Euro Rises As Bond Prices Surge On Europe's Defense Buildup
06 Março 2025 - 1:38AM
RTTF2
The euro strengthened against other major currencies in the
Asian session on Thursday, following a spike in European bond
yields on Germany's proposed 500-billion-euro ($539.85 billion)
infrastructure fund and a revision to borrowing restrictions.
In addition to upgrading the growth estimate for the larger Euro
area, Goldman Sachs improved its economic growth projection for
Germany this year, noting the possibility of higher military and
infrastructure spending.
Goldman has increased its growth forecast for Europe's largest
economy by 0.2 percentage points to 0.2 percent growth.
Investors looked ahead to the European Central Bank's
interest-rate decision and President Christine Lagarde's press
conference later in the day for direction.
The central bank is likely to cut its interest rates again by 25
basis points as inflation softened amid weaker economic growth. The
policy announcement is due at 8.15 AM ET.
Meanwhile, the widely anticipated rate cut by the ECB is
unlikely to derail the euro's momentum.
In the Asian trading today, the euro rose to nearly a 5-week
high of 161.28 against the yen and a 4-month high of 1.0820 against
the U.S. dollar, from yesterday's closing quotes of 160.71 and
1.0794, respectively. If the euro extends its uptrend, it is likely
to find resistance around 165.00 against the yen and 1.09 against
the greenback.
Against the pound and the Swiss franc, the euro advanced to more
than a 1-month high of 0.8384 and nearly a 7-1/2-month high of
0.9636 from Wednesday's closing quotes of 0.8374 and 0.9616,
respectively. The euro is likely to find resistance around 0.84
against the pound and 0.97 against the franc.
Looking ahead, Eurostat publishes Eurozone retail sales data for
January is slated for release in the European session.
In the New York session, U.S. and Canada trade data for January,
U.S. weekly jobless data and Canada Ivey PMI data for February are
set to be published.
At 8:15 am ET, the European Central Bank will announce its
monetary policy decision. The ECB is likely to cut its interest
rates on Thursday as inflation softened amid weaker economic
growth.
Markets expect the bank to lower the policy rates by 25 basis
points. The deposit facility rate is likely to be reduced to 2.50
percent from 2.75 percent.
Half-an-hour later, ECB President Christine Lagarde will hold
customary press conference.
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