
|
|
Spread % as of |
2024 Consumer Loan Assignment
Period |
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
Initial Forecast |
|
Advance % |
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
Initial Forecast |
January 1, 2024 through June 30, 2024 |
|
66.4 |
% |
|
67.2 |
% |
|
45.2 |
% |
|
21.2 |
% |
|
22.0 |
% |
July 1, 2024 through September
30, 2024 |
|
67.0 |
% |
|
67.3 |
% |
|
45.4 |
% |
|
21.6 |
% |
|
21.9 |
% |
The risk of a material change in our forecasted
collection rate declines as the Consumer Loans age. For 2020
and prior Consumer Loan assignments, the risk of a material
forecast variance is modest, as we have currently realized in
excess of 90% of the expected collections. Conversely, the
forecasted collection rates for more recent Consumer Loan
assignments are less certain as a significant portion of our
forecast has not been realized.
The spread between the forecasted collection
rate as of September 30, 2024 and the advance rate ranges from
13.2% to 23.7%, on an annual basis, for Consumer Loans assigned
over the last 10 years. The spreads with respect to 2019 and 2020
Consumer Loans have been positively impacted by Consumer Loan
performance, which has exceeded our initial estimates by a greater
margin than the other years presented. The spread with respect to
2022 Consumer Loans has been negatively impacted by Consumer Loan
performance, which has been lower than our initial estimates by a
greater margin than the other years presented. The higher spread
for 2024 Consumer Loans relative to 2023 Consumer Loans as of
September 30, 2024 was primarily a result of Consumer Loan
performance, as the performance of 2023 Consumer Loans has been
lower than our initial estimates by a greater margin than 2024
Consumer Loans. Additionally, 2024 Consumer Loans had a higher
initial spread, which was primarily due to a decrease in the
advance rate.
The following table compares our forecast of aggregate Consumer
Loan collection rates as of September 30, 2024 with the
forecasts at the time of assignment, for dealer loans and purchased
loans separately:
|
|
Dealer Loans |
|
Purchased Loans |
|
|
Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1) |
|
|
|
Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1) |
|
|
Consumer Loan Assignment Year |
|
September 30,2024 |
|
Initial Forecast |
|
Variance |
|
September 30,2024 |
|
Initial Forecast |
|
Variance |
2015 |
|
64.6 |
% |
|
67.5 |
% |
|
-2.9 |
% |
|
69.0 |
% |
|
68.5 |
% |
|
0.5 |
% |
2016 |
|
63.1 |
% |
|
65.1 |
% |
|
-2.0 |
% |
|
66.1 |
% |
|
66.5 |
% |
|
-0.4 |
% |
2017 |
|
64.0 |
% |
|
63.8 |
% |
|
0.2 |
% |
|
66.3 |
% |
|
64.6 |
% |
|
1.7 |
% |
2018 |
|
64.9 |
% |
|
63.6 |
% |
|
1.3 |
% |
|
66.8 |
% |
|
63.5 |
% |
|
3.3 |
% |
2019 |
|
66.8 |
% |
|
63.9 |
% |
|
2.9 |
% |
|
67.9 |
% |
|
64.2 |
% |
|
3.7 |
% |
2020 |
|
67.5 |
% |
|
63.3 |
% |
|
4.2 |
% |
|
67.9 |
% |
|
63.6 |
% |
|
4.3 |
% |
2021 |
|
63.5 |
% |
|
66.3 |
% |
|
-2.8 |
% |
|
64.3 |
% |
|
66.3 |
% |
|
-2.0 |
% |
2022 |
|
59.8 |
% |
|
67.3 |
% |
|
-7.5 |
% |
|
62.4 |
% |
|
68.0 |
% |
|
-5.6 |
% |
2023 |
|
63.1 |
% |
|
66.8 |
% |
|
-3.7 |
% |
|
67.6 |
% |
|
69.4 |
% |
|
-1.8 |
% |
2024 |
|
65.5 |
% |
|
66.3 |
% |
|
-0.8 |
% |
|
70.5 |
% |
|
70.7 |
% |
|
-0.2 |
% |
(1) The forecasted collection
rates presented for dealer loans and purchased loans reflect the
Consumer Loan classification at the time of assignment. The
forecasted collection rates represent the total forecasted
collections we expect to collect on the Consumer Loans as a
percentage of the repayments that we were contractually owed on the
Consumer Loans at the time of assignment. Contractual repayments
include both principal and interest. Forecasted collection rates
are negatively impacted by canceled Consumer Loans as the
contractual amount owed is not removed from the denominator for
purposes of computing forecasted collection rates.
The following table presents aggregate
forecasted Consumer Loan collection rates, advance rates, and
spreads (the forecasted collection rate less the advance rate) as
of September 30, 2024 for dealer loans and purchased loans
separately. All amounts are presented as a percentage of
the initial balance of the Consumer Loan (principal +
interest).
|
|
Dealer Loans |
|
Purchased Loans |
Consumer Loan Assignment Year |
|
Forecasted Collection % (1) |
|
Advance % (1)(2) |
|
Spread % |
|
Forecasted Collection % (1) |
|
Advance % (1)(2) |
|
Spread % |
2015 |
|
64.6 |
% |
|
43.4 |
% |
|
21.2 |
% |
|
69.0 |
% |
|
50.2 |
% |
|
18.8 |
% |
2016 |
|
63.1 |
% |
|
42.1 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
66.1 |
% |
|
48.6 |
% |
|
17.5 |
% |
2017 |
|
64.0 |
% |
|
42.1 |
% |
|
21.9 |
% |
|
66.3 |
% |
|
45.8 |
% |
|
20.5 |
% |
2018 |
|
64.9 |
% |
|
42.7 |
% |
|
22.2 |
% |
|
66.8 |
% |
|
45.2 |
% |
|
21.6 |
% |
2019 |
|
66.8 |
% |
|
43.1 |
% |
|
23.7 |
% |
|
67.9 |
% |
|
45.6 |
% |
|
22.3 |
% |
2020 |
|
67.5 |
% |
|
43.0 |
% |
|
24.5 |
% |
|
67.9 |
% |
|
45.5 |
% |
|
22.4 |
% |
2021 |
|
63.5 |
% |
|
45.1 |
% |
|
18.4 |
% |
|
64.3 |
% |
|
47.7 |
% |
|
16.6 |
% |
2022 |
|
59.8 |
% |
|
46.4 |
% |
|
13.4 |
% |
|
62.4 |
% |
|
50.1 |
% |
|
12.3 |
% |
2023 |
|
63.1 |
% |
|
44.8 |
% |
|
18.3 |
% |
|
67.6 |
% |
|
49.8 |
% |
|
17.8 |
% |
2024 |
|
65.5 |
% |
|
44.3 |
% |
|
21.2 |
% |
|
70.5 |
% |
|
49.0 |
% |
|
21.5 |
% |
(1) The forecasted collection
rates and advance rates presented for dealer loans and purchased
loans reflect the Consumer Loan classification at the time of
assignment. (2) Represents advances paid to
dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our portfolio program and
one-time payments made to dealers to purchase Consumer Loans
assigned under our purchase program as a percentage of the initial
balance of the Consumer Loans. Payments of dealer
holdback and accelerated dealer holdback are not included.
Although the advance rate on purchased loans is
higher as compared to the advance rate on dealer loans, purchased
loans do not require us to pay dealer holdback.
The spread as of September 30, 2024 on 2024
dealer loans was 21.2%, as compared to a spread of 18.3% on 2023
dealer loans. The increase was due to Consumer Loan performance, as
the performance of 2023 dealer loans has been lower than our
initial estimates by a greater margin than 2024 dealer loans.
The spread as of September 30, 2024 on 2024
purchased loans was 21.5%, as compared to a spread of 17.8% on 2023
purchased loans. The increase was primarily a result of a higher
initial spread on 2024 purchased loans, due to a higher initial
forecast and lower advance rate. Additionally, the performance of
2023 purchased loans has been lower than our initial estimates by a
greater margin than 2024 purchased loans.
Consumer Loan Volume
The following table summarizes changes in
Consumer Loan assignment volume in each of the last seven quarters
as compared to the same period in the previous year:
|
|
Year over Year Percent Change |
Three Months Ended |
|
Unit Volume |
|
Dollar Volume (1) |
March 31, 2023 |
|
22.8 |
% |
|
18.6 |
% |
June 30, 2023 |
|
12.8 |
% |
|
8.3 |
% |
September 30, 2023 |
|
13.0 |
% |
|
10.5 |
% |
December 31, 2023 |
|
26.7 |
% |
|
21.3 |
% |
March 31, 2024 |
|
24.1 |
% |
|
20.2 |
% |
June 30, 2024 |
|
20.9 |
% |
|
16.3 |
% |
September 30, 2024 |
|
17.7 |
% |
|
12.2 |
% |
(1) Represents advances paid to
dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our portfolio program and
one-time payments made to dealers to purchase Consumer Loans
assigned under our purchase program. Payments of dealer
holdback and accelerated dealer holdback are not included.
Consumer Loan assignment volumes depend on a
number of factors including (1) the overall demand for our
financing programs, (2) the amount of capital available to fund new
loans, and (3) our assessment of the volume that our infrastructure
can support. Our pricing strategy is intended to maximize the
amount of economic profit we generate, within the confines of
capital and infrastructure constraints.
Unit and dollar volumes grew 17.7% and 12.2%,
respectively, during the third quarter of 2024 as the number of
active dealers grew 8.8% and the average unit volume per active
dealer increased 8.4%. Dollar volume increased less than unit
volume during the third quarter of 2024 due to a decrease in the
average advance paid, due to decreases in the average size of
Consumer Loans assigned and the average advance rate. Unit volume
for the 28-day period ended October 28, 2024 grew 4.6% compared to
the same period in 2023.
The following table summarizes the changes in Consumer Loan unit
volume and active dealers:
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
For the Nine Months EndedSeptember
30, |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
% Change |
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
% Change |
Consumer Loan unit volume |
95,670 |
|
81,299 |
|
17.7 |
% |
|
307,215 |
|
253,847 |
|
21.0 |
% |
Active dealers (1) |
10,678 |
|
9,818 |
|
8.8 |
% |
|
14,326 |
|
13,008 |
|
10.1 |
% |
Average volume per active
dealer |
9.0 |
|
8.3 |
|
8.4 |
% |
|
21.4 |
|
19.5 |
|
9.7 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumer Loan unit volume from
dealers active both periods |
74,108 |
|
67,930 |
|
9.1 |
% |
|
262,564 |
|
228,157 |
|
15.1 |
% |
Dealers active both
periods |
6,595 |
|
6,595 |
|
— |
|
|
9,604 |
|
9,604 |
|
— |
|
Average volume per dealer
active both periods |
11.2 |
|
10.3 |
|
9.1 |
% |
|
27.3 |
|
23.8 |
|
15.1 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumer loan unit volume from
dealers not active both periods |
21,562 |
|
13,369 |
|
61.3 |
% |
|
44,651 |
|
25,690 |
|
73.8 |
% |
Dealers not active both
periods |
4,083 |
|
3,223 |
|
26.7 |
% |
|
4,722 |
|
3,404 |
|
38.7 |
% |
Average volume per dealer not
active both periods |
5.3 |
|
4.1 |
|
29.3 |
% |
|
9.5 |
|
7.5 |
|
26.7 |
% |
(1) Active dealers are dealers
who have received funding for at least one Consumer Loan during the
period.
The following table provides additional information on the
changes in Consumer Loan unit volume and active dealers:
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
For the Nine Months EndedSeptember
30, |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
|
|
% Change |
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
|
|
% Change |
Consumer Loan unit volume from
new active dealers |
3,447 |
|
|
3,926 |
|
|
-12.2 |
% |
|
29,441 |
|
|
29,005 |
|
|
1.5 |
% |
New active dealers (1) |
1,038 |
|
|
983 |
|
|
5.6 |
% |
|
3,428 |
|
|
3,095 |
|
|
10.8 |
% |
Average volume per new active
dealer |
3.3 |
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
-17.5 |
% |
|
8.6 |
|
|
9.4 |
|
|
-8.5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Attrition (2) |
-16.4 |
% |
|
-17.2 |
% |
|
|
|
-10.1 |
% |
|
-8.9 |
% |
|
|
(1) New active dealers are
dealers who enrolled in our program and have received funding for
their first dealer loan or purchased loan from us during the
period.(2) Attrition is measured according to the
following formula: decrease in Consumer Loan unit volume
from dealers who have received funding for at least one dealer loan
or purchased loan during the comparable period of the prior year
but did not receive funding for any dealer loans or purchased loans
during the current period divided by prior year comparable period
Consumer Loan unit volume.
The following table shows the percentage of
Consumer Loans assigned to us as dealer loans and purchased loans
for each of the last seven quarters:
|
|
Unit Volume |
|
Dollar Volume (1) |
Three Months Ended |
|
Dealer Loans |
|
Purchased Loans |
|
Dealer Loans |
|
Purchased Loans |
March 31, 2023 |
|
72.1 |
% |
|
27.9 |
% |
|
68.1 |
% |
|
31.9 |
% |
June 30, 2023 |
|
72.4 |
% |
|
27.6 |
% |
|
68.6 |
% |
|
31.4 |
% |
September 30, 2023 |
|
74.8 |
% |
|
25.2 |
% |
|
71.7 |
% |
|
28.3 |
% |
December 31, 2023 |
|
77.2 |
% |
|
22.8 |
% |
|
75.0 |
% |
|
25.0 |
% |
March 31, 2024 |
|
78.2 |
% |
|
21.8 |
% |
|
76.6 |
% |
|
23.4 |
% |
June 30, 2024 |
|
78.5 |
% |
|
21.5 |
% |
|
77.3 |
% |
|
22.7 |
% |
September 30, 2024 |
|
79.5 |
% |
|
20.5 |
% |
|
78.4 |
% |
|
21.6 |
% |
(1) Represents advances paid to
dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our portfolio program and
one-time payments made to dealers to purchase Consumer Loans
assigned under our purchase program. Payments of dealer
holdback and accelerated dealer holdback are not included.
As of September 30, 2024 and
December 31, 2023, the net dealer loans receivable balance was
71.6% and 67.7%, respectively, of the total net loans receivable
balance.
Financial Results
(Dollars in millions, except
per share data) |
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
|
% Change |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
|
% Change |
GAAP average debt |
$ |
6,071.1 |
|
$ |
4,831.4 |
|
25.7 |
% |
|
$ |
5,732.1 |
|
$ |
4,718.7 |
|
21.5 |
% |
GAAP average shareholders'
equity |
|
1,594.2 |
|
|
1,731.3 |
|
-7.9 |
% |
|
|
1,632.1 |
|
|
1,719.1 |
|
-5.1 |
% |
Average capital |
$ |
7,665.3 |
|
$ |
6,562.7 |
|
16.8 |
% |
|
$ |
7,364.2 |
|
$ |
6,437.8 |
|
14.4 |
% |
GAAP net income |
$ |
78.8 |
|
$ |
70.8 |
|
11.3 |
% |
|
$ |
96.0 |
|
$ |
192.5 |
|
-50.1 |
% |
Diluted weighted average
shares outstanding |
|
12,415,143 |
|
|
13,039,638 |
|
-4.8 |
% |
|
|
12,494,011 |
|
|
13,068,998 |
|
-4.4 |
% |
GAAP net income per diluted
share |
$ |
6.35 |
|
$ |
5.43 |
|
16.9 |
% |
|
$ |
7.68 |
|
$ |
14.73 |
|
-47.9 |
% |
The increase in GAAP net income for the three
months ended September 30, 2024, as compared to the same
period in 2023, was primarily a result of the following:
- An increase in finance charges of
14.9% ($65.9 million), primarily due to an increase in the average
balance of our loan portfolio.
- An increase in premiums earned of
20.7% ($4.3 million), primarily due to growth in the size of our
reinsurance portfolio, which resulted from growth in new Consumer
Loan assignments and an increase in the average premium written per
reinsured vehicle service contract in recent periods.
- An increase in operating expenses
of 17.1% ($18.9 million), primarily due to:
- An increase in salaries and wages
expense of 15.9% ($10.6 million), primarily due to increases in (i)
the number of team members as we are investing in our business with
the goal of increasing the speed at which we enhance our product
for dealers and consumers and (ii) fringe benefits, primarily due
to higher medical claims.
- An increase in general and
administrative expenses of 36.2% ($7.7 million), primarily due to
an increase in legal expenses.
- An increase in interest expense of
57.7% ($40.7 million), due to:
- An increase in our average cost of
debt, which increased interest expense by $22.6 million, primarily
as a result of higher interest rates on recently completed or
extended secured financings and recently issued senior notes and
the repayment of older secured financings and senior notes with
lower interest rates.
- An increase in our average
outstanding debt balance, which increased interest expense by $18.1
million, primarily due to borrowings used to fund the growth of our
loan portfolio and stock repurchases.
The decrease in GAAP net income for the nine
months ended September 30, 2024, as compared to the same
period in 2023, was primarily a result of the following:
- An increase in interest expense of
64.2% ($120.5 million), due to:
- An increase in our average cost of
debt, which increased interest expense by $80.2 million, primarily
as a result of higher interest rates on recently completed or
extended secured financings and recently issued senior notes and
the repayment of older secured financings and senior notes with
lower interest rates.
- An increase in our average
outstanding debt balance, which increased interest expense by $40.3
million, primarily due to borrowings used to fund the growth of our
loan portfolio and stock repurchases.
- An increase in provision for credit
losses of 20.8% ($118.8 million), primarily due to an increase in
provision for credit losses on forecast changes of $111.5 million,
due to a greater decline in Consumer Loan performance and slower
net cash flow timing during the first nine months of 2024 compared
to the first nine months of 2023.
During the first nine months of 2024, we
decreased our estimate of future net cash flows by $282.9 million,
or 2.8%, to reflect a decline in forecasted collection rates during
the period, and slowed our forecasted net cash flow timing to
reflect a decrease in Consumer Loan prepayments, which remain at
below-average levels. Historically, Consumer Loan prepayments have
been lower in periods with less availability of consumer credit.
The $282.9 million decrease in forecasted net cash flows for the
first nine months of 2024 was composed of an ordinary decrease in
forecasted net cash flows of $135.7 million, or 1.4%, and an
adjustment applied to our forecasting methodology during the second
quarter of 2024, which upon implementation, reduced forecasted net
cash flows by $147.2 million, or 1.4%, and increased our provision
for credit losses by $127.5 million.
During the first nine months of 2023, we
decreased our estimate of future net cash flows by $149.3 million,
or 1.7%, to reflect a decline in forecasted collection rates during
the period and slowed our forecasted net cash flow timing to
reflect a decrease in Consumer Loan prepayments. The $149.3 million
decrease in forecasted net cash flows for the first nine months of
2023 was composed of an ordinary decrease in forecasted net cash
flows of $104.8 million, or 1.2%, and an adjustment to our
forecasting methodology during the second quarter of 2023, which
upon implementation, decreased our estimate of future net cash
flows by $44.5 million, or 0.5%, and increased our provision for
credit losses by $71.3 million.
The following table summarizes each component of
provision for credit losses:
(In millions) |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
Provision for Credit Losses |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
|
Change |
Forecast changes |
|
$ |
430.9 |
|
$ |
319.4 |
|
$ |
111.5 |
New Consumer Loan
assignments |
|
|
260.4 |
|
|
253.1 |
|
|
7.3 |
Total |
|
$ |
691.3 |
|
$ |
572.5 |
|
$ |
118.8 |
- An increase in operating expenses
of 10.2% ($35.1 million), primarily due to:
- An increase in salaries and wages
expense of 8.2% ($17.5 million), primarily due to increases in (i)
the number of team members as we are investing in our business with
the goal of increasing the speed at which we enhance our product
for dealers and consumers and (ii) fringe benefits, primarily due
to higher medical claims.
- An increase in general and
administrative expense of 26.9% ($16.1 million), primarily due to
increases in legal and technology systems expenses.
- A loss on sale of building of $23.7
million related to the sale of one of our two office buildings. The
building was sold to reduce excess office space and eliminate the
associated annual operating costs of approximately $2.1
million.
- An increase in premiums earned of
22.9% ($13.3 million), primarily due to growth in the size of our
reinsurance portfolio, which resulted from growth in new Consumer
Loan assignments and an increase in the average premium written per
reinsured vehicle service contract in recent periods.
- A decrease in provision for income
taxes of 29.1% ($17.1 million), primarily due to a decrease in
pre-tax income.
- An increase in finance charges of
13.1% ($170.7 million), primarily due to an increase in the average
balance of our loan portfolio.
Adjusted financial results are provided to help
shareholders understand our financial performance. The
financial data below is non-GAAP, unless labeled otherwise. We
use adjusted financial information internally to measure financial
performance and to determine certain incentive
compensation. We also use economic profit as a framework to
evaluate business decisions and strategies, with the objective to
maximize economic profit over the long term. In addition, certain
debt facilities utilize adjusted financial information for the
determination of loan collateral values and to measure financial
covenants. The table below shows our results following adjustments
to reflect non-GAAP accounting methods. Material adjustments
are explained in the table footnotes and the subsequent “Floating
Yield Adjustment” and “Senior Notes Adjustment”
sections. Measures such as adjusted average capital, adjusted
net income, adjusted net income per diluted share, adjusted
interest expense (after-tax), adjusted net income plus adjusted
interest expense (after-tax), adjusted return on capital, adjusted
revenue, operating expenses, adjusted loans receivable, economic
profit, and economic profit per diluted share are non-GAAP
financial measures. Non-GAAP financial measures should be
viewed in addition to, and not as an alternative for, our reported
results prepared in accordance with GAAP.
Adjusted financial results for the three and
nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the same
periods in 2023, include the following:
(Dollars in millions, except
per share data) |
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
For the Nine Months EndedSeptember
30, |
|
|
|
|
2024 |
|
|
|
2023 |
|
|
% Change |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
|
2023 |
|
|
% Change |
Adjusted average capital |
$ |
8,387.6 |
|
|
$ |
7,023.9 |
|
|
19.4 |
% |
|
$ |
7,976.2 |
|
|
$ |
6,801.6 |
|
|
17.3 |
% |
Adjusted net income |
$ |
109.1 |
|
|
$ |
139.5 |
|
|
-21.8 |
% |
|
$ |
352.9 |
|
|
$ |
406.5 |
|
|
-13.2 |
% |
Adjusted interest expense
(after-tax) |
$ |
85.6 |
|
|
$ |
54.8 |
|
|
56.2 |
% |
|
$ |
237.3 |
|
|
$ |
146.1 |
|
|
62.4 |
% |
Adjusted net income plus
adjusted interest expense (after-tax) |
$ |
194.7 |
|
|
$ |
194.3 |
|
|
0.2 |
% |
|
$ |
590.2 |
|
|
$ |
552.6 |
|
|
6.8 |
% |
Adjusted return on
capital |
|
9.3 |
% |
|
|
11.1 |
% |
|
-16.2 |
% |
|
|
9.9 |
% |
|
|
10.8 |
% |
|
-8.3 |
% |
Cost of capital |
|
7.3 |
% |
|
|
7.1 |
% |
|
2.8 |
% |
|
|
7.4 |
% |
|
|
6.8 |
% |
|
8.8 |
% |
Economic profit |
$ |
41.4 |
|
|
$ |
69.1 |
|
|
-40.1 |
% |
|
$ |
149.0 |
|
|
$ |
204.6 |
|
|
-27.2 |
% |
Diluted weighted average
shares outstanding |
|
12,415,143 |
|
|
|
13,039,638 |
|
|
-4.8 |
% |
|
|
12,494,011 |
|
|
|
13,068,998 |
|
|
-4.4 |
% |
Adjusted net income per
diluted share |
$ |
8.79 |
|
|
$ |
10.70 |
|
|
-17.9 |
% |
|
$ |
28.25 |
|
|
$ |
31.10 |
|
|
-9.2 |
% |
Economic profit per diluted
share |
$ |
3.33 |
|
|
$ |
5.30 |
|
|
-37.2 |
% |
|
$ |
11.93 |
|
|
$ |
15.66 |
|
|
-23.8 |
% |
Economic profit decreased 40.1% and 27.2% for
the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, as
compared to the same periods in 2023. Economic profit is a
function of the return on capital in excess of the cost of capital
and the amount of capital invested in the business. The
following table summarizes the impact each of these components had
on the changes in economic profit for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2024, as compared to the same periods in
2023:
(In millions) |
Year over Year Change in Economic Profit |
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, 2024 |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 |
Decrease in adjusted return on
capital |
$ |
(37.3) |
|
|
$ |
(58.1) |
|
Increase in cost of
capital |
|
(3.8) |
|
|
|
(33.0) |
|
Increase in adjusted average
capital |
|
13.4 |
|
|
|
35.5 |
|
Decrease in economic profit |
$ |
(27.7) |
|
|
$ |
(55.6) |
|
The decrease in economic profit for the three
months ended September 30, 2024, as compared to the same
period in 2023, was primarily a result of the following:
- A decrease in our adjusted return
on capital of 180 basis points, primarily due to a decrease in the
yield used to recognize adjusted finance charges on our loan
portfolio, primarily due to both a decline in forecasted collection
rates and slower forecasted net cash flow timing since the second
quarter of 2023. The slower forecasted net cash flow timing was
primarily a result of a decrease in Consumer Loan prepayments,
which remain at below-average levels.
- An increase in adjusted average
capital of 19.4%, primarily due to an increase in the average
balance of our loan portfolio.
The decrease in economic profit for the nine
months ended September 30, 2024, as compared to the same
period in 2023, was primarily a result of the following:
- A decrease in our adjusted return
on capital of 90 basis points, primarily due to:
- A decrease in the yield used to
recognize adjusted finance charges on our loan portfolio decreased
our adjusted return on capital by 130 basis points, primarily due
to both a decline in forecasted collection rates and slower
forecasted net cash flow timing since the first quarter of 2023.
The slower forecasted net cash flow timing was primarily a result
of a decrease in Consumer Loan prepayments, which remain at
below-average levels.
- Slower growth in operating expenses
increased our adjusted return on capital by 30 basis points as
operating expenses grew by 10.2% while adjusted average capital
grew by 17.3%.
- An increase in our cost of capital,
primarily due to an increase in our cost of debt, primarily as a
result of higher interest rates on recently completed or extended
secured financings and recently issued senior notes and the
repayment of older secured financings and senior notes with lower
interest rates.
- An increase in adjusted average
capital of 17.3%, primarily due to an increase in the average
balance of our loan portfolio.
The following table shows adjusted revenue and
operating expenses as a percentage of adjusted average capital, the
adjusted return on capital, and the percentage change in adjusted
average capital for each of the last eight quarters, compared to
the same period in the prior year:
|
|
For the Three Months Ended |
|
|
Sept. 30, 2024 |
|
Jun. 30, 2024 |
|
Mar. 31, 2024 |
|
Dec. 31, 2023 |
|
Sept. 30, 2023 |
|
Jun. 30, 2023 |
|
Mar. 31, 2023 |
|
Dec. 31, 2022 |
Adjusted revenue as a percentage of adjusted average capital
(1) |
|
18.2 |
% |
|
19.6 |
% |
|
19.8 |
% |
|
20.2 |
% |
|
20.7 |
% |
|
21.2 |
% |
|
20.6 |
% |
|
22.0 |
% |
Operating expenses as a percentage of adjusted average capital
(1) |
|
6.2 |
% |
|
6.2 |
% |
|
6.7 |
% |
|
6.3 |
% |
|
6.3 |
% |
|
6.9 |
% |
|
7.2 |
% |
|
6.4 |
% |
Adjusted return on capital (1) |
|
9.3 |
% |
|
10.3 |
% |
|
10.1 |
% |
|
10.6 |
% |
|
11.1 |
% |
|
11.1 |
% |
|
10.3 |
% |
|
12.0 |
% |
Percentage change in adjusted average capital compared to the same
period in the prior year |
|
19.4 |
% |
|
17.6 |
% |
|
14.6 |
% |
|
11.5 |
% |
|
8.8 |
% |
|
6.2 |
% |
|
1.0 |
% |
|
-2.4 |
% |
(1) Annualized.
The decrease in adjusted return on capital for
the three months ended September 30, 2024, as compared to the
three months ended June 30, 2024, was primarily due to a decrease
in the yield used to recognize adjusted finance charges on our loan
portfolio, primarily due to both a decline in Consumer Loan
performance and slower forecasted net cash flow timing in the
second and third quarters of 2024, which is being recorded over
time as an adjustment to the yield used to recognize adjusted
finance charges.
The following tables provide a reconciliation of
non-GAAP measures to GAAP measures. Certain amounts do
not recalculate due to rounding.
(Dollars in millions, except
per share data) |
|
For the Three Months Ended |
|
|
Sept. 30, 2024 |
|
Jun. 30, 2024 |
|
Mar. 31, 2024 |
|
Dec. 31, 2023 |
|
Sept. 30, 2023 |
|
Jun. 30, 2023 |
|
Mar. 31, 2023 |
|
Dec. 31, 2022 |
Adjusted net income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP net income (loss) |
|
$ |
78.8 |
|
|
$ |
(47.1) |
|
|
$ |
64.3 |
|
|
$ |
93.6 |
|
|
$ |
70.8 |
|
|
$ |
22.2 |
|
|
$ |
99.5 |
|
|
$ |
127.3 |
|
Floating yield adjustment
(after-tax) |
|
|
(115.1) |
|
|
|
(96.1) |
|
|
|
(92.4) |
|
|
|
(83.9) |
|
|
|
(76.4) |
|
|
|
(73.9) |
|
|
|
(75.9) |
|
|
|
(69.3) |
|
GAAP provision for credit
losses (after-tax) |
|
|
142.2 |
|
|
|
246.9 |
|
|
|
143.2 |
|
|
|
126.1 |
|
|
|
142.1 |
|
|
|
192.9 |
|
|
|
105.8 |
|
|
|
100.4 |
|
Loss on sale of building
(1) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
18.3 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
Senior notes adjustment
(after-tax) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(2.6) |
|
|
|
(0.5) |
|
|
|
(0.6) |
|
|
|
(0.5) |
|
|
|
(0.5) |
|
Income tax adjustment (2) |
|
|
3.2 |
|
|
|
4.4 |
|
|
|
2.3 |
|
|
|
(4.1) |
|
|
|
3.5 |
|
|
|
(0.6) |
|
|
|
(1.9) |
|
|
|
(1.8) |
|
Adjusted net income |
|
$ |
109.1 |
|
|
$ |
126.4 |
|
|
$ |
117.4 |
|
|
$ |
129.1 |
|
|
$ |
139.5 |
|
|
$ |
140.0 |
|
|
$ |
127.0 |
|
|
$ |
156.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted net income per
diluted share (3) |
|
$ |
8.79 |
|
|
$ |
10.29 |
|
|
$ |
9.28 |
|
|
$ |
10.06 |
|
|
$ |
10.70 |
|
|
$ |
10.69 |
|
|
$ |
9.71 |
|
|
$ |
11.74 |
|
Diluted weighted average
shares outstanding |
|
|
12,415,143 |
|
|
|
12,282,174 |
|
|
|
12,646,529 |
|
|
|
12,837,181 |
|
|
|
13,039,638 |
|
|
|
13,099,961 |
|
|
|
13,073,316 |
|
|
|
13,294,506 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP total revenue |
|
$ |
550.3 |
|
|
$ |
538.2 |
|
|
$ |
508.0 |
|
|
$ |
491.6 |
|
|
$ |
478.6 |
|
|
$ |
477.9 |
|
|
$ |
453.8 |
|
|
$ |
459.0 |
|
Floating yield adjustment |
|
|
(149.4) |
|
|
|
(124.8) |
|
|
|
(120.0) |
|
|
|
(108.9) |
|
|
|
(99.3) |
|
|
|
(96.1) |
|
|
|
(98.4) |
|
|
|
(90.0) |
|
GAAP provision for claims |
|
|
(18.5) |
|
|
|
(20.3) |
|
|
|
(17.0) |
|
|
|
(16.6) |
|
|
|
(16.5) |
|
|
|
(19.7) |
|
|
|
(17.9) |
|
|
|
(12.4) |
|
Adjusted revenue |
|
$ |
382.4 |
|
|
$ |
393.1 |
|
|
$ |
371.0 |
|
|
$ |
366.1 |
|
|
$ |
362.8 |
|
|
$ |
362.1 |
|
|
$ |
337.5 |
|
|
$ |
356.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted average capital |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP average debt |
|
$ |
6,071.1 |
|
|
$ |
5,818.2 |
|
|
$ |
5,306.8 |
|
|
$ |
4,986.3 |
|
|
$ |
4,831.4 |
|
|
$ |
4,730.3 |
|
|
$ |
4,594.7 |
|
|
$ |
4,591.1 |
|
Deferred debt issuance
adjustment |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
20.9 |
|
|
|
24.5 |
|
|
|
24.0 |
|
|
|
21.2 |
|
|
|
21.3 |
|
Senior notes debt
adjustment |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
2.8 |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
Adjusted average debt |
|
|
6,071.1 |
|
|
|
5,818.2 |
|
|
|
5,306.8 |
|
|
|
5,010.0 |
|
|
|
4,859.3 |
|
|
|
4,757.7 |
|
|
|
4,619.3 |
|
|
|
4,615.8 |
|
GAAP average shareholders'
equity |
|
|
1,594.2 |
|
|
|
1,623.5 |
|
|
|
1,678.5 |
|
|
|
1,734.3 |
|
|
|
1,731.3 |
|
|
|
1,752.6 |
|
|
|
1,673.3 |
|
|
|
1,635.2 |
|
Senior notes equity
adjustment |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
2.0 |
|
|
|
2.9 |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
|
4.5 |
|
Income tax adjustment (4) |
|
|
(118.5) |
|
|
|
(118.5) |
|
|
|
(118.5) |
|
|
|
(118.5) |
|
|
|
(118.5) |
|
|
|
(118.5) |
|
|
|
(118.5) |
|
|
|
(118.5) |
|
Floating yield adjustment |
|
|
840.8 |
|
|
|
710.1 |
|
|
|
641.0 |
|
|
|
606.5 |
|
|
|
548.9 |
|
|
|
433.9 |
|
|
|
373.7 |
|
|
|
353.2 |
|
Adjusted average equity |
|
|
2,316.5 |
|
|
|
2,215.1 |
|
|
|
2,201.0 |
|
|
|
2,224.3 |
|
|
|
2,164.6 |
|
|
|
2,071.4 |
|
|
|
1,932.5 |
|
|
|
1,874.4 |
|
Adjusted average capital |
|
$ |
8,387.6 |
|
|
$ |
8,033.3 |
|
|
$ |
7,507.8 |
|
|
$ |
7,234.3 |
|
|
$ |
7,023.9 |
|
|
$ |
6,829.1 |
|
|
$ |
6,551.8 |
|
|
$ |
6,490.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted revenue as a percentage of adjusted average capital
(5) |
|
|
18.2 |
% |
|
|
19.6 |
% |
|
|
19.8 |
% |
|
|
20.2 |
% |
|
|
20.7 |
% |
|
|
21.2 |
% |
|
|
20.6 |
% |
|
|
22.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted loans receivable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP loans receivable, net |
|
$ |
7,781.5 |
|
|
$ |
7,547.7 |
|
|
$ |
7,345.6 |
|
|
$ |
6,955.3 |
|
|
$ |
6,780.5 |
|
|
$ |
6,610.3 |
|
|
$ |
6,500.3 |
|
|
$ |
6,297.7 |
|
Floating yield adjustment |
|
|
1,100.8 |
|
|
|
1,065.6 |
|
|
|
869.7 |
|
|
|
803.8 |
|
|
|
748.9 |
|
|
|
663.7 |
|
|
|
509.2 |
|
|
|
470.2 |
|
Adjusted loans receivable |
|
$ |
8,882.3 |
|
|
$ |
8,613.3 |
|
|
$ |
8,215.3 |
|
|
$ |
7,759.1 |
|
|
$ |
7,529.4 |
|
|
$ |
7,274.0 |
|
|
$ |
7,009.5 |
|
|
$ |
6,767.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted interest expense (after-tax) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP interest expense |
|
$ |
111.2 |
|
|
$ |
104.5 |
|
|
$ |
92.5 |
|
|
$ |
78.8 |
|
|
$ |
70.5 |
|
|
$ |
62.8 |
|
|
$ |
54.4 |
|
|
$ |
49.4 |
|
Senior notes adjustment |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
3.5 |
|
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
|
0.7 |
|
Adjusted interest expense (pre-tax) |
|
|
111.2 |
|
|
|
104.5 |
|
|
|
92.5 |
|
|
|
82.3 |
|
|
|
71.2 |
|
|
|
63.5 |
|
|
|
55.1 |
|
|
|
50.1 |
|
Adjustment to record tax
effect (2) |
|
|
(25.6) |
|
|
|
(24.0) |
|
|
|
(21.3) |
|
|
|
(18.9) |
|
|
|
(16.4) |
|
|
|
(14.6) |
|
|
|
(12.7) |
|
|
|
(11.5) |
|
Adjusted interest expense (after-tax) |
|
$ |
85.6 |
|
|
$ |
80.5 |
|
|
$ |
71.2 |
|
|
$ |
63.4 |
|
|
$ |
54.8 |
|
|
$ |
48.9 |
|
|
$ |
42.4 |
|
|
$ |
38.6 |
|
(1) The sale of one of our two
office buildings in June 2024 resulted in a loss on the sale of the
asset. As this transaction is both unusual and infrequent in
nature, we applied this adjustment to remove the impact of the loss
on sale of building from our adjusted net
income.(2) Adjustment to record taxes at our
estimated long-term effective income tax rate of
23%. (3) Net income per diluted share is
computed independently for each of the quarters presented.
Therefore, the sum of quarterly net income per diluted share
information may not equal year-to-date net income per diluted
share.(4) The enactment of the Tax Cuts and Jobs
Act in December 2017 resulted in the reversal of $118.5 million of
provision for income taxes to reflect the new federal statutory
income tax rate. This adjustment removes the impact of this
reversal from adjusted average capital. We believe the income tax
adjustment provides a more accurate reflection of the performance
of our business as we are recognizing provision for income taxes at
the applicable long-term effective tax rate for the
period.(5) Annualized.
(Dollars in millions) |
|
For the Three Months Ended |
|
|
Sept. 30, 2024 |
|
Jun. 30, 2024 |
|
Mar. 31, 2024 |
|
Dec. 31, 2023 |
|
Sept. 30, 2023 |
|
Jun. 30, 2023 |
|
Mar. 31, 2023 |
|
Dec. 31, 2022 |
Adjusted return on capital (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted net income |
|
$ |
109.1 |
|
|
$ |
126.4 |
|
|
$ |
117.4 |
|
|
$ |
129.1 |
|
|
$ |
139.5 |
|
|
$ |
140.0 |
|
|
$ |
127.0 |
|
|
$ |
156.1 |
|
Adjusted interest expense
(after-tax) |
|
|
85.6 |
|
|
|
80.5 |
|
|
|
71.2 |
|
|
|
63.4 |
|
|
|
54.8 |
|
|
|
48.9 |
|
|
|
42.4 |
|
|
|
38.6 |
|
Adjusted net income plus adjusted interest expense (after-tax) |
|
$ |
194.7 |
|
|
$ |
206.9 |
|
|
$ |
188.6 |
|
|
$ |
192.5 |
|
|
$ |
194.3 |
|
|
$ |
188.9 |
|
|
$ |
169.4 |
|
|
$ |
194.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation of GAAP return on equity to adjusted return
on capital (4) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP return on equity (2) |
|
|
19.8 |
% |
|
|
-11.6 |
% |
|
|
15.3 |
% |
|
|
21.6 |
% |
|
|
16.4 |
% |
|
|
5.1 |
% |
|
|
23.8 |
% |
|
|
31.1 |
% |
Non-GAAP adjustments |
|
|
-10.5 |
% |
|
|
21.9 |
% |
|
|
-5.2 |
% |
|
|
-11.0 |
% |
|
|
-5.3 |
% |
|
|
6.0 |
% |
|
|
-13.5 |
% |
|
|
-19.1 |
% |
Adjusted return on capital (1) |
|
|
9.3 |
% |
|
|
10.3 |
% |
|
|
10.1 |
% |
|
|
10.6 |
% |
|
|
11.1 |
% |
|
|
11.1 |
% |
|
|
10.3 |
% |
|
|
12.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Economic profit |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted return on capital |
|
|
9.3 |
% |
|
|
10.3 |
% |
|
|
10.1 |
% |
|
|
10.6 |
% |
|
|
11.1 |
% |
|
|
11.1 |
% |
|
|
10.3 |
% |
|
|
12.0 |
% |
Cost of capital (3) (4) |
|
|
7.3 |
% |
|
|
7.5 |
% |
|
|
7.3 |
% |
|
|
7.6 |
% |
|
|
7.1 |
% |
|
|
6.7 |
% |
|
|
6.6 |
% |
|
|
6.6 |
% |
Adjusted return on capital in excess of cost of capital |
|
|
2.0 |
% |
|
|
2.8 |
% |
|
|
2.8 |
% |
|
|
3.0 |
% |
|
|
4.0 |
% |
|
|
4.4 |
% |
|
|
3.7 |
% |
|
|
5.4 |
% |
Adjusted average capital |
|
$ |
8,387.6 |
|
|
$ |
8,033.3 |
|
|
$ |
7,507.8 |
|
|
$ |
7,234.3 |
|
|
$ |
7,023.9 |
|
|
$ |
6,829.1 |
|
|
$ |
6,551.8 |
|
|
$ |
6,490.2 |
|
Economic profit |
|
$ |
41.4 |
|
|
$ |
56.2 |
|
|
$ |
51.4 |
|
|
$ |
55.9 |
|
|
$ |
69.1 |
|
|
$ |
74.1 |
|
|
$ |
61.4 |
|
|
$ |
88.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation of GAAP net income (loss) to economic
profit |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP net income (loss) |
|
$ |
78.8 |
|
|
$ |
(47.1) |
|
|
$ |
64.3 |
|
|
$ |
93.6 |
|
|
$ |
70.8 |
|
|
$ |
22.2 |
|
|
$ |
99.5 |
|
|
$ |
127.3 |
|
Non-GAAP adjustments |
|
|
30.3 |
|
|
|
173.5 |
|
|
|
53.1 |
|
|
|
35.5 |
|
|
|
68.7 |
|
|
|
117.8 |
|
|
|
27.5 |
|
|
|
28.8 |
|
Adjusted net income |
|
|
109.1 |
|
|
|
126.4 |
|
|
|
117.4 |
|
|
|
129.1 |
|
|
|
139.5 |
|
|
|
140.0 |
|
|
|
127.0 |
|
|
|
156.1 |
|
Adjusted interest expense
(after-tax) |
|
|
85.6 |
|
|
|
80.5 |
|
|
|
71.2 |
|
|
|
63.4 |
|
|
|
54.8 |
|
|
|
48.9 |
|
|
|
42.4 |
|
|
|
38.6 |
|
Adjusted net income plus adjusted interest expense (after-tax) |
|
|
194.7 |
|
|
|
206.9 |
|
|
|
188.6 |
|
|
|
192.5 |
|
|
|
194.3 |
|
|
|
188.9 |
|
|
|
169.4 |
|
|
|
194.7 |
|
Less: cost of capital |
|
|
153.3 |
|
|
|
150.7 |
|
|
|
137.2 |
|
|
|
136.6 |
|
|
|
125.2 |
|
|
|
114.8 |
|
|
|
108.0 |
|
|
|
106.6 |
|
Economic profit |
|
$ |
41.4 |
|
|
$ |
56.2 |
|
|
$ |
51.4 |
|
|
$ |
55.9 |
|
|
$ |
69.1 |
|
|
$ |
74.1 |
|
|
$ |
61.4 |
|
|
$ |
88.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Economic profit per diluted
share (5) |
|
$ |
3.33 |
|
|
$ |
4.58 |
|
|
$ |
4.06 |
|
|
$ |
4.35 |
|
|
$ |
5.30 |
|
|
$ |
5.66 |
|
|
$ |
4.70 |
|
|
$ |
6.63 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating expenses as a
percentage of adjusted average capital (4) |
|
|
6.2 |
% |
|
|
6.2 |
% |
|
|
6.7 |
% |
|
|
6.3 |
% |
|
|
6.3 |
% |
|
|
6.9 |
% |
|
|
7.2 |
% |
|
|
6.4 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage change in adjusted
average capital compared to the same period in the prior year |
|
|
19.4 |
% |
|
|
17.6 |
% |
|
|
14.6 |
% |
|
|
11.5 |
% |
|
|
8.8 |
% |
|
|
6.2 |
% |
|
|
1.0 |
% |
|
|
-2.4 |
% |
(1) Adjusted return on capital is defined as
adjusted net income plus adjusted interest expense (after-tax)
divided by adjusted average capital.(2) Calculated by
dividing GAAP net income (loss) by GAAP average shareholders'
equity.
(3) The cost of capital
includes both a cost of equity and a cost of debt. The
cost of equity capital is determined based on a formula that
considers the risk of the business and the risk associated with our
use of debt. The formula utilized for determining the
cost of equity capital is as follows: (the average 30-year Treasury
rate + 5%) + [(1 – tax rate) x (the average 30-year Treasury rate +
5% – pre-tax average cost of debt rate) x average debt/(average
equity + average debt x tax rate)]. For the periods
presented, the average 30-year Treasury rate and the adjusted
pre-tax average cost of debt were as follows:
|
|
For the Three Months Ended |
|
|
Sept. 30, 2024 |
|
Jun. 30, 2024 |
|
Mar. 31, 2024 |
|
Dec. 31, 2023 |
|
Sept. 30, 2023 |
|
Jun. 30, 2023 |
|
Mar. 31, 2023 |
|
Dec. 31, 2022 |
Average 30-year Treasury rate |
|
4.3 |
% |
|
4.6 |
% |
|
4.3 |
% |
|
4.7 |
% |
|
4.2 |
% |
|
3.8 |
% |
|
3.8 |
% |
|
4.0 |
% |
Adjusted pre-tax average cost of debt (4) |
|
7.3 |
% |
|
7.2 |
% |
|
7.0 |
% |
|
6.3 |
% |
|
5.9 |
% |
|
5.3 |
% |
|
4.8 |
% |
|
4.3 |
% |
(4) Annualized.(5) Economic
profit per diluted share is computed independently for each of the
quarters presented. Therefore, the sum of quarterly economic profit
per diluted share information may not equal year-to-date economic
profit per diluted share.
(In millions, except share and
per share data) |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
|
|
2023 |
|
Adjusted net income |
|
|
|
|
GAAP net income |
|
$ |
96.0 |
|
|
$ |
192.5 |
|
Floating yield adjustment
(after-tax) |
|
|
(303.6) |
|
|
|
(226.2) |
|
GAAP provision for credit
losses (after-tax) |
|
|
532.3 |
|
|
|
440.8 |
|
Loss on sale of building
(1) |
|
|
18.3 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Senior notes adjustment
(after-tax) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(1.6) |
|
Income tax adjustment (2) |
|
|
9.9 |
|
|
|
1.0 |
|
Adjusted net income |
|
$ |
352.9 |
|
|
$ |
406.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted net income per
diluted share |
|
$ |
28.25 |
|
|
$ |
31.10 |
|
Diluted weighted average
shares outstanding |
|
|
12,494,011 |
|
|
|
13,068,998 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted average capital |
|
|
|
|
GAAP average debt |
|
$ |
5,732.1 |
|
|
$ |
4,718.7 |
|
Deferred debt issuance
adjustment |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
23.3 |
|
Senior notes debt
adjustment |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
Adjusted average debt |
|
|
5,732.1 |
|
|
|
4,745.4 |
|
GAAP average shareholders'
equity |
|
|
1,632.1 |
|
|
|
1,719.1 |
|
Senior notes equity
adjustment |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
Income tax adjustment (3) |
|
|
(118.5) |
|
|
|
(118.5) |
|
Floating yield adjustment |
|
|
730.5 |
|
|
|
452.2 |
|
Adjusted average equity |
|
|
2,244.1 |
|
|
|
2,056.2 |
|
Adjusted average capital |
|
$ |
7,976.2 |
|
|
$ |
6,801.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted interest expense (after-tax) |
|
|
|
|
GAAP interest expense |
|
$ |
308.2 |
|
|
$ |
187.7 |
|
Senior notes adjustment |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
2.1 |
|
Adjusted interest expense
(pre-tax) |
|
|
308.2 |
|
|
|
189.8 |
|
Adjustment to record tax
effect (2) |
|
|
(70.9) |
|
|
|
(43.7) |
|
Adjusted interest expense (after-tax) |
|
$ |
237.3 |
|
|
$ |
146.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted return on capital (5) |
|
|
|
|
Adjusted net income |
|
$ |
352.9 |
|
|
$ |
406.5 |
|
Adjusted interest expense
(after-tax) |
|
|
237.3 |
|
|
|
146.1 |
|
Adjusted net income plus adjusted interest
expense (after-tax) |
|
$ |
590.2 |
|
|
$ |
552.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation of GAAP return on equity to adjusted return
on capital (7) |
|
|
|
|
GAAP return on equity (4) |
|
|
7.8 |
% |
|
|
14.9 |
% |
Non-GAAP adjustments |
|
|
2.1 |
% |
|
|
-4.1 |
% |
Adjusted return on capital
(5) |
|
|
9.9 |
% |
|
|
10.8 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Economic profit |
|
|
|
|
Adjusted return on capital |
|
|
9.9 |
% |
|
|
10.8 |
% |
Cost of capital (6) (7) |
|
|
7.4 |
% |
|
|
6.8 |
% |
Adjusted return on capital in
excess of cost of capital |
|
|
2.5 |
% |
|
|
4.0 |
% |
Adjusted average capital |
|
$ |
7,976.2 |
|
|
$ |
6,801.6 |
|
Economic profit |
|
$ |
149.0 |
|
|
$ |
204.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation of GAAP net income to economic
profit |
|
|
|
|
GAAP net income |
|
$ |
96.0 |
|
|
$ |
192.5 |
|
Non-GAAP adjustments |
|
|
256.9 |
|
|
|
214.0 |
|
Adjusted net income |
|
|
352.9 |
|
|
|
406.5 |
|
Adjusted interest expense
(after-tax) |
|
|
237.3 |
|
|
|
146.1 |
|
Adjusted net income plus adjusted interest expense (after-tax) |
|
|
590.2 |
|
|
|
552.6 |
|
Less: cost of capital |
|
|
441.2 |
|
|
|
348.0 |
|
Economic profit |
|
$ |
149.0 |
|
|
$ |
204.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Economic profit per diluted
share (8) |
|
$ |
11.93 |
|
|
$ |
15.66 |
|
(1) The sale of one of our two
office buildings in June 2024 resulted in a loss on the sale of the
asset. As this transaction is both unusual and infrequent in
nature, we applied this adjustment to remove the impact of the loss
on sale of building from our adjusted net
income. (2) Adjustment
to record taxes at our estimated long-term effective income tax
rate of 23%.(3) The enactment of the Tax Cuts and
Jobs Act in December 2017 resulted in the reversal of $118.5
million of provision for income taxes to reflect the new federal
statutory income tax rate. This adjustment removes the impact of
this reversal from adjusted average capital. We believe the income
tax adjustment provides a more accurate reflection of the
performance of our business as we are recognizing provision for
income taxes at the applicable long-term effective tax rate for the
period.(4) Calculated by dividing GAAP net income
by GAAP average shareholders' equity.(5) Adjusted
return on capital is defined as adjusted net income plus adjusted
interest expense after-tax divided by adjusted average
capital.(6) The cost of capital includes both a
cost of equity and a cost of debt. The cost of equity
capital is determined based on a formula that considers the risk of
the business and the risk associated with our use of
debt. The formula utilized for determining the cost of
equity capital is as follows: (the average 30-year Treasury rate +
5%) + [(1 - tax rate) x (the average 30-year Treasury rate + 5% -
pre-tax average cost of debt rate) x average debt/(average equity +
average debt x tax rate)]. For the periods presented,
the average 30-year Treasury rate and the adjusted pre-tax average
cost of debt were as follows:
|
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
|
Average 30-year Treasury
rate |
|
4.4 |
% |
|
3.9 |
% |
Adjusted pre-tax average cost
of debt (7) |
|
7.2 |
% |
|
5.3 |
% |
(7) Annualized(8) Economic profit
per diluted share is computed independently for each of the
quarters presented. Therefore, the sum of quarterly economic profit
per diluted share information may not equal year-to-date economic
profit per diluted share.
Floating Yield Adjustment
The net loan income (finance charge revenue less
provision for credit losses expense) that we recognize over the
life of a loan equals the cash we collect from the underlying
Consumer Loan less the cash we pay to the dealer. We believe the
economics of our business are best exhibited by recognizing loan
revenue on a level-yield basis over the life of the loan based on
expected future net cash flows. The purpose of this non-GAAP
adjustment is to provide insight into our business by showing this
level yield measure of income. Under GAAP, contractual amounts due
in excess of the loan receivable balance at the time of assignment
will be reflected as interest income, while contractual amounts due
that are not expected to be collected are reflected in the
provision for credit losses. Our non-GAAP floating yield adjustment
recognizes the net effects of contractual interest income and
expected credit losses in a single measure of finance charge
revenue, consistent with how we manage our business. The floating
yield adjustment recognizes revenue on a level-yield basis based
upon expected future net cash flows, with any changes in expected
future net cash flows, which are recognized immediately under GAAP
as provision for credit losses, recognized over the remaining
forecast period (up to 120 months after the origination date of the
underlying Consumer Loans) for each individual dealer loan and
purchased loan. The floating yield adjustment does not accelerate
revenue recognition. Rather, it reduces revenue by taking amounts
that are reported under GAAP as provision for credit losses and
instead treating them as reductions of revenue over time.
Under the GAAP methodology we employ, which is
known as the current expected credit loss model, or CECL, we are
required to recognize:
- a significant provision for credit
losses expense at the time of the loan’s assignment to us for
contractual net cash flows we do not expect to realize; and
- finance charge revenue in
subsequent periods that is significantly in excess of our expected
yield.
Due to the GAAP treatment of contractual net
cash flows we do not expect to realize at the time of loan
assignment (i.e. significant expense at the time of loan
assignment, which is offset by higher revenue in subsequent
periods), we do not believe the GAAP methodology we employ provides
sufficient transparency into the economics of our business,
including our results of operations, financial condition, and
financial leverage. Our floating yield adjustment enables us to
provide measures of income that are not impacted by GAAP’s
treatment of contractual net cash flows we do not expect to realize
at the time of loan assignment. We believe the floating yield
adjustment is presented in a manner which reflects both the
economic reality of our business and how the business is managed
and provides valuable supplemental information to help investors
better understand our business, executive compensation, liquidity,
and capital resources.
Senior Notes Adjustment (applied in
periods prior to December 31, 2023)
This non-GAAP adjustment modifies our GAAP
financial results to treat the issuance of certain senior notes as
a refinancing of certain previously issued senior notes. Our
historical adjusted financial information reflects application of
the senior notes adjustment as described below in connection with
(i) the issuance by us in 2014 of $300.0 million principal amount
of 6.125% senior notes due 2021 (the “2021 senior notes”) and the
related retirement of our 9.125% senior notes due 2017 (the “2017
senior notes”) and (ii) the issuance by us in 2019 of $400.0
million principal amount of 5.125% senior notes due 2024 (the “2024
senior notes”) and the related retirement of the 2021 senior notes
and our 7.375% senior notes due 2023 (the “2023 senior notes”).
We issued the 2024 senior notes on December 18,
2019. We used a portion of the net proceeds from the 2024 senior
notes to repurchase or redeem all of the $300.0 million outstanding
principal amount of the 2021 senior notes, of which $148.2 million
was repurchased on December 18, 2019 and the remaining $151.8
million was redeemed on January 17, 2020. We used the remaining net
proceeds from the 2024 senior notes, together with borrowings under
our revolving credit facility, to redeem in full the $250.0 million
outstanding principal amount of the 2023 senior notes on March 15,
2020. Under GAAP, the fourth quarter of 2019 included (i) a pre-tax
loss on extinguishment of debt of $1.8 million related to the
repurchase of 2021 senior notes in the fourth quarter of 2019 and
the redemption of the remaining 2021 senior notes in the first
quarter of 2020 and (ii) additional interest expense of $0.3
million on $160.0 million of additional outstanding debt caused by
the one month lag from the issuance of the 2024 senior notes and
repurchase of 2021 senior notes in the fourth quarter of 2019 to
the redemption of the remaining 2021 senior notes in the first
quarter of 2020. Under GAAP, the first quarter of 2020 included (i)
a pre-tax loss on extinguishment of debt of $7.4 million related to
the redemption of 2023 senior notes in the first quarter of 2020
and (ii) additional interest expense of $0.4 million on $160.0
million of additional outstanding debt caused by the one month lag
from the issuance of the 2024 senior notes and repurchase of 2021
senior notes in the fourth quarter of 2019 to the redemption of the
remaining 2021 senior notes in the first quarter of 2020.
We issued the 2021 senior notes on January 22,
2014. On February 21, 2014, we used the net proceeds from the 2021
senior notes, together with borrowings under our revolving credit
facilities, to redeem in full the $350.0 million outstanding
principal amount of the 2017 senior notes. Under GAAP, the first
quarter of 2014 included (i) a pre-tax loss on extinguishment of
debt of $21.8 million related to the redemption of the 2017 senior
notes in the first quarter of 2014 and (ii) additional interest
expense of $1.4 million on $276.0 million of additional outstanding
debt caused by the one month lag from the issuance of the 2021
senior notes to the redemption of the 2017 senior notes.
Under our non-GAAP approach, the loss on
extinguishment of debt and additional interest expense that were
recognized for GAAP purposes were in each case deferred as debt
issuance costs to be recognized ratably as interest expense over
the term of the newly issued notes. In addition, for adjusted
average capital purposes, the impact of additional outstanding debt
related to the lag from the issuance of the new notes to the
redemption of the previously issued notes was in each case deferred
to be recognized ratably over the term of the newly issued notes.
Upon the issuance of the 2024 senior notes in the fourth quarter of
2019, the outstanding unamortized balances of the non-GAAP
adjustments related to the 2021 senior notes were deferred and were
being recognized ratably over the term of the 2024 senior notes,
until the repurchase and redemption of the 2024 senior notes in
December 2023.
We believe the application of the senior notes
adjustment as described above provided a more accurate reflection
of the performance of our business, since we were recognizing the
costs incurred with these transactions in a manner consistent with
how we recognize the costs incurred when we periodically refinance
our other debt facilities. We have determined not to apply the
senior notes adjustment in connection with the issuance by us in
December 2023 of our 9.250% senior notes due 2028 and the related
retirement of the 2024 senior notes, because the adjustment would
not be material.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking
Information
We claim the protection of the safe harbor for
forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995 for all of our forward-looking
statements. Statements in this release that are not historical
facts, such as those using terms like “may,” “will,” “should,”
“believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “assume,” “forecast,”
“estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “target,” or similar expressions, and
those regarding our future results, plans, and objectives, are
“forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal
securities laws. These forward-looking statements represent
our outlook only as of the date of this release. Actual
results could differ materially from these forward-looking
statements since the statements are based on our current
expectations, which are subject to risks and
uncertainties. Factors that might cause such a difference
include, but are not limited to, the factors set forth in Item 1A
of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31,
2023, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”)
on February 12, 2024, and other risk factors discussed herein or
listed from time to time in our reports filed with the SEC and the
following:
Industry, Operational, and Macroeconomic
Risks
- Our inability to accurately
forecast and estimate the amount and timing of future collections
could have a material adverse effect on results of operations.
- Due to competition from traditional
financing sources and non-traditional lenders, we may not be able
to compete successfully.
- Adverse changes in economic
conditions, the automobile or finance industries, or the non-prime
consumer market could adversely affect our financial position,
liquidity, and results of operations, the ability of key vendors
that we depend on to supply us with services, and our ability to
enter into future financing transactions.
- Reliance on third parties to
administer our ancillary product offerings could adversely affect
our business and financial results.
- We are dependent on our senior
management and the loss of any of these individuals or an inability
to hire additional team members could adversely affect our ability
to operate profitably.
- Our reputation is a key asset to
our business, and our business may be affected by how we are
perceived in the marketplace.
- An outbreak of contagious disease
or other public health emergency could materially and adversely
affect our business, financial condition, liquidity, and results of
operations.
- The concentration in several states of automobile dealers who
participate in our programs could adversely affect us.
- Reliance on our outsourced business
functions could adversely affect our business.
- Our ability to hire and retain
foreign engineering personnel could be hindered by immigration
restrictions.
- We may be unable to execute our
business strategy due to current economic conditions.
- Natural disasters, climate change,
military conflicts, acts of war, terrorist attacks and threats, or
the escalation of military activity in response to terrorist
attacks or otherwise may negatively affect our business, financial
condition, and results of operations.
- Governmental or market responses to
climate change and related environmental issues could have a
material adverse effect on our business.
- A small number of our shareholders
have the ability to significantly influence matters requiring
shareholder approval and such shareholders have interests which may
conflict with the interests of our other security holders.
Capital and Liquidity Risks
- We may be unable to continue to
access or renew funding sources and obtain capital needed to
maintain and grow our business.
- The terms of our debt limit how we
conduct our business.
- A violation of the terms of our
asset-backed secured financings or revolving secured warehouse
facilities could have a material adverse impact on our
operations.
- Our substantial debt could
negatively impact our business, prevent us from satisfying our debt
obligations, and adversely affect our financial condition.
- We may not be able to generate
sufficient cash flows to service our outstanding debt and fund
operations and may be forced to take other actions to satisfy our
obligations under such debt.
- Interest rate fluctuations may
adversely affect our borrowing costs, profitability, and
liquidity.
- Reduction in our credit rating
could increase the cost of our funding from, and restrict our
access to, the capital markets and adversely affect our liquidity,
financial condition, and results of operations.
- We may incur substantially more
debt and other liabilities. This could exacerbate further the
risks associated with our current debt levels.
- The conditions of the U.S. and
international capital markets may adversely affect lenders with
which we have relationships, causing us to incur additional costs
and reducing our sources of liquidity, which may adversely affect
our financial position, liquidity, and results of operations.
Technology and Cybersecurity
Risks
- Our dependence on technology could
have a material adverse effect on our business.
- We depend on secure information
technology, and a breach of our systems or those of our third-party
service providers could result in our experiencing significant
financial, legal, and reputational exposure and could materially
adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of
operations.
- Our use of electronic contracts
could impact our ability to perfect our ownership or security
interest in Consumer Loans.
- Failure to properly safeguard
confidential consumer and team member information could subject us
to liability, decrease our profitability, and damage our
reputation.
Legal and Regulatory Risks
- Litigation we are involved in from
time to time may adversely affect our financial condition, results
of operations, and cash flows.
- Changes in tax laws and the
resolution of uncertain income tax matters could have a material
adverse effect on our results of operations and cash flows from
operations.
- The regulations to which we are or
may become subject could result in a material adverse effect on our
business.
Other factors not currently anticipated by
management may also materially and adversely affect our business,
financial condition, and results of operations. We do not
undertake, and expressly disclaim any obligation, to update or
alter our statements whether as a result of new information, future
events, or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.
Webcast Details
We will host a webcast on October 31, 2024 at
8:30 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss our third quarter results. The
webcast can be accessed live by visiting the “Investor Relations”
section of our website at ir.creditacceptance.com or by telephone
as described below. Only persons accessing the webcast by telephone
will be able to pose questions to the presenters during the
webcast. A replay and transcript of the webcast will be archived in
the “Investor Relations” section of our website.
To participate in the webcast by telephone, you
must pre-register at
https://register.vevent.com/register/BIc3f0d088751f49af853a2c2511fe2362,
or through the link posted on the “Investor Relations” section of
our website at ir.creditacceptance.com. Upon registration you will
be provided with the dial-in number and a unique PIN to access the
webcast by telephone.
Description of Credit Acceptance
Corporation
We make vehicle ownership possible by providing
innovative financing solutions that enable automobile dealers to
sell vehicles to consumers regardless of their credit history. Our
financing programs are offered through a nationwide network of
automobile dealers who benefit from sales of vehicles to consumers
who otherwise could not obtain financing; from repeat and referral
sales generated by these same customers; and from sales to
customers responding to advertisements for our financing programs,
but who actually end up qualifying for traditional financing.
Without our financing programs, consumers are
often unable to purchase vehicles or they purchase unreliable
ones. Further, as we report to the three national credit
reporting agencies, an important ancillary benefit of our programs
is that we provide consumers with an opportunity to improve their
lives by improving their credit score and move on to more
traditional sources of financing. Credit Acceptance is publicly
traded on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the symbol CACC. For
more information, visit creditacceptance.com.
CREDIT ACCEPTANCE
CORPORATIONCONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF
INCOME(UNAUDITED)
(Dollars in millions, except
per share data) |
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
|
|
2024 |
|
|
2023 |
Revenue: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Finance charges |
$ |
507.6 |
|
$ |
441.7 |
|
$ |
1,474.5 |
|
$ |
1,303.8 |
Premiums earned |
|
25.1 |
|
|
20.8 |
|
|
71.3 |
|
|
58.0 |
Other income |
|
17.6 |
|
|
16.1 |
|
|
50.7 |
|
|
48.5 |
Total revenue |
|
550.3 |
|
|
478.6 |
|
|
1,596.5 |
|
|
1,410.3 |
Costs and
expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Salaries and wages |
|
77.3 |
|
|
66.7 |
|
|
231.6 |
|
|
214.1 |
General and administrative |
|
29.0 |
|
|
21.3 |
|
|
75.9 |
|
|
59.8 |
Sales and marketing |
|
23.1 |
|
|
22.5 |
|
|
72.4 |
|
|
70.9 |
Total operating expenses |
|
129.4 |
|
|
110.5 |
|
|
379.9 |
|
|
344.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Provision for credit losses on forecast changes |
|
105.9 |
|
|
106.3 |
|
|
430.9 |
|
|
319.4 |
Provision for credit losses on new Consumer Loan assignments |
|
78.8 |
|
|
78.3 |
|
|
260.4 |
|
|
253.1 |
Total provision for credit losses |
|
184.7 |
|
|
184.6 |
|
|
691.3 |
|
|
572.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest |
|
111.2 |
|
|
70.5 |
|
|
308.2 |
|
|
187.7 |
Provision for claims |
|
18.5 |
|
|
16.5 |
|
|
55.8 |
|
|
54.1 |
Loss on sale of building |
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
23.7 |
|
|
— |
Total costs and expenses |
|
443.8 |
|
|
382.1 |
|
|
1,458.9 |
|
|
1,159.1 |
Income before provision for
income taxes |
|
106.5 |
|
|
96.5 |
|
|
137.6 |
|
|
251.2 |
Provision for income taxes |
|
27.7 |
|
|
25.7 |
|
|
41.6 |
|
|
58.7 |
Net income |
$ |
78.8 |
|
$ |
70.8 |
|
$ |
96.0 |
|
$ |
192.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income per share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
$ |
6.42 |
|
$ |
5.47 |
|
$ |
7.78 |
|
$ |
14.79 |
Diluted |
$ |
6.35 |
|
$ |
5.43 |
|
$ |
7.68 |
|
$ |
14.73 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average shares
outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
12,274,685 |
|
|
12,933,377 |
|
|
12,345,739 |
|
|
13,013,344 |
Diluted |
|
12,415,143 |
|
|
13,039,638 |
|
|
12,494,011 |
|
|
13,068,998 |
CREDIT ACCEPTANCE
CORPORATIONCONSOLIDATED BALANCE
SHEETS(UNAUDITED)
(Dollars in millions, except per share data) |
As of |
|
September 30, 2024 |
|
December 31, 2023 |
ASSETS: |
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ |
159.7 |
|
|
$ |
13.2 |
|
Restricted cash and cash equivalents |
|
556.6 |
|
|
|
457.7 |
|
Restricted securities available for sale |
|
113.9 |
|
|
|
93.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Loans receivable |
|
11,197.6 |
|
|
|
10,020.1 |
|
Allowance for credit losses |
|
(3,416.1) |
|
|
|
(3,064.8) |
|
Loans receivable, net |
|
7,781.5 |
|
|
|
6,955.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Property and equipment, net |
|
15.2 |
|
|
|
46.5 |
|
Income taxes receivable |
|
26.4 |
|
|
|
4.3 |
|
Other assets |
|
29.9 |
|
|
|
40.0 |
|
Total assets |
$ |
8,683.2 |
|
|
$ |
7,610.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY: |
|
|
|
Liabilities: |
|
|
|
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities |
$ |
364.4 |
|
|
$ |
318.8 |
|
Revolving secured lines of credit |
|
1.0 |
|
|
|
79.2 |
|
Secured financing |
|
5,257.1 |
|
|
|
3,990.9 |
|
Senior notes |
|
990.8 |
|
|
|
989.0 |
|
Mortgage note |
|
— |
|
|
|
8.4 |
|
Deferred income taxes, net |
|
423.2 |
|
|
|
389.2 |
|
Income taxes payable |
|
0.2 |
|
|
|
81.0 |
|
Total liabilities |
|
7,036.7 |
|
|
|
5,856.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders’
Equity: |
|
|
|
Preferred stock, $.01 par value, 1,000,000 shares authorized, none
issued |
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
Common stock, $.01 par value, 80,000,000 shares authorized,
12,111,600 and 12,522,397 shares issued and outstanding as of
September 30, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
Paid-in capital |
|
324.5 |
|
|
|
279.0 |
|
Retained earnings |
|
1,321.0 |
|
|
|
1,475.6 |
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) |
|
0.9 |
|
|
|
(1.0) |
|
Total shareholders’ equity |
|
1,646.5 |
|
|
|
1,753.7 |
|
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity |
$ |
8,683.2 |
|
|
$ |
7,610.2 |
|
Investor Relations: Douglas W. Busk
Chief Treasury Officer
(248) 353-2700 Ext. 4432
IR@creditacceptance.com
Credit Acceptance (NASDAQ:CACC)
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