Has Bitcoin Rally Already Hit Top? Here’s What Puell Multiple Says
15 Maio 2023 - 4:20PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Puell Multiple has hit pretty high
levels recently. Here’s what this may mean for the current rally.
Bitcoin Puell Multiple Has Risen To High Levels In Recent Days As
pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the Puell Multiple
is currently at even higher levels than those seen during the 2021
bull run top. The “Puell Multiple” is an indicator that measures
the ratio between the daily revenue of the Bitcoin miners and the
365-day average value of the same. The mining revenue here is
calculated by multiplying the spot price by the total number of
coins that the miners are issuing (that is, receiving their block
rewards) every day. This metric tries to judge whether the current
price of the cryptocurrency is fair or not by comparing the current
revenue of the miners against the yearly average. When this metric
has a value above 1, it means the miners are making higher revenues
than the average for the past year right now. The asset’s value may
be said to be overpriced during such times as the miners gain more
motive to sell the more profits they are making. Related Reading:
Stablecoins Interest Spikes As Traders Look To Exit Market On the
other hand, values of the indicator below 1 imply these chain
validators are making less than the norm currently. The lower the
indicator’s value goes, the more trouble the miners may have in
supporting their operations. Thus, the coin could be assumed to be
undervalued during such conditions. Now, here is a chart that shows
the trend in the Bitcoin Puell Multiple over the last few years:
The value of the metric seems to have been quite high in recent
days | Source: CryptoQuant Historically, major bottoms in the
cryptocurrency’s price have formed whenever the Puell Multiple has
dipped below the 0.5 mark. Below this value, miners’ daily revenues
are less than 50% of the yearly average, meaning that this cohort
comes under some intense pressure inside this zone. Tops, however,
haven’t been so simple; the value at which they occur seems to have
been decreasing with each Bitcoin bull run. But in general, they
have naturally occurred at values significantly above the 1 mark
(that is, during periods when the miners are raking in large
amounts of revenues). During the last couple of months, the Puell
Multiple has once again been above the 1 level, and recently, it
has observed a further surge towards a value of 2. This value is
interestingly even higher than what was observed during the
November 2021 all-time high price, but not near the levels of the
first half of 2021 top. Related Reading: PEPE Outperforms Bitcoin
In Social Media Buzz, Triggers Bullish Run For Frog Coin The
current levels of the metric are also only slightly lesser than
what the April 2019 rally, a rally that bears many similarities
with the current one, saw during its top. Obviously, it’s hard to
say anything about the top based on these observations alone, as
tops have historically not followed any set pattern of the
indicator, unlike the bottoms. However, the current values still
likely imply that the price has become quite overheated recently,
which may mean that even if a top isn’t in yet, it may be close
nonetheless. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading
around $27,300, down 2% in the last week. BTC has surged during the
past day | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from
iStock.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
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