Interest Rate Uncertainty May Lead To Choppy Trading On Wall Street
14 Novembro 2024 - 11:04AM
IH Market News
The major U.S. index futures are currently
pointing to a roughly flat open on Thursday, with stocks likely to
extend the lackluster performance seen in the previous session.
Traders may be reluctant to make significant moves as they
digest the latest U.S. economic data and look ahead to a speech by
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later this afternoon.
The Labor Department released a report this morning showing
first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits unexpectedly edged
lower in the week ended November 9th.
The report said initial jobless claims slipped to 217,000, a
decrease of 4,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level of
221,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to
223,000.
The unexpected decline pulled jobless claims down to their
lowest level since hitting 216,000 in the week ended May 18th.
After yesterday’s consumer price inflation data matched
expectations, the Labor Department also released a separate report
showing producer prices in the U.S. also increased in line with
economist estimates in the month of October.
The Labor Department said its producer price index for final
demand rose by 0.2 percent in October following a revised 0.1
percent uptick in September.
Economists had expected producer prices to rise by 0.2 percent
compared to the unchanged reading originally reported for the
previous month.
Meanwhile, the report said the annual rate of growth by producer
prices accelerated to 2.4 percent in October from an upwardly
revised 1.9 percent in September.
The annual rate of producer price growth was expected to
accelerate to 2.3 percent from the 1.8 percent originally reported
for the previous month.
The slightly faster than expected annual price growth combined
with the jobless claims data showing continued strength in the
labor market may add to recent uncertainty about the outlook for
interest rates.
While the Fed is still widely expected to lower interest rates
by a quarter point next month, there is some concern sticky
inflation will lead the central bank to slow the pace of its rate
cuts in early 2025.
Stocks showed a lack of direction over the course of the trading
day on Wednesday, with the major averages bouncing back and forth
across the unchanged line following the pullback seen during
Tuesday’s session.
The major averages eventually ended the day narrowly mixed.
While the tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped 50.66 points or 0.3 percent to
19,230.74, the S&P 500 crept up 1.39 points or less than a
tenth of a percent to 5,985.38 and the Dow inched up 47.21 points
or 0.1 percent to 43,958.19.
The choppy trading on Wall Street came following the release of
closely watched consumer price inflation data that came in line
with economist estimates.
The Labor Department said its consumer price index crept up by
0.2 percent in October, matching the upticks seen in each of the
three previous months as well as expectations.
The report also said the annual rate of consumer price growth
accelerated to 2.6 percent in October from 2.4 percent in
September. The faster growth also came in line with economist
estimates.
Excluding food and energy prices, core consumer prices climbed
by 0.3 percent in October, matching the increases seen in each of
the two previous months along with expectations.
The annual rate of core consumer price growth was unchanged from
the previous month at 3.3 percent, which was also in line with
estimates.
While the data increased confidence the Federal Reserve will
continue lowering interest rates next month, inflation remaining
somewhat sticky led to uncertainty about the likelihood of future
rate cuts.
“The 2.6% year-over-year print, while expected, may keep the Fed
mindful from declaring victory over its campaign to quell
inflation,” said Quincy Krosby, Chief Global Strategist for LPL
Financial.
Airline stocks saw substantial weakness on the day, with the
NYSE Arca Airline Index plummeting by 7.3 percent. The index
continued to give back ground after reaching its best closing level
in over a year on Monday.
A nosedive by shares of Spirit Airlines (NYSE:SAVE) weigh on the
sector, with the discount airline plunging by 59.3 percent after a
report from the Wall Street Journal said Spirit is preparing to
file for bankruptcy protection after merger talks with Frontier
Airlines (NASDAQ:ULCC) broke down.
Significant weakness was also visible among semiconductor
stocks, as reflected by the 2.0 percent slump by the Philadelphia
Semiconductor Index.
Oil service, steel and computer hardware stocks also saw
considerable weakness, while oil producer and
retail stocks showed strong moves to the upside.
Spirit Airlines (NYSE:SAVE)
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