Data Experts Share Super Bowl LIX Predictions through Lens of Next Gen Stats
06 Fevereiro 2025 - 10:00AM
Business Wire
The National Football League announced key predictions and
matchups to watch during the Next Gen Stats Super Bowl LIX Preview,
presented by Zebra Technologies, a global leader in digitizing and
automating frontline workflows and the NFL’s Official Real-Time
Location Solutions Provider. A link to the Feb. 5 press conference
recording can be found here.
Matchup to Watch: The Chiefs Excellent Quick Game Faces Its
Toughest Test
Patrick Mahomes has leaned into the quick game over his last
four games, averaging a 2.50-second time to throw, more than a
third of a second quicker than in Weeks 1-15 (2.87 seconds).
Mahomes led the NFL in both completion percentage (83.6%) and
success rate (60.9%) on quick passes during the regular season, his
fourth season of his career eclipsing a 60% success rate. Only five
other quarterbacks have reached that mark on quick passes in a
season during the Next Gen Stats era (since 2016). Matchup: The
Eagles allowed the fewest yards per attempt (5.5) against quick
passes this season while facing the 3rd-quickest time to throw
overall (2.69 seconds).
Matchup to Watch: A.J. Brown vs the Chiefs Press
Coverage
A.J. Brown recorded a 37.3% target rate and averaged 3.5 yards
per route when facing press coverage (less than 3 yards of cushion)
this season, both of which are the highest marks among receivers
with at least 100 routes against press. Matchup: The Chiefs defense
aligned their outside cornerbacks in press on 51.5% of snaps this
season, the highest rate in the NFL. In Super Bowl LVII, Brown
faced press 18 times, tied for his most routes vs press in a game
since joining the Eagles in 2022 (including playoffs). Brown was
targeted 5 times on those 18 routes, totaling 92 yards and a
touchdown.
Insights on How Next Gen Stats are Captured by Zebra to Track
Player Performance
Since 2015, Zebra’s RFID solution has fueled the NFL’s Next Gen
Stats which provides insights about individual and team
performances. In addition to tracking every football, Zebra
MotionWorks™ tracking solution leverages RFID technology to capture
the real-time location data, speed, acceleration and other metrics
of every player for every play on every inch of the football
field.
“RFID is at the center of our football technology integration,”
said Troy Vincent, Sr., Executive Vice President, NFL Football
Operations. “The evolution of the data has exponentially expedited
improvements in game-day experiences and our ability to measure
player performance. The data also provides a greater understanding
of the entire football ecosystem, benefitting players, coaches,
officials, broadcasters and fans.”
Sensors throughout each NFL stadium track RFID tags placed in
the footballs and players’ shoulder pads, charting individual
movements within inches. Enhancing the fan experience on game
broadcasts and in stadiums, the data is utilized by coaches to
prepare for games, the League Office to study the impact of rule
changes, and in many other ways around the NFL.
“We are proud of our work with the NFL over the past decade to
provide the League, teams and fans with data that takes them inside
the game,” said Joe White, Chief Product & Solutions Officer.
“As a global leader in location solutions, we provide similar
real-time insights and solutions retailers, manufacturers,
healthcare providers, and transportation and logistics companies to
help improve their operational visibility and the ultimate
performance of their frontlines.”
What to Watch for When the Chiefs Have the Ball
The Chiefs enter the Super Bowl having won an NFL-record 17
straight one possession games. While the Chiefs recorded the
6th-most offensive plays (1128) this season, they had just 169
total possessions, tied for the 2nd-fewest in the NFL. Key to the
Chiefs ability to sustain long drives is Patrick Mahomes’ ability
on third and long to extend plays and push the ball past the
sticks, a skill that he has maintained his entire career.
PATRICK MAHOMES ON THIRD AND
LONG (7+ YARDS)
TIME TO THROW
PAST STICKS RATE
SCRAMBLE RATE
CONVERSION
2024 Season:
3.51 seconds (3rd longest)
60.0% (2nd)
11.0% (5th)
37.8% (2nd)
Career (since 2018):
3.72 seconds (longest)
59.7% (1st)
8.1% (6th)
36.5% (1st)
What to Watch for When the Eagles Have the Ball
The Eagles will look to establish the run as they have all
season-long, especially if they can maintain a lead. They were the
only offense to call a run play on the majority of their plays this
season. The Eagles will aim to build up an early lead and then
allow Saquon Barkley to close out the game behind their mauling
offensive line. If the Chiefs can force the Eagles into a negative
game script, that could spell trouble for Jalen Hurts as the Chiefs
generated 58 unblocked pressures this season, 3rd-most in the NFL.
Across three career matchups, Hurts has faced unblocked pressure at
twice the rate against the Chiefs compared to all other
defenses.
JALEN HURTS UNBLOCKED PRESSURE
RATE (CAREER)
JALEN HURTS CAREER RECORD BY
UNBLOCKED PRESSURES
vs Chiefs: 16.8%
All Other Defenses:
8.0%
5-or-More: 7-7
Less than 4: 44-15
ABOUT ZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES
Zebra (NASDAQ: ZBRA) provides the tools to help businesses grow
with asset visibility, connected frontline workers and intelligent
automation. The company operates in more than 100 countries, and
our customers include over 80% of the Fortune 500. Designed for the
frontline, Zebra’s award-winning portfolio includes hardware,
software, and services, all backed by our 50+ years of innovation
and global partner ecosystem. Follow Zebra on our blog and
LinkedIn, visit our newsroom and learn more at www.zebra.com.
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250206917649/en/
MEDIA CONTACTS: Alex Riethmiller, NFL,
Alex.Riethmiller@nfl.com, (954) 599-4154 Therese Van Ryne,
Zebra Technologies, therese.vanryne@zebra.com, (847) 370-2317
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