Aberforth
Smaller Companies Trust plc
Audited
Annual Results for the year to 31 December
2024
The
following is an extract from the Company's Annual Report and
Financial Statements for the year to 31
December 2024. The Annual Report is expected to be posted to
shareholders by 7 February
2025.
Members of
the public may obtain copies from Aberforth Partners LLP, 14
Melville Street, Edinburgh EH3 7NS
or from its website:
www.aberforth.co.uk. A copy
will also shortly be available for inspection at the National
Storage Mechanism at:
https://data.fca.org.uk/#/nsm/nationalstoragemechanism.
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
|
Year
to
31
December 2024
|
Net Asset
Value per Ordinary Share Total Return
|
12.1%
|
DNSCI
(XIC) Total Return
|
9.5%
|
Ordinary
Share Price Total Return
|
10.7%
|
Total
ordinary dividends (excluding special dividend) for the year of
43.60p per share represents growth of 5.1% compared to last year’s
41.50p per share. In addition, a special dividend of 6.00p (last
year: 9.00p) results in total dividends of 49.60p per share for the
year.
INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE
The
investment objective of the Company is to achieve a net asset value
total return (with dividends reinvested) greater than that of the
Deutsche Numis Smaller Companies Index (excluding Investment
Companies) (“DNSCI (XIC)” or “benchmark”) over the long
term.
CHAIRMAN’S STATEMENT TO SHAREHOLDERS
Review
of performance
I am
pleased to present ASCoT’s annual report and accounts for 2024. The
year brought renewed interest in the UK stockmarket and,
importantly, a higher share price for the Company as it continued
its record of dividend growth.
ASCoT’s
net asset value total return in the twelve months to 31 December 2024 was +12.1%. The share price
total return was +10.7%. The difference between the two numbers
reflects a widening of the discount from 10.3% to 11.8% over the
year.
ASCoT’s
small company benchmark is the Deutsche Numis Smaller Companies
Index (excluding investment companies), which is abbreviated
throughout this report as DNSCI (XIC). Its total return in 2024 was
+9.5%. A broader perspective is given by the FTSE All-Share, which
is representative of larger British companies. Its total return was
also +9.5%.
It was a
good year for UK equities. This cannot easily be explained by the
global investment backdrop since macro economic and geopolitical
uncertainty remained elevated.
Most major
economies, with the notable exception of America’s, were in the
doldrums. Meanwhile, elections in several countries brought results
that will require further elections in the new year to resolve. The
Presidential Election in America did produce a clear winner, but
the world now waits to see the substance of Donald Trump’s policies
including the much vaunted trade tariffs.
Amid this,
the UK’s economic performance was unspectacular as it emerged from
the recession in the second half of 2023. However, interest rates
started to decline and there have been encouraging signs that
activity has started to recover. On the political front, Labour’s
decisive victory heralded some political stability, though
October’s Budget was unconvincing and undeniably bad for
businesses. Nevertheless, the impression developed through 2024
that the UK is less of an outlier in both political and economic
terms than it seemed just over a year ago. This was enough to
stimulate interest in UK equities given how depressed sentiment had
been. Further impetus came from the persistently high level of
M&A activity in the UK stockmarket. Takeovers contributed
significantly to ASCoT’s performance in 2024, which the Managers’
Report examines in detail.
Dividends
The
recession in the second half of 2023 meant that we entered 2024
with some apprehension about ASCoT’s dividend receipts from its
investee companies. In the event, the dividend experience was good.
The Revenue Return per Ordinary Share of 56.59p was above the
Managers’ estimates at the start of the year. The 56.59p was also
the second highest in ASCoT’s history, bettered only by the 59.79p
earned in 2023. Excluding special dividends received in both years,
the Revenue Return per Ordinary Share rose by 1% in 2024 compared
with 2023.
The Board
is pleased to be able to meet its ambition of growing ASCoT’s full
year ordinary dividend above the year-on-year rate of CPI
inflation, which was 2.5% in December
2024. The dividend experience also makes it possible to add
to ASCoT’s robust revenue reserves. The Board has used these
extensively in the past to keep the dividend moving ahead even in
difficult circumstances such as the pandemic. Strong revenue
reserves also give the Managers investment flexibility, allowing
them to deploy ASCoT’s capital where they see the best long term
total returns.
The Board
proposes a final dividend of 30.00p per Ordinary Share, which would
represent growth of 5.1% on the previous year’s 28.55p. Together
with the interim dividend of 13.60p, the full year dividend would
be 43.60p. Growth for the full year would also be 5.1%, which would
be comfortably above the rate of inflation. On top of the ordinary
dividend, we propose a special dividend of 6.00p, which ensures
that ASCoT complies with HMRC’s minimum retention test for
investment trusts. After paying these dividends, ASCoT would be
able to retain 6.99p of revenue per Ordinary share. This would
increase revenue reserves to 87.89p per Ordinary share to keep the
ordinary dividend covered a healthy two times.
Gearing
ASCoT has
a credit facility with The Royal Bank of Scotland International
Limited. This £130m facility runs to June
2026, which is aligned with the three yearly continuation
vote.
The
Board’s gearing policy has been consistent throughout ASCoT’s life:
gearing is deployed tactically with the aim of taking advantage of
periods of stress in equity markets. ASCoT has been geared on four
occasions in its 34 years. The current phase started amid the
pandemic in early 2020 and has since enhanced ASCoT’s net asset
value performance. The Board and Managers regularly review the
appropriateness of gearing and judge that current stockmarket
valuations merit its continued deployment. At the year end, £104m
of the facility was deployed and the gearing ratio, which is
defined in the glossary on page 66 of the Annual Report, was
7%.
Beyond the
potential to enhance investment returns, the credit facility
provides other benefits. It provides the flexibility to conduct
share buy-backs and allows the Managers to react nimbly to new
opportunities without disturbing existing investments. This is
particularly important in what can be a volatile and relatively
illiquid asset class.
Share
buy-back
The Board
believes that buy-backs provide an increase in liquidity at the
margin for those Shareholders looking to crystallise their
investment and, at the same time, deliver an economic uplift for
those Shareholders wishing to remain invested in the
Company.
In the
year to 31 December 2024, 590,000
shares were bought back and cancelled. The total value of these
repurchases was £8.4m, on an average discount of 11.7%. Since 2008,
ASCoT’s share buy-backs have totalled £166m and added £25m of value
to shareholders.
The
Company seeks authority to buy back up to 14.99% of its Ordinary
Shares at the Annual General Meeting. The authority was renewed in
March 2024 and the Board will seek to
renew the authority at the Annual General Meeting on 6 March 2025.
Stewardship
The Board
is responsible for the effective stewardship of the Company’s
affairs.
These
include oversight of the Managers’ activities in relation to
Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) matters, which for 2024
are covered on pages 14 to 16 of the Annual Report. They also
address the Managers’ ESG policies and practices, along with their
voting approach and activity during the year. The Board endorses
the Managers’ stewardship policy, which is set out in their
submission as a signatory to the UK Stewardship Code. This,
together with examples relating to voting and engagement with
investee companies, can be found in the “About Aberforth” section
of the Managers’ website at
www.aberforth.co.uk.
Annual
General Meeting (“AGM”)
The AGM
will be held at 14 Melville Street, Edinburgh EH3 7NS at 10.30 am on 6 March
2025. Details of the resolutions to be considered by
Shareholders are set out in the Notice of the Meeting on page 62 of
the Annual Report. Shareholders are encouraged to submit their vote
by proxy in advance of the meeting. In accordance with normal
practice, the results of the AGM will be issued in a regulatory
news announcement and posted on Aberforth’s website. An update on
performance and the portfolio will also be available on the website
following the meeting.
Conclusion
When
writing last year’s statement, I was struck by the pessimism
surrounding the UK’s economy, its politics and its stockmarket.
This was clear in the valuations that the market was then placing
on the stocks held by ASCoT. But there was hope in the gloom.
Stockmarkets crave a theme but have a habit of overdoing it when
they find one. The unusually low valuations in October 2023 were themselves the seeds of
improved investment returns. All that appeared to be lacking was a
catalyst. This was duly forthcoming with a better economic
performance, some political clarity and M&A
activity.
This does
not mean that it is now plain sailing for the UK. I would note that
companies and the gilt market are wrestling with the consequences
of what was an unconvincing Budget. However, a useful indication
that there remains too much pessimism about small UK quoted
companies is the frequency of takeovers – the acquirers clearly see
value even as stockmarket investors remain sceptical. ASCoT has
consistently benefited from M&A over the years and the Board
supports the Managers’ purposeful and discreet engagement in bid
situations, and elsewhere, to improve investment
returns.
In
contrast to the gloom surrounding the UK, there is exuberance today
about the prospects for the American economy and its stockmarket.
Donald Trump’s victory and the broad enthusiasm for artificial
intelligence have together driven US equities to new heights. The
US market would appear extended on several measures, including the
cyclically adjusted price earnings ratio and stockmarket
concentration. There is therefore a lot resting on what policies
the new president does implement. It is not clear to me that the
consequences of some of his mooted initiatives would be entirely
good for stockmarket valuations, even in America itself. What
happens across the Atlantic will likely be an important influence
on ASCoT’s investment returns in the coming year. Interest rates in
America affect monetary policy in other countries. Many of ASCoT’s
investee companies do business in the US. The stockmarket
leadership of the “Magnificent Seven” has rekindled an investment
style environment that is more helpful for the growth
investor.
Amid
today’s top-down uncertainties, it is important not to lose sight
of the opportunities that come with change. Small companies are
well placed to take advantage by virtue of their scale and
flexibility. Additionally, their records of coping with the likes
of the pandemic and their strong balance sheets give confidence in
their resilience. Nevertheless, risks continue to influence
valuations of small companies more than do the
opportunities.
The Board
believes that the Managers’ value investment philosophy can take
advantage of this situation and sees further upside from these
valuations over the medium term. A further re-rating would enhance
the return from the companies’ underlying progress, which can be
gauged over time by the dividend growth consistently delivered by
ASCoT to its shareholders. Finally, the Board believes that
tactical gearing and share buy-backs can enhance investment returns
from ASCoT, particularly when stockmarket valuations are as
attractive as they are at present.
My fellow
Directors and I always welcome the views of Shareholders. Please
contact me at my e-mail address, which is noted below.
Richard Davidson
Chairman
30 January 2025
richard.davidson@aberforth.co.uk
MANAGERS’ REPORT
Introduction
As they
did in 2023, UK equities made progress in the year to 31 December 2024. ASCoT’s net asset value total
return in the period was +12.1%. The DNSCI (XIC), which is ASCoT’s
benchmark, recorded a total return of 9.5%, while that of large
companies, in the form of the FTSE All-Share, was also
9.5%.
Investment
Background
The
top-down backdrop for stockmarkets was inauspicious in 2024. The
war in Ukraine rumbled on, as did
the conflict between Israel and
Hamas. The risk of escalation buffeted oil prices and equity
valuations. Political uncertainty was an additional challenge. The
results of the elections in the UK and the US were broadly as
expected, though the markets are now digesting the implications of
policy change under the new regimes. Politics are more unclear
elsewhere. An election looms in Japan, while South
Korea has seen its president attempt to impose martial law.
In Europe, June’s election for the
European parliament was the catalyst for a snap election in
France, where a stable government
has yet to be established.
Meanwhile,
Germany is also facing elections
early in 2025 following the collapse of the ruling
coalition.
On the
economic front, the UK pulled out of the recession in the second
half of 2023. The recovery has been tentative so far, but prospects
for wage growth above the rate of inflation, lower mortgage rates
and high household savings offer encouragement for the coming year.
In Europe, Germany continues to struggle to escape
recessionary conditions. Its export reliant industrial economy is
contending with Chinese and Japanese competition, while demand for
its products from China and
elsewhere is depressed. The bright spot has remained the US, though
even here recent macro-economic data have been patchy and hint at
slowing growth.
Despite
these challenges, equities performed well in 2024, even stripping
out the boost to the US market from the “Magnificent Seven” and
artificial intelligence. The main reason for the broader
performance was optimism about the interest rate cycle – for equity
markets, the promise of a lower cost of money can overcome a host
of other issues. The prospect of lower rates was fuelled by that
lacklustre growth environment described above and by improving
inflation data, as the pace continued to subside from the very high
rates of 2022. Interest rate cuts were duly forthcoming, with the
European Central Bank cutting in June, the Bank of England in July and the Federal Reserve in
September. Stockmarkets’ great hope is that the Federal Reserve can
achieve the historically elusive “soft landing” – taming inflation
without tipping the US economy into recession.
However,
towards the end of the year, politics intruded to unsettle the
narrative of disinflation and lower interest rates. The Republican
clean sweep in America’s Presidential and Congressional elections
increased the likelihood of potentially inflationary policies, such
as trade tariffs, lower immigration and tax cuts. It remains to be
seen whether tariffs are implemented in full force or are more of a
negotiation tactic. And it is still unclear whether the new
Department of Government Efficiency can mitigate the impact of tax
cuts on budget deficits. Therefore, the assumption of a swift
return to the lower inflation and interest rate environment of the
pre-pandemic era has been undermined. It is notable that US bond
yields have risen and that the market now expects a slower pace of
interest rate cuts than it did before the elections.
In the UK,
there have been similar developments. Labour’s first Budget in
nearly 15 years has clouded the outlook for monetary policy and the
economy. It seems likely that changes to the National Living Wage
and employers’ national insurance contributions will be
inflationary, as businesses seek to pass on their cost increases.
At the same time, higher government spending and borrowing
threatens to crowd out the private sector, which must also
contemplate further tax increases if the government’s growth
ambitions do not transpire as intended. Again, fiscal action
jeopardises the outlook for monetary policy: expectations today are
now for less significant interest rate cuts than was the case
before the Budget. As in the US, the point here is not to judge the
merits of government policies. Rather, it is to highlight the
unintended consequences of governments’ plans for what buoyed
stockmarket valuations through 2024, namely expectations of lower
interest rates.
Turning to
the UK stockmarket, its relevance has been widely questioned in
recent years against a backdrop of outflows from equity funds and a
dearth of IPO activity. The angst has been shared by regulators and
successive governments. Several changes have followed, notably to
the listing rules, and more are to come with the new prospectus
regime in 2025. Other initiatives may follow, but the new
Chancellor’s commentary thus far has been rather vague and, as the
short-lived flirtation with the UK ISA shows, policy change can be
abrupt.
Indeed,
reliance on government diktat, with all its unintended
consequences, is seldom comfortable. Therefore, other signs of life
in the UK stockmarket are more encouraging. Valuations were at a
particularly low ebb towards the end of 2023, when the UK’s
economic and political situation appeared particularly uncertain in
comparison with those of other countries. A year on, the UK looks
less of an outlier. This has helped to bring tension back into the
valuation of UK equities and to elicit a welcome re-rating of small
and large companies. At the same time, the identity of the marginal
buyers of small UK quoted companies is now clear: larger companies
and overseas companies through M&A, overseas asset managers,
the companies themselves through buy-backs, and, of course,
ASCoT.
Analysis of performance and portfolio
characteristics
Over the
twelve months to 31 December 2024,
ASCoT’s net asset value total return was +12.1%. The DNSCI (XIC)’s
was +9.5%. The table below is an analysis of the difference between
the two numbers. The most important influence on ASCoT’s return was
the total return performance of the companies that make up its
portfolio of investments.
For the twelve months ended 31 December
2024
|
|
Basis points
|
Attributable
to the portfolio of investments, based on mid
prices
(after
transaction costs of 15 basis points)
|
|
355
|
Movement
in mid to bid price spread
|
|
3
|
Cash/gearing
|
|
(17)
|
Purchase
of ordinary shares
|
|
9
|
Management
fee
|
|
(76)
|
Other
expenses
|
|
(7)
|
Total
attribution based on bid prices
|
|
267
|
|
|
|
Note: 100
basis points = 1%.
Total
Attribution is the difference between the total return of the NAV
and the Benchmark Index (i.e. NAV = 12.15%; Benchmark Index =
9.48%; difference is 2.67% being 267 basis points).
|
The next
table sets out a series of characteristics of both the portfolio
and the DNSCI (XIC). The paragraphs that follow provide context and
explanation for these characteristics and for ASCoT’s performance
in 2024.
Portfolio characteristics
|
31 December 2024
|
31 December 2023
|
ASCoT
|
DNSCI (XIC)
|
ASCoT
|
DNSCI (XIC)
|
Number of
companies
|
79
|
350
|
78
|
353
|
Weighted
average market capitalisation
|
£649m
|
£1,019m
|
£591m
|
£957m
|
Weighting
in “smaller small” companies*
|
55%
|
21%
|
61%
|
28%
|
Portfolio
turnover
|
20%
|
N/A
|
20%
|
N/A
|
Active
share
|
78%
|
N/A
|
75%
|
N/A
|
Price
earnings (PE) ratio (historical)
|
9.6x
|
13.0x
|
7.9x
|
12.8x
|
Dividend
yield (historical)
|
4.0%
|
3.4%
|
4.2%
|
3.3%
|
Dividend
cover (historical)
|
2.6x
|
2.2x
|
3.0x
|
2.3x
|
*”Smaller
small” companies are members of the DNSCI (XIC) that are not also
members of the FTSE 250
Style
The
Managers invest in accordance with their value investment
philosophy. For existing and potential investments, they calculate
target valuations. These are influenced by fundamental analysis,
judgement informed by experience, and reference to other relevant
valuations in equity markets or corporate
activity.
Growth of
profits is an important component of a target valuation, but the
Managers find that stockmarket valuations are often too generous in
their assumptions of the sustainability and pace of
growth.
The value
investment philosophy means that ASCoT’s returns are influenced by
the stockmarket’s preference in any period for more expensively
priced growth stocks or more modestly rated value stocks. In
respect of 2024, analysis by London Business
School of the DNSCI (XIC) suggests that the value style
performed in line with the growth style, with the latter buoyed in
sympathy with America’s large technology companies. Style was not,
therefore, a significant influence on ASCoT’s performance in
2024.
Over
recent years, however, style has been
beneficial.
Value
stocks have out- performed since the recovery from the pandemic
started towards the end of 2020. A further boost came as inflation
soared in 2022 and drove bond yields higher. While the rate of
inflation has declined, its future path is uncertain. This should
help maintain interest in the value style.
Size
The DNSCI
(XIC) includes all main listed stocks in the UK with market
capitalisations below c.£1.9bn. It therefore includes many mid cap
companies. For much of the period since the global financial crisis
in 2008, the Managers have found more attractive valuations down
the market capitalisation scale. ASCoT has therefore had a
relatively high exposure to what might be termed the “smaller
small” companies. Since late 2020, as the pandemic recovery
commenced, the share prices of “smaller small” companies have
performed better than those of the mid caps within the DNSCI (XIC).
This was again the case in 2024. ASCoT’s returns therefore
benefited from its size positioning over the past twelve months.
Notwithstanding this improved performance from the “smaller
smalls”, they continue to exhibit more attractive valuation
characteristics, as the section on Valuations below
demonstrates.
Geography
Where a
company earns its profits – whether in the domestic UK economy or
overseas – can be influential on its share price performance. The
EU referendum in 2016 weakened sterling, which helped profits
earned in strong currencies overseas. This ushered in a period of
share price out-performance for overseas facing companies. Domestic
earners took a further hit in 2020 since they were
disproportionately affected by lockdown. These events gave the
Managers the opportunity to increase ASCoT’s weighting to domestic
facing companies whose share prices had been disproportionately
affected. At the start of 2024, domestic companies accounted for
56% of the portfolio against 50% of the DNSCI (XIC).
Something
changed in 2024. The share prices of domestic facing companies
out-performed those of the overseas earners by a significant
margin. This helped ASCoT’s investment return. There were several
reasons for the change in sentiment. First, there was growing
optimism that interest rates cuts will boost the profitability of
domestic businesses, allowing their earnings to recover from the
2023 recession. Second, prospects for overseas facing companies
were clouded by subdued demand conditions in much of the world and
by the risk of US trade tariffs. Additionally, sterling’s recent
strength against the euro was negative for profits, reversing some
of the advantage gained by overseas earners in the wake of the
referendum. Towards the year end, the effects of the Budget were
felt on the share prices of domestic businesses and the Managers
are seeing investment opportunities in both groups of
companies.
Despite
their recent challenges, ASCoT’s overseas earners remain strong
businesses. The engineering sector is a good example of the
resilience. Most engineers listed on the UK stockmarket today,
including those owned by ASCoT, are truly international businesses.
They have grown geographically over the years in response to
shifting global demand, locating plants close to those of their
customers. Therefore, if the US does impose stringent tariffs on
the likes of Mexico, it is
probable that these businesses will adapt again, moving capacity
from Mexico to their US
facilities. Some transitional costs could be incurred to achieve
this, but the underlying viability and relevance of the businesses
would likely be unaffected.
Balance sheets
The
following table sets out the balance sheet profile of ASCoT’s
portfolio and of the Managers’ Tracked Universe. This subset of the
DNSCI (XIC) represents 98% by value of the index as a whole and is
made up of the 234 companies that the Managers follow
closely.
Weight in companies with:
|
Net cash
|
Net debt/EBITDA
< 2x
|
Net debt/EBITDA
> 2x
|
Other*
|
Portfolio
2024
|
30%
|
45%
|
20%
|
5%
|
Tracked
Universe 2024
|
30%
|
41%
|
23%
|
7%
|
*Includes
loss-makers and lenders
|
The
profile is familiar. Balance sheets are robust both within the
portfolio and among small caps in general. Around one third of both
the portfolio and index by value is represented by companies with
net cash on their balance sheets. The more highly leveraged
companies tend to be those with asset backing, such as pub
businesses and property companies. It has been argued that small
companies are less securely funded than large companies and that
they therefore merit lower valuations. Some also claim that value
stocks are less securely funded than growth stocks. Neither of
these contentions hold true today, which underscores the
attractiveness of ASCoT’s current investment
opportunity.
The
strength of balance sheets naturally makes the question of capital
deployment more urgent. The Managers frequently engage on this
issue with the boards of ASCoT’s investee companies. The highest
priority should be organic investment to maintain the viability of
a business and allow it to grow. Thereafter, a coherent and
appropriate dividend policy is essential, optimally one that allows
ordinary dividends to grow in real terms through economic cycles.
After that, acquisitions may be considered, but these should be
assessed against the benchmark of lower risk special dividends or
share buy-backs. It is notable that numerous small companies bought
back shares in 2024, which points to the value that boards of
directors see in their companies. Within the portfolio, buy-backs
were undertaken by 17 companies. At around one fifth of the
portfolio, this is the highest rate in ASCoT’s 34 year
history.
Income
The table
below categorises ASCoT’s 79 holdings at 31
December 2024 according to each company’s most recent
dividend action.
Nil Payer
|
Cutter
|
Unchanged Payer
|
Increased Payer
|
New/Returner
|
16
|
12
|
15
|
32
|
4
|
The
message from the analysis is good, with the most populated category
being those companies that most recently increased their dividends.
There was further benefit from the four companies recommencing
dividends or making payments for the first time. ASCoT also
received two special dividends during the year. Less positively,
twelve companies cut their dividends. Seven of these were
businesses operating in the domestic economy, usually close to the
housing market. Their dividend decisions in 2024 were influenced by
the impact of the recession towards the end of 2023. Nevertheless,
ASCoT’s income experience in 2024 was on balance strong. Total
income earned in the year was slightly less than in 2023, mainly
reflecting fewer special dividends received, but it should be noted
that 2023 was ASCoT’s best ever year in income terms. The dividend
experience of these last two years is a clear illustration of the
resilience of small UK quoted companies in the face of often
testing trading conditions.
The
historical dividend yield of ASCoT’s holdings at 31 December 2024 was 4.0%, which was 26% higher
than the average over ASCoT’s 34 year history. Dividend cover was
2.6x, below the long term average of 2.8x. This reflects a weak
earnings performance from small companies through 2024, consistent
with the recession impact, along with the resilience of dividends
previously described. As profits continue their recovery from the
downturn, it is likely that dividend cover will return to its long
term average.
Corporate activity
Stockmarket
valuations in the UK remain attractive and so M&A activity
continues apace. If UK institutions and retail investors are
willing sellers of domestic equities, larger overseas companies and
private equity are willing buyers. In 2024, the takeovers of 15
companies within the DNSCI (XIC) were completed. As the year ended,
there were offers outstanding for three and approaches had been
made for another two. Of these 20 deals, the buyers were evenly
split between private equity and other companies. Most of the
acquirers were overseas based, with domestic buyers in six of the
situations. Turning to ASCoT’s experience, it had investments in
eight of the 20 takeover targets. Over the years, the Managers’
value investment style has meant that ASCoT has been a
disproportionate beneficiary of M&A activity.
There is
nothing wrong with takeovers being the catalyst for the closing of
value gaps, but the low valuations that still prevail in the UK
stockmarket mean that the risk is high of some takeovers being done
on unattractive terms. The risk is exacerbated by boards and other
shareholders yielding too quickly to takeover interest, no doubt
succumbing to the gloomy sentiment towards the UK. The Managers’
approach in such situations is purposeful engagement, as described
in the section on Engagement below.
As the
attractive valuations of small UK quoted companies draw takeover
interest, the corollary is a subdued IPO market. Just two IPOs of a
reasonable size and eligible for the DNSCI (XIC) were completed in
2024. The Managers view this dearth of activity as a temporary
phenomenon and a function of prevailing valuations. The UK’s new
listing rules and the imminent changes to the prospectus regime are
likely to encourage IPOs once the valuation basis of the UK market
recovers.
Engagement
Since
ASCoT’s inception in 1990, an integral part of Aberforth’s
investment process has been engagement with the boards of the
investee companies. The approach to engagement is intended to be
purposeful, discreet and constructive. Its purpose is to improve
investment outcomes for Aberforth’s clients and investors. The
Managers engage on any topic that they perceive to be affecting the
valuation of a company. The most common issue addressed is capital
allocation, though M&A terms were an important topic in
2024.
Engagement
includes regular updates with executive directors and also
encompasses meetings with non executives. There is a particular
focus on the chair, which is the most important role in the UK’s
system of corporate governance. The Managers are prepared to be
taken inside for extended periods, which indicates their commitment
to responsible stewardship and which can be helpful to investee
companies. The Managers’ influence is enhanced by their ability to
take significant stakes of up to 25% of issued share capital across
their client base. At 31 December
2024, ASCoT had five holdings in which Aberforth’s clients
had a stake of more than 20% in an investee companies and 26
holdings in which the stake exceeded 10%.
The
currently high rate of M&A activity within the UK stockmarket
makes engagement particularly relevant and explains the recent
focus given to it in these reports. The terms of some of the
takeovers have been frustrating. Large control premiums have
distracted from uninspiring exit valuations and from boards too
willing to present faits accomplis to their shareholders. Aberforth
has therefore reinforced, in both writing and in meetings, the
importance of boards consulting shareholders when they are
considering a takeover offer or a significant capital allocation
decision. In 2024, there were numerous consultations by companies
about M&A. These often involved the Managers going inside. In
some cases, the Managers supported the boards in question to reject
a takeover approach. In others, they worked with the boards to
improve the initial terms offered. This sort of activity can be
difficult and time-consuming, but it is important particularly when
UK valuations remain at such attractive levels. The Managers are
confident that their purposeful, discreet and constructive
engagement has enhanced ASCoT’s returns over time and will continue
to do so.
ASCoT’s gearing
ASCoT
employs gearing tactically to take advantage of periods of stress
in economies and financial markets. It is currently geared for the
fourth time in its history, having drawn on its borrowing facility
amid the pandemic in early 2020. Since then, gearing has enhanced
ASCoT’s returns. Since UK equity valuations continue to be
attractive, the Managers believe that it is appropriate that ASCoT
remains geared. At 31 December 2024,
the gearing ratio was 7%. The ratio varied through the year with
moves in the share prices of the investee companies and as proceeds
from holdings subject to takeover have been realised.
Active share
Active
share is a measure of how different a portfolio is from an index.
The ratio is calculated as half of the sum of the absolute
differences between each stock’s weighting in the index and its
weighting in the portfolio. The higher a portfolio’s active share,
the higher its chance of performing differently from the index, for
better or worse. The Managers target an active share ratio of at
least 70% for ASCoT’s portfolio compared with the DNSCI (XIC). At
31 December 2024, it stood at
78%.
Value roll and portfolio
turnover
The main
influence on ASCoT’s portfolio turnover in any period is usually
the stockmarket’s appetite for small UK quoted companies. If prices
and valuations are rising, the upsides to the Managers’ target
prices are likely to be narrowing. All else being equal, this would
encourage the rotation of ASCoT’s capital from companies with lower
upsides to those with higher upsides. The Managers’ term this
dynamic the “value roll” and it has played an important role in
ASCoT’s capital and income returns over the years. It follows that
periods of higher portfolio turnover are often associated with
strong returns for ASCoT.
Portfolio
turnover is defined as the lower of purchases and sales divided by
the average portfolio value. In 2024, turnover was 20%. This is
below the long term average of 33%. Notwithstanding ASCoT’s
positive return in the year, this suggests that there was less
opportunity for “value roll” than usual. This is symptomatic of the
deep under-valuation of small UK quoted companies – if the
stockmarket does not reflect their true value, there is no
incentive to reduce the position.
Environmental, social and governance
(ESG)
In their
analysis and assessment of companies, the Managers consider any
issue that affects valuation. This includes matters that come under
the umbrella term of ESG. If the Managers determine that a
company’s valuation can be enhanced by addressing such an issue,
they engage with the board in question. In practice, the majority
of such engagements remain concerned with governance. This reflects
the Managers’ firm belief that good governance is a pre-requisite
for a good performance in environmental and social
terms.
The ESG
module in the Managers’ investment database is now firmly embedded.
It is clear that investee companies are coping well with the ESG
expectations of investors and the ESG requirements of regulators.
For another year, disclosure has improved and there are
demonstrable actions under way to meet net zero commitments. This
effort is not costless and the burden on some businesses is
considerable. However, once again, the resilience and flexibility
of smaller companies is very much in evidence. This extends to the
identification of commercial opportunities that can arise from the
ESG issues. The products and services of several of ASCoT’s
industrial holdings bring savings to customers in both monetary and
carbon terms. By quantifying avoided emissions, these companies can
emphasise their relevance both to the stockmarket and to the real
economy.
Examples
are provided in the Stewardship & ESG section of the Managers’
website at
www.aberforth.co.uk. Further
details of the Managers’ approach to ESG are set out on pages 14 to
16 of the Annual Report.
Valuations
Last
year’s Managers’ Report described an unusual triple valuation
discount from which ASCoT benefited. This is summarised in the
following table.
Price earnings (PE) ratio:
|
34 year average
|
At 31 December 2023
|
At 31 December 2024
|
World
equities*
|
15.9x
|
16.0x
|
17.7x
|
FTSE
All-Share
|
15.3x
|
10.3x
|
14.6x
|
Smaller
companies**
|
13.6x
|
10.3x
|
11.9x
|
ASCoT’s
portfolio
|
12.0x
|
7.9x
|
9.6x
|
|
|
|
|
|
*Source:
Bloomberg; Panmure Liberum
**DNSCI
(XIC) to 2013 then Tracked Universe
Twelve
months on, the triple discount remains in place: (1) UK equities
have a lower PE than global equities, (2) small UK quoted companies
have a lower PE than the UK market as a whole, and (3) ASCoT’s
portfolio has a lower PE than smaller companies. The table also
demonstrates the valuation opportunity in another way. At present,
UK equities, smaller companies and the portfolio are each rated on
a lower PE than the average over ASCoT’s 34 years. Therefore, ASCoT
benefits from attractive valuations in comparison both with its own
history and with broader equity indices.
The table
also reveals some change through 2024: the PEs of all four groups
have risen. In the case of world equities, this was principally due
to the further share price gains of the “Magnificent Seven” and
their ilk. Less appreciated have been the partial re-ratings of the
UK equity market, smaller companies and ASCoT’s portfolio. A broad
re-rating of this sort is welcome but unsurprising given how
unusually low PEs were towards the end of 2023. The uncertainty a
year ago was when the improvement would come and what would prompt
it. In the event, there have been three influences: the improved
economic backdrop, a degree of political stability (at least in
relative terms), and the continued buying pressure in the form of
M&A.
It is
worth dwelling on the components of the re-rating. Focusing on
smaller companies, the historical PE rose from 10.3x at the end of
2023 to 11.9x at the end of 2024. That is a 16% rise over a period
in which the return from the DNSCI (XIC) was 9.5%. From these two
numbers it may be inferred that small company profits fell in
aggregate, by around 6%. This decline in reported profitability is
not news – last year’s Managers’ Report described the likelihood of
such an outturn given the impact of the recession in the second
half of 2023. While lower profits are unwelcome, it is clear that
they were not inconsistent with positive equity returns as the
stockmarket discounted a probable recovery in profits.
There are
parallels here with the early 1990s recession, which was caused by
inflation and the tighter monetary policy required to address it.
The table below gives the macro economic context for the early
1990s downturn, along with how small UK quoted companies performed
in the period.
|
1990
|
1991
|
1992
|
1993
|
Cumulative 1991-3
|
UK
economic context
|
|
|
|
|
|
GDP
YoY
|
+0.6%
|
-1.4%
|
+0.2%
|
+2.3%
|
+1.1%
|
CPI
YoY
|
+7.0%
|
+8.5%
|
+4.2%
|
+2.5%
|
+15.9%
|
Year end
base rates
|
13.9%
|
10.4%
|
6.9%
|
5.4%
|
-
|
DNSCI
(XIC)* experience
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year end
PE ratio
|
8.2x
|
11.3x
|
13.9x
|
18.6x
|
-
|
Implied
earnings growth
|
+1.8%
|
-13.7%
|
-13.1%
|
+6.2%
|
-20.3%
|
Total
return
|
-23.5%
|
+18.3%
|
+6.4%
|
+41.6%
|
+78.2%
|
*Taken or
calculated from London Business School
data
The table
shows the positive total returns generated by smaller companies in
1991 and 1992 even as the recession hit and profits declined. These
returns drove the PE ratio up to 13.9x by the end of 1992. This
was, though, only a partial re-rating since the actual recovery in
earnings, which started in 1993, prompted a very strong performance
from the asset class. Notwithstanding the similarities with today’s
situation, it would be wrong to anticipate that the market plays
out in precisely this way. However, it is clear that the higher PEs
seen in 2024 are not in and of themselves a barrier to further
gains.
The
following table turns to forward valuations. It uses the Managers’
favoured valuation metric, EV/EBITA (enterprise value to earnings
before interest, tax and amortisation). Ratios are set out for the
portfolio, the Tracked Universe and certain subdivisions of the
Tracked Universe. The profits underlying the ratios are based on
the Managers’ forecasts for each company that they track. The
bullet points following the table summarise its main
messages.
EV/EBITA
|
2024
|
2025
|
2026
|
ASCoT’s
portfolio
|
7.9x
|
7.0x
|
6.1x
|
Tracked
Universe (234 stocks)
|
10.0x
|
9.0x
|
7.8x
|
-
38 growth
stocks
|
15.9x
|
14.7x
|
12.7x
|
-
196 other
stocks
|
9.3x
|
8.3x
|
7.2x
|
-
102 stocks
> £600m market cap
|
10.5x
|
9.5x
|
8.3x
|
-
132 stocks
< £600m market cap
|
8.8x
|
7.6x
|
6.6x
|
•
The ratios
are lower in 2025 than in 2024. This reflects the Managers’
anticipation of profit growth in 2025, as lower interest rates and
real wage growth drive a recovery in the profitability of domestic
facing companies.
•
The
average EV/EBITA multiples of the portfolio are lower than those of
the Tracked Universe. This has been a consistent feature over
ASCoT’s history and is consistent with the Managers’ value
investment style.
•
The
portfolio’s 7.9x EV/EBITA ratio for 2024 is considerably lower than
the average multiple of 13.6x at which takeover offers were made in
2024.
•
Each year,
the Managers identify a cohort of growth stocks within the DNSCI
(XIC). These stocks are on much higher multiples than both the
portfolio and the rest of the Tracked Universe.
•
Picking up
on the size commentary above, the “smaller small” companies within
the DNSCI (XIC) remain more attractively valued than do the “larger
smalls”, despite the former grouping’s better share price
performance in the year.
Outlook
and conclusion
The
investment outlook for 2025 is clouded by geopolitics. The war in
Ukraine continues, while the
situation in the Middle East has
recently become more complicated with the overthrow of the Assad
regime in Syria. Meanwhile, there
are unstable governments or imminent elections in France, Germany, Japan, South
Korea and Canada. Despite
the conclusive Republican victory in the US, uncertainty
lingers.
Donald
Trump’s statements about tariffs and reindustrialisation seem part
of a world view that tends to isolationism, though it is unclear
how much of this is his well- practised tactics to achieve a deal.
To complicate matters, his fiscal actions will affect monetary
policy. This in turn will influence the US economy, whose
resilience has been welcome as other countries struggle, and the
valuation basis of equities and bonds around the world.
Political
risk remains elevated too in the UK, despite – or perhaps because
of – Labour’s decisive election victory. The Budget was uninspiring
and impinges upon private sector growth, whatever the government’s
rhetoric about employers’ national insurance contributions.
Businesses and consumers can be forgiven for worrying about what
might come next should economic growth not pick up as the
Chancellor predicts.
Some of
that scepticism seems shared by bond investors, with gilt yields
having risen sharply since the Budget.
However,
it is important to put today’s big picture concerns and risks in
perspective. Macro economic and geopolitical issues are a fact of
life. They have beset equity investors over ASCoT’s 34 years, and
indeed throughout the history of financial markets. Indeed, an
element of the superior return achieved by equities over the long
term is the reward for taking on those very risks. In their
investment discussions, the Managers aim to take into account top
down influences but try not to be distracted by them.
What is
more certain is the resilience and valuations of the companies in
which ASCoT invests. It is worth returning to the way in which
small UK quoted companies have dealt so well with recent challenges
such as Brexit, the pandemic and supply chain
disruption.
Even in
2024, when companies reported results affected by recession, many
grew their dividends and many were able to enhance shareholder
returns with buy-backs. In this, they have been helped by their
strong balance sheets and experienced boards of
directors.
Given
their demonstrable flexibility, resilience and adaptability, it is
reasonable to expect them to cope well with further
change.
It is
clear, however, that the stockmarket continues to overlook the
resilience and progress of small UK quoted companies. Valuations
recovered in 2024 but remain low in comparison with history and
with other equity markets. While the US market is priced for
perfection, small UK quoted companies are priced for irrelevance.
But this tunnel vision on the part of equity markets is part of the
present opportunity for investors in ASCoT’s asset class. What
makes the valuation discrepancies particularly thought-provoking is
that there are rational investors – other companies and private
equity – who are prepared to pay substantial premiums over
stockmarket prices to own small UK quoted companies.
This
takeover activity helped to shine a light on ASCoT’s investment
opportunity in 2024 by raising general awareness of the
attractiveness of valuations. Encouragingly, the Managers’
valuation framework suggests further upside from the re- rating of
the asset class. While it is not guaranteed that this will come in
a prompt and smooth manner, investee companies are likely to
continue to make underlying progress and build value for their
shareholders. ASCoT is positioned to benefit from this with its
diversified portfolio of resilient businesses, which has been
constructed through the Managers’ consistent investment process and
value investment philosophy.
Aberforth
Partners
Managers
30 January 2025
DIRECTORS’ RESPONSIBILITY STATEMENT
Each of
the Directors confirms to the best of their knowledge
that:
(a) the
financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with
applicable accounting standards, give a true and fair view of the
assets, liabilities, financial position and profit or loss of the
Company;
(b) the
Strategic Report includes a fair review of the development and
performance of the business and the position of the Company,
together with a description of the principal risks and
uncertainties that it faces; and
(c) the
Annual Report, taken as a whole, is fair, balanced and
understandable and provides information necessary for Shareholders
to assess the Company’s position, performance, business model and
strategy.
On behalf
of the Board
Richard
Davidson
Chairman
30 January
2025
PRINCIPAL RISKS
The Board
carefully considers the risks faced by the Company and seeks to
manage these risks through continual review, evaluation, mitigating
controls and action as necessary. A risk matrix for the Company is
maintained. It groups risks into the following categories:
portfolio management; investor relations; regulatory and legal; and
financial reporting. Further information regarding the Board’s
governance oversight of risk and the context for risks can be found
in the Corporate Governance Report on page 35 of the Annual Report.
The Audit Committee Report (pages 36 to 38 of the Annual Report)
details the Committee's review process, matters considered, and
actions taken on internal controls and risks during the
year.
The
Company outsources all the main operational activities to
recognised, well-established firms and the Board receives internal
control reports from these firms, where available, to review the
effectiveness of their control frameworks including cyber security.
This review is also recorded in the Company's risk
documentation.
Emerging
risks are those that are still evolving, and are not fully
understood, but that could have a future impact on the Company. The
Board regularly reviews them and, during the year, it added to the
risk matrix the potential risks arising from changes to legal
rulings adversely affecting the business models of investee
companies and the risk of artificial intelligence affecting
investment or operational performance. The Board monitors these
risks and how the Managers integrate them into their investment
decision making.
Principal
risks are those risks in the matrix that have the highest ratings
based on likelihood and impact. They tend to be relatively
consistent from year to year given the nature of the Company and
its business. The principal risks faced by the Company, together
with the approach taken by the Board towards them, are summarised
below. To indicate the extent to which the principal risks change
during the year and the level of monitoring required, each
principal risk has been categorised as either dynamic risk,
requiring detailed monitoring as it can change regularly, or stable
risk.
Market risk
|
Risk–this
is a portfolio management risk
|
Mitigation
|
Investment
performance is affected by external market risk factors, including
those creating uncertainty about future price movements of
investments, geo-political stability and economic conditions. The
Board delegates consideration of market risk to the Managers to be
carried out as part of the investment process.
|
The
Managers regularly assess the exposure to market risk when making
investment decisions and the Board monitors the results via the
Managers’ quarterly and other reporting. The Board and Managers
closely monitor significant economic and political developments
including the potential effects of climate change (see pages 14 to
16 of the Annual Report). This remained a dynamic risk during the
year, in which the Managers reported on market risks including
economic and geopolitical issues as addressed in the Managers’
Report.
|
Investment strategy/performance risk
|
Risk–this
is a portfolio management risk
|
Mitigation
|
The
Company’s investment policy and strategy exposes the portfolio to
share price movements. The performance of the investment portfolio
typically differs from the performance of the benchmark and is
influenced by investment strategy and policy, investment style,
stock selection, liquidity and market risk (see Market risk above
and Note 19 of the Annual Report for further details). Investment
in small companies is generally perceived to carry more risk than
investment in large companies. While this is reasonable when
comparing individual companies, it is much less so when comparing
the risks inherent in diversified portfolios of small and large
companies.
|
The Board
monitors performance against the investment objective over the long
term by ensuring the investment portfolio is managed appropriately,
in accordance with the investment policy and strategy. The Board
has outsourced portfolio management to experienced investment
managers with a clearly defined investment philosophy and
investment process. The Board receives regular and detailed reports
on investment performance including detailed portfolio analysis,
risk profile and attribution analysis. Senior representatives of
Aberforth Partners attend each Board meeting. Peer group
performance is also regularly monitored by the Board. This remains
a dynamic risk, with detailed consideration during the year. The
Managers’ Report contains information on portfolio investment
performance and risk.
|
Share price discount
|
Risk–this
is an investor relations risk
|
Mitigation
|
Investment
trust shares tend to trade at discounts to their underlying net
asset values, but a significant share price discount, related
volatility, or a discount significantly beyond peers’, could reduce
shareholder returns and confidence.
|
The Board
and the Managers monitor the discount daily, both in absolute terms
and relative to ASCoT’s peers. In this context, the Board intends
to continue to use the buy- back authority as described in the
Directors’ Report. This is considered a dynamic risk as the
discount moves daily.
|
Gearing risk
|
Risk–this
is a portfolio management risk
|
Mitigation
|
Tactical
gearing can negatively affect investment performance. In rising
markets, gearing enhances returns, but in falling markets it
reduces returns to shareholders.
|
The Board
and the Managers have specifically considered the gearing strategy
and associated risks during the year. At present this is a dynamic
risk as the Company’s tactical gearing facility is partially
deployed.
|
Reputational risk
|
Risk–this
is an investor relations risk
|
Mitigation
|
The risk
of an event damaging the Company's reputation and Shareholder
demand. The reputation of the Company is important in maintaining
the confidence of shareholders.
|
The Board
and the Managers regularly monitor factors that may affect the
reputation of the Company and/or of its main service providers and
take action if appropriate. The Board reviews relevant internal
control reporting for critical outsourced service providers. This
has been monitored as a stable risk.
|
Regulatory risk
|
Risk–this
is a regulatory and legal risk
|
Mitigation
|
Failure to
comply with applicable legal, tax and regulatory requirements could
lead to suspension of the Company’s share price listing, financial
penalties or a qualified audit report. A breach of Section 1158 of
the Corporation Tax Act 2010 could lead to the Company losing
investment trust status and, as a consequence, any capital gains
would then be subject to capital gains tax.
|
The Board
receives quarterly compliance reports from the Secretaries to
evidence compliance with rules and regulations, together with
information on future developments. This is a stable
risk.
|
Going Concern
The Audit
Committee has undertaken and documented an assessment of whether
the Company is a going concern for the period of at least 12 months
from the date of approval of the financial statements. The
Committee reported the results of its assessment to the
Board.
The
Company’s business activities, capital structure and borrowing
facilities, together with the factors likely to affect its
development and performance, are set out in the Strategic Report.
In addition, the Annual Report includes the Company’s objectives,
policies and processes for managing its capital and financial risk,
along with details of its financial instruments and its exposures
to credit risk and liquidity risk. The Company’s assets comprise
mainly readily realisable equity securities and funding flexibility
can typically be achieved through the use of the borrowing
facilities, which are described in notes 12 and 13 to the Annual
Report. The Company has adequate financial resources to enable it
to meet its day-to-day working capital requirements. The triennial
continuation vote was considered including the outcome of the last
vote in 2023, which was passed overwhelmingly.
In summary
and taking into consideration all available information, the
Directors have concluded it is appropriate to continue to prepare
the financial statements on a going concern basis.
The Income
Statement, Balance Sheet, Reconciliation of Movements in
Shareholders’ Funds and summary Cash Flow Statement are set out
below.
INCOME STATEMENT
For
the year ended 31 December 2024
(audited)
|
For
the year ended
|
For the
year ended
|
|
31
December 2024
|
31
December 2023
|
|
Revenue
|
Capital
|
Total
|
Revenue
|
Capital
|
Total
|
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net gains
on investments
|
-
|
116,364
|
116,364
|
-
|
58,432
|
58,432
|
Investment
income
|
54,506
|
-
|
54,506
|
56,423
|
-
|
56,423
|
Other
income
|
118
|
-
|
118
|
91
|
-
|
91
|
Investment
management fee
|
(3,708)
|
(6,180)
|
(9,888)
|
(3,350)
|
(5,583)
|
(8,933)
|
Portfolio
transaction costs
|
-
|
(2,179)
|
(2,179)
|
-
|
(1,855)
|
(1,855)
|
Other
expenses
|
(858)
|
-
|
(858)
|
(823)
|
-
|
(823)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
Net
return before finance costs
|
50,058
|
108,005
|
158,063
|
52,341
|
50,994
|
103,335
|
and
tax
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Finance
costs
|
(2,427)
|
(4,045)
|
(6,472)
|
(1,578)
|
(2,631)
|
(4,209)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Return
on ordinary activities
|
47,631
|
103,960
|
151,591
|
50,763
|
48,363
|
99,126
|
before
tax
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax on
ordinary activities
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(82)
|
-
|
(82)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
Return
attributable to
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
equity
shareholders
|
47,631
|
103,960
|
151,591
|
50,681
|
48,363
|
99,044
|
|
======
|
=======
|
=======
|
======
|
=======
|
=======
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Returns
per Ordinary Share (Note 4)
|
56.59p
|
123.50p
|
180.09p
|
59.79p
|
57.05p
|
116.84p
|
The Board
declared on 30 January 2025 a final dividend of 30.00p per Ordinary
Share and a special dividend of 6.00p per Ordinary Share. The Board
declared on 26 July 2024 an interim dividend of 13.60p per Ordinary
Share.
The total
column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the
Company. All revenue and capital items in the above statement
derive from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or
discontinued in the year. A Statement of Comprehensive Income is
not required as all gains and losses of the Company have been
reflected in the above statement.
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS’
FUNDS
For
the year ended 31 December 2024
(audited)
|
|
Capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
|
redemption
|
Special
|
Capital
|
Revenue
|
|
|
capital
|
reserve
|
reserve
|
reserve
|
reserve
|
Total
|
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance as
at 31 December 2023
|
844
|
144
|
38,840
|
1,158,046
|
99,353
|
1,297,227
|
Return on
ordinary activities after taxation
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
103,960
|
47,631
|
151,591
|
Equity
dividends paid (Note 3)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(43,130)
|
(43,130)
|
Purchase
of Ordinary Shares
|
(6)
|
6
|
(8,371)
|
-
|
-
|
(8,371)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
Balance
as at 31 December 2024
|
838
|
150
|
30,469
|
1,262,006
|
103,854
|
1,397,317
|
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
For the
year ended 31 December 2023
(audited)
|
|
Capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
|
redemption
|
Special
|
Capital
|
Revenue
|
|
|
capital
|
reserve
|
reserve
|
reserve
|
reserve
|
Total
|
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
£’000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance as
at 31 December 2022
|
853
|
135
|
50,481
|
1,109,683
|
89,718
|
1,250,870
|
Return on
ordinary activities after taxation
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
48,363
|
50,681
|
99,044
|
Equity
dividends paid (Note 3)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(41,046)
|
(41,046)
|
Purchase
of Ordinary Shares
|
(9)
|
9
|
(11,641)
|
-
|
-
|
(11,641)
|
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
--------
|
Balance as
at 31 December 2023
|
844
|
144
|
38,840
|
1,158,046
|
99,353
|
1,297,227
|
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
======
|
BALANCE SHEET
As
at 31 December 2024
(audited)
|
31
December
|
31
December
|
|
2024
|
2023
|
|
£‘000
|
£‘000
|
Fixed
assets
|
|
|
Investments
at fair value through profit or loss (Note 5)
|
1,497,304
|
1,363,980
|
|
----------
|
----------
|
Current
assets
|
|
|
Debtors
|
2,874
|
2,661
|
Cash at
bank
|
1,349
|
2,734
|
|
----------
|
----------
|
|
4,223
|
5,395
|
Creditors
(amounts falling due within one year)
|
(302)
|
(305)
|
|
----------
|
----------
|
Net
current assets
|
3,921
|
5,090
|
|
----------
|
----------
|
Total
Assets less Current Liabilities
|
1,501,225
|
1,369,070
|
Creditors
(amounts falling due after more than one year)
|
(103,908)
|
(71,843)
|
|
----------
|
----------
|
Total
Net Assets
|
1,397,317
|
1,297,227
|
|
=======
|
=======
|
|
|
|
Capital
and reserves: equity interests
|
|
|
Called up
share capital
|
838
|
844
|
Capital
redemption reserve
|
150
|
144
|
Special
reserve
|
30,469
|
38,840
|
Capital
reserve
|
1,262,006
|
1,158,046
|
Revenue
reserve
|
103,854
|
99,353
|
|
----------
|
----------
|
Total
Shareholders’ Funds
|
1,397,317
|
1,297,227
|
|
=======
|
=======
|
|
|
|
Net
Asset Value per Ordinary Share (Note 6)
|
1,666.95p
|
1,536.73p
|
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
For
the year ended 31 December 2024
(audited)
|
2024
|
2023
|
|
|
£’000
|
|
£’000
|
Operating
activities
|
|
|
|
|
Net
revenue return before finance costs and tax
|
|
50,058
|
|
52,341
|
Tax
withheld from income
|
|
-
|
|
(82)
|
Investment
management fee charged to capital
|
|
(6,180)
|
|
(5,583)
|
(Increase)
in debtors
|
|
(213)
|
|
(516)
|
Increase
in other creditors
|
|
8
|
|
-
|
|
|
--------
|
|
--------
|
Net
cash inflow from operating activities
|
|
43,673
|
|
46,160
|
|
|
=====
|
|
=====
|
Investing
activities
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
of investments
|
|
(307,701)
|
|
(255,193)
|
Sales of
investments
|
|
288,596
|
|
270,051
|
|
|
--------
|
|
--------
|
Cash
(outflow)/inflow from investing activities
|
|
(19,105)
|
|
14,858
|
|
|
=====
|
|
=====
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financing
activities
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
of Ordinary Shares
|
|
(8,371)
|
|
(11,641)
|
Equity
dividends paid (Note 3)
|
|
(43,130)
|
|
(41,046)
|
Interest
and fees paid
|
|
(6,452)
|
|
(4,265)
|
Gross
drawdowns of bank debt facilities (before any costs)
|
79,000
|
|
52,000
|
Gross
repayments of bank debt facilities (before any costs)
|
|
(47,000)
|
|
(55,000)
|
|
|
--------
|
|
--------
|
Cash
(outflow) from financing activities
|
|
(25,953)
|
|
(59,952)
|
|
|
=====
|
|
=====
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change
in cash during the period
|
|
(1,385)
|
|
1,066
|
|
|
=====
|
|
=====
|
Cash at
the start of the period
|
|
2,734
|
|
1,668
|
Cash at
the end of the period
|
|
1,349
|
|
2,734
|
|
|
======
|
|
======
|
SUMMARY
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
1.
SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES
The
financial statements have been presented under Financial Reporting
Standard 102 ("FRS 102") and under the AIC’s Statement of
Recommended Practice “Financial Statements of Investment Trust
Companies and Venture Capital Trusts” ("SORP"). The financial
statements have been prepared on a going concern basis under the
historical cost convention, modified to include the revaluation of
the Company’s investments as described below. The Directors'
assessment of the basis of going concern is described on pages 29
to 30 of the Annual Report. The functional and presentation
currency is pounds sterling, which is the currency of the
environment in which the Company operates. The Board confirms that
no critical accounting judgements or significant sources of
estimation uncertainty have been applied to the financial
statements and therefore there is not a significant risk of a
material adjustment to the carrying amounts of assets and
liabilities within the next financial year.
2.
INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT FEE AND BANK BORROWINGS
The
Managers, Aberforth Partners LLP, receive an annual management fee,
payable quarterly in advance, equal to 0.75% of net assets up to £1
billion, and 0.65% thereafter.
The
investment management fee and finance costs of bank borrowings have
been allocated 62.5% to capital reserve and 37.5% to revenue
reserve, in line with the Board’s expected long term split of
returns, in the form of capital gains and income respectively, from
the investment portfolio of the Company.
3.
DIVIDENDS
|
Year
to 31 December 2024
£’000
|
Year to 31
December 2023
£’000
|
Amounts
recognised as distributions to equity holders in the
period:
|
Final
dividend for the year ended 31 December 2023 of 28.55p (2022:
26.95p) paid on 8 March 2024
|
24,091
|
23,000
|
Special
dividend for the year ended 31 December 2023 of 9.00p (2022: 8.30p)
paid on 8 March 2024
|
7,595
|
7,084
|
Interim
dividend for the year ended 31 December 2024 of 13.60p (2023:
12.95p) paid on 29 August 2024
|
11,444
|
10,962
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
|
43,130
|
41,046
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
The final
dividend of 30.00p (2023: 28.55p) and special dividend of 6.00p
(2023: 9.00p) for the year ended 31 December 2024 will be paid,
subject to shareholder approval, on 10 March 2025. The final and
special dividends for 2024 and 2023 have not been included as
liabilities in the financial statements.
4.
RETURNS PER ORDINARY SHARE
|
Year
to 31 December 2024
|
Year to 31
December 2023
|
The
returns per Ordinary Share are based on:
Returns
attributable to Ordinary Shareholders
|
£151,591,000
|
£99,044,000
|
Weighted
average number of shares in issue during the year
|
84,175,009
|
84,766,084
|
Returns
per Ordinary Share
|
180.09p
|
116.84p
|
There are
no dilutive or potentially dilutive shares in issue.
5.
INVESTMENTS AT FAIR VALUE
In
accordance with FRS 102 fair value measurements have been
classified using the fair value hierarchy:
Level 1 -
using unadjusted quoted prices for identical instruments in an
active market;
Level 2 -
using inputs, other than quoted prices included within Level 1,
that are directly or indirectly observable (based on market data);
and
Level 3 -
using inputs that are unobservable (for which market data is
unavailable).
Investments
held at fair value through profit or loss
As
at 31 December 2024
|
Level
1
£’000
|
Level
2
£’000
|
Level
3
£’000
|
Total
£’000
|
Listed
equities
|
1,497,304
|
-
|
-
|
1,497,304
|
Unlisted
equities
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
Total
financial asset investments
|
1,497,304
|
-
|
-
|
1,497,304
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
As at 31
December 2023
|
Level
1
£’000
|
Level
2
£’000
|
Level
3
£’000
|
Total
£’000
|
Listed
equities
|
1,363,980
|
-
|
-
|
1,363,980
|
Unlisted
equities
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
Total
financial asset investments
|
1,363,980
|
-
|
-
|
1,363,980
|
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
------------
|
6.
NET ASSET VALUE PER SHARE
The Net
Asset Value per Share and the net assets attributable to the
Ordinary Shares at the year end are calculated in accordance with
their entitlements in the Articles of Association and were as
follows.
|
31
December 2024
|
31
December 2023
|
Net assets
attributable
|
£1,397,317,000
|
£1,297,227,000
|
Ordinary
Shares in issue at the end of the year
|
83,824,605
|
84,414,605
|
Net Asset
Value per Ordinary Share
|
1,666.95p
|
1,536.73p
|
7.
SHARE CAPITAL
During the
year, the Company bought back and cancelled 590,000 shares (2023:
930,000) at a total cost of £8,371,000 (2023: £11,641,000). During
the period 1 January to 30 January 2025, 520,500 shares have been
bought back for cancellation.
8.
RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS
The
Directors have been identified as related parties and their fees
and shareholdings are detailed in the Directors’ Remuneration
Report on pages 40 and 41 of the Annual Report. During the year no
Director was interested in any contract or other matter requiring
disclosure under section 412 of the Companies Act 2006.
9.
ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES
Alternative
Performance Measures ("APMs") are measures that are not defined by
FRS 102 and FRS 104. The Company believes that APMs, referred to as
‘Key Performance Indicators’ on page 4 of the Annual Report,
provide Shareholders with important information on the Company and
are appropriate for an investment trust company. These APMs are
also a component of reporting to the Board. A glossary of APMs can
be found in the 2024 Annual Report.
10.
FURTHER INFORMATION
The
foregoing do not constitute statutory accounts (as defined in
section 434(3) of the Companies Act 2006) of the Company. The
statutory accounts for the year ended 31 December 2023 which
contained an unqualified Report of the Auditors, have been lodged
with the Registrar of Companies and did not contain a statement
required under section 498(2) or (3) of the Companies Act
2006.
Certain
statements in this announcement are forward looking
statements.
By their
nature, forward looking statements involve a number of risks,
uncertainties or assumptions that could cause actual results or
events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by
those statements.
Forward
looking statements regarding past trends or activities should not
be taken as representation that such trends or activities will
continue in the future.
Accordingly,
undue reliance should not be placed on forward looking
statements.
The Annual
Report is expected to be posted to shareholders by 7 February
2025.
Members of
the public may obtain copies from Aberforth Partners LLP, 14
Melville Street, Edinburgh EH3 7NS or from its website:
www.aberforth.co.uk.
CONTACT:
Euan Macdonald or Jeremy Hall, Aberforth Partners LLP, 0131 220
0733
Aberforth
Partners LLP, Secretaries – 30 January 2025
ANNOUNCEMENT
ENDS