NZ Dollar Slides As RBNZ Signals Pause On Further Rate Hike
23 Maio 2023 - 11:34PM
RTTF2
The New Zealand dollar came under pressure against other major
currencies in the Asian session on Wednesday, after the Reserve
Bank of New Zealand raised interest rates by a quarter-percentage
point, in line with expectations, but signaled that further rate
hike is over to curb inflation.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised its benchmark rate by 25
basis points from 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent, as expected by the
economists.
"The OCR will need to remain at a restrictive level for the
foreseeable future, to ensure that consumer price inflation returns
to the 1% to 3% annual target range, while supporting maximum
sustainable employment," the RBNZ Monetary Policy Committee said in
its statement. Asian share markets traded lower, amid worries about
growth and interest rates, and increasing concerns over a standoff
in Republican-manufactured U.S. debt ceiling confrontation.
U.S. President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy said
they held productive talks but there was no agreement on how to
raise the government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling.
The minutes of the Fed's latest monetary policy meeting are also
likely to attract attention, as traders look for additional clues
on the outlook for interest rates.
In economic news, data from Statistics New Zealand showed that
the volume of overall retail sales in New Zealand was down a
seasonally adjusted 1.4 percent on quarter in the first quarter of
2023. That was shy of expectations for an increase of 0.2 percent
following the downwardly revised 1.0 percent contraction in the
previous three months (originally -0.6 percent).
The value of retail sales was up 4.7 percent on quarter. On a
yearly basis, retail sales fell 4.1 percent, again missing
expectations for a gain of 3.6 percent following the 4.0 percent
decline in the three months prior.
In the Asian session today, the NZ dollar fell to a 3-week low
of 0.6169 against the U.S. dollar and a 1-week low of 85.43 against
the yen, from yesterday's closing quotes of 0.6247 and 86.59,
respectively. If the kiwi extends its downtrend, it is likely to
find support around 0.58 against the greenback and 81.00 against
the yen.
Against the euro, the kiwi dropped to 9-day low of 1.7461 from
yesterday's closing value of 1.7228. The kiwi is likely to find
support around the 1.78 area.
Moving away from an early 2-day high of 1.0567 against the
Australian dollar, the kiwi slipped to an 8-day low of 1.0695. The
next support level for the kiwi is seen around the 1.08 area.
Meanwhile, the Australian dollar, the other Antipodean currency
partner of NZ dollar, also fell against its major rivals after the
RBNZ rate decision.
The Australian dollar fell to a 1-week low of 1.6351 against the
euro and a 6-day low of 91.19 against the yen, from yesterday's
closing quotes of 1.6284 and 91.59, respectively. If the aussie
extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 1.67
against the euro and 87.00 against the yen.
Against the U.S. and the Canadian dollars, the aussie dropped to
nearly a 4-week low of 0.6585 and a 6-month low of 0.8897 from
yesterday's closing quotes of 0.6609 and 0.8922, respectively. On
the downside, 0.63 against the greenback and 0.86 against the
loonie are seen as the next support level for the aussie.
Looking ahead, German Ifo business confidence index for May is
due to be released at 4:00 am ET. Economists expect the business
confidence index to fall to 93.0 in May from 93.6 in April.
At 5:30 am ET, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey gives a
keynote speech at the Net Zero Delivery Summit hosted by the City
of London Corporation.
At 6:00 am ET, the Confederation of British Industry publishes
Industrial Trends survey results. The UK order book balance is seen
at -19 percent versus -20 percent in April.
In the New York session, U.S. MBA mortgage rate data and U.S.
EIA weekly crude oil report are slated for release.
At 12:10 pm ET, Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher
Waller will deliver a speech on economic outlook at the University
of California Santa Barbara conference: 2023 Santa Barbara County
Economic Summit.
At 1:45 am ET, the European Central Bank President Christine
Lagarde will deliver a speech, is expected to throw some light on
June's monetary policy.
Fifteen minutes later, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will
issue minutes from its meeting of May 2-3, 2023.
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