Persimmon Sees Opportunities in U.K. Housing Despite Brexit--Update
05 Julho 2016 - 11:14AM
Dow Jones News
By Olga Cotaga
(Add analyst comment, share prices.)
LONDON--Persimmon PLC (PSN.LN) said long-term demand in the U.K.
housing market continues to provide opportunities, as it reported a
12% rise in first-half revenue to 1.49 billion pounds ($2.18
billion), even as shares in the sector declined following the
Brexit vote.
The U.K. house-builder, which doesn't have any London exposure
at all, said on Tuesday that it sold 7,238 new homes in the first
half at an average price of GBP205,500, an increase of 6% for
both.
The builder sold more homes thanks to strong consumer confidence
and low borrowing costs, it said. First-quarter mortgage approvals
were 18% higher than in the previous year, Persimmon said, adding
that approvals during April and May also rose from last year,
despite a period of increasing uncertainty leading up to the U.K.'s
referendum on European Union membership in June.
Still, house-builders' shares fell on Tuesday, as investors
reacted to Standard Life Investments' decision to suspend trading
for its GBP2.9 billion U.K. commercial real-estate fund.
On Monday, trading in the fund for commercial real estate
including office, retail and warehouse properties, as well as its
associated feeder fund, was halted after a number of investors
pulled their money out in the wake of the Brexit vote.
Investors may be incorrectly interpreting the decision by
Standard Life, said Anthony Codling, Jefferies' house-building
analyst. Mr. Codling pointed out that the fund deals in commercial
rather than residential property.
On Tuesday, Aviva PLC (AV.LN) also said it was suspending
dealing in its property market fund, citing "extraordinary market
circumstances."
Persimmon's shares fell as much as 7.6% to 1,326 pence. Peers
such as Taylor Wimpey PLC (TW.LN), Barratt Developments PLC
(BDEV.LN), and Berkeley Group Holdings PLC (BKG.LN), also took hits
on Tuesday. Their shares fell as much as 3.8%, 6.9% and 6.5%
respectively.
The decline in shares is also caused by investors worrying about
house-builders being unable to fulfill dividend obligations, said
Mr. Codling. Investors are concerned about a reduction in housing
transactions as the U.K. leaves the European Union, and therefore
about house prices falling, he said.
Jefferies recommends holding the builder's shares, with a target
share price of 1,669 pence.
In February, Persimmon increased the total value of capital to
be returned to shareholders by GBP860 million, or GBP2.80 a share,
to GBP2.76 billion, or GBP9 a share, to be paid between 2012 and
2021.
Mr. Codling said Persimmon has the flexibility, financial
strength and landbank length to continue with its cash-return plan,
and he continues to believe that the company's dividends are
"strongly underpinned."
At June 30, Persimmon held GBP462 million of cash, compared with
GBP278 million a year earlier.
Analysts from Liberum Capital encouraged buying house-builders'
shares, saying they see "value in the sector" even though the
industry is "only for the brave" right now.
"We think that shares across the sector have over-reacted since
the EU referendum, if our central case proves roughly right," said
Charlie Campbell, Liberum's house-building analyst.
Liberum also recommends holding Persimmon stock, with a target
share price of 1,486 pence.
Persimmon shares at 1240 GMT were down by 5.7% at 1,353 pence,
valuing the company at GBP4.17 billion.
Write to Olga Cotaga at olga.cotaga@wsj.com, Twitter
@OlgaCotaga
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 05, 2016 09:59 ET (13:59 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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