CALGARY,
AB, Aug. 14, 2023 /CNW/ - InPlay Oil Corp.
(TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) ("InPlay" or the "Company") announces its
financial and operating results for the three and six month's ended
June 30, 2023. InPlay's condensed
unaudited interim financial statements and notes, as well as
Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") for the three and
six months ended June 30, 2023 will
be available at "www.sedar.com" and our website at
"www.inplayoil.com". Our corporate presentation will soon be
available on our website.
Second Quarter 2023 Financial & Operating
Highlights
- Realized average quarterly production of
8,474 boe/d(1) (57% light crude oil and NGLs) in
light of significant production restrictions with shut ins
due to the Alberta Wildfires and third party facility restrictions
which also temporarily reduced the Company's liquids yield in the
quarter.
- Generated strong quarterly adjusted funds flow
("AFF")(2) of $21.8
million ($0.25 per basic
share(3)), an increase of 2% from the first quarter of
2023 despite a decrease in production.
- Generated free adjusted funds flow ("FAFF")(3) of
$9.0 million resulting in a 9%
reduction to net debt from March 31,
2023.
- Maintained balance sheet strength with a low net
debt(2) to earnings before interest, taxes and depletion
("EBITDA")(3) ratio of 0.4 on a trailing twelve month
basis, down from 0.5 in the second quarter of 2022, providing the
financial capability to deliver consistent returns to shareholders
with the dividend sustainable through to the end of 2025 in a
stress test price environment of US $55/bbl WTI.
- Returned $4.0 million
($8.0 million in the first six months
of 2023) directly to shareholders through our monthly base
dividend.
- Achieved net income of $4.3
million ($0.05 per basic
share; $0.05 per diluted share).
- Renewed the Company's fully conforming revolving Senior Credit
Facility at $110 million.
Financial and Operating Results:
|
Three months
ended
June 30
|
Six
months ended June
30
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
2023
|
2022
|
Financial (CDN)
($millions)
|
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas
sales
|
39.8
|
71.3
|
85.1
|
123.4
|
Adjusted funds
flow(2)
|
21.8
|
40.9
|
43.1
|
70.3
|
Per
share – basic(4)
|
0.25
|
0.47
|
0.49
|
0.81
|
Per
share – diluted(4)
|
0.24
|
0.45
|
0.47
|
0.77
|
Per
boe(4)
|
28.23
|
49.62
|
27.20
|
44.93
|
Comprehensive
income
|
4.3
|
29.0
|
13.6
|
47.8
|
Per share –
basic
|
0.05
|
0.33
|
0.15
|
0.55
|
Per share
–diluted
|
0.05
|
0.32
|
0.15
|
0.53
|
Capital expenditures –
PP&E and E&E
|
12.8
|
17.8
|
42.4
|
39.4
|
Property acquisitions
(dispositions)
|
-
|
-
|
0.3
|
-
|
Net Corporate
acquisitions(3)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.4
|
Net
debt(2)
|
(41.8)
|
(50.5)
|
(41.8)
|
(50.5)
|
Shares
outstanding
|
88.9
|
87.1
|
88.9
|
87.1
|
Basic weighted-average
shares
|
88.8
|
86.9
|
88.4
|
86.7
|
Diluted
weighted-average shares
|
91.3
|
91.2
|
90.9
|
90.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operational
|
|
|
|
|
Daily production
volumes
|
|
|
|
|
Light and medium crude
oil (bbls/d)
|
3,658
|
3,865
|
3,722
|
3,719
|
Natural gas liquids
(bbls/d)
|
1,187
|
1,333
|
1,322
|
1,320
|
Conventional natural
gas (Mcf/d)
|
21,772
|
23,191
|
22,208
|
21,631
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
8,474
|
9,063
|
8,746
|
8,644
|
Realized
prices(4)
|
|
|
|
|
Light and medium crude
oil & NGLs ($/bbls)
|
78.45
|
116.74
|
79.92
|
107.48
|
Conventional natural
gas ($/Mcf)
|
2.61
|
7.61
|
3.01
|
6.49
|
Total
($/boe)
|
51.56
|
86.44
|
53.74
|
78.90
|
Operating netbacks
($/boe)(3)
|
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas
sales
|
51.56
|
86.44
|
53.74
|
78.90
|
Royalties
|
(4.07)
|
(11.90)
|
(6.82)
|
(11.13)
|
Transportation
expense
|
(0.97)
|
(1.24)
|
(0.94)
|
(1.22)
|
Operating
costs
|
(15.21)
|
(12.28)
|
(14.95)
|
(12.60)
|
Operating netback(3)
|
31.31
|
61.02
|
31.03
|
53.95
|
Realized (loss) on
derivative contracts
|
2.07
|
(6.77)
|
1.01
|
(3.95)
|
Operating netback (including realized derivative
contracts) (3)
|
33.38
|
54.25
|
32.04
|
50.00
|
Second Quarter 2023 Financial & Operations
Overview:
During the second quarter of 2023, InPlay invested $12.8 million drilling, completing and equipping
two (1.9 net) Extended Reach Horizontal ("ERH") wells in
Willesden Green and completing and equipping one (0.95 net)
Willesden Green ERH well that was drilled at the end of the first
quarter. InPlay also completed our first material upgrade of a gas
facility and started a sizable infrastructure project to increase
gas takeaway capacity and alleviate back pressure in Willesden
Green.
Three (2.9 net) Willesden Green ERH wells were brought on
production in June and had average initial production ("IP") rates
per well of 424 boe/d (70% light crude oil and NGLs) over their
first 30 days.
Production for the three months ended June 30, 2023 averaged 8,474 boe/d(1)
(57% light crude oil and NGLs) and was 6% lower compared to the
three months ended June 30, 2022.
Production, as felt by many Canadian producers, was negatively
impacted over the second quarter as a result of several factors.
The third party natural gas processing facility constraints which
began on February 15, 2023, continued
into and throughout the second quarter. Shut ins were
required with our properties in the Drayton Valley area for a
fifteen day period as a result of the Alberta wildfires. Turnarounds occurred at a
number of third party facilities, including a 23 day turnaround at
a large midstream deep-cut facility. Lastly, extended road bans
following Spring breakup resulted in a three week delay in
completion operations and the start of production on a three well
pad. These events had an impact of approximately 1,350 boed over
the second quarter of 2023. The Company's light oil and liquids
weighting of 57% during the second quarter was impacted by the
turnaround of the deep-cut third party NGL facility, resulting in
less NGLs stripped from natural gas production.
Despite these production curtailments experienced in the
quarter, InPlay generated AFF of $21.8
million ($0.25 per basic
share) and FAFF of $9.0 million in
the quarter reducing net debt by 9% from March 31, 2023. Net income of $4.3 million ($0.05
per basic share) was earned during the quarter.
Outlook and Operations Update(5)
InPlay was anticipating stronger crude oil pricing in the second
half of the year. With this favorable pricing outlook now occurring
the Company continues to focus on drilling oil-weighted properties
maximizing our main revenue generating commodity . InPlay began its
third quarter drilling program at the beginning of July by drilling
three (2.85 net) wells in Willesden Green which are currently being
completed and will soon be on production. Drilling operations
recently began on a three (3.0 net) well pad in Pembina, offsetting
two successful high oil weighted wells, drilled in the first
quarter, which are exceeding our internal type curves with average
IP rates per well of 302, 304 and 282 boe/d (85% - 89% light crude
oil and NGLs) over their first 30, 60 and 90 days respectively.
This three well pad is expected to be on production in the
second half of September. Drilling plans for the remainder of the
year include drilling three (2.6 net) wells in Willesden Green.
Construction began on our second significant upgrade and partial
replacement of an operated natural gas plant in Willesden Green
which is expected to be completed in the third quarter. This
upgrade will allow InPlay to continue to expand its operated
natural gas capacity and reduce reliance on third party
infrastructure as the Company continues to develop its Willesden
Green asset. InPlay will continue to prudently allocate its capital
resources and will adjust is capital plans considering commodity
prices, inflationary cost pressures and other aspects impacting our
business.
InPlay's operations and production were impacted in the second
quarter of 2023 by the Alberta
wildfires, delays in getting new wells on production from extended
road-bans, and by third party processing facility constraints and
turnarounds. The third party natural gas facility constraints that
started in February are expected to end in the third quarter with
the natural declines in production and limited natural gas focused
drilling from all parties delivering into this non-operated
facility. There are however other non-operated natural gas plants
and pipeline maintenance shut-ins expected in the second half of
the year. With these factors, InPlay is updating its 2023
annual average production guidance to 9,100 to 9,500 boe/d
(58% - 60% light oil and liquids). At pricing of US $80.00 WTI, which is slightly below current
future pricing, for the remainder of 2023, InPlay now
forecasts 2023 AFF(2) of $103 to $108
million with FAFF(3) of $23 to $33 million.
AFF(2) of $62 million is
forecasted to be generated in the second half of 2023 ($124 million on an annualized basis). The
Company's leverage metrics are forecasted to remain at very low
levels, with net debt to EBITDA(3) forecast to be 0.2x –
0.3x for 2023 supporting the Company's sustainable dividend and
continued strategy of delivering returns to shareholders. The
Company expects its higher return light oil and liquids weighting
to increase throughout the remainder of 2023 as a result of
drilling high oil-weighted properties and the resumption
of NGLs being stripped from gas production at the previously
shutdown NGL facility.
Delivering strong returns to shareholders with the payment of
our monthly dividend of $0.015/share,
generating significant FAFF, top-tier production per debt adjusted
share growth and low leverage all remain top priorities of InPlay.
To date, the Company has returned $12
million to shareholders through dividends since our
inaugural dividend was declared in November
2022, representing approximately 5% of our current market
capitalization while maintaining a strong financial position.
InPlay possesses top-quality assets, supported by a management
team dedicated to providing top-tier returns to shareholders. The
Company is well positioned to continue delivering strong returns to
shareholders with our strong balance sheet position, disciplined
and adaptable capital allocation, and high quality economic asset
base.
We would like to thank our staff, contractors, and suppliers for
their continued dedication and execution, and we thank our Board of
Directors and our shareholders for their continued guidance and
support.
Doug Bartole
President and Chief Executive Officer
InPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632
|
|
Darren Dittmer
Chief Financial Officer
InPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0634
|
Notes:
- See "Production Breakdown by Product Type" at the end of
this press release.
- Capital management measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures" contained within this press
release.
- Non-GAAP financial measure or ratio that does not have a
standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with
the calculations of similar measures for other companies. Please
refer to "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" contained within
this press release.
- Supplementary financial measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures" contained within this press release.
- See "Reader Advisories – Forward Looking Information and
Statements" for key budget and underlying assumptions related to
our previous and updated 2023 capital program and associated
guidance.
Reader Advisories
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Throughout this press release and other materials disclosed by
the Company, InPlay uses certain measures to analyze financial
performance, financial position and cash flow. These non-GAAP and
other financial measures do not have any standardized meaning
prescribed under GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to
similar measures presented by other entities. The non-GAAP and
other financial measures should not be considered alternatives to,
or more meaningful than, financial measures that are determined in
accordance with GAAP as indicators of the Company performance.
Management believes that the presentation of these non-GAAP and
other financial measures provides useful information to
shareholders and investors in understanding and evaluating the
Company's ongoing operating performance, and the measures provide
increased transparency and the ability to better analyze InPlay's
business performance against prior periods on a comparable
basis.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios
Included in this document are references to the terms "free
adjusted funds flow", "operating income", "operating netback per
boe", "operating income profit margin", "Net Debt to EBITDA", "Net
Corporate Acquisitions", "Debt adjusted production per share" and
"EV / DAAFF". Management believes these measures and ratios are
helpful supplementary measures of financial and operating
performance and provide users with similar, but potentially not
comparable, information that is commonly used by other oil and
natural gas companies. These terms do not have any
standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and should not be
considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than "profit
(loss) before taxes", "profit (loss) and comprehensive income
(loss)", "adjusted funds flow", "capital expenditures", "corporate
acquisitions, net of cash acquired", "net debt", "weighted average
number of common shares (basic)" or assets and liabilities as
determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure of the Company's
performance and financial position.
Free Adjusted Funds Flow
Management considers FAFF an important measure to identify the
Company's ability to improve its financial condition through debt
repayment and its ability to provide returns to shareholders. FAFF
should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful
than AFF as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of
the Company's performance. FAFF is calculated by the Company as AFF
less exploration and development capital expenditures and property
dispositions (acquisitions) and is a measure of the cashflows
remaining after capital expenditures before corporate acquisitions
that can be used for additional capital activity, corporate
acquisitions, repayment of debt or decommissioning expenditures or
potentially return of capital to shareholders. Refer below for a
calculation of historical FAFF and to the "Forward Looking
Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast
FAFF.
(thousands of
dollars)
|
Three Months
Ended
June 30
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
Adjusted funds
flow
|
21,768
|
40,922
|
Exploration and dev.
capital expenditures
|
(12,774)
|
(17,850)
|
Property dispositions
(acquisitions)
|
-
|
-
|
Free adjusted funds
flow
|
8,994
|
23,072
|
Operating Income/Operating Netback per boe/Operating Income
Profit Margin
InPlay uses "operating income", "operating netback per boe" and
"operating income profit margin" as key performance indicators.
Operating income is calculated by the Company as oil and natural
gas sales less royalties, operating expenses and transportation
expenses and is a measure of the profitability of operations before
administrative, share-based compensation, financing and other
non-cash items. Management considers operating income an important
measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates
its field level profitability. Operating income should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than net income
as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company's performance. Operating netback per boe is calculated by
the Company as operating income divided by average production for
the respective period. Management considers operating netback per
boe an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as
it demonstrates its field level profitability per unit of
production. Operating income profit margin is calculated by the
Company as operating income as a percentage of oil and natural gas
sales. Management considers operating income profit margin an
important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it
demonstrates how efficiently the Company generates field level
profits from its sales revenue. Refer below for a calculation of
operating income, operating netback per boe and operating income
profit margin.
(thousands of
dollars)
|
Three Months
Ended
June
30
|
Six Months
Ended
June
30
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
2023
|
2022
|
Revenue
|
39,762
|
71,287
|
85,063
|
123,444
|
Royalties
|
(3,137)
|
(9,811)
|
(10,791)
|
(17,410)
|
Operating
expenses
|
(11,731)
|
(10,125)
|
(23,666)
|
(19,713)
|
Transportation
expenses
|
(749)
|
(1,021)
|
(1,492)
|
(1,914)
|
Operating
income
|
24,145
|
50,330
|
49,114
|
84,407
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales volume
(Mboe)
|
771.1
|
824.7
|
1,582.9
|
1,564.6
|
Per
boe
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue
|
51.56
|
86.44
|
53.74
|
78.90
|
Royalties
|
(4.07)
|
(11.90)
|
(6.82)
|
(11.13)
|
Operating expenses
|
(15.21)
|
(12.28)
|
(14.95)
|
(12.60)
|
Transportation expenses
|
(0.97)
|
(1.24)
|
(0.94)
|
(1.22)
|
Operating netback per boe
|
31.31
|
61.02
|
31.03
|
53.95
|
Operating income profit
margin
|
61 %
|
71 %
|
58 %
|
68 %
|
Net Debt to EBITDA
Management considers Net Debt to EBITDA an important measure as
it is a key metric to identify the Company's ability to fund
financing expenses, net debt reductions and other obligations.
EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow before
interest expense. When this measure is presented quarterly, EBITDA
is annualized by multiplying by four. When this measure is
presented on a trailing twelve month basis, EBITDA for the twelve
months preceding the net debt date is used in the calculation. This
measure is consistent with the EBITDA formula prescribed under the
Company's Senior Credit Facility. Net Debt to EBITDA is calculated
as Net Debt divided by EBITDA. Refer below for a calculation of Net
Debt to EBITDA and to the "Forward Looking Information and
Statements" section for a calculation of forecast Net Debt to
EBITDA.
(thousands of
dollars)
|
Twelve Months
Ended
June 30
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
103,563
|
103,007
|
Interest expense
(Credit Facility and other)
|
4,359
|
5,219
|
Interest expense (Lease
liabilities)
|
59
|
23
|
EBITDA
|
107,981
|
108,249
|
Net Debt
|
41,821
|
50,473
|
Net Debt to
EBITDA
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
Net Corporate Acquisitions
Management considers Net corporate acquisitions an important
measure as it is a key metric to evaluate the corporate acquisition
in comparison to other transactions using the negotiated
consideration value and ignoring changes to the fair value of the
share consideration between the signing of the definitive agreement
and the closing of the transaction. Net corporate acquisitions
should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful
than "Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired" as determined
in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's
performance. Net corporate acquisitions is calculated as total
consideration with share consideration adjusted to the value
negotiated with the counterparty, less working capital balances
assumed on the corporate acquisition. Refer below for a calculation
of Net corporate acquisitions and reconciliation to the nearest
GAAP measure, "Corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired".
(thousands of
dollars)
|
Three Months
Ended
June 30
|
Six Months
Ended June 30
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
2023
|
2022
|
Corporate acquisitions,
net of cash acquired
|
-
|
(20)
|
-
|
411
|
Share
consideration
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Non-cash working
capital acquired
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Derivative
contracts
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Net Corporate
acquisitions
|
-
|
(20)
|
-
|
411(1)
|
(1)
|
During the six months
ended June 30, 2022, the acquired amount of Property, plant and
equipment was adjusted by $0.4 million as a result of adjustments
relating to the acquisition of Prairie Storm, with a corresponding
increase in the recognized amounts of Accounts payable and accrued
liabilities.
|
Production per Debt Adjusted Share
InPlay uses "Production per debt adjusted share" as a key
performance indicator. Debt adjusted shares should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than common
shares as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company's performance. Debt adjusted shares is a non-GAAP measure
used in the calculation of Production per debt adjusted share and
is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the
change in net debt divided by the Company's current trading price
on the TSX, converting net debt to equity. Debt adjusted shares
should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful
than weighted average number of common shares (basic) as determined
in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company's
performance. Management considers Debt adjusted share is a key
performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of capital
structure in relation to the Company's peers. Production per debt
adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided
by debt adjusted shares. Management considers Production per
debt adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts
for the effects of changes in annual production in relation to the
Company's capital structure. Refer to the "Forward Looking
Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast
Production per debt adjusted share.
EV / DAAFF
InPlay uses "enterprise value to debt adjusted AFF" or
"EV/DAAFF" as a key performance indicator. EV/DAAFF is calculated
by the Company as enterprise value divided by debt adjusted AFF for
the relevant period. Debt adjusted AFF ("DAAFF") is calculated by
the Company as adjusted funds flow plus financing costs. Enterprise
value is a capital management measures that is used in the
calculation of EV/DAAFF. Enterprise value is calculated as the
Company's market capitalization plus working capital (net debt).
Management considers enterprise value a key performance indicator
as it identifies the total capital structure of the Company.
Management considers EV/DAAFF a key performance indicator as it is
a key metric used to evaluate the sustainability of the Company
relative to other companies while incorporating the impact of
differing capital structures. Refer to the "Forward Looking
Information and Statements" section for a calculation of forecast
EV/DAAFF.
Capital Management Measures
Adjusted Funds Flow
Management considers adjusted funds flow to be an important
measure of InPlay's ability to generate the funds necessary to
finance capital expenditures. Adjusted funds flow is a GAAP measure
and is disclosed in the notes to the Company's financial statements
for the three months ended March 31,
2023. All references to adjusted funds flow throughout this
MD&A are calculated as funds flow adjusting for decommissioning
expenditures and transaction and integration costs. Decommissioning
expenditures are adjusted from funds flow as they are incurred on a
discretionary and irregular basis and are primarily incurred on
previous operating assets. Transaction costs are non-recurring
costs for the purposes of an acquisition, making the exclusion of
these items relevant in Management's view to the reader in the
evaluation of InPlay's operating performance. The Company also
presents adjusted funds flow per share whereby per share amounts
are calculated using weighted average shares outstanding consistent
with the calculation of profit per common share.
Net Debt / Working Capital
Net debt / working capital is a GAAP measure and is disclosed in
the notes to the Company's financial statements for three months
ended March 31, 2023. The Company
closely monitors its capital structure with a goal of maintaining a
strong balance sheet to fund the future growth of the Company. The
Company monitors net debt / working capital as part of its capital
structure. The Company uses net debt / working capital (bank debt
plus accounts payable and accrued liabilities less accounts
receivables and accrued receivables, prepaid expenses and deposits
and inventory) as an alternative measure of outstanding debt.
Management considers net debt / working capital an important
measure to assist in assessing the liquidity of the Company.
Supplementary Measures
"Average realized crude oil price" is comprised of crude
oil commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance
with IFRS, divided by the Company's crude oil production. Average
prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do not
include gains and losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized NGL price" is comprised of NGL
commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with
IFRS, divided by the Company's NGL production. Average prices are
before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains
and losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized natural gas price" is comprised of
natural gas commodity sales from production, as determined in
accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's natural gas
production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation
costs and do not include gains and losses on financial
instruments.
"Average realized commodity price" is comprised of
commodity sales from production, as determined in accordance with
IFRS, divided by the Company's production. Average prices are
before deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains
and losses on financial instruments.
"Adjusted funds flow per weighted average basic share" is
comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the basic weighted
average common shares.
"Adjusted funds flow per weighted average diluted share"
is comprised of adjusted funds flow divided by the diluted weighted
average common shares.
"Adjusted funds flow per boe" is comprised of
adjusted funds flow divided by total production.
Forward-Looking Information and Statements
This news release contains certain forward–looking information
and statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws.
The use of any of the words "expect", "anticipate", "continue",
"estimate", "may", "will", "project", "should", "believe", "plans",
"intends", "forecast" and similar expressions are intended to
identify forward-looking information or statements. In particular,
but without limiting the foregoing, this news release contains
forward-looking information and statements pertaining to the
following: the Company's business strategy, milestones and
objectives; expectations regarding the completion of our three well
drilling program and the timing of the same to come onto
production; the Company's planned 2023 capital program including
wells to be drilled and completed and the timing of the same and
that the operated natural gas plant in Willesden Green is expected
to be online in the third quarter; 2023 guidance based on the
planned capital program and all associated underlying assumptions
set forth in this press release including, without limitation,
forecasts of 2023 annual average production levels, debt adjusted
production levels, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow,
Net Debt/EBITDA ratio, operating income profit margin, and
Management's belief that the Company can grow some or all of these
attributes and specified measures; light crude oil and NGLs
weighting estimates, including the expectation that the light oil
and liquids weighting will increase throughout the remainder of
2023 as a result of drilling high oil-weighted properties and the
resumption of NGLs being stripped from gas production at the
previously shutdown NGL facility; expectations regarding future
commodity prices; future oil and natural gas prices; future
liquidity and financial capacity; future results from operations
and operating metrics; future costs, expenses and royalty rates;
future interest costs; the exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn;
future development, exploration, acquisition, development and
infrastructure activities and related capital expenditures,
including our planned 2023 capital program; the amount and timing
of capital projects; forecasted spending on decommissioning;
expectations regarding third party processing constraints and
maintenance shut ins and the timing and impact of the same;
that the Company has the financial capability to deliver consistent
return to shareholders and the dividend is supportable at a
$55 WTI pricing environment until
2025; that the Company's light oil and NGLs weighting is expected
to continue to increase as the Company is focused on drilling in
areas with higher oil weightings; and methods of funding our
capital program.
Without limitation of the foregoing, readers are cautioned that
the Company's future dividend payments to shareholders of the
Company, if any, and the level thereof will be subject to the
discretion of the Board of Directors of InPlay. The Company's
dividend policy and funds available for the payment of dividends,
if any, from time to time, is dependent upon, among other things,
levels of FAFF, leverage ratios, financial requirements for the
Company's operations and execution of its growth strategy,
fluctuations in commodity prices and working capital, the timing
and amount of capital expenditures, credit facility availability
and limitations on distributions existing thereunder, and other
factors beyond the Company's control. Further, the ability of the
Company to pay dividends will be subject to applicable laws,
including satisfaction of solvency tests under the Business
Corporations Act (Alberta),
and satisfaction of certain applicable contractual restrictions
contained in the agreements governing the Company's outstanding
indebtedness.
Forward-looking statements or information are based on a number
of material factors, expectations or assumptions of InPlay which
have been used to develop such statements and information but which
may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay believes that the
expectations reflected in such forward looking statements or
information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on
forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no assurance
that such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition to
other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein,
assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: the
impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the
economic and political environment in which InPlay operates; the
timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of
InPlay to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a
timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of
the operator of the projects in which InPlay has an interest in to
operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the
ability of InPlay to obtain debt financing on acceptable terms; the
timing and amount of purchases under the Company's NCIB; the
anticipated tax treatment of the monthly base dividend; field
production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and
expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition,
development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline,
storage and facility construction and the ability of InPlay to
secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices;
that various conditions to a shareholder return strategy can be
satisfied; expectations regarding the Russia/Ukraine conflict; currency, exchange and
interest rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and
environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which InPlay
operates; and the ability of InPlay to successfully market its oil
and natural gas products.
The forward-looking information and statements included herein
are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly
relied upon. Such information and statements, including the
assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known and unknown
risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual
results or events to defer materially from those anticipated in
such forward-looking information or statements including, without
limitation: the continuing impact of the Russia/Ukraine conflict; inflation and the risk of a
global recession; changes in our planned 2023 capital program;
changes in our long range plan; changes in our approach to
shareholder returns; changes in commodity prices and other
assumptions outlined herein; the risk that dividend payments may be
reduced, suspended or cancelled; the potential for variation in the
quality of the reservoirs in which we operate; changes in the
demand for or supply of our products; unanticipated operating
results or production declines; changes in tax or environmental
laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters; changes in
development plans or strategies of InPlay or by third party
operators of our properties; changes in our credit structure,
increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate
estimation of our light crude oil and natural gas reserve and
resource volumes; limited, unfavorable or a lack of access to
capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance
coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other risks
detailed from time-to-time in InPlay's continuous disclosure
documents filed on SEDAR including our Annual Information Form and
our MD&A.
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about InPlay's financial and leverage targets and
objectives, InPlay's long-term forecast, and potential dividends,
all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors,
limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the above
paragraphs. The actual results of operations of InPlay and the
resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts set
forth in this press release and such variation may be material.
InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared
on a reasonable basis, reflecting management's reasonable estimates
and judgments. However, because this information is subjective and
subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by
applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to
update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as
of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose
of providing further information about InPlay's anticipated future
business operations and strategy. Readers are cautioned
that the FOFI contained in this press release should not be used
for purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein.
The internal projections, expectations, or beliefs underlying
our Board approved 2023 capital budget and associated guidance, as
well as management's preliminary estimates and targets in respect
of plans for 2024 and beyond (which are not based on Board approved
budgets at this time), are subject to change in light of, among
other factors, the impact of world events including the
Russia/Ukraine conflict, ongoing results, prevailing
economic circumstances, volatile commodity prices, and industry
conditions and regulations. InPlay's financial outlook and guidance
provides shareholders with relevant information on management's
expectations for results of operations, excluding any potential
acquisitions or dispositions, for such time periods based upon the
key assumptions outlined herein. In this document reference is made
to the Company's longer range 2024 and beyond internal plan and
associated economic model. Such information reflects internal
estimates and targets used by management for the purposes of making
capital investment decisions and for internal long range planning
and budget preparation. Readers are cautioned that events or
circumstances could cause capital plans and associated results to
differ materially from those predicted and InPlay's guidance for
2023, and more particularly 2024 and beyond, may not be appropriate
for other purposes. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be
placed on same.
The forward-looking information and statements contained in this
news release speak only as of the date hereof and InPlay does not
assume any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the
included forward-looking statements or information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as
may be required by applicable securities laws.
Risk Factors to FLI
Risk factors that could materially impact successful execution
and actual results of the Company's 2023 capital program and
associated guidance and long-term preliminary plans and estimates
include:
- volatility of petroleum and natural gas prices and inherent
difficulty in the accuracy of predictions related thereto;
- the extent of any unfavourable impacts of wildfires in the
province of Alberta.
- changes in Federal and Provincial regulations;
- the Company's ability to secure financing for the Board
approved 2023 capital program and longer term capital plans sourced
from AFF, bank or other debt instruments, asset sales, equity
issuance, infrastructure financing or some combination thereof;
and
- those additional risk factors set forth in the Company's
MD&A and most recent Annual Information Form filed on
SEDAR
Key Budget and Underlying Material Assumptions to FLI
The key budget and underlying material assumptions used by the
Company in the development of its current and previous 2023
guidance and preliminary estimates are as follows:
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2022
|
Updated
Guidance
FY 2023
|
Previous
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
WTI
|
US$/bbl
|
|
$94.23
|
$77.15
|
$80.00
|
NGL Price
|
$/boe
|
|
$50.14
|
$38.40
|
$45.00
|
AECO
|
$/GJ
|
|
$5.04
|
$2.80
|
$3.10
|
Foreign Exchange
Rate
|
CDN$/US$
|
|
0.77
|
0.75
|
0.73
|
MSW
Differential
|
US$/bbl
|
|
$1.82
|
$2.75
|
$2.85
|
Production
|
Boe/d
|
|
9,105
|
9,100 –
9,500
|
9,500 –
10,000
|
Revenue
|
$/boe
|
|
71.79
|
54.25 –
59.25
|
59.00 –
64.00
|
Royalties
|
$/boe
|
|
11.55
|
6.75 – 8.25
|
8.75 – 10.25
|
Operating
Expenses
|
$/boe
|
|
13.16
|
12.50 –
15.50
|
11.75 –
14.75
|
Transportation
|
$/boe
|
|
1.18
|
0.90 – 1.15
|
1.00 – 1.25
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
|
1.49
|
1.00 – 1.50
|
0.75 – 1.25
|
General and
Administrative
|
$/boe
|
|
2.86
|
2.60 – 3.30
|
2.25 – 2.95
|
Hedging loss
(gain)
|
$/boe
|
|
1.97
|
(0.75) –
(1.25)
|
(0.58) –
(0.82)
|
Decommissioning
Expenditures
|
$ millions
|
|
$3.0
|
$3.5 – $4.0
|
$3.5 – $4.0
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$131
|
$103 – $108
|
$117 – $123
|
Dividends
|
$ millions
|
|
$3
|
$15 – $16
|
$15 – $16
|
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2022
|
Updated
Guidance
FY 2023
|
Previous
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$131
|
$103 – $108
|
$117 – $123
|
Capital
Expenditures
|
$ millions
|
|
$77.6
|
$75 – $80
|
$75 – $80
|
Free Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$53
|
$23 – $33
|
$37 – $48
|
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2022
|
Updated
Guidance
FY 2023
|
Previous
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$131
|
$103 – $108
|
$117 – $123
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
|
1.49
|
1.00 – 1.50
|
0.75 – 1.25
|
EBITDA
|
$ millions
|
|
$136
|
$108 – $113
|
$121 – $127
|
Working Capital (Net
Debt)
|
$ millions
|
|
($33)
|
($31) –
($27)
|
($16) –
($10)
|
Net
Debt/EBITDA
|
|
|
0.2
|
0.2 – 0.3
|
0.0 – 0.2
|
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2022
|
Updated
Guidance
FY 2023
|
Previous
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Production
|
Boe/d
|
|
9,105
|
9,100 –
9,500
|
9,500 –
10,000
|
Opening Working Cap.
(Net Debt)
|
$ millions
|
|
($80.2)
|
($33)
|
($33)
|
Ending Working Cap.
(Net Debt)
|
$ millions
|
|
($33)
|
($31) –
($27)
|
($16) –
($10)
|
Weighted avg.
outstanding shares
|
# millions
|
|
86.9
|
88.7
|
88.7
|
Assumed Share
price
|
$
|
|
3.39(3)
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
Prod. per debt adj.
share growth(2)
|
|
|
51 %
|
0% – 5%
|
10% – 20%
|
|
|
|
Actuals
FY 2022
|
Updated
Guidance
FY 2023
|
Previous
Guidance
FY
2023(1)
|
Share outstanding, end
of year
|
# millions
|
|
87.0
|
89.4
|
89.1
|
Assumed Share
price
|
$
|
|
3.03(4)
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
Market
capitalization
|
$ millions
|
|
$263
|
$246
|
$245
|
Working Capital (Net
Debt)
|
$ millions
|
|
($33)
|
($31) –
($27)
|
($16) –
($10)
|
Enterprise
value
|
$millions
|
|
$296
|
$273 – $277
|
$255 – $261
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$131
|
$103 – $108
|
$117 – $123
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
|
1.49
|
1.00 – 1.50
|
0.75 – 1.25
|
Debt Adjusted
AFF
|
$ millions
|
|
$136
|
$108 – $113
|
$121 – $127
|
EV/DAAFF
|
|
|
2.2
|
2.6 – 2.4
|
2.2 – 2.0
|
The Company's 2024 and 2025 preliminary plans remains the same
as previously released January 18,
2023, with net debt (working capital) updated to reflect the
updated 2023 ending net debt. The 2024 and 2025 preliminary plan
guidance calculations which are impacted by this change are
outlined below.
|
|
|
Updated
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2024(5)
|
Updated
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2025(5)
|
Previous
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2024(1)(5)
|
Previous
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2025(1)(5)
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$138 – $150
|
$144 – $154
|
$138 – $150
|
$144 – $154
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
|
0.00 – 0.10
|
0.00 – 0.10
|
0.00 – 0.10
|
0.00 – 0.10
|
EBITDA
|
$ millions
|
|
$138 – $150
|
$144 – $154
|
$138 – $150
|
$144 – $154
|
Working Capital (Net
Debt)
|
$ millions
|
|
$5 – $17
|
$48 – $59
|
$20 – $32
|
$63 – $74
|
Net
Debt/EBITDA
|
|
|
(0.0) –
(0.2)
|
(0.3) –
(0.5)
|
(0.1) –
(0.3)
|
(0.3) –
(0.5)
|
|
|
|
Updated
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2024(5)
|
Updated
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2025(5)
|
Previous
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2024(1)(5)
|
Previous
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2025(1)(5)
|
Production
|
Boe/d
|
|
10,250 –
11,250
|
10,950 –
11,950
|
10,250 –
11,250
|
10,950 –
11,950
|
Opening Working Cap.
(Net Debt)
|
$ millions
|
|
($30) –
($26)
|
$5 – $17
|
($16) –
($10)
|
$20 – $32
|
Ending Working Cap.
(Net Debt)
|
$ millions
|
|
$5 – $17
|
$48 – $59
|
$20 – $32
|
$63 – $74
|
Weighted avg.
outstanding shares
|
# millions
|
|
89.1
|
89.1
|
89.1
|
89.1
|
Assumed Share
price
|
$
|
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
Prod. per debt adj.
share growth(2)
|
|
|
28% – 48%
|
21% – 39%
|
24% – 44%
|
21% – 39%
|
|
|
|
Updated
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2024(5)
|
Updated
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2025(5)
|
Previous
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2024(1)(5)
|
Previous
Preliminary
Plan
FY
2025(1)(5)
|
Share outstanding, end
of year
|
# millions
|
|
89.4
|
89.4
|
89.1
|
89.1
|
Assumed Share
price
|
$
|
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
Market
capitalization
|
$ millions
|
|
$246
|
$246
|
$245
|
$245
|
Working Capital (Net
Debt)
|
$ millions
|
|
$5 – $17
|
$48 – $59
|
$20 – $32
|
$63 – $74
|
Enterprise
value
|
$millions
|
|
$229 – $241
|
$187 – $198
|
$213 – $225
|
$171 – $182
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$ millions
|
|
$138 – $150
|
$144 – $154
|
$138 – $150
|
$144 – $154
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
|
0.00 – 0.10
|
0.00 – 0.10
|
0.00 – 0.10
|
0.00 – 0.10
|
Debt Adjusted
AFF
|
$ millions
|
|
$138 – $150
|
$144 – $154
|
$138 – $150
|
$144 – $154
|
EV/DAAFF
|
|
|
1.8 – 1.5
|
1.4 – 1.2
|
1.7 – 1.4
|
1.4 – 1.1
|
(1)
|
As previously released
May 12, 2023.
|
(2)
|
Production per debt
adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided
by debt adjusted shares. Debt adjusted shares is calculated by the
Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in working
capital (net debt) divided by the Company's current trading price
on the TSX, converting working capital (net debt) to equity. Future
share prices assumed to be consistent with the current share
price.
|
(3)
|
Weighted average share
price throughout 2022.
|
(4)
|
Ending share price at
December 31, 2022.
|
(5)
|
InPlay's estimates and
plans for 2024 and beyond remain preliminary in nature and do not,
at this time, reflect a Board approved capital expenditure
budget.
|
•
|
See "Production
Breakdown by Product Type" below
|
•
|
Quality and pipeline
transmission adjustments may impact realized oil prices in addition
to the MSW Differential provided above
|
•
|
Changes in working
capital (net debt) are not assumed to have a material impact
between the years presented above.
|
•
|
The assumptions above
do not include potential future purchases through the Company's
NCIB.
|
Test Results and Initial Production Rates
Test results and initial production ("IP") rates disclosed
herein, particularly those short in duration, may not necessarily
be indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery. A
pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not
been carried out and thus certain of the test results provided
herein should be considered to be preliminary until such analysis
or interpretation has been completed.
Production Breakdown by Product Type
Disclosure of production on a per boe basis in this press
release consists of the constituent product types as defined in
NI 51‑101 and their respective quantities disclosed in the
table below:
|
Light and Medium
Crude oil
(bbls/d)
|
NGLs
(boe/d)
|
Conventional
Natural
gas
(Mcf/d)
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
Q2 2022 Average
Production
|
3,865
|
1,333
|
23,191
|
9,063
|
2022 Average
Production
|
3,766
|
1,402
|
23,623
|
9,105
|
Q2 2023 Average
Production
|
3,658
|
1,187
|
21,772
|
8,474
|
2023 Annual Updated
Guidance
|
4,105
|
1,332
|
23,175
|
9,300(1)
|
2023 Annual Prior
Guidance
|
4,250
|
1,468
|
23,445
|
9,625(2)
|
2024 Annual Preliminary
Plan
|
4,655
|
1,565
|
27,180
|
10,750(3)
|
2025 Annual Preliminary
Plan
|
4,900
|
1,685
|
29,190
|
11,450(3)
|
Notes:
- This reflects the mid-point of the Company's 2023 production
guidance range of 9,100 to 9,500 boe/d.
- This reflects forecasted production within the Company's
2023 previous production guidance range of 9,500 to
10,000 boe/d.
- This reflects the mid-point of the Company's annual
production forecast range.
- With respect to forward‑looking production guidance, product
type breakdown is based upon management's expectations based on
reasonable assumptions but are subject to variability based on
actual well results.
References to crude oil, light oil, NGLs or natural gas
production in this press release refer to the light and medium
crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product
types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101,
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("Nl
51-101").
BOE equivalent
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf:
1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value
equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on
the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is
significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1,
utilizing a 6:1 conversion basis may be misleading as an indication
of value.
SOURCE InPlay Oil Corp.