The payment at maturity will be greater than the $1,000 stated principal
amount per security only if the basket performance is greater than zero, subject to the maximum payment amount, and equal to or less than
the $1,000 stated principal amount per security if the basket performance is equal to or less than zero, subject to the minimum payment
amount. The supplemental redemption amount will be calculated on the determination date as follows:
Under no circumstances will the payment at maturity be greater than
the maximum payment amount of $1,250 per security (125.00% of the stated principal amount) or less than the minimum payment amount of
$978 per security (97.80% of the stated principal amount).
The table below illustrates the payment at maturity for each security
(including, where relevant, the supplemental redemption amount) for a hypothetical range of basket performances and does not cover the
complete range of possible payouts at maturity.
Below is an example of how to calculate the payment at maturity if the
basket has appreciated. This example is based on the participation rate of 100% and the hypothetical data in the table below. The
initial and final basket commodity prices below are hypothetical and do not reflect the actual initial or final basket commodity price
for any basket commodity. The numbers appearing below may have been rounded for ease of analysis. As the basket
has appreciated in value, the basket performance is positive and the payment at maturity includes a supplemental redemption amount based
on the performance of the basket.
[(final WTI crude oil price – initial WTI
crude oil price) / initial WTI crude oil price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final Brent crude oil price – initial Brent crude oil price) / initial Brent crude oil price] × 12.50%;
plus
[(final natural gas price – initial natural gas price) / initial natural gas price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final corn price – initial corn price) / initial corn price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final soybeans price – initial soybeans price) / initial soybeans price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final wheat price – initial wheat price) / initial wheat price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final copper price – initial copper price) / initial copper price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final zinc price – initial zinc price) / initial zinc price] × 12.50%
Below is an example of how to calculate the payment at maturity if the
basket has appreciated. This example is based on the participation rate of 100% and the hypothetical data in the table below. The
initial and final basket commodity prices below are hypothetical and do not reflect the actual initial or final basket commodity price
for any basket commodity. The numbers appearing below may have been rounded for ease of analysis. In this example,
although six basket components have depreciated or remained unchanged over the term of the securities, the appreciation of the other two
components is great enough to mean that the basket has appreciated in value. As a result, the basket performance is positive
and the payment at maturity includes a supplemental redemption amount based on the performance of the basket.
[(final WTI crude oil price – initial WTI
crude oil price) / initial WTI crude oil price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final Brent crude oil price – initial Brent crude oil price) / initial Brent crude oil price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final natural gas price – initial natural gas price) / initial natural gas price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final corn price – initial corn price) / initial corn price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final soybeans price – initial soybeans price) / initial soybeans price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final wheat price – initial wheat price) / initial wheat price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final copper price – initial copper price) / initial copper price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final zinc price – initial zinc price) / initial zinc price] × 12.50%
which equals
basket performance = 8.75%
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
In the above example, the final basket commodity price of each of the
basket components except for wheat and copper is lower than its respective initial basket commodity price. Accordingly, although
the final basket commodity prices of 75% of the basket commodities (by weight) have decreased in value over their respective initial basket
commodity prices, the final basket commodity prices of the other 25% (by weight) of the basket have increased and, because they have increased
significantly, their increase more than offsets the declines in the other basket commodities and, consequently, the basket performance
is positive. The payment at maturity per security will equal $1,000 plus the supplemental redemption amount; or:
The payment at maturity will equal $1,000 plus the supplemental
redemption amount. The supplemental redemption amount will equal (i) $1,000 times (ii) the participation rate times (iii) the
basket performance, or:
$1,000 ×
100.00% × 8.75% = $87.50
The payment at maturity will equal $1,000 plus the supplemental redemption
amount, or:
$1,000 + $87.50
= $1,087.50
Basket Appreciation Example 3
Below is an example of how to calculate the payment at maturity if the
basket has appreciated. This example is based on the participation rate of 100% and the hypothetical data in the table below. The
initial and final basket commodity prices below are hypothetical and do not reflect the actual initial or final basket commodity price
for any basket commodity. The numbers appearing below may have been rounded for ease of analysis. As the basket
has appreciated in value, the basket performance is positive and the payment at maturity includes a supplemental redemption amount based
on the performance of the basket, subject to the maximum payment amount.
Basket commodity
|
Weight in Basket
|
Hypothetical
Initial basket commodity price
|
Hypothetical
Final basket commodity price
|
Percentage
Change
|
WTI crude oil |
12.50% |
$100 |
$180 |
80% |
Brent crude oil |
12.50% |
$100 |
$90 |
-10% |
Natural gas |
12.50% |
$7.00 |
$5.25 |
-25% |
Corn |
12.50% |
800¢ |
1,440¢ |
80% |
Soybeans |
12.50% |
1,600¢ |
1,520¢ |
-5% |
Wheat |
12.50% |
1,000¢ |
1,600¢ |
60% |
Copper |
12.50% |
$10,000 |
$18,000 |
80% |
Zinc |
12.50% |
$2,000 |
$1,800 |
-10% |
|
|
|
|
|
Basket performance = sum
of the products of (x) the final basket commodity price for each basket commodity minus the initial basket commodity price for
such basket commodity divided by the initial basket commodity price of such basket commodity and (y) the basket commodity weighting
for such basket commodity:
[(final WTI crude oil price – initial WTI
crude oil price) / initial WTI crude oil price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final Brent crude oil price – initial Brent crude oil price) / initial Brent crude oil price] × 12.50%;
plus
[(final natural gas price – initial natural gas price) / initial natural gas price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final corn price – initial corn price) / initial corn price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final soybeans price – initial soybeans price) / initial soybeans price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final wheat price – initial wheat price) / initial wheat price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final copper price – initial copper price) / initial copper price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final zinc price – initial zinc price) / initial zinc price] × 12.50%
So, using the final basket
commodity prices above:
WTI crude oil = [($180 - $100) / $100] × 12.50% = 10.00%; plus
Brent crude oil = [($90 - $100) / $100] × 12.50% = -1.25%; plus
Natural gas = [($5.25 - $7.00) / $7.00] × 12.50% = -3.125%;
plus
corn = [(1,520¢ - 800¢) / 800¢] × 12.50% = 10.00%;
plus
soybeans = [(1,520¢ - 1,600¢) / 1,600¢] × 12.50% = -0.625%;
plus
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
wheat = [(1,600¢
- 1,000¢) / 1,000¢] × 12.50% = 7.50%; plus
copper = [($18,000 - $10,000) / $10,000] × 12.50% = 10.00%; plus
zinc = [($1,800 – $2,000) / $2,000] × 12.50% = -1.25%
which equals
basket performance =
31.25%
The payment at maturity will equal the lesser of:
(i) $1,000 plus the supplemental redemption
amount = $1,000 + ($1,000 × 100.00% ×
31.25%) = $1,312.50
and
(ii) maximum payment amount
= $1,250
The payment at maturity will equal the maximum payment amount, or:
$1,000 + $250
= $1,250.00
Basket Depreciation Example
If the basket performance is less than or equal to 0%, investors would
receive an amount less than (or equal to) the $1,000 stated principal amount, based on a 1% loss of principal for each 1% decrease in
the value of the basket, subject to the minimum payment amount of $978 per security. Investors may lose up to 2.20% of the stated principal
amount of the securities. Below is an example of a scenario in which the basket performance is less than 0% based on the hypothetical
data in the table below. The initial and final basket commodity prices below are hypothetical and do not reflect the actual
initial or final basket commodity price for any basket commodity. The numbers appearing below may have been rounded for ease
of analysis.
Basket commodity
|
Weight in Basket
|
Hypothetical
Initial basket commodity price
|
Hypothetical
Final basket commodity price
|
Percentage
Change
|
WTI crude oil |
12.50% |
$100 |
$90 |
-10% |
Brent crude oil |
12.50% |
$100 |
$90 |
-10% |
Natural gas |
12.50% |
$7 |
$5.60 |
-20% |
Corn |
12.50% |
800¢ |
600¢ |
-25% |
Soybeans |
12.50% |
1,600¢ |
1,440¢ |
-10% |
Wheat |
12.50% |
1,000¢ |
850¢ |
-15% |
Copper |
12.50% |
$10,000 |
$9,000 |
-10% |
Zinc |
12.50% |
$2,000 |
$1,800 |
-10% |
|
|
|
|
|
Basket performance = sum
of the products of (x) the final basket commodity price for each basket commodity minus the initial basket commodity price for
such basket commodity divided by the initial basket commodity price of such basket commodity and (y) the basket commodity weighting
for such basket commodity:
[(final WTI crude oil price – initial WTI
crude oil price) / initial WTI crude oil price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final Brent crude oil price – initial Brent crude oil price) / initial Brent crude oil price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final natural gas price – initial natural gas price) / initial natural gas price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final corn price – initial corn price) / initial corn price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final soybeans price – initial soybeans price) / initial soybeans price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final wheat price – initial wheat price) / initial wheat price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final copper price – initial copper price) / initial copper price] × 12.50%; plus
[(final zinc price – initial zinc price) / initial zinc price] × 12.50%
So, using the final basket
commodity prices above:
WTI crude oil = [($90 - $100) / $100] × 12.50% = -1.25%; plus
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
Brent crude oil = [($90
- $100) / $100] × 12.50% = -1.25%; plus
Natural gas = [($5.60 - $7.00) / $7.00] × 12.50% = -2.50%; plus
corn = [(600¢ - 800¢) / 800¢] × 12.50% = -3.125%; plus
soybeans = [(1,440¢ - 1,600¢) / 1,600¢] × 12.50% = -1.25%; plus
wheat = [(850¢ - 1,000¢) / 1,000¢] × 12.50% = -1.875%; plus
copper = [($9,000 - $10,000) / $10,000] × 12.50% = -1.25%; plus
zinc = [($1,800 – $2,000) / $2,000] × 12.50% = -1.25%
which equals
basket performance =
-13.75%
In the above example, the final commodity price of each of the basket
components is lower than its respective initial basket commodity price and the basket performance is negative. The payment
at maturity will equal the minimum payment amount of $978. In this example, investors lose 2.20% of the stated principal amount of the
securities.
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
Risk Factors
This section describes the material risks relating to the securities. For
further discussion of these and other risks, you should read the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the accompanying prospectus
supplement and prospectus. We also urge you to consult your investment, legal, tax, accounting and other advisers in connection
with your investment in the securities.
Risks Relating to an Investment in the Securities
| § | The securities do not pay interest and provide for a minimum
payment amount of only 97.80% of principal. The terms of the securities differ from those of ordinary debt securities
in that the securities do not pay interest and provide for a minimum payment amount of only 97.80% of principal at maturity. If, on the
determination date, the basket performance is less than zero, the payout at maturity will be an amount in cash that is less than the $1,000
stated principal amount of each security by an amount proportionate to the decrease in the value of the basket, subject to the minimum
payment amount of $978 per security (97.80% of the stated principal amount). You could lose up to 2.20% of your investment
in the securities. |
| § | The appreciation potential of
the securities is limited by the maximum payment amount. The appreciation potential of the securities is limited by the maximum payment
amount of $1,250 per security, or 125% of the stated principal amount. Because the payment at maturity will be limited to 125% of the
stated principal amount for the securities, any increase in the basket performance by more than 25% will not further increase the return
on the securities. Therefore, investors will not participate in any further appreciation of the basket, which may be significant. |
| § | The market price of the securities may be influenced by
many unpredictable factors. Several factors, many of which are beyond our control, will influence the value of the securities in the
secondary market and the price at which we or certain of our affiliates, including Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC (“MS & Co.”),
may be willing to purchase or sell the securities in the secondary market, including: the price of each of the basket commodities at any
time and, in particular, on the valuation date, the volatility (frequency and magnitude of changes in value) of each of the basket commodities,
interest and yield rates in the market, geopolitical conditions and economic, financial, political, regulatory or judicial events that
affect the basket commodities or commodities markets in general and which may affect the final basket commodity prices of the basket commodities,
trends of supply and demand for the basket commodities, as well as the effects of speculation or any government activity that could affect
the commodities markets, the time remaining until the securities mature and any actual or anticipated changes in our credit ratings or
credit spreads. In addition, the commodities markets are subject to temporary distortions or other disruptions due to various factors,
including lack of liquidity, participation of speculators and government intervention. As a result, the market value of the securities
will vary and may be less than the original issue price at any time prior to maturity and sale of the securities prior to maturity may
result in a loss. |
| § | The securities are subject to our credit risk, and any
actual or anticipated changes to our credit ratings or credit spreads may adversely affect the market value of the securities. You
are dependent on our ability to pay all amounts due on the securities at maturity and therefore you are subject to our credit risk. If
we default on our obligations under the securities, your investment would be at risk and you could lose some or all of your investment.
As a result, the market value of the securities prior to maturity will be affected by changes in the market’s view of our creditworthiness.
Any actual or anticipated decline in our credit ratings or increase in the credit spreads charged by the market for taking our credit
risk is likely to adversely affect the market value of the securities. |
| § | As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations
and will have no independent assets. As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations beyond the issuance and
administration of its securities and will have no independent assets available for distributions to holders of MSFL securities if they
make claims in respect of such securities in a bankruptcy, resolution or similar proceeding. Accordingly, any recoveries by
such holders will be limited to those available under the related guarantee by Morgan Stanley and that guarantee will rank pari passu
with all other unsecured, unsubordinated obligations of Morgan Stanley. Holders will have recourse only to a single claim
against Morgan Stanley and its assets under the guarantee. Holders of securities issued by MSFL should accordingly assume that
in any such proceedings they would not have any priority over and should be treated pari passu with the claims of other unsecured,
unsubordinated creditors of Morgan Stanley, including holders of Morgan Stanley-issued securities. |
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
| § | The amount payable on the securities is not linked to
the price of the basket commodities at any time other than the determination date. The final basket commodity price for
each basket commodity will be the commodity price for such basket commodity on the determination date, subject to postponement for non-trading
days and certain market disruption events. Even if the prices of the basket commodities appreciate prior to the determination
date but then drop by the determination date, the payment at maturity will be less, and may be significantly less, than it would have
been had the payment at maturity been linked to the price of the basket commodities prior to such drop. Although the actual
prices of the basket commodities on the stated maturity date or at other times during the term of the securities may be higher than the
final commodity prices, the payment at maturity will be based solely on the commodity prices on the determination date. |
| § | The rate we are willing to pay for securities of this
type, maturity and issuance size is likely to be lower than the rate implied by our secondary market credit spreads and advantageous to
us. Both the lower rate and the inclusion of costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities
in the original issue price reduce the economic terms of the securities, cause the estimated value of the securities to be less than the
original issue price and will adversely affect secondary market prices. Assuming no change in market conditions or any
other relevant factors, the prices, if any, at which dealers, including MS & Co., may be willing to purchase the securities in secondary
market transactions will likely be significantly lower than the original issue price, because secondary market prices will exclude the
issuing, selling, structuring and hedging-related costs that are included in the original issue price and borne by you and because the
secondary market prices will reflect our secondary market credit spreads and the bid-offer spread that any dealer would charge in a secondary
market transaction of this type as well as other factors. |
The inclusion of the costs of issuing, selling, structuring
and hedging the securities in the original issue price and the lower rate we are willing to pay as issuer make the economic terms of the
securities less favorable to you than they otherwise would be.
| § | The estimated value of the securities is determined by
reference to our pricing and valuation models, which may differ from those of other dealers and is not a maximum or minimum secondary
market price. These pricing and valuation models are proprietary and rely in part on subjective views of certain market
inputs and certain assumptions about future events, which may prove to be incorrect. As a result, because there is no market-standard
way to value these types of securities, our models may yield a higher estimated value of the securities than those generated by others,
including other dealers in the market, if they attempted to value the securities. In addition, the estimated value on the pricing
date does not represent a minimum or maximum price at which dealers, including MS & Co., would be willing to purchase your securities
in the secondary market (if any exists) at any time. The value of your securities at any time after the date of this document will vary
based on many factors that cannot be predicted with accuracy, including our creditworthiness and changes in market conditions. See
also “The market price will be influenced by many unpredictable factors” above. |
| § | Investing in the securities is not equivalent to investing
in the basket commodities or in futures contracts or forward contracts on the basket commodities. By purchasing the securities,
you do not purchase any entitlement to any of the basket commodities or futures contracts or forward contracts on any of the basket commodities. Further,
by purchasing the securities, you are taking credit risk to us and not to any counter-party to futures contracts or forward contracts
on the basket commodities. |
| § | The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange
and secondary trading may be limited. Accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities for the entire term of the securities. The
securities will not be listed on any securities exchange. Therefore, there may be little or no secondary market for the securities. MS
& Co. may, but is not obligated to, make a market in the securities and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at
any time. When it does make a market, it will generally do so for transactions of routine secondary market size at prices based on its
estimate of the current value of the securities, taking into account its bid/offer spread, our credit spreads, market volatility, the
notional size of the proposed sale, the cost of unwinding any related hedging positions, the time remaining to maturity and the likelihood
that it will be able to resell the securities. Even if there is a secondary market, it may not provide enough liquidity to
allow you to trade or sell the securities easily. Since other broker-dealers may not participate significantly in the secondary
market for the securities, the price at which you may be able to trade your securities is likely to depend on the price, if any, at which
MS & Co. is willing to transact. If, at any time, MS & Co. were to cease making a market in the securities, it is likely
that there would be no secondary market for the securities. Accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities to maturity. |
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
| § | The calculation agent, which is a subsidiary of Morgan
Stanley and an affiliate of MSFL, will make determinations with respect to the securities. As calculation agent, Morgan
Stanley Capital Group Inc. (“MSCG”) will determine the initial basket commodity price, the final basket commodity price and
the commodity performance value for each basket commodity, the basket performance, the supplemental redemption amount, if any, and whether
a market disruption event has occurred. Additionally, the calculation agent will calculate the amount of cash you will receive
at maturity. Moreover, certain determinations made by MSCG, in its capacity as calculation agent, may require it to exercise
discretion and make subjective judgments, such as with respect to the occurrence or non-occurrence of market disruption events or calculation
of any commodity price in the event of a market disruption event. These potentially subjective determinations may adversely affect the
payout to you at maturity. For further information regarding these types of determinations, see “Payment at Maturity—Calculation
Agent and Calculations” and “—Alternate Exchange Calculation in the Case of an Event of Default” and related definitions
in the accompanying prospectus supplement. In addition, MS & Co. has determined the estimated value of the securities on
the pricing date. |
| § | Hedging and trading activity by our affiliates could potentially
adversely affect the value of the securities. One or more of our affiliates and/or third-party dealers expect to carry
out hedging activities related to the securities (and possibly to other instruments related or linked to the basket commodities), including
trading in the basket commodities or futures contracts or forward contracts on the basket commodities. As a result, these entities
may be unwinding or adjusting hedge positions during the term of the securities, and the hedging strategy may involve greater and more
frequent dynamic adjustments to the hedge as the determination date approaches. Some of our affiliates also trade the basket
commodities on a regular basis as part of their general broker-dealer, commodity trading, proprietary trading and other businesses. |
Any of these hedging or trading activities on or prior to
the pricing date could potentially increase the initial basket commodity prices and, therefore, could increase the prices at or above
which the basket commodities must close on the determination date so that you do not lose some of your investment at maturity. Additionally,
such hedging or trading activities during the term of the securities, including on the determination date, could adversely affect the
basket commodity prices on the determination date and, accordingly, the amount of cash you will receive at maturity.
Risks Relating to the Basket Components
| § | Changes in the price of one or more of the basket commodities
may offset each other. Price movements in the basket commodities may not correlate with each other. At a time
when the price of one basket commodity increases, the price of the other basket commodities may not increase as much, or may even decline. Therefore,
in calculating the performance of the basket commodities on the determination date, increases in the price of one basket commodity may
be moderated, or wholly offset, by lesser increases or declines in the price of the other basket commodities. |
| § | Specific commodities’ prices are volatile and are
affected by numerous factors specific to each market. Investments, such as the securities, linked to the prices of commodities,
such as the basket commodities, are subject to sharp fluctuations in the prices of commodities over short periods of time for a variety
of factors, including the principal factors set out below: |
WTI crude oil. Demand for refined petroleum
products by consumers, as well as by the agricultural, manufacturing and transportation industries, affects the price of crude oil. Crude
oil’s end-use as a refined product is often as transport fuel, industrial fuel and in-home heating fuel. Potential for
substitution in most areas exists, although considerations including relative cost often limit substitution levels. Because
the precursors of demand for petroleum products are linked to economic activity, demand will tend to reflect economic conditions. Demand
is also influenced by government regulations, such as environmental or consumption policies. In addition to general economic
activity and demand, prices for crude oil are affected by political events, labor activity, developments in production technology such
as fracking and, in particular, direct government intervention (such as embargos) or supply disruptions in major oil producing regions
of the world. Such events tend to affect oil prices worldwide, regardless of the location of the event. Supply for
crude oil may increase or decrease depending on many factors. These include production decisions by the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries and other crude oil producers. In the event of sudden disruptions in the supplies of oil, such
as those caused by war, natural events, accidents, acts of terrorism or cyberattacks, prices of oil futures contracts could become extremely
volatile and unpredictable. Also, sudden and dramatic changes in the futures market may occur, for example, upon a
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
cessation of hostilities that may exist in countries producing
oil, the introduction of new or previously withheld supplies into the market or the introduction of substitute products or commodities. WTI
crude oil is also subject to the risk that it has demonstrated a lack of correlation with world crude oil prices due to structural differences
between the U.S. market for crude oil and the international market for crude oil. As a result, the price of WTI crude oil may
be more volatile than world crude oil prices generally.
In addition, the prices of WTI crude oil futures contracts
may be near zero, zero or negative, which can occur rapidly and unexpectedly. For example, in April 2020, a collapse of demand
for fuel contributed to an oversupply of crude oil that rapidly filled most available oil storage facilities. Storage shortages
meant that market participants that had contracted to buy and take delivery of crude oil were at risk of default under the terms of the
May 2020 NYMEX WTI crude oil futures contract. The scarcity of storage resulted in some market participants selling their futures
contracts at a negative price (effectively paying another market participant to accept delivery of the crude oil referenced by the relevant
contracts). As a result, for the first time in history, crude oil futures contracts traded below zero. On April
20, 2020, the last trading day before expiration of the May 2020 WTI crude oil futures contract, prices of that contract fell to negative
$37.63. See “Basket Overview.”
Brent crude oil. Demand for refined petroleum products
by consumers, as well as by the agricultural, manufacturing and transportation industries, affects the price of crude oil. Crude
oil’s end-use as a refined product is often as transport fuel, industrial fuel and in-home heating fuel. Potential for
substitution in most areas exists, although considerations including relative cost often limit substitution levels. Because
the precursors of demand for petroleum products are linked to economic activity, demand will tend to reflect economic conditions. Demand
is also influenced by government regulations, such as environmental or consumption policies. In addition to general economic
activity and demand, prices for crude oil are affected by political events, labor activity, developments in production technology such
as fracking and, in particular, direct government intervention (such as embargos) or supply disruptions in major oil producing regions
of the world. Such events tend to affect oil prices worldwide, regardless of the location of the event. Supply for
crude oil may increase or decrease depending on many factors. These include production decisions by the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries and other crude oil producers. In the event of sudden disruptions in the supplies of oil, such
as those caused by war, natural events, accidents, acts of terrorism or cyberattacks, prices of oil futures contracts could become extremely
volatile and unpredictable. Also, sudden and dramatic changes in the futures market may occur, for example, upon a cessation
of hostilities that may exist in countries producing oil, the introduction of new or previously withheld supplies into the market or the
introduction of substitute products or commodities. The price of Brent crude oil futures has experienced very
severe price fluctuations over the recent past and there can be no assurance that this extreme price volatility will not continue in the
future. See “Basket Overview.”
Natural gas. Natural gas is used primarily for residential
and commercial heating and in the production of electricity. Natural gas has also become an increasingly popular source of energy in the
United States, both for consumers and industry. However, because natural gas can be used as a substitute for coal and oil in certain circumstances,
the price of coal and oil influence the price of natural gas. The level of global industrial activity influences the demand for natural
gas. The demand for natural gas has traditionally been cyclical, with higher demand during the winter months and lower demand during relatively
warmer summer months. Seasonal temperatures in countries throughout the world can also heavily influence the demand for natural gas. The
world’s supply of natural gas is concentrated in the former Soviet Union, the Middle East, Europe and Africa. In general, the supply
of natural gas is based on competitive market forces. Inadequate supply at any one time leads to price increases, which signal to production
companies the need to increase the supply of natural gas to the market. The ability of production companies to supply natural gas, however,
is dependent on a number of factors. Factors that affect the short term supply of natural gas include the availability of skilled workers
and equipment, permitting and well development, as well as weather and delivery disruptions (e.g., hurricanes, labor strikes and wars).
In addition, production companies face more general barriers to their ability to increase the supply of natural gas, including access
to land, the expansion of pipelines and the financial environment. These factors, which are not exhaustive, are interrelated and can have
complex and unpredictable effects on the supply for, and the price of, natural gas.
Corn. The demand for corn is in part linked to the
development of industrial and energy uses for corn. This includes the use of corn in the production of ethanol. The demand for corn is
also affected by the production and profitability of the pork and poultry sectors, which use corn for feed. Negative developments in those
industries may lessen the demand for corn. For example, if avian flu were to have a negative effect on world poultry markets,
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the demand for corn might decrease. The supply of corn is
dependent on many factors including weather patterns, government regulation, the price of fuel and fertilizers and the current and previous
price of corn. The United States is the world’s largest supplier of corn, followed by China and Brazil. The supply of corn is particularly
sensitive to weather patterns in the United States and China. In addition, technological advances could lead to increases in worldwide
production of corn and corresponding decreases in the price of corn.
Soybeans. Demand for soybeans is in part linked to
the development of agricultural, industrial and energy uses for soybeans. In addition, prices for soybeans are affected by governmental
programs and policies regarding agriculture and trade specifically, and trade, fiscal and monetary issues, more generally. Soybean prices
are also affected by extrinsic factors such as weather, crop yields, natural disasters, pestilence, technological developments, wars and
political and civil upheavals. Soy biodiesel, animal agriculture, vegetable oil, edible soybean oil and new industrial uses are examples
of major areas that may impact worldwide soybean demand. In addition, substitution of other commodities for soybeans could also impact
the price of soybeans. The supply of soybeans is particularly sensitive to weather patterns such as floods, drought and freezing conditions,
planting decisions and the price of fuel, seeds and fertilizers. In addition, technological advances and scientific developments could
lead to increases in worldwide production of soybeans and corresponding decreases in the price of soybeans. The United States, Argentina
and Brazil are the three largest suppliers of soybean crops.
Wheat. Wheat prices are primarily affected by weather
and crop growing conditions generally and the global demand for and supply of grain, which are driven by global grain production, population
growth and economic activity. Demand for wheat is in part linked to the development of agricultural, industrial and energy uses for wheat
including the use of wheat for the production of animal feed and bioethanol, which may have a major impact on worldwide demand for wheat.
In addition, prices for wheat are affected by governmental and intergovernmental programs and policies regarding trade, agriculture, and
energy and, more generally, regarding fiscal and monetary issues. Wheat prices may also be influenced by or dependent on retail prices,
social trends, lifestyle changes and market power. Substitution of other commodities for wheat could also impact the price of wheat. The
supply of wheat is particularly sensitive to weather patterns such as floods, drought and freezing conditions, planting decisions, the
price of fuel, seeds and fertilizers and the current and previous price of wheat. In addition, technological advances and scientific developments
could lead to increases in worldwide production of wheat and corresponding decreases in the price of wheat. Extrinsic factors affecting
wheat prices include natural disasters, pestilence, wars and political and civil upheavals. China, India and the United States are the
three largest suppliers of wheat crops.
Copper. Demand for copper is significantly
influenced by the level of global industrial economic activity. Industrial sectors which are particularly important to demand
for copper include the electrical and construction sectors. In recent years demand has been supported by strong consumption
from newly industrializing countries due to their copper-intensive economic growth and infrastructure development. An additional,
but highly volatile, component of demand is adjustments to inventory in response to changes in economic activity and/or pricing levels. There
are substitutes for copper in various applications. Their availability and price will also affect demand for copper. The
main sources of copper are mines in Latin America and Eastern Europe and copper is refined mainly in Latin America, Australia and Asia. The
supply of copper is also affected by current and previous price levels, which will influence investment decisions in new smelters. In
previous years, copper supply has been affected by strikes, financial problems and terrorist activity. It is not possible to
predict the aggregate effect of all or any combination of these factors. See “Basket Overview.”
Zinc. Demand for zinc is significantly influenced
by the level of global industrial economic activity. The galvanized steel industrial sector is particularly important to demand for zinc
given that the use of zinc in the manufacture of galvanized steel accounts for a significant percentage of worldwide zinc demand.
The galvanized steel sector is in turn heavily dependent on the automobile and construction sectors. Growth in the production of galvanized
steel will drive zinc demand. An additional, but highly volatile, component of demand is adjustments to inventory in response to changes
in economic activity and/or pricing levels. The supply of zinc concentrate (the raw material) is dominated by Australia, North America
and Latin America. The supply of zinc is also affected by current and previous price levels, which will influence investment decisions
in new mines and smelters.
Additionally, recently, prior to and since Russia’s
further invasion of Ukraine, the prices of oil and wheat, including the prices of WTI crude oil futures contracts, Brent crude
oil futures contracts and wheat futures contracts, have been volatile and increased significantly. This conflict has led to disruptions
in the supply of oil and the supply of
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wheat and caused fluctuations in the price of oil and the
price of wheat, and changing geopolitical conditions and political events in Europe, the Middle East and elsewhere are likely to cause
continued volatility in the price of oil and the price of wheat. In addition, on March 8, 2022, the U.S. Government issued an executive
order banning the import of Russian oil to the United States. The U.S. Congress has also passed legislation to ban imports of Russian
oil. These actions, and similar governmental, regulatory or legislative actions in the United States or in other jurisdictions, including,
without limitation, sanctions-related actions by the U.S. or foreign governments, could cause prices of oil futures contracts and wheat
futures contracts to become even more volatile and unpredictable. Any of these developments could adversely affect the price of WTI crude
oil futures, Brent crude oil futures and wheat futures, and, therefore, the value of the securities and the payment at maturity.
| § | Suspensions or disruptions of market trading in commodity
and related futures markets may adversely affect the price of the securities. The commodity markets are subject to temporary
distortions or other disruptions due to various factors, including the lack of liquidity in the markets, the participation of speculators
and government regulation and intervention. In addition, U.S. futures exchanges and some foreign exchanges have regulations
that limit the amount of fluctuation in futures contract prices which may occur during a single business day. These limits
are generally referred to as “daily price fluctuation limits” and the maximum or minimum price of a contract on any given
day as a result of these limits is referred to as a “limit price.” Once the limit price has been reached in a particular
contract, no trades may be made at a different price. Limit prices have the effect of precluding trading in a particular contract
or forcing the liquidation of contracts at disadvantageous times or prices. These circumstances could adversely affect the
prices of some of the basket commodities and, therefore, the value of the securities. |
| § | There are risks relating to the trading of metals on the
London Metal Exchange. The official cash offer price of copper is determined by reference to the per unit U.S. dollar cash
offer prices of contracts traded on the London Metal Exchange, which we refer to as the LME. The LME is a principals’
market which operates in a manner more closely analogous to the over-the-counter physical commodity markets than regulated futures markets. For
example, there are no daily price limits on the LME, which would otherwise restrict the extent of daily fluctuations in the prices of
LME contracts. In a declining market, therefore, it is possible that prices would continue to decline without limitation within
a trading day or over a period of trading days. In addition, a contract may be entered into on the LME calling for delivery
on any day from one day to three months following the date of such contract and for monthly delivery in any of the next 16 to 24 months
(depending on the commodity) following such third month, in contrast to trading on futures exchanges, which call for delivery in stated
delivery months. As a result, there may be a greater risk of a concentration of positions in LME contracts on particular delivery
dates, which in turn could cause temporary aberrations in the prices of LME contracts for certain delivery dates. If such aberrations
occur on any determination date, the per unit U.S. dollar cash offer prices used to determine the official cash offer price of copper,
and consequently, your payment at maturity, if any, could be adversely affected. |
| § | An investment linked to commodity futures contracts is
not equivalent to an investment linked to the spot prices of physical commodities. The securities have returns based on
the change in price of futures contracts on WTI crude oil, Brent crude oil, natural gas, corn, soybeans and wheat, not the change in the
spot price of actual physical commodities to which such futures contracts relate. The price of a futures contract reflects
the expected value of the commodity upon delivery in the future, whereas the price of a physical commodity reflects the value of such
commodity upon immediate delivery, which is referred to as the spot price. Several factors can result in differences between
the price of a commodity futures contract and the spot price of a commodity, including the cost of storing such commodity for the length
of the futures contract, interest costs related to financing the purchase of such commodity and expectations of supply and demand for
such commodity. While the changes in the price of a futures contract are usually correlated with the changes in the spot price,
such correlation is not exact. In some cases, the performance of a commodity futures contract can deviate significantly from
the spot price performance of the related underlying commodity, especially over longer periods of time. Accordingly, investments
linked to the return of commodities futures contracts may underperform similar investments that reflect the spot price return on physical
commodities. |
| § | Differences between futures prices and the spot prices
of the physical commodities which, in part, compose the basket may decrease the amount payable at maturity. The commodity
prices that are used to determine the initial basket commodity prices and the final basket commodity prices for the physical commodities
which, in part, compose the basket and, therefore, the payment at maturity on the securities are determined by reference to the settlement
prices of the first nearby month futures contract for each such commodity on the pricing date and determination date, respectively, provided
that if such date falls on the last trading day of such futures contract, then |
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the second nearby month futures contract on such date, and
will not therefore reflect the spot prices of such physical commodities on such dates. The market for futures contracts on the basket
commodities has experienced periods of backwardation, in which futures prices are lower than the spot price, and periods of contango,
in which futures prices are higher than the spot price. If the contract for any basket commodity is in contango on the pricing
date or in backwardation on the determination date, the payment at maturity payable, if any, on the maturity date, may be less than if
the initial commodity price or the final commodity price for such basket commodity, respectively, were determined with reference to the
spot price.
| § | Legal and regulatory changes could adversely affect the
return on and value of the securities. Futures contracts and options on futures contracts, including those related to the
basket commodities, are subject to extensive statutes, regulations, and margin requirements. The Commodity Futures Trading
Commission, commonly referred to as the “CFTC,” and the exchanges on which such futures contracts trade, are authorized to
take extraordinary actions in the event of a market emergency, including, for example, the retroactive implementation of speculative position
limits or higher margin requirements, the establishment of daily limits and the suspension of trading. Furthermore, certain
exchanges have regulations that limit the amount of fluctuations in futures contract prices that may occur during a single five-minute
trading period. These limits could adversely affect the market prices of relevant futures and options contracts and forward
contracts. The regulation of commodity transactions in the U.S. is subject to ongoing modification by government and judicial
action. In addition, various non-U.S. governments have expressed concern regarding the disruptive effects of speculative trading
in the commodity markets and the need to regulate the derivative markets in general. The effect on the value of the securities
of any future regulatory change is impossible to predict, but could be substantial and adverse to the interests of holders of the securities. |
For example, the Dodd-Frank Act, which was enacted on July
21, 2010, requires the CFTC to establish limits on the amount of positions that may be held by any person in certain commodity futures
contracts and swaps, futures and options that are economically equivalent to such contracts. While the effects of these or
other regulatory developments are difficult to predict, when adopted, such rules may have the effect of making the markets for commodities,
commodity futures contracts, options on futures contracts and other related derivatives more volatile and over time potentially less liquid. Such
restrictions may force market participants, including us and our affiliates, or such market participants may decide, to sell their positions
in such futures contracts and other instruments subject to the limits. If this broad market selling were to occur, it would
likely lead to declines, possibly significant declines, in commodity prices, in the price of such commodity futures contracts or instruments
and potentially, the value of the securities.
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Basket Overview
The basket is an equally-weighted basket composed of eight commodities.
Basket commodity information as of May 19, 2022 |
Basket Commodity |
Bloomberg Ticker Symbol* |
Current Price |
52 Weeks Ago |
52 Week High |
52 Week Low |
Weighting |
WTI crude oil |
CL1 |
$112.21 |
$63.36 |
$123.70 (on 3/8/2022) |
$62.05 (on 5/20/2021) |
12.50% |
Brent crude oil |
CO1 |
$112.04 |
$66.66 |
$127.98 (on 3/8/2022) |
$65.11 (on 5/20/2021) |
12.50% |
Natural gas |
NG1 |
$8.3080 |
$2.9640 |
$8.7830 (on 5/5/2022) |
$2.8860 (on 5/24/2021) |
12.50% |
Corn |
C 1 |
783.25¢ |
658.25¢ |
818.25¢ (on 4/29/2022) |
495.75¢ (on 9/7/2021) |
12.50% |
Soybeans |
S 1 |
1,690.50¢ |
1,538.25¢ |
1,748.25¢ (on 4/21/2022) |
1,178.00¢ (on 11/8/2021) |
12.50% |
Wheat |
W 1 |
1,200.50¢ |
679.25¢ |
1,425.25¢ (on 3/7/2022) |
608.50¢ (on 7/9/2021) |
12.50% |
Copper |
LOCADY |
$9,287.00 |
$10,114.50 |
$10,730.00 (on 3/7/2022) |
$8,775.50 (on 8/19/2021) |
12.50% |
Zinc |
LOZSDY |
$3,647.50 |
$2,969.00 |
$4,530.00 (on 4/19/2022) |
$2,832.00 (on 6/21/2021) |
12.50% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* Bloomberg ticker symbols are being provided for reference purposes
only. The initial basket commodity price and the final basket commodity price for each basket commodity will be determined
based on the values published by the relevant exchange and, notwithstanding the Bloomberg ticker symbols provided for reference purposes
above, such prices (in the case of WTI crude oil, Brent crude oil, natural gas, corn, soybeans and wheat) may be based on the second nearby
month futures contract, as further described under “Commodity price” on page 2.
The following graph is calculated to show the performance of the basket
during the period from January 1, 2017 through May 19, 2022, assuming the basket commodities are weighted as set out above, and illustrates
the effect of the offset and/or correlation among the basket commodities during such period. The graph does not attempt to
show your expected return on an investment in the securities. You cannot predict the future performance of any basket commodity
or of the basket as a whole, or whether increases in the price of any basket commodity will be offset by decreases in the prices of the
other basket commodities. The historical performance of the basket and the degree of correlation between the price trends of
the basket commodities (or lack thereof) should not be taken as an indication of its future performance.
Historical Basket Performance
January 1, 2017 through May 19,
2022
|
|
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The following graphs set forth the daily prices for each of the basket
commodities for each quarter in the period from January 1, 2017 through May 19, 2022. The related tables set forth the published
high and low, as well as end-of-quarter, prices for each respective basket commodity for the same period. The commodity prices
on May 19, 2022 were, in the case of WTI crude oil, $112.21, in the case of Brent crude oil, $112.04, in the case of Natural gas, $8.3080,
in the case of Corn – CBOT, 783.25¢, in the case of Soybeans – CBOT 1,690.50¢, in the case of Wheat – CBOT,
1,200.50¢, in the case of copper, $9,287.00 and in the case of Zinc, $3,647.50. We obtained the information in the graphs
and tables from Bloomberg Financial Markets, without independent verification. The historical prices and historical performance
of the basket commodities should not be taken as an indication of future performance.
Daily Prices of WTI Crude Oil
January 1, 2017 to May 19, 2022 |
|
|
WTI Crude Oil (in U.S. dollars) |
High ($) |
Low($) |
Period End ($) |
2017 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
54.45 |
47.34 |
50.60 |
Second Quarter |
53.40 |
42.53 |
46.04 |
Third Quarter |
52.22 |
44.23 |
51.67 |
Fourth Quarter |
60.42 |
49.29 |
60.42 |
2018 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
66.14 |
59.19 |
64.94 |
Second Quarter |
74.15 |
62.06 |
74.15 |
Third Quarter |
74.14 |
65.01 |
73.25 |
Fourth Quarter |
76.41 |
42.53 |
45.41 |
2019 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
60.14 |
46.54 |
60.14 |
Second Quarter |
66.30 |
51.14 |
58.47 |
Third Quarter |
62.90 |
51.09 |
54.07 |
Fourth Quarter |
61.72 |
52.45 |
61.06 |
2020 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
63.27 |
20.09 |
20.48 |
Second Quarter |
40.46 |
-37.63 |
39.27 |
Third Quarter |
43.39 |
36.76 |
40.22 |
Fourth Quarter |
49.10 |
35.79 |
48.52 |
2021 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
66.09 |
47.62 |
59.16 |
Second Quarter |
74.05 |
58.65 |
73.47 |
Third Quarter |
75.45 |
62.32 |
75.03 |
Fourth Quarter |
84.65 |
65.57 |
75.21 |
2022 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
123.70 |
76.08 |
100.28 |
Second Quarter (through May 19, 2022) |
114.20 |
94.29 |
112.21 |
The prices of WTI crude oil futures contracts may be near zero, zero
or negative, which can occur rapidly and unexpectedly. In April 2020, crude oil futures contracts traded below zero. See
“Risk Factors—Specific commodities’ prices are volatile and are affected by numerous factors specific to each market—WTI
crude oil.”
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Daily Prices of Brent Crude Oil
January 1, 2017 to May 19, 2022 |
|
|
Brent Crude Oil (in U.S. dollars) |
High ($) |
Low ($) |
Period End ($) |
2017 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
57.10 |
50.56 |
52.83 |
Second Quarter |
56.23 |
44.82 |
47.92 |
Third Quarter |
59.02 |
46.71 |
57.54 |
Fourth Quarter |
67.02 |
55.62 |
66.87 |
2018 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
70.53 |
62.59 |
70.27 |
Second Quarter |
79.80 |
67.11 |
79.44 |
Third Quarter |
82.72 |
70.76 |
82.72 |
Fourth Quarter |
86.29 |
50.47 |
53.80 |
2019 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
68.50 |
54.91 |
68.39 |
Second Quarter |
74.57 |
59.97 |
66.55 |
Third Quarter |
69.02 |
56.23 |
60.78 |
Fourth Quarter |
68.44 |
57.69 |
66.00 |
2020 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
68.91 |
22.74 |
22.74 |
Second Quarter |
43.08 |
19.33 |
41.15 |
Third Quarter |
45.86 |
39.61 |
40.95 |
Fourth Quarter |
52.26 |
37.46 |
51.80 |
2021 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
69.63 |
51.09 |
63.54 |
Second Quarter |
76.18 |
62.15 |
75.13 |
Third Quarter |
79.53 |
65.18 |
78.52 |
Fourth Quarter |
86.40 |
68.87 |
77.78 |
2022 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
127.98 |
78.98 |
107.91 |
Second Quarter (through May 19, 2022) |
114.24 |
98.48 |
112.04 |
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Daily Prices of Natural Gas
January 1, 2017 to May 19, 2022 |
|
|
Natural Gas (in U.S. dollars) |
High ($) |
Low ($) |
Period End ($) |
2017 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
3.4190 |
2.5640 |
3.1900 |
Second Quarter |
3.4240 |
2.8930 |
3.0350 |
Third Quarter |
3.1460 |
2.7740 |
3.0070 |
Fourth Quarter |
3.2130 |
2.5980 |
2.9530 |
2018 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
3.6310 |
2.5520 |
2.7330 |
Second Quarter |
3.0220 |
2.6560 |
2.9240 |
Third Quarter |
3.0820 |
2.7210 |
3.0080 |
Fourth Quarter |
4.8370 |
2.9400 |
2.9400 |
2019 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
3.5910 |
2.5510 |
2.6620 |
Second Quarter |
2.7080 |
2.1850 |
2.3080 |
Third Quarter |
2.6810 |
2.0700 |
2.3300 |
Fourth Quarter |
2.8620 |
2.1580 |
2.1890 |
2020 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
2.2020 |
1.6020 |
1.6400 |
Second Quarter |
2.1340 |
1.4820 |
1.7510 |
Third Quarter |
2.6570 |
1.6410 |
2.5270 |
Fourth Quarter |
3.3540 |
2.3050 |
2.5390 |
2021 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
3.2190 |
2.4460 |
2.6080 |
Second Quarter |
3.6500 |
2.4560 |
3.6500 |
Third Quarter |
5.8670 |
3.5960 |
5.8670 |
Fourth Quarter |
6.3120 |
3.5610 |
3.7300 |
2022 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
6.2650 |
3.7170 |
5.6420 |
Second Quarter (through May 19, 2022) |
8.7830 |
5.7120 |
8.3080 |
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Daily Prices of Corn
January 1, 2017 to May 19, 2022 |
|
|
Corn (in U.S. cents) |
High (¢) |
Low (¢) |
Period End (¢) |
2017 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
378.75 |
353.75 |
364.25 |
Second Quarter |
387.75 |
356.75 |
370.50 |
Third Quarter |
392.25 |
329.50 |
355.25 |
Fourth Quarter |
353.75 |
335.75 |
350.75 |
2018 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
387.75 |
346.25 |
387.75 |
Second Quarter |
408.50 |
345.00 |
350.25 |
Third Quarter |
372.25 |
330.25 |
356.25 |
Fourth Quarter |
385.50 |
356.00 |
375.00 |
2019 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
383.00 |
352.50 |
356.50 |
Second Quarter |
454.75 |
342.50 |
420.25 |
Third Quarter |
449.50 |
340.75 |
388.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
397.75 |
357.75 |
387.75 |
2020 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
393.75 |
335.25 |
340.75 |
Second Quarter |
338.50 |
302.75 |
338.50 |
Third Quarter |
379.00 |
307.75 |
379.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
484.00 |
379.50 |
484.00 |
2021 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
565.00 |
483.75 |
564.25 |
Second Quarter |
772.75 |
553.25 |
720.00 |
Third Quarter |
719.75 |
495.75 |
536.75 |
Fourth Quarter |
614.75 |
512.25 |
593.25 |
2022 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
764.50 |
587.50 |
748.75 |
Second Quarter (through May 19, 2022) |
818.25 |
735.00 |
783.25 |
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Daily Prices of Soybeans
January 1, 2017 to May 19, 2022 |
|
|
Soybeans (in U.S. cents) |
High (¢) |
Low (¢) |
Period End (¢) |
2017 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
1,075.00 |
946.00 |
946.00 |
Second Quarter |
976.25 |
904.00 |
942.25 |
Third Quarter |
1,025.25 |
921.75 |
968.25 |
Fourth Quarter |
1,008.50 |
945.75 |
951.75 |
2018 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
1,066.75 |
940.50 |
1,044.75 |
Second Quarter |
1,060.75 |
858.50 |
858.50 |
Third Quarter |
903.75 |
814.00 |
845.50 |
Fourth Quarter |
920.00 |
833.50 |
882.50 |
2019 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
925.25 |
877.75 |
884.25 |
Second Quarter |
915.50 |
791.00 |
899.75 |
Third Quarter |
906.75 |
843.25 |
906.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
943.00 |
870.50 |
943.00 |
2020 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
944.25 |
821.75 |
886.00 |
Second Quarter |
884.25 |
826.00 |
884.25 |
Third Quarter |
1,043.50 |
870.25 |
1,023.50 |
Fourth Quarter |
1,315.25 |
1,020.75 |
1,315.25 |
2021 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
1,441.25 |
1,311.75 |
1,436.75 |
Second Quarter |
1,660.50 |
1,329.75 |
1,450.00 |
Third Quarter |
1,467.75 |
1,256.00 |
1,256.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
1,362.50 |
1,178.00 |
1,328.75 |
2022 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
1,718.75 |
1,344.00 |
1,618.25 |
Second Quarter (through May 19, 2022) |
1,748.25 |
1,582.75 |
1,690.50 |
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
Daily Prices of Wheat
January 1, 2017 to May 19, 2022 |
|
|
Wheat (in U.S. cents) |
High (¢) |
Low (¢) |
Period End (¢) |
2017 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
454.75 |
406.50 |
426.50 |
Second Quarter |
511.00 |
402.50 |
511.00 |
Third Quarter |
539.25 |
400.00 |
448.25 |
Fourth Quarter |
448.00 |
387.25 |
427.00 |
2018 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
505.50 |
416.50 |
451.00 |
Second Quarter |
543.00 |
446.25 |
497.50 |
Third Quarter |
574.50 |
469.75 |
509.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
535.25 |
487.25 |
503.25 |
2019 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
527.25 |
422.25 |
457.75 |
Second Quarter |
547.50 |
418.50 |
528.00 |
Third Quarter |
536.25 |
447.25 |
495.75 |
Fourth Quarter |
558.75 |
488.75 |
558.75 |
2020 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
581.50 |
498.00 |
568.75 |
Second Quarter |
556.50 |
474.00 |
490.00 |
Third Quarter |
578.00 |
489.50 |
578.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
640.75 |
563.75 |
640.50 |
2021 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
680.25 |
601.75 |
618.00 |
Second Quarter |
773.50 |
611.00 |
671.50 |
Third Quarter |
762.25 |
608.50 |
725.50 |
Fourth Quarter |
856.00 |
718.75 |
770.75 |
2022 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
1,425.25 |
741.50 |
1,006.00 |
Second Quarter (through May 19, 2022) |
1,277.50 |
984.50 |
1,200.50 |
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
Daily Prices of Copper
January 1, 2017 to May 19, 2022 |
|
|
Copper (in U.S. dollars) |
High ($) |
Low ($) |
Period End ($) |
2017 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
6,145.00 |
5,500.50 |
5,849.00 |
Second Quarter |
5,907.50 |
5,466.00 |
5,907.50 |
Third Quarter |
6,904.00 |
5,780.00 |
6,485.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
7,216.00 |
6,447.00 |
7,157.00 |
2018 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
7,202.50 |
6,500.00 |
6,685.00 |
Second Quarter |
7,262.50 |
6,625.00 |
6,646.00 |
Third Quarter |
6,595.00 |
5,823.00 |
6,180.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
6,325.00 |
5,931.50 |
5,965.00 |
2019 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
6,572.00 |
5,811.00 |
6,485.00 |
Second Quarter |
6,509.00 |
5,756.00 |
5,972.00 |
Third Quarter |
6,066.00 |
5,537.00 |
5,728.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
6,211.00 |
5,599.00 |
6,156.00 |
2020 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
6,300.50 |
4,617.50 |
4,797.00 |
Second Quarter |
6,038.00 |
4,772.00 |
6,038.00 |
Third Quarter |
6,837.00 |
6,016.50 |
6,610.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
7,964.00 |
6,409.50 |
7,741.50 |
2021 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
9,614.50 |
7,755.50 |
8,850.50 |
Second Quarter |
773.50 |
611.00 |
671.50 |
Third Quarter |
9,781.00 |
8,775.50 |
9,041.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
10,652.00 |
9,091.50 |
9,692.00 |
2022 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
10,730.00 |
9,565.00 |
10,337.00 |
Second Quarter (through May 19, 2022) |
10,426.00 |
9,018.00 |
9,287.00 |
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
Daily Prices of Zinc
January 1, 2017 to May 19, 2022 |
|
|
Zinc (in U.S. dollars) |
High ($) |
Low ($) |
Period End ($) |
2017 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
2,971.00 |
2,530.00 |
2,782.50 |
Second Quarter |
2,777.00 |
2,434.50 |
2,754.00 |
Third Quarter |
3,217.00 |
2,737.00 |
3,217.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
3,370.00 |
3,094.00 |
3,309.00 |
2018 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
3,618.00 |
3,215.00 |
3,332.00 |
Second Quarter |
3,284.50 |
2,895.00 |
2,948.00 |
Third Quarter |
2,915.00 |
2,287.00 |
2,573.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
2,740.00 |
2,506.00 |
2,510.50 |
2019 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
3,000.00 |
2,462.00 |
3,000.00 |
Second Quarter |
3,018.00 |
2,518.00 |
2,580.50 |
Third Quarter |
2,546.00 |
2,211.00 |
2,377.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
2,595.00 |
2,221.50 |
2,293.00 |
2020 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
2,466.50 |
1,773.50 |
1,867.50 |
Second Quarter |
2,073.00 |
1,843.00 |
2,056.50 |
Third Quarter |
2,554.00 |
2,007.50 |
2,413.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
2,841.50 |
2,298.00 |
2,723.50 |
2021 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
2,894.50 |
2,539.00 |
2,795.00 |
Second Quarter |
3,063.50 |
2,754.50 |
2,945.50 |
Third Quarter |
3,110.00 |
2,912.00 |
3,015.00 |
Fourth Quarter |
3,815.00 |
2,999.00 |
3,630.00 |
2022 |
|
|
|
First Quarter |
4,260.00 |
3,535.00 |
4,260.00 |
Second Quarter (through May 19, 2022) |
4,530.00 |
3,500.00 |
3,647.50 |
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
Additional Terms of the Securities
Please read this information in conjunction with the summary terms on
the front cover of this document.
If the terms described herein are inconsistent with those described in the accompanying prospectus supplement or prospectus, the terms described herein shall control. |
Postponement of
maturity date:
|
If, due to a market disruption event or otherwise, the date for determining the final basket commodity price of any basket commodity is postponed so that it falls less than two business days prior to the scheduled maturity date, the maturity date will be postponed to the second business day following the final date by which the final basket commodity price for all basket commodities has been determined. |
Denominations: |
$1,000 per security and integral multiples thereof |
Interest: |
None |
Trustee: |
The Bank of New York Mellon |
Calculation agent: |
Morgan Stanley Capital Group Inc. (“MSCG”) and its successors |
Issuer notice to registered security holders, the trustee and the depositary: |
In the event that the maturity date is postponed due to a market disruption
event with respect to any basket commodity on the scheduled determination date or otherwise, the issuer shall give notice of such postponement
and, once it has been determined, of the date to which the maturity date has been rescheduled (i) to each registered holder of the securities
by mailing notice of such postponement by first class mail, postage prepaid, to such registered holder’s last address as it shall
appear upon the registry books, (ii) to the trustee by facsimile confirmed by mailing such notice to the trustee by first class mail,
postage prepaid, at its New York office and (iii) to The Depository Trust Company (the “depositary”) by telephone or facsimile,
confirmed by mailing such notice to the depositary by first class mail, postage prepaid. Any notice that is mailed to a registered
holder of the securities in the manner herein provided shall be conclusively presumed to have been duly given to such registered holder,
whether or not such registered holder receives the notice. The issuer shall give such notice as promptly as possible, and in
no case later than (i) with respect to notice of postponement of the maturity date, the business day immediately preceding the scheduled
maturity date, and (ii) with respect to notice of the date to which the maturity date has been rescheduled, the business day immediately
following the actual date by which the final basket commodity price for each basket commodity has been determined.
The issuer shall, or shall cause the calculation agent to, (i) provide
written notice to the trustee, on which notice the trustee may conclusively rely, and to the depositary of the amount of cash, if any,
to be delivered with respect to the securities, on or prior to 10:30 a.m. (New York City time) on the business day preceding the maturity
date, and (ii) deliver the aggregate cash amount due with respect to the securities, if any, to the trustee for delivery to the depositary,
as holder of the securities, on the maturity date.
|
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
Additional Information About the Securities
Minimum ticketing size: |
$1,000 / 1 security |
Tax considerations: |
In the opinion of our counsel, Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP, the securities
should be treated as “contingent payment debt instruments” for U.S. federal income tax purposes, as described in the section
of the accompanying prospectus supplement called “United States Federal Taxation—Tax Consequences to U.S. Holders.”
Under this treatment, if you are a U.S. taxable investor, you generally will be subject to annual income tax based on the “comparable
yield” (as defined in the accompanying prospectus supplement) of the securities, adjusted upward or downward to reflect the difference,
if any, between the actual and projected amount of the payments on the securities. The comparable yield will be determined
on the pricing date and may be significantly higher or lower than the comparable yield if the securities were priced on the date hereof. The
comparable yield and the projected payment schedule (or information about how to obtain them) will be provided in the final pricing supplement. In
addition, any gain recognized by U.S. taxable investors on the sale or exchange, or at maturity, of the securities generally will be treated
as ordinary income.
You should read the discussion under “United States Federal Taxation”
in the accompanying prospectus supplement concerning the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities.
The comparable yield and the projected payment schedule will not
be provided for any purpose other than the determination of U.S. Holders’ accruals of interest income and adjustments thereto in
respect of the securities for U.S. federal income tax purposes, and we make no representation regarding the actual amount of the payments
that will be made on the securities.
If you are a non-U.S. investor, please also read the section of the
accompanying prospectus supplement called “United States Federal Taxation—Tax Consequences to Non-U.S. Holders.”
In addition, Section 871(m) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as
amended (the “Code”), and Treasury regulations promulgated thereunder (“Section 871(m)”) generally impose a 30%
(or a lower applicable treaty rate) withholding tax on dividend equivalents paid or deemed paid to Non-U.S. Holders with respect to certain
financial instruments linked to U.S. equities or indices that include U.S. equities (each, an “Underlying Security”). Because
the securities reference a basket of commodities, and neither the basket nor any of the commodities is treated for U.S. federal income
tax purposes as an Underlying Security, payment on the securities to Non-U.S. Holders should not be subject to Section 871(m).
You should consult your tax adviser regarding all aspects of the
U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities, as well as any tax consequences arising under the laws of any
state, local or non-U.S. taxing jurisdiction.
The discussion in the preceding paragraphs under “Tax considerations”
and the discussion contained in the section entitled “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying prospectus supplement,
insofar as they purport to describe provisions of U.S. federal income tax laws or legal conclusions with respect thereto, constitute the
full opinion of Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP regarding the material U.S. federal tax consequences of an investment in the securities.
|
Use of proceeds and hedging: |
The proceeds we receive from the sale of the securities will be used
for general corporate purposes. We will receive, in aggregate, $1,000 per security issued, because, when we enter into hedging
transactions in order to meet our obligations under the securities, our hedging counterparty will reimburse the cost of the agent’s
commissions. The costs of the securities borne by you and described on page 3 above comprise the agent’s commissions
and the cost of issuing, structuring and hedging the securities.
On or prior to the pricing date, we will hedge our anticipated exposure
in connection with the securities, by entering into hedging transactions with our subsidiaries and/or third-party dealers. We
expect our hedging counterparties to take positions in any of the basket commodities, in futures or options contracts on any of the basket
commodities listed on major securities markets or positions in any other available securities or instruments that they may wish to use
in connection with such hedging. Such purchase activity could increase the initial basket commodity prices of the basket commodities
and, therefore, could increase the price at or above which the basket commodities must close on the determination date so that you do
not lose some of your investment at maturity. Additionally, such hedging or trading activities during the term of the securities,
including on the determination date, could potentially affect whether the basket performance is positive and, accordingly, the amount
of cash you will receive at maturity. For further information on our use of proceeds and hedging, see “Use of Proceeds
and Hedging” in the accompanying prospectus supplement.
|
Additional considerations: |
Client accounts over which Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management or any of their respective subsidiaries have investment discretion are not permitted to purchase the securities, either directly or indirectly. |
Supplemental information |
JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and its affiliates
will act as placement agents for
|
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities due November 30, 2023 Based on the Performance of a Basket Consisting of Eight Commodities |
concerning plan of distribution; conflicts of interest: |
the securities and will receive a fee from the Issuer or one of its
affiliates that will not exceed $12.50 per $1,000 stated principal amount of securities, but will forgo any fees for sales to certain
fiduciary accounts.
MS & Co. is an affiliate of MSFL and a wholly owned subsidiary of
Morgan Stanley, and it and other affiliates of ours expect to make a profit by selling, structuring and, when applicable, hedging the
securities. When MS & Co. prices this offering of securities, it will determine the economic terms of the securities such that for
each security the estimated value on the pricing date will be no lower than the minimum level described in “Investment Summary”
beginning on page 3.
MS & Co. will conduct this offering in compliance with the requirements
of FINRA Rule 5121 of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Inc., which is commonly referred to as FINRA, regarding a FINRA member
firm’s distribution of the securities of an affiliate and related conflicts of interest. MS & Co. or any of our other affiliates
may not make sales in this offering to any discretionary account. See “Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” and “Use
of Proceeds and Hedging” in the accompanying prospectus supplement.
|
Where you can find more information: |
Morgan Stanley and MSFL have filed a registration statement (including
a prospectus, as supplemented by the prospectus supplement for commodity-linked partial principal at risk securities) with the Securities
and Exchange Commission, or SEC, for the offering to which this communication relates. You should read the prospectus in that
registration statement, the prospectus supplement for commodity-linked partial principal at risk securities and any other documents relating
to this offering that Morgan Stanley and MSFL have filed with the SEC for more complete information about Morgan Stanley, MSFL and this
offering. You may get these documents without cost by visiting EDGAR on the SEC web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively,
Morgan Stanley, MSFL, any underwriter or any dealer participating in this offering will arrange to send you the prospectus supplement
for commodity-linked partial principal at risk securities and prospectus if you so request by calling toll-free 800-584-6837.
You may access these documents on the SEC web site at www.sec.gov as
follows:
Prospectus Supplement for Commodity-Linked Partial Principal at Risk Securities dated November 16, 2020
Prospectus
dated November 16, 2020
|
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