Opposing trends: Cryptocurrency decline and dollar rise after
Bitcoin ETFs
The recent approval of Bitcoin ETFs has generated a surge in
trading volume in the cryptocurrency market. However, an unexpected
premium on spot Bitcoin points to an unusual market. The price of
Bitcoin, undergoing an ongoing correction, has been exacerbated by
growing risk aversion among investors. Fernando Pereira, an analyst
at Bitget, noted strong selling pressure in cryptocurrencies and
exchanges, paralleled by a rising dollar. “While
cryptocurrencies and stock markets are experiencing a strong
increase in selling pressure, the dollar is moving in the opposite
direction. I expect a decline in digital assets in the coming days
and a rise in the dollar, and consequently in USDT and other
stablecoins tied to it.” Additionally, Bitcoin’s hash rate
(COIN:BTCUSD) has fallen 25% since the weekend, a concern for
network security ahead of the halving event. The drop primarily
occurred due to Texas miners reducing power to cope with a cold
snap. The decline in the hash rate, which measures computational
power in mining, is crucial especially before the halving event,
which will halve miners’ rewards and could impact Bitcoin’s
price.
Ether call options with a strike price of $2,550 concentrated ahead
of expiration
Ether call options (COIN:ETHUSD) with a strike price of $2,550
are the largest group of outstanding contracts, totaling over
24,600 contracts with a notional value of over $62 million and an
expiration date of January 19. This concentration suggests that
many traders anticipate that the price of Ether will rise above
$2,550 by the expiration date, although the price of Ether has
fallen about 2.4% in the last 24 hours, trading at $2,468.70.
TUSD attributes price fluctuations to community mining activities,
rebounds to $0.9904
TrueUSD (COIN:TUSDUSD), a stablecoin, attributed recent price
fluctuations in relation to its $1 value to “community mining
activities associated with the Launchpool,” resulting in short-term
arbitrage opportunities. The value of TUSD has rebounded to $0.9904
after a drop to $0.9708. The project emphasized the stability of
its currency, addressing concerns about its departure from the $1
value. Speculation linked this departure to the removal of TUSD
from Binance’s launchpool asset list, leading to significant
selling of the currency. Despite a significant increase in
circulating supply last year due to Binance’s support, TUSD supply
has decreased by over 40% in the past two months with the promotion
of FDUSD.
Tether increased its Bitcoin reserves by $380 million at the end of
2023
Tether (COIN:USDTUSD) added 8,888 BTC to its portfolio in the
last quarter of 2023, totaling 66,465 BTC and becoming the 11th
largest holder of Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD). This move is part of the
strategy to reduce exposure to traditional assets such as US
Treasury bonds and allocate up to 15% of profits to Bitcoin,
following the announcement made in May 2023. Tether, the largest
stablecoin holder with a market capitalization of over $95 billion,
holds $72.6 billion in government bonds and $1.7 billion in
Bitcoin, among other assets. The company purchased its first
Bitcoin in September 2022, facing constant scrutiny over the
quality of its assets.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust outflows signal a shift to other ETFs
The recent withdrawal of $1.6 billion from Grayscale’s Bitcoin
Trust (AMEX:GBTC) in just four days is leading investors to
consider other Bitcoin ETFs. Notable analysts such as James
Seyffart and Blachunas believe that a significant portion of these
funds may migrate to alternatives with lower spreads, and they
anticipate that this shift may not be immediately apparent due to
the T+2 settlement count in the US.
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF reaches $1 billion in assets under
management in one week
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ:IBIT), a spot Bitcoin
exchange-traded fund (ETF), reached $1 billion in assets under
management just one week after its trading began. IBIT consists of
99% Bitcoin and nearly $60,000 in fiat currency. With 25,067 tokens
in its portfolio, the ETF closed on Wednesday trading at $24.41,
with a slight premium of 0.42% over spot Bitcoin. The ETF has
recorded an average daily trading volume of 14 million shares since
its launch.
Bitwise’s Bitcoin ETF reaches $370 million in AUM in 4 days
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF Trust (AMEX:BITB) accumulated an impressive
$370 million in assets under management (AUM) in its first four
days of trading. This includes a notable influx of $68 million
allocated for Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD) acquisition in just one
day.
Global decrease in cryptocurrency developers in 2023
The Electric Capital report reveals a 24% decrease in the total
number of cryptocurrency developers in 2023, with newcomers
decreasing by over 50%. Despite this, the number of experienced
blockchain developers continues to grow, surpassing 10,000 in 2024.
The study shows that Ethereum leads in attracting new talent, while
Bitcoin lags behind. Globally, the US sees a decrease in its share
of developers, contrasting with an increase in regions such as
South Asia and Latin America.
Illicit cryptocurrency transactions in 2023 totaled $24 billion,
says report
Chainalysis, a blockchain intelligence company, revealed that
over $24 billion in cryptocurrencies were received by illicit
addresses in 2023, representing 0.34% of the total transaction
volume. Although this amount is nearly 40% lower than in 2022, it
is expected to increase as more illicit addresses are identified.
Additionally, the report highlighted the prevalence of transactions
with sanctioned entities, totaling $14.9 billion in 2023.
Stablecoins were the preferred choice for illicit activities,
surpassing Bitcoin for the second consecutive year. Scams and hacks
decreased, while ransomware and dark web activities increased.
Trump against CBDC and division in the US
Former US President Donald Trump has expressed opposition to the
creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), fearing
excessive government control over finances. He vowed to block its
introduction if reelected. In the US, opinions on CBDCs vary
politically. Democrats like Elizabeth Warren support them, while
Republicans like Ted Cruz are against them. The Federal Reserve
maintains skepticism, citing risks and privacy concerns. Meanwhile,
globally, several countries are exploring CBDCs, challenging the
dominance of the dollar. Trump sees CBDCs as a threat to financial
freedom.
Coinbase defends listed tokens against SEC allegations
In a court hearing, Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) faced questioning on
Wednesday about whether the tokens on its platform are securities.
The company was sued by the SEC in June 2023, accused of operating
without proper registration. Coinbase contests this, arguing a
difference between buying tokens and investing in companies. While
acknowledging that some tokens may be considered securities,
Coinbase challenges the SEC’s claim that the sale of tokens
automatically constitutes an investment contract. The discussion
extends to the definition of bitcoin and other legal aspects, and
District Judge Katherine Polk Failla of New York said she would not
make a decision on whether to dismiss the case or not.
Conflux Network develops Bitcoin interoperability solution
Conflux Network is working on an “EVM-compatible” solution aimed
at interoperability with Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD). This solution will
allow the transfer of Bitcoin and inscription-based tokens between
the Conflux and Bitcoin networks, with a testnet expected by the
end of March and the mainnet in May. Conflux, known for combining
PoW and PoS for consensus, plans to use Bitcoin for gas fees and
support Ethereum contracts on its network, offering more options
for users to interact with decentralized applications.
Asteroid platform enables registrations on the Cosmos Hub network
Delphi Labs and the Astroport Foundation have launched Asteroid,
a platform for registrations on the Cosmos Hub network. It allows
data incorporation into blockchains that do not have native support
for smart contracts. Users have already launched the first CFT-20
token, called Asteroids (ROIDS), as a proof of concept, which was
quickly registered by users within hours. Asteroid provides a
“metaprotocol” framework that opens doors to various applications
beyond tokenization and data storage.
Public Goods Network, supported by Gitcoin, to shut down operations
in six months
Public Goods Network (PGN), supported by Gitcoin (COIN:GTCUSD),
a Layer 2 solution on Ethereum, plans to shut down all its
operations by mid-2024. The decision to close PGN was motivated by
challenges in migrating users to the network and operational costs
that exceeded the project’s budget. PGN was developed in
collaboration between Gitcoin and Conduit to offer a low-cost Layer
2 solution on Ethereum.
DYDX token reaches new high above $3 after increased trading volume
DYDX token (COIN:DYDXUSD), native to the dYdX Chain
decentralized trading platform, reached over $3 for the first time
this year after the platform became the largest DEX in daily
volume. The platform’s version 4, based on the Cosmos interchain
protocol, achieved a 24-hour trading volume of nearly $565.85
million, surpassing Uniswap (COIN:UNIUSD) on Ethereum. DYDX is
showing positive performance but will face selling pressure with
imminent unlocks of approximately $2 million in assets. At the time
of writing, the token was down -5.10% in the last 24 hours, at
$2.98.
MATIC sales pressure price after transfers from Celsius to Binance
and Crypto.com
The Celsius platform transferred 25.76 million native Polygon
tokens (COIN:MATICUSD) to Binance and Crypto.com, causing selling
pressure and reducing the price of MATIC, which had exceeded $1 in
December 2023. Concerns persist about the allocation of tokens from
the Polygon Foundation.
Sui Foundation partners with Stork to increase speed and access to
price data
Sui Foundation (COIN:SUIUSD), behind the Sui Layer 1 blockchain,
has partnered with Stork to provide real-time price data to
blockchain-based developers and protocols. The collaboration aims
to improve transaction accuracy and reduce the risk of losses in
wallets and perpetual swaps. Stork is an ultra-low latency oracle
that publishes updates on over 80 price feeds in milliseconds. It
also offers mark prices for DEXs, helping to smooth market
volatility.
Flowdesk raises $50 million in Series B to boost Bitcoin ETF
liquidity
Flowdesk, a cryptocurrency market maker that has become a
liquidity provider for Grayscale’s Bitcoin exchange-traded fund
(ETF), has raised $50 million in a Series B funding round. Led by
Cathay Innovation and with contributions from companies like
Ripple, Eurazeo, and others, the company will use the funds to
expand its over-the-counter (OTC) operations, hire personnel, and
strengthen its regulatory presence in Singapore and the US. The
funding reflects the importance of liquidity in Bitcoin ETFs to
attract institutional investors. Flowdesk also serves as a market
maker for Societe Generale’s EUR CoinVertible stablecoin.
Woo Network raises $9 million to strengthen liquidity on WOO X
Woo Network announced the raising of $9 million from market
makers to improve liquidity on the WOO X exchange. This funding,
contributed by market makers such as Wintermute and Amber,
demonstrates confidence in the platform. With plans for global
expansion and a focus on regulatory compliance, Woo Network aims to
enhance liquidity, primarily in BTC, ETH, and altcoin futures
markets, as well as spot markets.
Gitcoin (COIN:GTCUSD)
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