NEW
YORK, Dec. 18, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- On
December 3, 2024, Firstlight
Management LP sent a letter to the Board of Directors of Sotera
Health Company (NASDAQ: SHC) calling for a sale of its Nelson Labs subsidiary. The full text of the
letter is as follows:
Dear Members of the Board,
As you know, Firstlight Management is a Utah-based investment firm founded by an
alumnus of Tiger Management and Leonard
Green & Partners. We are shareholders of Sotera Health
("SHC") and believe so strongly in the potential at the Company
that it is our only position.
We believe SHC has an opportunity to create an enormous amount
of shareholder value by selling Nelson
Labs and we call on the Board to initiate a sales process.
Such a transaction would have the following benefits:
- Consolidation of SHC's portfolio around its
highest-quality and highest-growth businesses. While
Nelson Labs should be a good
business, it has struggled under SHC ownership. Nelson has grown
EBITDA over 2018-2024E1 at a CAGR of just 2.7%, well
south of Sterigenics (9.8%) and Nordion (8.2%). Free cash flow
tells a similar story with Nelson
Labs' free cash flow growth clocking in at a meager 1.2%
annually over 2018-2023.2 These results even include the
benefit of $108m of cumulative
M&A spend within Nelson Labs
without which growth would have been even more anemic. Viewed in
this light, not only have SHC shareholders not earned their cost of
capital on their Nelson Labs
investment, they've actually lost money in real terms as inflation
has outpaced EBITDA growth. The future does not look much brighter
with market expectations for Nelson Labs EBITDA growth to continue
lagging behind Sterigenics and Nordion (4.3% versus 7.0% and 5.5%,
respectively, over 2024E-2026E3). The contrast in
performance is unsurprising. Sterigenics and Nordion are dominant
businesses in consolidated markets with near prohibitive barriers
to entry. Nelson Labs is a small
player in a fragmented market and, understandably, not the primary
focus of the SHC management team. We believe the market would look
very favorably on a SHC portfolio that is both higher-quality and
higher-growth following a divestiture of Nelson Labs.
- Highlight the discounted valuation of SHC as a
whole. As of this writing, SHC is trading at 9.6x 2025E
EBITDA.4 We understand that private market appetite for
testing, inspection, certification, and compliance businesses like
Nelson Labs is robust and that
multiples in precedent deals have averaged 15.2x
EBITDA.5 A sale of Nelson
Labs- a good business but the least attractive piece of the
SHC portfolio- at a large premium to the existing business would
highlight to the market just how undervalued the higher-growth and
higher-quality remaining pieces of the business are and leave SHC
remainco trading at just 8.9x 2025 EBITDA,6 a valuation
level that we would not expect to persist for long.
- Significant de-leveraging. At 15.2x EBITDA, consistent
with precedent transactions, a Nelson
Labs sale would generate $1.1bn of gross proceeds. Based on a reasonable
range of cost basis estimates and assuming SHC's federal net
operating losses can be used to shield taxes on a sale, Firstlight
believes net proceeds to SHC would approximate $1bn. At that level, SHC's net leverage ratio
would fall from 3.7x to 2.2x on 2024E EBITDA and set SHC remainco
on a path to a very modest ~1x of leverage as soon as 2026. This
would have a number of benefits: it would create an ample cushion
for investors fearful of potential future litigation damages; it
would result in SHC's leverage ratios falling in-line with or even
below peer levels; it would insulate SHC's balance sheet from
future inflation and interest rate volatility; and it would create
capacity for management to pursue accretive M&A in its
attractive core business of sterilization- an especially compelling
opportunity at the moment as the industry suffers distress
following widespread ethylene oxide litigation and demanding NESHAP
capital spending requirements.
- Significant earnings accretion. With SHC currently
paying nearly 8% on its term loan, any sale of Nelson Labs at a free cash flow yield less than
that (which translates to an EBITDA multiple of 12x on our figures)
with proceeds going to pay down debt would necessarily result in
earnings accretion. At a precedent multiple of 15.2x EBITDA,
Firstlight believes a transaction would be ~4% accretive to 2025E
EPS7 ceteris paribus. However, there would be a
substantial additional benefit of SHC's overall tax rate falling
from the low 30% area today to a more typical mid-20% tax rate as
SHC's leverage levels fall and the Company is no longer penalized
for running afoul of interest expense deductibility limits.
Assuming SHC's overall tax rate falls to 26%, a level that is
consistent with our understanding of the Company's geographic
earnings mix and consistent with SHC management intimations, a
Nelson Labs sale at 15.2x EBITDA
would result in a ~13% lift to 2025E EPS.8
- Increased management focus and improved performance
of SHC's core sterilization businesses.
Firstlight suspects that Nelson
Labs has consumed an inordinate amount of management time
and attention as they have attempted to right the ship. This
is understandable, but after eight years of effort, and with
management even acknowledging at SHC's Investor Day in November
that Nelson Labs/Sterigenics
cross-selling has not played out as hoped, we believe it's time for
SHC to recognize that it is not the best owner of Nelson Labs and
redouble its efforts in sterilization. Indeed, SHC has a golden
opportunity to aggressively take share in contract sterilization
today as stringent new NESHAP facility upgrade requirements push
independent players to the brink and medical device OEMs
potentially accelerate outsourcing to third-party specialists like
Sterigenics. We would look forward to what a leaner, more focused
organization could achieve in this regard.
We believe that any one of these benefits on its own would be
enough to make a compelling argument to divest Nelson Labs, but when combined the case becomes
overwhelming. A Nelson Labs sale
would result in a higher-quality, higher-growth business with
substantially less leverage, higher earnings, and a more focused
management team. The logic is compelling.
We would welcome a conversation with management if we need to be
disabused of any misconceptions and, as always, we are happy to
restrict ourselves in the stock and wall-cross if invited.
Otherwise, we hope to see a public announcement for the launch of a
strategic alternatives process for Nelson
Labs.
Respectfully,
AJ Secrist
Managing Partner
1 Based on consensus expectations.
2 Free cash flow defined as EBITDA less CapEx.
3 Based on consensus expectations.
4 Based on consensus expectations. Excludes future
potential litigation liabilities.
5 Source: Houlihan Lokey TICC Market Update, Summer
2024. Based on 46 deals over 2020-2024.
6 Based on consensus expectations. Assumes a 15.2x
EBITDA sale multiple for Nelson
Labs.
7 Based on consensus expectations.
8 Based on consensus expectations.
CONTACTS
Media/Investors
ajs@firstlightlp.com
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SOURCE Firstlight Management LP